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Bayer Leverkusen
RB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen have not strung back to back wins together in the Bundesliga yet this season, and that is a sentence you simply would not have expected to write twelve months ago. The reigning champions are finding life under Carles Martinez Novell a little bumpier than the fanbase had hoped, and this weekend they face a Leipzig side that just put five past Hamburg without breaking much of a sweat. Something has to give at the BayArena, and honestly, this one sets up as a proper watch.
Both clubs have shown they can be brilliant and baffling within the same week. Leverkusen hammered Union Berlin then threw away a lead at Augsburg. Leipzig blew away Gladbach then got thumped by Werder Bremen and absolutely dismantled by Como in Europe. Whatever you think you know about either of these sides right now, keep a pinch of salt handy.
This is a Bundesliga fixture at the BayArena in Leverkusen, a ground that became something of a fortress during the title winning campaign. With Leverkusen currently sitting seventh and Leipzig fifth, both sides are chasing the kind of result that would firmly stake their claim in the top four conversation before the season really hits its stride.
Neither side goes into this one at full strength, and the injury lists are worth paying close attention to when it comes to your team selection predictions.
For Leverkusen, Martinez Novell does not have too many options to shuffle at the back given the full back injuries, so Quansah comes in on the right side of a four that also includes Tapsoba, Medina, and Gutierrez. Ezequiel Fernandez and Aleix Garcia should form the double pivot, with Ibrahim Maza pulling strings just ahead of them in the ten role.
Leipzig boss Martin Demichelis faces a real midfield puzzle with three players out in that area. Banzuzi, El Aynaoui, and Gruda look set to fill the gaps, while Christopher Nkunku leads the attack with Tidiam Gomis and Antonio Nusa providing support around him. It is a makeshift look in the middle of the park for the visitors, and that could be significant.
Leverkusen’s season so far reads like a club still searching for their identity under the new gaffer. They lost 3-2 to promoted Elversberg on the opening day, which set tongues wagging immediately. Then came a statement 4-0 win over Union Berlin that looked like the real Leverkusen were back. Then a trip to Augsburg ended in a 2-2 draw after they needed a late Patrik Schick equaliser just to avoid losing. That is not the form of champions, but the Europa League win over NK Celje in midweek at least gives them some rhythm going into this one.
Leipzig under Demichelis have been similarly hard to read. The 3-0 opener against Gladbach had people thinking this could be a serious title challenger. Then came the 3-1 defeat to Werder Bremen and a genuinely alarming 4-1 hammering by Como in the Champions League. But they responded by absolutely battering Hamburg 5-0 last weekend, which is the kind of emphatic performance that can either mask deeper problems or genuinely signal a corner being turned. The truth is probably somewhere in the middle.
What is clear is that both teams have the quality to look unplayable on their day and surprisingly fragile the next. The midfield injury crisis for Leipzig is worth keeping in mind here because Leverkusen with Maza and Garcia pulling the strings in the final third could exploit a makeshift engine room.
These two sides have a history of producing competitive, high quality Bundesliga encounters, and the BayArena has generally been a tough place for Leipzig to come away with anything in recent seasons. Leverkusen’s home form in big fixtures has traditionally been formidable, and the crowd at the BayArena tends to generate real atmosphere for these top six clashes.
Historically, goals have not been hard to come by when this fixture comes around. Both sides like to press and play forward, and even when one team has dominated, the other has usually managed to find the net. That trend feels very relevant given the attacking talent both clubs are putting on the pitch this weekend.
This is a match where both teams have enough attacking quality to hurt each other, but also enough defensive fragility to let goals in at the wrong moment. The midfield absentees for Leipzig are a genuine factor, and Leverkusen at home with a point to prove after a Europa League confidence booster feels like the right side to lean towards. That said, Nkunku and company can punish anyone on their day, so backing a clean sheet for either side feels risky.
Yes, back both teams to score here. Leverkusen have the creative players to unlock any defence, but they have also shown they can be got at, as Augsburg and Elversberg both demonstrated. Leipzig, even with a patched up midfield, have Nkunku leading the line and he is the kind of striker who creates something from nothing. BTTS yes looks like a solid foundation for any bet on this game.
With both sides playing with high defensive lines and pushing plenty of bodies forward, expect the corner count to be healthy. Leverkusen generated good numbers from set piece situations last season and Leipzig like to work the wide areas with Nusa and Gomis. Over 9.5 corners in the match looks a reasonable shout given the styles at play and the attacking intent both sides will bring to this one.
Given the attacking quality on both sides, the likelihood of goals at both ends, and the slight advantage Leverkusen hold at home, a 2-2 draw feels like a genuinely plausible outcome. Both teams have the firepower to score twice, and neither has the defensive solidity right now to shut a game out entirely. A draw would also be a fair reflection of where both clubs are in their season.
Patrik Schick is the pick here. He already has a crucial goal to his name this season with that late equaliser against Augsburg, and as the focal point of Leverkusen’s attack at home, he will fancy his chances against a Leipzig backline that has shipped goals this term. Playing in front of a home crowd with Maza and Moreira supplying him, Schick to score first at a decent price makes plenty of sense.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score | Yes |
| First Goalscorer | Patrik Schick |
| Total Corners | Over 9.5 |
Schick scoring in a game where both sides find the net fits perfectly with the open, attack minded nature of this fixture and the corner volume is almost inevitable given how both teams like to play.
Leverkusen have the home advantage, the European momentum from midweek, and a more settled midfield than their opponents. Those are real edges in a game like this. But Leipzig carry an enormous amount of attacking threat even in a weakened state, and Nkunku alone is capable of making the difference on any given afternoon.
The smart call is Leverkusen to edge it, but not without a fight. This has all the ingredients for a 2-2 draw, but if the home side can get in front early and make use of their midfield superiority against a patched up Leipzig unit, Martinez Novell might finally get those back to back wins. Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 RB Leipzig, with the caveat that a narrow Leverkusen win would not surprise in the slightest.