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Wrexham
Wolverhampton WanderersWrexham have spent much of this season looking like a side still finding their feet in the Championship, but that midweek result against Middlesbrough was something else entirely. Phil Parkinson’s men have won four of their opening 14 league games, and three of those wins have come at the Racecourse Ground, but beating the division’s current leaders 2-0 on a Wednesday night is a statement of a completely different magnitude. The Dragons are alive and kicking, and they go into Saturday’s lunchtime fixture with real belief coursing through the dressing room.
Wolverhampton Wanderers, meanwhile, are quietly building a case for being the most dangerous side in the Championship right now. Six wins and a draw from their last eight outings, goals in 13 of their 14 league games, and a comeback win at Bristol City on Tuesday that showed exactly the kind of character and squad depth that gets teams promoted. This one has the makings of a proper Championship contest.
This Championship fixture takes place at the Racecourse Ground in Wrexham, with both sides arriving off the back of midweek victories and desperate to maintain their momentum heading into the busy winter stretch of the season. It is worth noting that the last time these two clubs met in the fourth tier of English football was back in April 1988, when Wrexham ran out 4-2 winners at home. The gap between then and now tells its own story about the journeys both clubs have been on.
Parkinson has a few selection headaches to navigate, though the injury to Sam Smith is the biggest blow. The striker is facing a significant spell on the sidelines with a knee problem, leaving Kieffer Moore as the natural option to lead the line. Wolves have their own fitness questions to answer ahead of the trip to Wales.
Parkinson looks set to shuffle his back four, with Dominic Hyam and Zak Vyner likely coming in at centre back at the expense of Joe Worrall and Max Cleworth. The midfield battle between Matty James and George Dobson for a starting berth adds another layer of intrigue, and Oliver Rathbone will be knocking the door down after scoring off the bench on Wednesday. If O’Hare is passed fit, Parkinson will be delighted to have him back in the final third.
Wrexham predicted lineup: Patterson; Vyner, Hyam, Doyle; Kabore, James, Whiteman, Ekomie; O’Hare, Rathbone; Moore
Cesar Peixoto faces a genuinely tricky call up front. Adam Armstrong has started the last three games, but Sean Neave’s brace at Ashton Gate makes it very difficult to leave him out. Nasser Djiga and Yerson Mosquera are competing for the centre back spot alongside Ladislav Krejci, while Kieran Trippier at right back gives Wolves a genuine attacking threat from deep.
Wolves predicted lineup: Sa; Trippier, Djiga, Krejci, Bueno; Andre, Munetsi; Bellegarde, Lopez, Mane; Armstrong
Wrexham’s campaign has been inconsistent, there is no other word for it. Four wins, five draws and five defeats from 14 Championship games tells the story of a team that is capable of real quality on its day but has not yet found the kind of reliability that separates the playoff sides from the bottom half. That said, the win over Middlesbrough changes the mood entirely. Back to back defeats without scoring against Blackburn and Sheffield United had supporters nervous, but Parkinson’s response was to produce arguably the result of Wrexham’s Championship era so far. George Thomason and Rathbone getting on the scoresheet in the second half to beat the league leaders deserves enormous credit.
What is particularly encouraging for the home side is that Wrexham have scored in 17 of their 18 competitive home fixtures this calendar year. The only exception was a 2-0 defeat to Millwall back in February. That is an extraordinary record and it tells you something important about the energy and atmosphere at the Racecourse Ground. Parkinson’s side know how to perform on their own patch.
Wolves, by contrast, have been relentlessly consistent. Six wins and a draw from their last eight Championship games, with just one defeat in that run. They have scored in 13 of their 14 league fixtures and hit at least two goals in eight of those matches. The comeback at Bristol City, trailing with eight minutes left and then finding two goals through a loanee making his senior breakthrough, shows Peixoto has genuine options and genuine belief throughout his squad. They are second in the table for good reason.
The historical record between these two sides in this division is essentially non existent in living memory, with their meetings coming in the lower reaches of the football pyramid decades ago. That 1988 fourth tier clash ended 4-2 to Wrexham at the Racecourse Ground, but trying to draw meaningful conclusions from something that happened nearly 40 years ago would be a stretch.
What is more relevant is Wolves’ away record against Wrexham specifically, which reads one draw, one defeat, and two draws across their previous visits. Peixoto’s side are yet to win at the Racecourse Ground and they will be desperate to change that this weekend, particularly with the Championship summit potentially within reach for a few hours at least if they take all three points.
Both sides arrive with momentum, both sides have demonstrated a consistent ability to put the ball in the net, and both managers will want to use this fixture as a platform to push on. Wolves look the stronger side on paper and their away form backs that up, but Wrexham at home are genuinely dangerous and the numbers prove it. Goals feel almost inevitable here, and the angle for the betting markets is built around that premise.
Wolves love to get wide and get bodies forward, and Wrexham at home will push to press and attack rather than sit deep. Expect a high tempo, end to end game that generates plenty of set pieces. Going over 10 corners looks solid value here given both teams’ attacking intent and the likely openness of the fixture.
Yes. Wrexham have scored in 17 of 18 home games this calendar year. Wolves have scored in 13 of 14 Championship matches. The logic is straightforward and the numbers point firmly in the same direction. Back BTTS with confidence.
A 1-2 Wolves win feels like the most likely outcome. Wrexham’s home form makes it hard to see them being shut out completely, but Wolves have the quality and the depth to find a winner. The drama of Wolves nicking it late in tight games is becoming a pattern this season.
Over 2.5 goals. With both sides in the goals column so regularly this season and Wrexham’s Racecourse Ground producing attacking football all year, expecting a dull, low scoring affair here would be ignoring everything the data is telling us. Take the over and enjoy the ride.
Adam Armstrong is the pick here. He has started Wolves’ last three games and will be desperate to remind Peixoto of his value with Neave breathing down his neck. Armstrong is a proven finisher and with the service Wolves’ midfield provides, he will get his opportunities early in this one.
A Championship lunchtime fixture between a home side buzzing with confidence and a promotion chasing away team with a point to prove is never going to be a friendly. Expect physicality in midfield and a couple of bookings at minimum. Over 2.5 cards looks a reasonable call, particularly with both teams pressing hard and the stakes feeling significant for different reasons.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score | Yes |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Over |
| First Goalscorer | Adam Armstrong |
Three picks that all point in the same direction, a goal heavy game with Armstrong leading the charge for the most likely winners.
Wrexham will not roll over for anyone at the Racecourse Ground, and after beating Middlesbrough in midweek they go into this one with genuine belief. Parkinson will set his side up to be hard to beat and to threaten on the break, and with Moore leading the line and potentially O’Hare pulling the strings behind him, the home side absolutely have the tools to get on the scoresheet.
That said, Wolves are the better side across the pitch right now and their depth, their composure in tight moments, and their sheer consistency in front of goal make them tough to bet against. Peixoto’s men to edge this one 1-2, with both sides getting on the board and the travelling support having plenty to shout about by the final whistle.
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