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Cambuur
PSV EindhovenCambuur are on the verge of something genuinely special. Seven games unbeaten in the Eredivisie, a run that already matches the club record set back in 2014, and now PSV Eindhoven are rolling into the Kooi Stadion. Beat the champions, or even just hold them, and that record falls. The Yellow Blues will not get a tougher test of where they really stand this season.
PSV arrive with their own business to sort out. Peter Bosz’s side are third in the table, two points off Feyenoord at the top, and they cannot afford to let this one slip if they want to stay in the title conversation. A midweek Champions League defeat to Club Brugge will sting, and Bosz will want an immediate response in the league before the international break gives everyone too long to think about it.
This Eredivisie round 12 fixture takes place at the Kooi Stadion in Leeuwarden, a compact and passionate ground that has been rocking this season as the promoted side has found their feet in the top flight. PSV make the trip north as reigning champions, arriving with 23 points and a point to prove after their European wobble.
Cambuur boss Johan Plat has his squad in decent shape, though there is one significant long term blow to absorb. PSV come in with a few familiar names still missing from their travelling party.
Plat has little reason to change a side that has scored ten goals across the last two league games. El Arguioui and Binder give them genuine threat in behind, and Baouf has been excellent as a physical presence both defensively and from set pieces. Expect the same shape that has carried this unbeaten run.
Bosz faces a slight headache on the left side with Kostic’s form under scrutiny, but loyalty to his regular starters has been a consistent theme. Mijnans should lead the line with Ruben van Bommel out wide, Perisic behind him, and Guus Til pulling strings in midfield alongside Kodai Sano and Mauro Junior.
The story of Cambuur’s season is genuinely remarkable when you look at where they started. Four straight defeats to begin the campaign, conceding sixteen goals, and looking every bit like a side that had come up a division too soon. Then something clicked. Since that horror start they have gone seven without defeat, picking up wins against NEC, PEC Zwolle and Willem II, drawing with ADO, Telstar and AZ, and even holding on against AZ with ten men. That 6-1 at Willem II was the first time they had ever scored six in the top flight, and the abandoned 4-0 against Go Ahead Eagles counts as a win thanks to the KNVB ruling. They are playing with confidence and the Kooi Stadion has become a proper fortress again.
PSV’s form across the league has been strong enough. They were slow out of the blocks, drawing the opener against Fortuna Sittard before a 2-1 win at Excelsior, but they have found their rhythm since and that 7-0 hammering of Willem II last Friday, with seven different scorers, is the kind of statement that reminds the rest of the division exactly who they are dealing with. Bosz had sixteen different players on the scoresheet across the first seven rounds, which tells you everything about the depth and quality he has available.
The Champions League picture complicates things slightly. Four points from four games is not where PSV want to be in Europe, and the defeat to Brugge was particularly frustrating given Bosz’s comments about the chances they created. That kind of performance, good without reward, can carry momentum into the weekend either way. Sometimes a side bounces back harder. Sometimes the confidence takes a dip. The smart money is on PSV being angry enough to put in a proper shift here.
The historical record is about as one sided as you would expect when a club of PSV’s resources faces a team that spends most of its time outside the top flight. PSV have won nine of the last eleven meetings between the sides, including a 5-2 victory back in March 2023. Cambuur’s only win in that entire stretch came on October 1, 2022, when they won 3-0, so it is not impossible, but it is rare.
The pattern when these two meet at the Kooi Stadion follows a similar thread. PSV tend to get on the ball, dominate possession and eventually find a way through. Cambuur’s early season home results against Feyenoord and Twente, losing 5-2 and 4-1 respectively, suggest that the Kooi Stadion has not yet been the fortress this season that the unbeaten run might imply when facing the genuine top sides.
Cambuur’s unbeaten run is real and deserves respect, but there is a difference between going seven without defeat against mid table opposition and coming up against a side that put seven past Willem II last week and regularly scores over a hundred league goals in a season. The goals market looks particularly interesting here, and the head to head record makes it very hard to argue against PSV finding the net multiple times.
Yes, back both teams to score. Cambuur have been scoring freely, El Arguioui and Binder are in excellent nick, and even the abandoned game against Go Ahead Eagles showed how dangerous they can be in the final third. PSV will get theirs regardless, but Cambuur have enough quality to nick one at the other end.
Expect a few bookings in this one. Cambuur’s defensive shape has been tested by top sides this season and when they come under sustained PSV pressure, the fouls tend to mount up. A combined cards total of over three looks reasonable given the intensity this fixture tends to carry and the fact that Cambuur’s back four will need to be physical to have any hope of containing PSV’s movement.
The historical record, the current form of PSV’s attack, and Cambuur’s vulnerability at home against elite sides all point in the same direction. A 1-3 scoreline feels right, with Cambuur grabbing one through El Arguioui or Binder but PSV pulling clear through their superior depth and quality.
Back over 3.5 goals. The last two Cambuur home games against top sides produced nine goals, PSV are averaging well over two goals per game, and both sides carry genuine attacking threat. This has the ingredients for a proper open game, especially if PSV get their noses in front early and Cambuur push bodies forward chasing the game.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score | Yes |
| Total Goals | Over 3.5 |
| PSV Eindhoven | To Win |
All three picks are pulling in the same direction, PSV winning a high scoring game where Cambuur still find the net, which is exactly what the history and current form suggest is most likely.
Cambuur have been magnificent since those nightmare opening four games, and Johan Plat deserves enormous credit for what he has built. The unbeaten record is not a fluke. But PSV are a different beast to anyone they have faced in that run, and the Kooi Stadion has already been ripped apart by Feyenoord and Twente this season. Breaking the club record would be a brilliant achievement, but Sunday might be the day that run finally ends.
PSV want three points to keep the pressure on Feyenoord, they will be motivated after the Brugge defeat, and Bosz has the squad depth to rotate and still put out a team capable of winning this comfortably. We are going 1-3 to PSV, with El Arguioui grabbing a goal to send the Kooi Stadion wild for a moment before the class of the champions eventually tells.
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