Ukraine vs Georgia Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Ukraine

vs

Georgia

KickoffTuesday 17 November 2026, 7:45pm

CompetitionUEFA Nations League

Five games into their Nations League B campaign and Georgia have yet to score a single goal. Not one. Five matches, four conceded, zero scored, and that includes a team with Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Georges Mikautadze on the books. That is a staggering attacking failure, and it sets the tone perfectly for what should be a fascinating if nervy final matchday showdown.

Ukraine are not exactly flying themselves. Three defeats on the spin have killed off any hope of a promotion playoff spot, and they have shipped six goals in this group, more than anyone else. But they are still above water, just about, and that two point cushion over Georgia means a draw keeps them safe. With everything to play for at the bottom of Group 2, this is about as high stakes as a Nations League group stage fixture gets.

Ukraine vs Georgia Match Details

This UEFA Nations League B Group 2 matchday six clash takes place at the Kosicka futbalova arena, with both sides knowing exactly what they need from the final 90 minutes. Ukraine host from third place and can confirm their League B survival with at least a point. Georgia sit bottom and must win to have any chance of avoiding a relegation playoff. There is nothing comfortable about this one for either dugout.

Team News

The big absentee news surrounds Georgia, where Kvaratskhelia is ruled out through a long term injury. He has not scored since a friendly against Bahrain back in June, and his absence leaves Georgia severely blunted going forward. For Ukraine, there are selection questions up top after a third group game without a goal in the reverse fixture against Northern Ireland.

• Kvaratskhelia out for Georgia with a long term injury
• Artem Dovbyk could come into the Ukraine starting lineup following their attacking struggles
• Illia Krupskyi expected to start at right back for Ukraine
• Mikautadze carries Georgia’s attacking hopes almost entirely on his own shoulders

Predicted Lineups

Andrea Maldera looks set to shuffle his pack in attack after Ukraine have failed to score in three of their five group games. Dovbyk starting up front feels like the logical call, with Sudakov pulling strings behind him and Krasnopir offering support. At the back, captain Matvienko should slot in alongside Zabarnyi with Krupskyi given the nod at right back.

Georgia will line up with Mamardashvili in goal behind a back four of Kakabadze, Goglichidze, Dvali and Lochoshvili. Chakvetadze and Mekvabishvili should anchor the midfield, with Kvernadze, Gagnidze and Davitashvili providing the creative outlet behind Mikautadze, who is essentially carrying this attack on his own.

Recent Form

Ukraine started this campaign with a tidy 1 0 win over Hungary, Danylo Sikan with the only goal just before half time. That set up a decent foundation, but things have gone sideways since then. After drawing 0 0 with Georgia in the reverse fixture, Ukraine have lost their last three, going down 3 0 to Northern Ireland, 1 0 to Northern Ireland again, and then 2 1 to Hungary. The momentum is not there, the confidence looks fragile, and the goals have dried up completely.

Georgia are even worse off in terms of results but their story is a strange one. Two draws, three defeats, zero goals scored across the entire group stage. With Kvaratskhelia fit, that attacking record would look very different, but the fact is he has barely featured, and without him Georgia look toothless. Mikautadze is a quality striker, but he cannot do it all himself against a defence that, despite its own struggles, at least has Premier League and Champions League level players in it.

What is interesting here is that Ukraine have conceded six goals in five games, the worst defensive record in the group. That should give Georgia hope. But Georgia have scored zero goals in five games. Something has to give, and the pressure of needing to actually win this match might finally force Georgia to open up and attack properly for the first time all campaign.

Head-to-Head Record

Georgia simply do not win against Ukraine. Twelve meetings, zero wins for Georgia. They have drawn five and lost seven of those encounters, and that is a psychological weight that follows a team into a game whether the players admit it or not. The reverse fixture in this group ended 0 0, which at least shows Georgia can be competitive, but competitive and winning are two very different things when it comes to this matchup.

Hosting this fixture gives Ukraine another advantage, and historically they have been difficult to beat on home soil in this rivalry. With Georgia needing a win for the first time in 12 attempts against this opponent, the history books are firmly stacked against Willy Sagnol’s side.

Key Stats

• Georgia have scored zero goals in five Nations League matches this campaign
• Ukraine have conceded six goals in this group, the most of any team in Group 2
• Georgia are winless in all 12 previous meetings with Ukraine, drawing five and losing seven

Ukraine vs Georgia Betting Tips

This is a game defined by desperation and defensive anxiety. Ukraine need a point to stay up and will be tempted to sit back and protect what they have. Georgia need a win but cannot score. That tension creates a match where I would be surprised to see many goals, but where Ukraine’s greater quality and home advantage should eventually tell. Here are the markets worth looking at.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Artem Dovbyk is the pick here. If he starts as expected, he is Ukraine’s most dangerous outlet by some distance, a proper centre forward who knows where the net is at club level, and with Georgia having to push forward in search of a goal they desperately need, there will be space on the counter for him to exploit. Good value for first scorer.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

No. Georgia have not scored in five straight matches and are without their best attacking player. Ukraine’s defence has been leaky, but leaky against teams that can actually score. I fully expect Ukraine to find the net at some point here, but I will be very surprised if Georgia manage to end their goalless streak against a side they have never beaten in 12 attempts.

Corners Prediction

Over on corners feels right. Georgia will need to attack from the flanks if they are going to create anything without Kvaratskhelia in the mix, and Ukraine will look to press for a goal on home soil to settle nerves. Both teams using wide areas means set pieces and corners should stack up. Over 9 corners is worth considering.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Under 2.5 goals. Georgia cannot score, Ukraine have only managed two goals in their last five group games, and the defensive nature of what Ukraine need from this match means Maldera will not be sending his side out to put on an attacking show. A tight, low scoring affair is the most likely outcome, possibly settled by a single goal late on.

Cards Prediction

With Georgia needing a win and the tension around relegation, expect some feistiness as the match wears on. If Ukraine go a goal up and start slowing the game down, the frustration from the Georgian side could boil over. Over 3 cards is a reasonable call, with a booking or two in the second half as Georgia push desperately for an equaliser or winning goal that may never come.

Bet Builder Tip

Georgia’s inability to score, combined with Ukraine’s cautious approach protecting their League B status, makes a tight low scoring game with Dovbyk netting the decisive goal a compelling combination in the bet builder.

Final Match Prediction

Ukraine have everything they need to get the job done here. Home advantage, a superior squad, a better recent record head to head, and the knowledge that a draw is enough. Georgia, meanwhile, are walking into this fixture goalless in five games, without their best player, and needing to beat a team they have never beaten in 12 previous attempts. The logic only points one way.

Expect a tense, scrappy affair where Ukraine do enough without being spectacular. A single goal from Dovbyk or one of the attacking midfielders should be enough to settle it. Predicted score: Ukraine 1 0 Georgia.

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