Latvia vs Armenia Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Latvia

vs

Armenia

KickoffSunday 15 November 2026, 2:00pm

VenueDaugava Stadium

CompetitionUEFA Nations League

Latvia have not won a single game in this Nations League C Group 2 campaign. Five fixtures played, one solitary point scraped together, and a seven match winless run that stretches back well before this competition even started. That is the grim backdrop for Sunday afternoon at Stadions Skonto, where Paolo Nicolato will be desperate to end that miserable sequence before the curtain comes down on a forgettable campaign. For Armenia, this is about pride and momentum rather than position, with their spot in third already locked in. But do not mistake this for a dead rubber. Both sides have something to prove, and the head to head record suggests the visitors are more than capable of sending Latvia home with nothing once again.

Latvia vs Armenia Match Details

This fixture closes out UEFA Nations League C Group 2 at Stadions Skonto in Riga, with neither side able to alter their final standing in the table. Latvia are anchored to the bottom regardless of what happens, while Armenia cannot bridge the gap to second placed Cyprus due to an inferior head to head record. Thankfully for the hosts, the restructuring of the competition means there is no relegation to worry about, as all third and fourth placed finishers will remain in League C for the 2028 to 29 edition. That takes some of the pressure off Nicolato, but finishing an entire Nations League group stage without a single win would still be a painful way to close the chapter.

Team News

Neither camp has a mountain of selection problems to navigate here, and the likely lineups are fairly straightforward based on how both sides have set up in recent outings.

• Deniss Melniks scored Latvia’s only goal in the 2-1 defeat to Montenegro midweek and should keep his place in the back line alongside Antonijs Cernomordijs and Oskars Vientiess
• Roberts Uldrikis is expected to lead the line for the hosts, with Andrejs Ciganiks and Eduards Daskevics providing width on either side
• Artur Gharibyan is the man in form for Armenia, having netted in both of his Nations League appearances so far, and he is nailed on to start up front
• Ugochukwu Iwu and Karlen Hovhannisyan should anchor the Armenia midfield, with Zhirayr Shaghoyan, Artur Serobyan and Narek Grigoryan operating ahead of them

Predicted Lineups

Latvia look set to line up with Matrevics in goal behind a back four of Jurkovskis, Melniks, Cernomordijs and Vientiess, with Cirkin also likely to feature in that defensive shape. Daskevics, Vapne, Zelenkovs and Ciganiks should form the midfield platform, with Uldrikis as the lone striker tasked with leading the press and causing whatever problems he can.

Armenia are expected to go with Mishiev between the sticks, Bandikyan, Harutyunyan, Mkrtchyan and Tiknizyan across the back, Hovhannisyan and Iwu holding in midfield, and a creative quartet of Grigoryan, Serobyan, Shaghoyan and Gharibyan given licence to cause damage in the final third. Gharibyan is the one to watch. He has goals in his boots and Latvia have been leaking at the back all campaign.

Recent Form

Latvia have been a team in slow motion throughout this campaign. They failed to score in their opening two Nations League fixtures, and while they have at least found the net in each of their last three matches, they have also shipped two goals in every single one of those defeats. That is not defensive solidity suddenly discovered late in the campaign. That is a side that is a little more open and a little more desperate, which makes them easier to pick apart. Seven games without a win across all competitions is a run that weighs heavy on a squad, and Nicolato will know that finishing bottom without a single victory would be a very public low point.

Armenia are in a slightly better place emotionally, even if the results have not exactly been spectacular. After losing to Cyprus on matchday three, Yeghishe Melikyan’s side have gone two games without defeat, picking up back to back draws to stabilise. They are not exactly flying, but they are not leaking confidence either. The last time they tasted victory was matchday one of this very competition, a comfortable 2-0 win over Latvia in September. That result set the tone for the group, and Armenia will fancy repeating it on the road.

The contrast in momentum is subtle but real. Latvia desperately want a win and may push forward in ways that leave them exposed. Armenia are settled, defensively organised, and carry a genuine goal threat in Gharibyan. Those are ingredients that tend to suit the away side.

Head-to-Head Record

Armenia have been comfortably the better side in this fixture in recent years. They have won four of the last five meetings between the two nations, including each of the last three consecutive encounters. Perhaps more tellingly, Armenia have scored at least two goals in four of their last five victories over Latvia, so the goals tend to flow in one direction when these two meet.

The reverse fixture back in September told you everything you needed to know. Georgiy Harutyunyan and Artur Gharibyan both scored to give Armenia a routine 2-0 win, and Latvia never really looked like getting back into it. The head to head here is as one sided as it looks on paper, and there is little in the recent record to suggest Riga is about to level things up.

Key Stats

• Latvia are winless in seven matches across all competitions and have conceded two goals in each of their last three defeats
• Armenia have won four of the last five clashes between these sides, with Gharibyan and Harutyunyan both on the scoresheet in the reverse fixture this season
• Latvia have scored in each of their last three games, so there is at least a reasonable chance of the home side finding the net even in a loss

Latvia vs Armenia Betting Tips

Armenia look the right side to be on here. They are the better team, they know how to beat Latvia, and they arrive with a little confidence in their legs after two unbeaten outings. Latvia may nick a goal given their recent scoring run, but Armenia controlling this game and winning it comfortably feels like the most likely outcome. Here are the specific markets worth targeting.

Cards Prediction

A dead rubber between two sides with nothing riding on the result tends to be relatively calm in terms of card count. Latvia may get a touch frustrated if things go against them early, but neither side is known for a particularly aggressive disciplinary record. A low card game feels right here, with under three bookings the sensible call.

Correct Score Prediction

Armenia won the reverse fixture 2-0 and that feels like a blueprint for Sunday. Latvia have been shipping two goals regularly, Armenia have the firepower to deliver them, and a 2-1 scoreline covers the possibility of Latvia continuing their recent scoring habit while Armenia still taking the points.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Latvia have conceded two in each of their last three and Armenia have shown they can score in bunches against this opposition, so over 2.5 goals looks like a sensible angle. The reverse fixture finished 2-0 and this one could easily end similarly or slightly more open if Latvia push forward chasing their first win of the campaign.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

Latvia have scored in three straight matches, which is worth something, and if they push bodies forward in search of a morale boosting win then there will be gaps for Armenia to exploit. BTTS yes has genuine appeal here, particularly with Latvia showing more attacking intent in recent weeks even if they have not been able to keep clean sheets at the other end.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Artur Gharibyan is the standout pick. He scored in the reverse fixture against Latvia in September, got on the scoresheet against Cyprus earlier this week, and goes into this one in the kind of form that makes him genuinely dangerous. He plays centrally, gets into the right areas, and Latvia have not shown they can keep anyone out consistently this campaign.

Bet Builder Tip

Armenia winning with both sides scoring and Gharibyan opening the scoring fits neatly with the patterns of this head to head and the recent form of both sides heading into the final group game.

Final Match Prediction

Latvia will want to send their home supporters away with something to smile about, and there is a very small part of this that could catch Armenia off guard if the visitors take their foot off the pedal in what is effectively a dead rubber for them too. But the evidence across this entire campaign, and across the last few years of meetings between these sides, all points in one direction.

Armenia are the better team, they carry more of a goal threat, and Gharibyan is in form at exactly the right moment. Latvia may score, as they have done in their last three outings, but Armenia should have too much. Predicted score: Armenia to win 2-1.

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