North Macedonia vs Slovenia Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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North Macedonia

vs

Slovenia

KickoffMonday 16 November 2026, 7:45pm

VenueToše Proeski Arena

CompetitionUEFA Nations League

North Macedonia’s Nations League campaign has been nothing short of a disaster, and by the time this final group game rolls around, the damage is already done. Relegation to League C is confirmed. The streak without a win stretches back over a year. For Goce Sedloski, the only thing left to play for is a bit of dignity in front of the home support and some hope that the cycle can begin to turn.

Slovenia arrive in Skopje with everything still to play for. Bostjan Cesar’s side sit second in Nations League B Group 1, one point ahead of Scotland going into the final matchday. Win here, or match Scotland’s result against Switzerland, and they book a promotion playoff place. It is a straight shootout for second, and Slovenia will not want to leave it to chance.

North Macedonia vs Slovenia Match Details

This Nations League B Group 1 matchday six fixture takes place at the Tose Proeski Arena in Skopje. It is the final group game of the campaign for both sides, and the stakes could not be more different. North Macedonia are already down and playing out the string, while Slovenia need a result to secure second place and a shot at League A via the playoffs.

Team News

Neither side has any significant absentees flagged ahead of this one, though the contrast in energy and motivation heading into the game might as well be its own team news story. Here is how both squads shape up.

• Elmin Rastoder is fit and expected to lead the line for North Macedonia after ending the team’s eight game goalless drought against Scotland
• Captain Enis Bardhi should feature in his usual role behind the striker
• Eljif Elmas is expected to partner Matej Gastarov in the base of midfield for the hosts
• Slovenia boss Cesar is not expected to make wholesale changes after a solid 0-0 draw with Switzerland in the previous matchday
• Aljosa Matko, Danijel Sturm and Zan Vipotnik should again lead the attacking line for the visitors
• Vanja Drkusic, Jaka Bijol and Zan Zaletel are anticipated to continue at the back

Predicted Lineups

Sedloski looks set to field a recognisable shape, with Rastoder up front supported by Bardhi. Elmas is a quality operator even in a struggling team and his partnership with Gastarov in midfield will be key if North Macedonia are to cause any problems. Alioski provides the experience at left back and Churlinov and Doriev offer some movement from wide areas.

Cesar should name a side close to the one that frustrated Switzerland. Jan Oblak in goal remains one of the best keepers in world football and gives Slovenia a platform. The back three of Drkusic, Bijol and Zaletel is organised and hard to break down. Up front, Vipotnik will be looking to build on what has been an encouraging Nations League campaign.

Recent Form

North Macedonia’s form makes for genuinely grim reading. Thirteen games without a win across all competitions is a run that spans well over a year, and the Nations League has only made things worse. Five games, five defeats, twelve goals conceded. That is six more goals against than any other team in the group has shipped. The only slight positive from the Scotland game was Rastoder finally finding the net, but even then the side conceded twice and lost 2-1.

What is particularly alarming is not just the results but the nature of them. This is a team that went eight straight games without scoring before that Rastoder goal. Defensive organisation has been poor throughout the group stage and the confidence of the whole squad looks shot. Playing the final game at home in front of their own supporters might lift them briefly, but there is very little to suggest a turnaround is coming.

Slovenia have been far more solid, though not entirely convincing away from home. All three of their goals conceded in the group came on the road, and their only defeat came away from home. That said, the draw with Switzerland shows they can grind out results when they need to, and Cesar has built a team that is hard to beat even when they are not at their fluid best. With promotion on the line they will not be taking any risks.

Head-to-Head Record

The most relevant recent meeting is the reverse fixture in this same group, where Slovenia were comfortable 2-0 winners. Sandi Lovric and Aljosa Matko got the goals and North Macedonia barely threatened throughout. That result tells you pretty much everything you need to know about where the balance of power currently sits between these two sides.

Historically these neighbours have had competitive meetings, but right now they are not in the same place as footballing nations. Slovenia have a squad packed with top level club players including Oblak and Bijol, while North Macedonia are in the middle of their worst run of form in years. The head to head record over recent campaigns has tilted firmly in Slovenia’s favour, and nothing about this fixture suggests that will change.

Key Stats

• North Macedonia have gone 13 games without a win across all competitions, their worst run in recent memory
• The hosts have conceded 12 goals in five Nations League games, six more than any other side in the group
• Slovenia won the reverse fixture 2-0 and have conceded only three goals in the entire group stage, all away from home

North Macedonia vs Slovenia Betting Tips

This is a game where the narrative does the work for you. One team has nothing left to play for, is on a catastrophic winless run and has been leaking goals all campaign. The other is organised, well coached, has a world class goalkeeper and needs a result to reach a promotion playoff. Slovenia to win and keep it tidy is the angle here, and the reverse fixture backs that up perfectly.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Zan Vipotnik is the pick here. The striker has been lively throughout Slovenia’s Nations League campaign and with North Macedonia’s defence having shipped twelve goals in five games, there is plenty of opportunity for a forward willing to get in behind. Vipotnik has the movement and the finishing to get on the scoresheet early and at a decent price he is worth a look.

Correct Score Prediction

Slovenia won the reverse fixture 2-0 without really being pushed, and there is no good reason to think this will be significantly different. North Macedonia have shown glimpses going forward but their defensive fragility means Slovenia should find opportunities. A 0-2 away win feels like the most likely outcome and mirrors what happened last time these sides met.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Under 2.5 goals is the call. Slovenia are a disciplined side who do not tend to concede carelessly, and while North Macedonia have finally started scoring again, they are unlikely to threaten Oblak regularly. This should be a controlled professional win for the visitors rather than an open affair, and the total staying below three goals is a solid angle.

Cards Prediction

Expect a few bookings in this one. North Macedonia have nothing to lose and their players will be battling for personal pride in front of a home crowd that has had precious little to cheer this campaign. That kind of desperation often leads to rash challenges. Over 3.5 cards across the match feels achievable, with the hosts likely to contribute the bulk of them as frustration builds.

Corners Prediction

Slovenia like to get the ball wide and work crosses into the box, and against a side as disorganised as North Macedonia they should be able to generate sustained pressure. Combined with North Macedonia lumping balls forward late on trying to chase a goal, the corners total should stack up. Over 9.5 match corners is a reasonable angle for this fixture.

Bet Builder Tip

Slovenia shutting out a North Macedonia side that only just ended an eight game goalless run fits perfectly with a controlled away win, and the corners market should see action as Slovenia look to press home their dominance from wide areas.

Final Match Prediction

Slovenia have too much quality, too much motivation and too solid a defensive structure for North Macedonia to live with. Jan Oblak behind a well organised back three means the hosts will need to produce something special to score, and there is no evidence in this current form run to suggest they can do it. Slovenia know what is at stake and they will approach this like the professional job it is.

Expect a composed, controlled performance from the visitors. They will not go all out and leave themselves exposed, but they have the quality to find the net at the other end against a side that has been leaking goals for months. North Macedonia 0-2 Slovenia is the prediction, and it would be a surprise if it finished any other way.

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