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St Mirren
RangersRangers arrive at the Marbill Coaches Stadium having already beaten St Mirren twice this season, and the question for punters is not really whether the Gers will win, but how comfortable they will make it look. St Mirren are going through a rough patch that shows very little sign of turning around, and Derek McInnes has his side playing with the kind of confidence that only comes from a genuine winning streak. So what does this fixture actually offer from a betting perspective, and where is the value hiding?
This Scottish Premiership matchday 13 fixture takes place at the Marbill Coaches Stadium in Paisley, with Rangers making the trip across to face a St Mirren side that has had a torrid time of it lately. It is a top half versus bottom half clash on paper, though the gap in form between these two sides tells an even starker story than the league table alone suggests.
Craig McLeish has a threadbare squad to pick from right now, and the injury list is making his job considerably harder. After a toothless display against Motherwell, he will be looking to freshen things up in attack, though his options are limited.
Rangers are not unscathed either, with McInnes missing several key names across the squad. That said, the depth at Ibrox still comfortably outstrips what St Mirren can call upon.
McLeish looks set to shuffle his attacking options after the Motherwell defeat, with Chris Mochrie and Jake Young pushing for starting berths. The back four should remain relatively settled, with the hosts needing some organisation at the back given how many goals they have shipped recently.
St Mirren predicted lineup: Chapman; Fraser, Gogic, Fieldson; Ramsay, Carr, Phillips, Thomas; Young, Sule, Mochrie
McInnes will likely stick with the shape that has been working so well. Ryan Don Naderi, who scored the winner in the League Cup semi final against Aberdeen and leads the club with five league goals, should operate just behind striker Kevin Kelsy. It is a system that has been clicking beautifully.
Rangers predicted lineup: Pandur; Sterling, Fernandez, Makhanya, Penrice; Raskin, Neil; Kim, Naderi, Gassama; Kelsy
St Mirren started the campaign like a side with real ambition. Three wins and a draw from their opening four games, three clean sheets, seven goals scored. It looked like Craig McLeish had built something with genuine solidity and purpose. Then Celtic came to town in early October, won 2-1, and everything unravelled. The Saints went on to lose five league games on the spin before finally ending that run with a 2-1 win over Dundee and a 1-1 draw with Hibernian. Just when it looked like they had turned a corner, Motherwell came to Paisley and a late Lukas Fadinger penalty sent them back to square one. Six defeats from 12 league games, 20 goals conceded, and only five goals scored across their last eight outings. The numbers are grim.
Rangers, by contrast, are absolutely flying. Nine games unbeaten in the league, seven wins and two draws, and they have also booked their place in the Scottish League Cup final with victories over Celtic and Aberdeen along the way. That 3-0 win over Celtic in the semi final was not just a result, it was a statement. McInnes took time to find his feet after a difficult start to his tenure where he failed to win any of his first four matches, but his side have been unstoppable since and now sit second in the table, just four points behind leaders Celtic with a game in hand. They are the only side in the Scottish Premiership yet to lose away from home this season, with three wins and three draws on the road.
The contrast in momentum could not be more pronounced. St Mirren are fragile, leaking goals, and low on confidence. Rangers are playing with the kind of swagger that makes them a difficult team to bet against in any fixture right now.
Rangers have already played St Mirren twice this season and won both. First came a crushing 5-1 victory in the Scottish League Cup second round, then a 1-0 win in the league back in early September. That league win was away from home, here at the Marbill Coaches Stadium, so Rangers know exactly how to handle this ground. The pattern across recent meetings very much favours the Ibrox side, and there is nothing in the current form of either team to suggest this fixture will deviate from that trend.
This fixture has Rangers written all over it. St Mirren are low on confidence, short on goals, and leaking at the back. Rangers arrive having already dismantled this same opposition twice this season and carrying the kind of momentum that makes them a banker on many accumulators right now. The smart money is on Rangers to win, and the nature of St Mirren’s recent defending suggests this could be a comfortable victory for the visitors.
Given Rangers’ clinical edge and St Mirren’s defensive frailties, a 2-0 away win looks the most likely outcome. The Saints have struggled to find the net regularly and Rangers are well drilled enough to keep things tight while doing their damage at the other end.
St Mirren will need to work hard and press high to have any chance here, which often leads to frustration and rash challenges as the game gets away from them. With Rangers possessing the quality to make a struggling side chase the game, expect a few bookings. Over 3.5 cards looks a reasonable call for this one.
Rangers have been scoring freely and St Mirren have been leaking goals at a rate that is almost alarming. The two previous meetings this season produced six goals between them in the league and cup. Under 2.5 feels too conservative given all of that, so over 2.5 goals is the call here.
St Mirren did manage to score in each of their last two home games, which is worth noting, but their overall output has been poor and Rangers are a well organised defensive unit away from home. The more likely scenario here is a Rangers clean sheet, so BTTS no is the preference despite that slight encouragement for the hosts at home recently.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Match Result | Rangers to Win |
| Over and Under Goals | Over 2.5 Goals |
| Both Teams To Score | BTTS No |
Rangers winning with multiple goals and keeping St Mirren off the scoresheet fits perfectly with their dominant away record this season and the defensive vulnerability the Saints have shown throughout their recent poor run.
This is a game where the form book, the head to head record, the squad depth, and the confidence levels all point in the same direction. St Mirren are a team trying to rediscover themselves and Rangers are a team that knows exactly what they are doing right now. McInnes has them well drilled, Naderi is scoring important goals, and the away record this season is the stuff of a side with genuine title ambitions.
Prediction: St Mirren 0-2 Rangers. A professional job from the Gers, job done, three points banked, and the pressure stays firmly on Celtic at the top of the table.
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