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Crewe Alexandra
Wigan AthleticCrewe Alexandra have been quietly building something at Gresty Road this season. Lee Bell’s side sit in the League Two top four after 14 matches, playing with a consistency that has been missing in recent campaigns when they faded badly down the stretch. Wigan Athletic, by contrast, are scrapping around in the League One relegation zone and have made a miserable start to 2026-27 by most measures. But here is the thing: form can be misleading in the EFL Trophy, and the Latics have actually strung together their best run of the season heading into this one. Cup competitions have a funny habit of equalising things.
This is a fixture that matters more to Crewe than Wigan on paper, with the Railwaymen needing a positive result to reach the knockout stages, while the Latics are already through regardless of what happens. That dynamic could shape how both sides approach the game and it makes for an interesting tactical watch as much as a betting puzzle.
This is the third and final EFL Trophy group stage fixture in Northern Group B, with the game taking place at Gresty Road in Crewe. Wigan come in as group leaders, having already secured their passage to the knockout rounds, while Crewe need at least a point to progress for a third consecutive season.
Both sides are expected to make changes from their FA Cup weekends, so the lineups could look quite different from what either manager has been putting out in the league. Here is what we know heading in:
Crewe look set to go with a recognisable shape even with the changes. Bell has relied on a settled core this season and while rotation is inevitable, the spine of the side tends to remain consistent. James Jones could slot in if Bell wants to give him some minutes.
Booth; Dancey, Offord, Graves, Ure; Moore, White; Ewusi, Thibaut, Gibson; McNeill
Wigan are likely to stick with the back three that has been in place recently, with Carragher, Burns and the in form Fox making up that unit. Mellish, who opened the scoring against Boreham Wood, is expected to feature again in an attacking position.
Walsh; Burns, Carragher, Fox; Barrett, Weir, Power, A. Harris; Burrowes, Saydee, Mellish
Crewe have been genuinely impressive in the league this season. Five wins, seven draws and two defeats from 14 matches is a solid return, and 22 points puts them firmly in the promotion conversation. The concern is that those two defeats, to Exeter City and Chesterfield, combined with a home draw against Barnet, have let Salford City sprint nine points clear at the top. Bell’s side need to tighten up against the better sides if they want to sustain a genuine title push. In the Trophy, they thrashed Aston Villa Under-21s 4-1 and then drew with Blackpool before losing on penalties, which leaves them needing something from this one.
Wigan’s league form has been grim, there is no other word for it. Three wins, two draws and nine defeats from 14 games has them stuck in the relegation zone, and no side in League One has lost more matches. Gary Caldwell has had a torrid time of it. But the last week or so has looked genuinely different. A win over Bromley, a home draw against Mansfield and then a commanding 3-0 victory over Boreham Wood in the FA Cup represents their best sequence of the entire campaign. Sometimes a team just clicks in a cup competition, and Wigan have that momentum right now.
The key question is whether the Latics, already through and playing a division below their usual level, will show up here with the same energy. Caldwell will want to keep that confidence flowing. When a team has been struggling as badly as Wigan have, wins matter for the dressing room regardless of the competition.
These two have met plenty of times over the years, with Wigan spending most of their recent history in the Championship and League One while Crewe have been down in League Two. Cup competitions like this one are where their paths have tended to cross of late. Wigan carry the pedigree of a club that has played at a significantly higher level, including that famous FA Cup triumph in 2013, and that quality tends to show when they face fourth tier opposition even if their league form is poor.
Gresty Road is a tough place to visit when Crewe are on it, and Bell has built a side that is hard to beat at home. But Wigan’s experience and physicality at this level should not be underestimated, particularly with a defence that is growing in confidence after back to back clean sheets or near clean sheets.
Wigan are the more experienced side by some distance and they arrive in the best form of their season. Crewe need this more and that tension could play against them. The Latics have genuine quality in their back three and in midfield, and playing a League Two side in a competition where they are already through takes a lot of pressure off. We are siding with Wigan to get the job done here.
Jon Mellish scored the opener against Boreham Wood and has been lively in this competition. He carries a threat from midfield positions and with Crewe likely to push forward in search of the win they need, there could be space for him to arrive late into dangerous areas. He is worth backing to get on the scoresheet first.
Crewe need to win, which means they will be going for it rather than settling for a point. That opens the game up and Wigan have shown they can punish teams on the break. Both sides have attacking intent and the EFL Trophy tends to be a more open affair than league football. Back over 2.5 goals.
Wigan to win 2-0 looks solid. They have the defensive structure to keep Crewe out and the attacking quality in Mellish, Saydee and Fox to find the net. A two goal win mirrors what they managed against Boreham Wood and suits the way this game is likely to set up, with Crewe throwing men forward late on and leaving gaps at the back.
Crewe pressing for a result means more attacks, more crosses and more set piece situations. Wigan defending with a disciplined back three will invite that pressure and look to absorb it. With the hosts needing to get bodies forward and Wigan happy to defend deep and hit on the counter, over 9.5 corners makes plenty of sense here.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Match Result | Wigan Athletic to Win |
| Over and Under Goals | Over 2.5 Goals |
| First Goalscorer | Jon Mellish |
Wigan winning in an open game suits Mellish arriving late to score the opener, and the need for Crewe to push forward should ensure the goals keep coming across the 90 minutes.
This is a strange game to call with any great certainty because the two sides come in from very different places mentally and competitively. Crewe have the pressure of needing the result. Wigan have the freedom of already being through. That freedom can work in both directions, but given the form the Latics have found over the last week or so, we think Caldwell’s men use this as another opportunity to build momentum.
The gulf in league status alone does not tell the full story here because Crewe have been genuinely good this season. But Wigan’s experience, their back three’s growing solidity and the confidence that comes from scoring goals in big moments gives them the edge. We are going with a 0-2 win for the visitors.
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