Algeria vs Togo Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Algeria

vs

Togo

KickoffSaturday 14 November 2026, 7:00pm

VenueStade Nelson-Mandela

CompetitionAfrican Cup of Nations Qualifying

Algeria are in decent nick heading into this one, sitting top of Group I with momentum behind them and a new manager who has yet to taste defeat. Brahim Hemdani has steadied the ship since taking over and his side look like a team finding their feet again under fresh leadership. Togo, on the other hand, are a side with something to prove. They made a bright start to qualifying but stumbled badly in Zambia and now face a trip to North Africa that their recent away record suggests could be a very uncomfortable evening.

The gulf in FIFA ranking tells part of the story, 92 places separate these two sides, but football does not care about spreadsheets. What matters is that Togo are desperate to end a long wait for AFCON qualification and that desperation can make sides unpredictable. That said, Algeria at home, with the backing of the Stade Hocine Ait Ahmed crowd and superior individual quality throughout the squad, start this one as very clear favourites.

Algeria vs Togo Match Details

This fixture is part of the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualifying campaign, with both sides in Group I. It is the first leg of a quick double header between these nations, with the return fixture in Lome following just three days later. Algeria go into this one as hosts knowing a win would put serious daylight between themselves and Togo in the standings.

Team News

Algeria are carrying a few injury headaches but still have plenty of quality to call upon. Togo are also missing a handful of key men and welcome a couple of returning faces back into the fold.

• Bachir Belloumi is out for Algeria with a hamstring injury
• Jaouen Hadjam and Hicham Boudaoui have both withdrawn through injury, with Fahem Benaissa-Yahia and Adem Zorgane called up as replacements
• Amin Chiakha and Rafik Belghali have also pulled out due to fitness concerns
• Yacine Titraoui returns to the Algeria squad having missed the previous camp
• Mohamed Azzi and Abderrahmane Rebbach have received their first senior Algeria call-ups
• Rayan Ait-Nouri and Luca Zidane are notable absentees from the Algeria squad
• Togo are without Sharani Zuberu and Steven Nador, both sidelined with hamstring injuries
• Mansour Ouro-Tagba is also unavailable for Togo
• Lilian Brassier has received his first Togo call-up and could make his debut
• Kennedy Boateng and Thibault Klidje return to the Togo squad, as does Augustin Drakpe following his recovery from injury

Predicted Lineups

Hemdani looks set to line up with Benbot in goal behind a back four of Azzi, Bensebaini, Nair and Benaissa-Yahia, with the latter earning his spot through the injury crisis. The midfield trio of Bentaleb, Titraoui and Abdelli should provide a solid base, allowing the front three of Amoura, Gouiri and Maza the freedom to cause problems. Gouiri in particular is the kind of player who can unlock a compact defence with a moment of quality.

Togo are likely to set up with Barcola in goal, a back four featuring debutant Brassier, Boateng, Bode and Koudossou, with Djene and Karim providing the midfield engine. Ouro will offer creativity in the advanced midfield role, while the front three of Komlavi, Djibril and Denkey will need to be sharp on the counter if Togo are to threaten. Patrice Neveu may well set his side up to be hard to beat first and foremost.

Recent Form

Algeria have not been perfect, but they have been productive. Three wins from three under Hemdani, all competitions considered, tells you the new man has got a reaction from his players since Vladimir Petkovic departed in August. The 3-1 win over Zambia in matchday one was impressive, and recovering from two goals down to draw 2-2 at Burundi showed a squad with character. Add in the 2-1 friendly victory over Niger in October and you have a team scoring goals, even if the defensive record is a worry.

That defensive concern is real though. Algeria have conceded 13 goals across their last seven matches without a single clean sheet. Some of those will be down to the transitional period under a new manager, and some down to the quality of opposition, but it is a pattern Hemdani will want to address. The good news is that going forward, Algeria look dangerous and have scored at least twice in each of those three recent matches.

Togo started their qualifying campaign with a tidy 1-0 home win over Burundi, with Dermane Karim getting the goal, but the wheels came off when they travelled to Zambia and lost 2-0. That was the end of a six match unbeaten run and also the first time they had failed to score in six games this year. Away from home, their record over the last 13 matches makes for grim reading, with just a single win to show from that run. That lone away victory came against Niger back in March 2024, and they have drawn six and lost six since.

Head-to-Head Record

Algeria have been utterly dominant in recent meetings between these two sides. Six wins from the last seven encounters across friendlies and competitive fixtures is a commanding record, and they have kept Togo out in four of the last five meetings. That kind of head-to-head dominance is not just a footnote, it reflects a genuine quality gap between the squads and suggests Togo have historically struggled to get the better of their North African opponents.

The pattern of Algeria winning at home in this fixture adds to the picture. Togo have rarely been able to impose themselves in this particular matchup, and with the added pressure of a poor away record across all recent fixtures, there is very little in the history books to suggest Les Eperviers can turn things around this time.

Key Stats

• Algeria are unbeaten in three matches under Hemdani but have conceded 13 goals in their last seven games across all competitions without a clean sheet
• Togo have won just one of their last 13 away matches, drawing six and losing six
• Algeria have won six of the last seven head-to-head meetings and kept four clean sheets in the last five fixtures between the sides

Algeria vs Togo Betting Tips

Algeria look the bet here on almost every angle. They are the stronger side, playing at home, with a superior head-to-head record and a Togo team that has shown real fragility on the road. The only reservation is Algeria’s shaky defensive record, which opens the door for a Togo goal even in a comfortable home win. The goals markets look particularly interesting given both sides’ recent tendencies.

Correct Score Prediction

Algeria have enough attacking quality to put this one to bed without a huge amount of fuss. A 2-1 scoreline feels right, acknowledging Algeria’s habit of conceding while still backing them to get the job done at home.

Corners Prediction

Algeria will have the lion’s share of possession and will be getting bodies forward regularly against a Togo side likely to sit deep and absorb pressure. That should generate a decent volume of corners, and over 9.5 corners in the match looks a reasonable call given the expected one-way nature of the attacking play for long spells.

Cards Prediction

Togo will need to be physical and organised to keep Algeria at bay, and with frustration likely to build as the game goes on, there should be a few bookings. Over 3.5 cards in the match feels achievable, particularly if Algeria keep pressing and Togo’s defensive discipline gets stretched in the second half.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Algeria have been scoring freely and conceding regularly, and while Togo are not prolific, they did manage the opening goal against Niger before Algeria came back in that October friendly. Over 2.5 goals looks solid here given the attacking intent from the hosts and the defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.

Bet Builder Tip

Algeria’s attacking form and leaky defence make a home win with goals at both ends the most logical combination, and the over 2.5 goals selection ties that all together neatly.

Final Match Prediction

Algeria should win this one comfortably enough. Togo will make it competitive for a spell and might well nick a goal given how open Algeria can be at the back, but the quality difference across the pitch is significant. Hemdani’s side have the home crowd, the superior ranking, and a head-to-head record that thoroughly backs them up.

Expect Algeria to get the job done and keep themselves top of Group I heading into the return leg. A 2-1 home win is the call.

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