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Cambuur
Go Ahead EaglesCambuur are hitting form at just the right time. After a disastrous start to life back in the Eredivisie, four straight defeats including a 5-2 hammering by Feyenoord on their own patch, Johan Plat’s side have quietly pieced together one of the most impressive runs in the division. Twelve points from the last six league games, a 6-1 demolition of Willem II last weekend, and a cup win in midweek. This is a team that has found its feet and is starting to believe. Saturday night at the Kooi Stadion is a real opportunity to keep that momentum rolling.
Standing in their way are Go Ahead Eagles, a side that cannot stop scoring and cannot stop conceding. Joseph Oosting’s team have found the net in every single league game this season, but they have also shipped a goal in every one of those 10 matches and are still waiting for a first clean sheet. They have drawn five times, blown a three-goal lead at Utrecht, and let a 3-2 advantage slip against Sparta Rotterdam. There is talent there, but also a fragility that Cambuur will fancy exploiting.
This Eredivisie matchday 11 fixture takes place at the Kooi Stadion in Leeuwarden, where Cambuur have been enjoying mixed fortunes since winning promotion back to the top flight. Go Ahead Eagles make the trip from Deventer in decent enough cup form but with plenty of question marks about how they perform away from De Adelaarshorst.
Cambuur are carrying a few concerns heading into this one, while Go Ahead Eagles have their own selection issues to navigate, particularly between the sticks.
Plat will almost certainly restore Bouah to the right side of defence after his suspension. The big call is whether El Arguioui plays through his broken nose or sits this one out. Given how important he has been, contributing five league goals, Plat may well take the risk, but Apkakou is ready if needed.
Jansen; Costarelli, Van Duijl, Baouf, Bouah; Maertens, Souren; Ceka, El Arguioui, Hamache; Binder
Oosting will likely stick with Kjetil Haug in goal despite the recent arrival of Jasper Cillessen as cover. Dirksen and Kramer are expected to start in central defence, with van Zwam dropping to the bench after his recent appearances. Tengstedt leads the attack with eight goals in 10 league games and is the obvious danger man.
Haug; Sampsted, Kramer, Dirksen, James; Meulensteen, Linthorst; Tengstedt, Suray, Sivertsen; Edvardsen
Cambuur’s turnaround since their horror start has been remarkable. They went from looking like Premier League clichés of a newly promoted side completely out of their depth to a team that is genuinely competitive in the Eredivisie. The 6-1 at Willem II last Saturday was the standout result, but the wins at PEC Zwolle and the battling draw at ADO Den Haag tell you just as much about their character. Nicolas Binder, Hamache and El Arguioui have fifteen of their nineteen league goals between them, and Plat’s side have scored first in each of their last six matches. That is an important habit to have.
The one caveat that needs acknowledging is their home record. Four points from five games at the Kooi Stadion, with fifteen goals conceded at their own ground. That is a significant number. Away from home they have been tighter and more effective, which is an odd dynamic for a newly promoted club. The midweek cup win at Kloetinge keeps the rhythm going nicely, with Sami Bouhoudane netting in the first minute and in stoppage time.
Go Ahead Eagles are a contradiction. They beat Feyenoord at the start of the season and have plenty of firepower, particularly in Soren Tengstedt up front. But they simply cannot close games out. Three goals up at Utrecht, they ended up with a point. Leading against Sparta Rotterdam, they let it slip in the 84th minute. The 4-1 defeat at PEC Zwolle was a jolt, but the 3-2 home win over Telstar last week showed they can bounce back. Away from De Adelaarshorst they have conceded fifteen in five games, winning none and drawing three. The other two ended in heavy defeats.
Recent meetings between these two sides have tended to produce goals, which fits the profile of both clubs right now. Go Ahead Eagles have had their moments in this fixture, but the Kooi Stadion has not always been a happy hunting ground for them. With both sides leaking goals at a decent rate this season and neither particularly capable of shutting up shop, the historical tendency toward open, eventful games is entirely consistent with what the form book is telling us.
Both teams scoring freely, neither keeping the ball out of their net, and a Cambuur side full of confidence meeting a Go Ahead Eagles outfit that cannot be trusted to hold a lead. The angles here are pretty clear, and the stats all point in the same direction. This game has goals written all over it, and backing either side to win to nil feels like burning money.
Over 2.5 goals is the obvious call here. Cambuur have scored at least twice in most of their recent wins, and Go Ahead Eagles have not managed a clean sheet all season. With fifteen goals conceded at the Kooi Stadion in five home games and the Eagles shipping fifteen away from home in five trips, the conditions are in place for a high-scoring night. Back over 2.5 with confidence.
Yes, and it is not even close. Go Ahead Eagles have scored in every league game this season. Cambuur have been leaky at home. Tengstedt alone is a constant threat, and Plat’s side have shown they can put the ball in the net consistently. Both teams to score is a near-certainty based on everything the season has shown us so far.
A 2-2 draw feels right here. Cambuur’s home form is shakier than their away form, Go Ahead Eagles will find a way to score, and both sides have shown a habit of throwing away leads. The Eagles have drawn three of their five away games, and with Cambuur not entirely convincing at the Kooi Stadion, a share of the spoils with goals at both ends fits the pattern perfectly.
Cambuur had Bouah sent off against AZ, and Go Ahead Eagles have shown throughout the season that matches involving them tend to get feisty as the tension builds, particularly when leads change hands. Expect a few bookings as this one gets competitive. Over 3.5 cards in the match is worth a look given the stakes for both sides and the way these teams tend to chase games.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score | Yes |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 |
| Soren Tengstedt | To Score Anytime |
Tengstedt has eight league goals in ten games and consistently finds a way to score even in matches his side do not win, making him a natural fit in a bet builder built around goals flowing at both ends.
Cambuur have been the better side over the last six weeks and are playing with a confidence that their early season results certainly did not suggest was coming. At home though, they remain vulnerable, and Go Ahead Eagles have enough attacking quality through Tengstedt, Edvardsen and Suray to cause problems. Oosting’s side will score, but they will also concede, because that is simply what they do.
A 2-2 draw feels like the most fitting outcome. Cambuur start well, Go Ahead Eagles equalise, both sides push for a winner and neither can quite nail it down. Both teams score, goals galore, another dropped point each, and both managers left wondering how to tighten things up at the back. Prediction: Cambuur 2-2 Go Ahead Eagles.
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