Inter Milan vs Como Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Inter Milan

vs

Como

KickoffSunday 8 November 2026, 5:00pm

VenueStadio Giuseppe Meazza

CompetitionItalian Serie A

TV ChannelTNT Sports 4

There is a subplot running through this fixture that makes it genuinely compelling even if you have no particular allegiance to either side. Cesc Fabregas, the man Inter tried to pinch from Como before eventually settling on Cristian Chivu, is walking back into San Siro with his team flying. That story alone gives this Lombardy derby an edge that goes beyond three points. Add in a reigning champion that is wobbling, a newly promoted side tearing up Champions League record books, and a title race that is suddenly wide open, and you have got a Sunday afternoon fixture worth clearing the diary for.

Inter have dropped off the top of Serie A and their derby defeat last week exposed some genuine fragility. Como, meanwhile, just put nine goals past Lens in France. Nine. The rookies are not just surviving at this level, they are thriving in a way that nobody seriously predicted, and Fabregas will arrive at San Siro with his tail up and absolutely nothing to fear.

Inter Milan vs Como Match Details

This Serie A fixture takes place at San Siro in Milan, one of the most iconic grounds in world football. It is a Lombardy derby with added spice given the history between these two clubs and the failed transfer saga that saw Fabregas stay put at Como when Inter came knocking. The Champions League commitments of both sides this week add an extra layer of fatigue to consider when assessing how both squads arrive into this one.

Team News

Inter are dealing with a squad that has been hit hard by illness, and the loss of captain Lautaro Martinez is a big one. The Argentine is not expected back until after the international break, which leaves Chivu short of his most influential attacker. There are some positive returns though, with a few familiar faces edging back towards match fitness.

• Lautaro Martinez is out and will not return until after the international break
• Luis Henrique is also ruled out
• Benjamin Pavard, John Stones and Curtis Jones have all returned to full training and could make the bench
• Alessandro Bastoni is available again after serving a UEFA suspension in midweek
• Pio Esposito and Marcus Thuram lead the attack, with Thuram having scored four goals in three league games against Como previously

Como arrive with their own injury concerns but the mood in their camp will be considerably brighter given what they just did to Lens. Fabregas is without several players, though the ones he does have available are in exceptional form.

• Moise Kean, Trevoh Chalobah, Jesus Rodriguez, Jayden Addai and Assane Diao are all out injured
• Tasos Douvikas is fit and flying after his hat trick in midweek, though he has never scored against Inter in five previous attempts
• Nico Paz is available and in blistering form, with the pair combining for nine Champions League goals between them already this season

Predicted Lineups

Chivu looks set to go with the same core that beat Feyenoord in midweek, with Bastoni returning to shore up a back line that was pulled apart by AC Milan last week. Bisseck and Akanji alongside him gives them some physicality, while the midfield trio of Barella, Calhanoglu and Zielinski should provide the platform. The Esposito and Thuram partnership up front will carry the attacking burden in Martinez’s absence.

Fabregas will likely name an unchanged lineup given the form his side are in. The 4231 or similar structure has been working brilliantly, with Paz given license to roam and create. Douvikas leads the line and will be desperate to end his drought against Inter specifically. Da Cunha and Baturina provide width and energy in behind.

• Inter: J. Martinez; Bisseck, Akanji, Bastoni; Spence, Barella, Calhanoglu, Zielinski, Dimarco; Thuram, Esposito
• Como: Butez; Couto, Kempf, Ramon, Kaiki; Perrone, Milla; Da Cunha, Paz, Baturina; Douvikas

Recent Form

Inter’s 19 game unbeaten run in Serie A is gone, ended by a 3-1 defeat to AC Milan in the Derby della Madonnina. The illness that swept through the squad did them no favours, but the Rossoneri were simply the better side on the day and the result felt fair. Falling three points behind Lazio in the title race is a concern, though the Nerazzurri responded well in Europe by going to De Kuip and beating Feyenoord 3-0 with something to spare. Bisseck, Esposito and Zielinski all got on the scoresheet, which suggests the confidence and cohesion is still there in the right conditions.

Como’s form is nothing short of remarkable. Six consecutive wins across all competitions, 22 goals scored and just four conceded during that run. That is not a purple patch, that is a team hitting a level of consistent performance that suggests they are for real. The 4-1 win over Manchester United was not a fluke, and the 9-1 demolition of Lens is the kind of scoreline that makes the rest of Europe look twice. Douvikas grabbed a hat trick in that one and Paz continues to be one of the most exciting players in European football right now.

In Serie A, Como have collected 23 points from their opening 10 fixtures, which is a club record. That is title contender territory. The question for Sunday is whether a week of heavy European exertion has taken anything out of Fabregas’s squad, and whether the weight of that San Siro occasion gets to them when it matters. So far there is precious little evidence of Como feeling the pressure of the big stage.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical record is about as one-sided as it gets. Inter have won 14 consecutive Serie A home games against Como, keeping a clean sheet in eight of the last nine. Como have lost their last 11 top-flight encounters with the Nerazzurri overall, and Fabregas has come away without a point in all four of his league meetings against his former suitors, with those games producing a 12-3 aggregate scoreline against his side. The heaviest of those losses was a 4-0 hammering at San Siro last December.

There is one caveat worth noting. In the Coppa Italia semi-final earlier this year, Como pushed Inter to the wire in a thrilling second leg and were desperately unlucky not to reach the final. That showed they can compete at this level even against this specific opponent. At some point, the head to head record has to give. The numbers favour Inter heavily on paper, but Como’s current trajectory suggests the gap is closing fast.

Key Stats

• Inter have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their last 9 Serie A home games against Como, but their defence looked shaky without key personnel last week
• Como have scored 22 goals in their last 6 games across all competitions, the most potent attacking run in Serie A this season
• Marcus Thuram has scored 4 goals in 3 league appearances against Como, making him the most dangerous man in this fixture for the home side

Inter Milan vs Como Betting Tips

This is a tricky one to call with any great confidence, which is part of what makes it interesting from a betting perspective. Inter at home against Como should be a banker on paper given the history, but the form book is screaming otherwise. The reigning champions are without their captain, their defence is not at full strength, and they face a Como side that just put nine goals past top level opposition. The value in this game is not necessarily in the result market alone.

Corners Prediction

Both sides like to push forward and play on the front foot, and Inter will be looking to pin Como back at San Siro early. With Dimarco and Spence bombing forward on the flanks and Como’s wide players equally aggressive, expect the corner count to be healthy. Over 10 corners looks a reasonable target in a game where both teams will be getting into advanced positions regularly.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

Yes. Inter’s defence has looked vulnerable since losing key personnel to illness, and Como’s attack is in the form of its life. Even with the historical record of clean sheets at San Siro in this fixture, Paz and Douvikas are more than capable of finding a way through. Inter will score too given their quality in the final third, particularly with Thuram having such a strong record against this opponent. Both teams to score looks very much on.

Cards Prediction

Lombardy derbies carry a physical edge, and with Inter under pressure to respond after the derby defeat and Como looking to make history, the intensity should be high from the first whistle. The frustration of chasing the game could lead to bookings for the home side if Como score early, and Fabregas’s side are not shy in the tackle either. Over three cards in the match feels like a fair call in a fixture with this much riding on it.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Marcus Thuram. Four goals in three Serie A games against Como is a remarkable record, and with Lautaro Martinez absent, Thuram will be the focal point of Inter’s attack and the man their teammates will be looking to get the ball to early. He is sharp, he has the physical tools to give Como’s back line problems, and his record in this specific fixture makes him stand out above anyone else on the pitch as a first scorer candidate.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Over 2.5 goals. With the attacking firepower both sides are carrying right now, a cagey nil-nil feels almost impossible to picture. Inter need a response after last week, Como are scoring for fun, and the head to head history actually backs this up with both sides producing goals whenever they meet. The 4-0 from last December was an outlier in terms of one-sidedness. A more open affair feels likely this time given where both squads are mentally and tactically.

Bet Builder Tip

Thuram opening the scoring in a game that sees both sides net and produces at least three goals feels like a coherent picture of how Sunday afternoon could unfold at San Siro.

Final Match Prediction

Everything about the historical record points to an Inter win. Everything about the current form book points to Como causing problems. The truth is probably somewhere in between, but given Inter’s defensive frailty without key personnel, the absence of Lautaro Martinez, and the relentless attacking momentum Fabregas has built, it is hard to dismiss Como here. This feels like the game where they finally end that miserable run against the Nerazzurri.

Inter will score, Thuram making his mark against a side he has consistently punished, but Como’s attack is simply too good and too confident right now to be shut out. A 2-3 away win would be a seismic result, but Fabregas’s side have already produced several of those this season. Predicted score: Inter Milan 2-3 Como.

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