Togo vs Algeria Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Togo

vs

Algeria

KickoffTuesday 17 November 2026, 4:00pm

VenueStade de Kégué

CompetitionAfrican Cup of Nations Qualifying

Can Togo finally stand up to Algeria on home soil, or will the Desert Foxes wrap up their AFCON qualification with two games to spare? That is the question hanging over the Stade de Kegue in Lome as these two sides meet again just days after their first encounter. The Sparrowhawks need a result. Algeria simply want to get the job done.

This is a fixture with real stakes on both sides, and the context makes it genuinely compelling. Let us get into it.

Togo vs Algeria Match Details

This Group I Africa Cup of Nations qualifier takes place at the Stade de Kegue in Lome, Togo, the national stadium and the fortress Patrice Neveu’s side will be counting on to give them an edge. It is a quick turnaround from Saturday’s meeting in Algeria, which makes squad depth and fitness very relevant factors heading into this one.

Team News

Algeria are carrying a few absences but still look well stocked enough to field a strong side. Togo have their own concerns at the back and in the final third.

• Jaouen Hadjam, Amine Chiakha, Rafik Belghali, Hicham Boudaoui and Bachir Belloumi are all out injured for Algeria
• Goalkeeper Abdelatif Ramdane has left the squad for personal reasons following a family bereavement, with Fahem Benaissa Yahia among the replacements called up
• Rayane Yesli, Adem Zorgane and Saadi Radouani have also been drafted in as cover
• Togo are again without Sharani Zuberu, Mansour Ouro Tagba and Steven Nador, who all missed the first game
• Gustave Akueson and Yaw Annor have been called up as replacements for Togo
• Lilian Brassier made his international debut on Saturday and could keep his place after a solid showing at the back

Predicted Lineups

Togo look set to line up similarly to Saturday, with Brassier potentially keeping his spot after impressing on debut. Neveu will want his side to be more of an attacking threat this time around, so the question is whether he tweaks anything in the final third to give Denkey more support.

Togo probable XI: Barcola; Nadjombe, Drakpe, Boateng, Brassier, Koudossou; Ouro, Djene, Denkey, Karim; Laba

Algeria boss Ibrahim Hamdani has little reason to make wholesale changes given the result last time out. Bensebaini will be a key figure again, and the likes of Amoura and Gouiri offer a real threat on the break. The injuries thin things out a little but the core of this side remains strong.

Algeria probable XI: Mastil; Azzi, Abada, Touba, Bensebaini; H Moussa, Bentaleb, Maza, Chaibi; Gouiri, Amoura

Recent Form

Algeria have been quietly impressive under Hamdani since he took over from Vladimir Petkovic in August. Seven points from three qualifying games, an unbeaten run of four matches, and a knack for grinding out results even when things are not flowing. They beat Zambia 3-1 to open their campaign, then came back from two goals down to draw with Burundi, and followed that up with Saturday’s hard fought win over Togo thanks to Bensebaini’s header. That is a side with character.

Their record away from home is worth flagging though. Only one win in their last four matches outside Algeria, with a draw and two defeats. So while they arrive as favourites, the idea that this will be a stroll is not quite right. Togo at home is a different test to Togo in Algeria.

The Sparrowhawks started their qualifying campaign well enough, beating Burundi in the opener, but they have fallen off since then. A 2-0 defeat to Zambia was followed by Saturday’s loss without scoring, meaning they have now gone two straight qualifying games without a goal. That is a real worry for Neveu. The last time Togo lost back to back matches was against Senegal and Mauritania earlier in 2025, so this is a dip in form at exactly the wrong moment. They need a performance, and they need it at home where they have won four of their last seven competitive matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The history between these sides does not make comfortable reading for Togo supporters. They have lost seven of their last eight meetings with Algeria across all competitions. That is not just a run of bad luck, that is a genuine pattern of one side dominating the other.

What makes it worse for Togo is that the most recent home fixture between these sides, during the 2025 AFCON qualifiers, ended in a 1-0 defeat. And Ramy Bensebaini has now scored the decisive goal in each of Algeria’s last two wins against the Sparrowhawks. He is becoming something of a bogey player for this Togo side specifically.

Key Stats

• Algeria are unbeaten in four matches under Hamdani and need just one more win to book their place at a 22nd AFCON finals
• Togo have failed to score in their last two qualifying matches and have lost seven of their last eight meetings with Algeria
• Algeria have won just one of their last four away matches, raising a small question mark over their road form

Togo vs Algeria Betting Tips

This game sets up well for Algeria, but Togo’s home support and their need for points means the Sparrowhawks are unlikely to roll over. The Algerians tend to be efficient rather than spectacular, and I would expect a relatively low scoring game with plenty of niggly moments given the rivalry and the pressure both sides are under.

Cards Prediction

With Togo desperately needing a win and Algeria looking to close things out, there will be intensity and frustration baked into this one. Togo are likely to get physical as the game goes on, particularly if they fall behind, and I would expect at least four cards across the ninety minutes. Over 3.5 cards looks a solid play.

Correct Score Prediction

Algeria have the quality to win this but they rarely do it in style away from home, and Togo have enough about them on their own patch to nick a goal. A 1-2 to Algeria feels right, mirroring the kind of controlled away performance Hamdani’s side have shown when they need to see a game out.

Corners Prediction

Togo will need to push forward for large parts of this game, which should mean they create a decent amount of wide play and delivery into the box. Algeria on the counter will also win corners as Togo push men forward late on. Under 9.5 total corners is worth a look given the compact nature of recent games between these sides, but over 8.5 is probably where the value sits.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

Togo have not scored in their last two qualifiers, which makes BTTS Yes a tricky sell despite the home advantage. Algeria meanwhile have not been free scoring away from home. The numbers lean toward BTTS No, and the Sparrowhawks’ recent bluntness in front of goal backs that up. I will go BTTS No.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Ramy Bensebaini has scored the winner in each of Algeria’s last two meetings with Togo, including Saturday’s header. He gets forward from left back, he is a threat from set pieces, and he clearly enjoys playing against this particular opponent. He is worth a punt as first goalscorer at a likely generous price for a defender.

Bet Builder Tip

Algeria winning to nil with Bensebaini getting on the scoresheet ties together the form, the head to head dominance, and Togo’s current inability to find the net.

Final Match Prediction

Togo will make a game of this. Home support, desperation for points, and the fact that Algeria are not untouchable away from home all give the Sparrowhawks a fighting chance. But the head to head record is damning, Togo cannot score right now, and Algeria under Hamdani have shown they know how to win ugly when they need to.

The Desert Foxes take this one 1-2 and inch closer to sealing their AFCON qualification. Togo get a goal back but it is not enough to change the outcome. Neveu’s side need something to click upfront, and fast, if their campaign is going to stay alive beyond this week.

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