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Huddersfield Town
Exeter CityEight wins on the spin. Top of League One. And now an FA Cup first round tie at home to a side from the division below. On paper, this looks like a comfortable afternoon for Huddersfield Town, but Exeter City are a team that has shown genuine character in recent weeks, and the Grecians have form for going deep in this competition. Whether Martin Drury rotates heavily or keeps some continuity, there is a real game here, and the contrast in league trajectories makes it a fascinating watch even beyond the two sets of supporters.
Huddersfield are flying. Exeter are rebuilding. But FA Cup first rounds have a habit of humbling the favourites, and Matt Taylor will not be turning up at the Accu Stadium just to make up the numbers.
This FA Cup first round tie takes place at the Accu Stadium in Huddersfield, with the Terriers hosting for the first time in this season’s competition. Huddersfield come in as heavy favourites given they are currently leading League One, while Exeter sit 12th in League Two, making this a clash between sides two divisions apart in the current standings.
Huddersfield have a handful of injury concerns that have been building through the season, and with Drury likely to rotate after a punishing run of fixtures, the squad depth will be tested. Exeter arrive with a lengthy absentee list of their own, though their recent form suggests Taylor has found a settled group among those available.
Drury faces the classic cup dilemma. His side are top of the league and brimming with confidence, but burning out key men for a first round tie would be a risk when promotion is the real prize. Joe Taylor has been sensational with 10 league goals already, and Derensili Sanches Fernandes has contributed 7 goals and 6 assists since arriving in the summer, so both could be given a breather. Fletcher and Tovide are expected up front, with David Kasumu coming into a midfield that is already stretched by the injury list.
For Exeter, Taylor has less room to manoeuvre given the number of absentees. Sonny Cox leads the attack after his goal against Salford last weekend, and Reece Cole, Anthony Scully and Taylor Perry are likely to support him. Charlie Cummins anchors the midfield, and the back four looks settled with Samuel, Taylor, Fitzwater and Woodhouse behind keeper Bycroft.
Huddersfield’s form this season is genuinely remarkable for a side that could not reach the playoffs in their first two seasons at this level. Under Drury, who was handed the job permanently over the summer, they have taken 29 points from 14 league games, winning eight and losing just once, back in mid-September. Since that blip they have been almost relentless, winning five of their last seven in the league and drawing the other two. The goals have flowed too, with 28 in 14 league outings making them the highest scorers in League One.
Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw at home to Luton Town, another promotion contender, and the standout moment was Joe Taylor’s second-half hat-trick. That detail tells you everything about the kind of firepower Drury has at his disposal, even with rotation likely this weekend. This is a squad full of confidence and full of goals.
Exeter had a wretched start to their League Two campaign after coming down, picking up just six points from eight games. But October transformed them. Four wins and a draw in five games, including victories over Crewe and Fleetwood, lifted them into the top half. They also beat Oxford United on penalties in the EFL Trophy. The only setback came last weekend when they lost 2-1 at Salford, having led through Cox before two second-half goals turned it around. That will sting, but the underlying October form suggests a side that has found its footing. They are coming here to cause problems, not just to participate.
These two sides do not meet regularly given the gap in their league positions over recent seasons, and there is no modern rivalry to draw on. Huddersfield have spent time at a significantly higher level than Exeter across the last decade, so meaningful head-to-head data from recent years is thin. What we do know is that Exeter have reached the fourth round and third round of the FA Cup in their last two attempts, so they understand how to build momentum in this competition. That experience counts for something, even away from home against higher-league opposition.
Huddersfield are the overwhelming favourites and rightly so. Even with rotation, they have a squad packed with quality and momentum, and the extra division between these two sides should tell. The interesting angles are around goals and discipline rather than the result itself, with Huddersfield’s attack capable of running up a tally even with the first-choice pair rested. Exeter will not lie down but are likely to be outclassed over 90 minutes.
FA Cup first round ties between sides from different divisions can get competitive and a little niggly as the lower-league side tries to make life uncomfortable. Exeter will work hard defensively and may pick up a couple of bookings in the process. A total of 3 or more cards across the game looks a reasonable shout.
Huddersfield are the top scorers in League One and Exeter, while improved, are facing a side operating at a higher level with real attacking depth. Even with Taylor and Sanches Fernandes likely on the bench, the Terriers should find the net more than once. Over 2.5 goals looks well within reach here.
Huddersfield play with pace and width and tend to press forward with intent, which generates corner volume. Exeter, defending for long spells against a higher-quality opponent, will invite pressure at times and concede set-piece situations. Over 9 corners in the match feels appropriate given the expected territorial dominance from the home side.
Ashley Fletcher is the name to watch here. With Joe Taylor expected to be rested, Fletcher steps up as the main striker and will be desperate to make his case in a game where the first team regulars are given a breather. He has the physicality to lead the line and the nous to get in behind, and Huddersfield’s service from wide areas should give him chances early on.
Huddersfield to win 3-1 covers the attacking quality of the home side while acknowledging that Exeter, led by the lively Sonny Cox, are capable of nicking something going forward. The Grecians showed at Salford they can score against sides in form, and a consolation feels likely even in defeat.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Match Result | Huddersfield Town to Win |
| Over/Under Goals | Over 2.5 Goals |
| First Goalscorer | Ashley Fletcher |
A home win with goals feels nailed on given Huddersfield’s form, and Fletcher getting on the scoresheet early would tie the whole thing together nicely in a game where he has every incentive to impress.
Huddersfield Town have everything going for them here. Home advantage, an eight-match winning streak, the best attack in League One, and a manager who has built a squad deep enough to rotate and still win comfortably. Even without Taylor and Sanches Fernandes likely starting, the Terriers have the firepower to see off a League Two side showing signs of recovery but still operating at a level below their hosts.
Exeter will give it a go and Cox will cause some problems, but this should be a controlled home win. After going out in the first round in each of the last two seasons, Huddersfield will be keen to make sure that does not happen a third time, and the confidence running through this squad should ensure they get the job done.
Prediction: Huddersfield Town 3-1 Exeter City
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