Spain vs England Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Spain

vs

England

KickoffSunday 15 November 2026, 7:45pm

VenueRiyadh Air Metropolitano

CompetitionUEFA Nations League

TV ChannelITV

Spain have not lost a single game in any competition since March 2024. That is 44 matches unbeaten, stretching all the way back to a friendly defeat against Colombia. In that extraordinary run, they have won the Euros, beaten England twice, and not dropped a point in this Nations League group. If you are looking for a reason to doubt them heading into Sunday night at the Metropolitano, you are going to have to look very hard.

England arrive in Madrid with something to play for but knowing the odds are stacked against them. Thomas Tuchel’s side scraped past Croatia 2-1 at Wembley, which was enough to book their quarter-final place, and a win here by any margin would seal top spot in Group 3. But Spain only need a draw to finish first. That is a significant psychological edge before a ball has been kicked.

Spain vs England Match Details

This Nations League League A Group 3 finale takes place at the Estadio Metropolitano in Madrid. It is the last group stage fixture for both sides and doubles as a straight shootout for first place, with both teams already guaranteed a spot in the quarter-finals. The stakes are real but the safety net is there for Spain, and that matters.

Team News

Both squads have selection issues to navigate, though Spain look set to get their biggest names back just in time.

• Lamine Yamal and Mikel Oyarzabal both missed the Czech Republic win but are expected to return to the squad for this one
• Nico Williams and Aymeric Laporte are doubts after missing the Czech game, Williams with a virus and Laporte with a fitness issue
• Martin Zubimendi played the full 90 minutes against the Czechs so his availability may depend on how fresh he feels
• For England, Ezri Konsa should return after missing the Croatia fixture, subject to coming through training on Saturday
• Myles Lewis-Skelly is back after serving a one-match suspension
• Djed Spence has been limited to individual training but Tuchel is hopeful he will join the main group before the game
• Jarell Quansah is under pressure after his error gifted Croatia their equaliser at Wembley

Predicted Lineups

Luis de la Fuente looks set to restore his first choice front three if Yamal and Oyarzabal are fit enough to start, with Ferran Torres and Yeremy Pino dropping out to make way. The back line and midfield picks itself, though Williams and Laporte remain genuine doubts.

Spain: Simon; Porro, Cubarsi, Huijsen, Cucurella; Ruiz, Pedri; Yamal, Lopez, Baena; Oyarzabal

Tuchel will likely stick with what worked against Croatia, albeit with Konsa coming in for Quansah if he is fit. Lewis-Skelly returns in midfield, and the front four picks itself given the lack of serious competition for those spots.

England: Pickford; Alexander-Arnold, Konsa, Burn, Hall; Anderson, Rice; Rogers, Bellingham, Gordon; Kane

Recent Form

Spain are relentless. Five wins from five in this group, 44 games unbeaten across all competitions, and even when they were without three of their most dangerous attackers against the Czech Republic they still found a way to win. Alex Baena and Marc Pubill got the goals in a 2-0 victory, and while it was not straightforward until a Czech red card changed the game, De la Fuente’s side ground it out. That is what champions do.

What makes Spain particularly dangerous is the firepower coming back into the squad. Their last five matches have all produced at least two goals, and the return of Yamal and Oyarzabal to a side that already looked sharp gives them a different level of threat to what England saw in Prague. The Euros final and that 3-2 win at Wembley earlier in this Nations League campaign are proof that Spain do not just beat England, they can dismantle them.

England have momentum of a sort. Morgan Rogers and Harry Kane got the goals to beat Croatia, and the Three Lions have now scored multiple goals in six consecutive games across all competitions. That is a decent run. But the performance against Croatia was unconvincing, and the defensive error that gifted Petar Sucic his goal will have worried Tuchel. Conceding in that game ended a three-match clean sheet run, and keeping it tight at the back will be crucial if England are to get anything on the road here.

Head-to-Head Record

Spain hold the recent advantage in this rivalry and it is not particularly close. Their 2-1 win over England in the Euro 2024 final at Berlin was followed up by a 3-2 victory at Wembley in this same Nations League group, which tells you everything about where the balance of power currently sits. England’s last win on Spanish soil came back in 2018, a 3-2 result where Raheem Sterling scored twice and Marcus Rashford added a third. That feels like a very long time ago.

These two matches in this Nations League campaign have already produced ten goals between them, which bodes well for an entertaining finale. Spain have won both recent competitive meetings and have the added comfort of needing just a point. England need to find something they have not managed in these two sides’ last two clashes, which is coming away as the better side.

Key Stats

• Spain are unbeaten in 44 consecutive matches across all competitions since March 2024
• England have scored two or more goals in six straight games but their last clean sheet run was ended by Croatia
• Spain have scored at least twice in each of their last five fixtures and have kept perfection going since the World Cup final

Spain vs England Betting Tips

Spain are the form team, the home team, and they only need a draw. England are improving under Tuchel but they are not yet at the level where you back them on the road against the world champions in a game Spain can afford to control. The goals market is where the real value sits here, because both sides have been scoring freely and Spain’s returning attackers make the Spanish end of the pitch a constant threat.

Correct Score Prediction

Spain have the firepower and the motivation to win this one with something to spare, and with Yamal and Oyarzabal likely back, their attack looks properly loaded. A 2-1 to Spain feels right given England’s ability to get on the scoresheet but their defensive vulnerability against top opposition.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Both squads have been scoring regularly, the head-to-head history in this competition alone has produced ten goals across two meetings, and the attacking returns for Spain tip this firmly towards over 2.5 goals. Back the goals to flow.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

England have found the net in six straight games and Kane is one of the most reliable goal threat players in international football. Even in games Spain have dominated, they have conceded. BTTS looks a solid call here and the head-to-head history backs it up.

Cards Prediction

High stakes Nations League finale between two sides with plenty of pride on the line. England will have to work hard without the ball and Spain’s creative players invite the kind of challenges that bring bookings. Expect a couple of yellows at minimum, with the England midfield likely to pick up at least one caution trying to contain Pedri and company.

Bet Builder Tip

Spain winning in a game where both teams score and there are three or more goals fits the recent pattern perfectly given the form of both sides and the attacking returns expected for the hosts.

Final Match Prediction

Spain do not need to win this, but they will want to. A perfect six wins from six would be a fitting statement from the world champions, and with Yamal and Oyarzabal coming back into a side that has been unbeaten for nearly two and a half years, they have the tools to make it happen. England will give a decent account of themselves and Kane will likely threaten, but Tuchel’s side have not yet shown they can go toe to toe with this Spain team and come out on top.

Spain 2-1 England. Same scoreline as Wembley, different city, same result.

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