England face Norway on Saturday 11 July 2026 at Miami Stadium in the FIFA World Cup quarter-finals. Read our England vs Norway prediction, team news, likely lineups, betting tips and score prediction.
| Bookie | Selection | Best Odds | Market | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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England to Win | 17/20 | England vs Norway | Place Bet |
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England 2-1 Norway | 8/1 | England vs Norway | Place Bet |
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Over 2.5 Goals | 8/11 | England vs Norway | Place Bet |
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England to win, both teams to score, and Harry Kane to score anytime | 15/4 | England vs Norway | Place Bet |
Date of Tips: 07/07/2026
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (14:34 07/07/2026) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
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England face Norway on Saturday 11 July 2026 in the World Cup quarter-finals, with kick-off at 10pm BST at Miami Stadium.
England vs Norway prediction talk feels very serious now. England are back in the last eight, chasing another World Cup semi-final and still trying to end that long wait since 1966. Norway, meanwhile, are making history. They have never been this far at a World Cup before, and now they arrive with Erling Haaland flying, Martin Odegaard pulling strings, and a team that has already knocked out Brazil. England have the tournament experience, but Norway have the momentum.
Competition: FIFA World Cup 2026 Quarter-Final
Date: Saturday 11 July 2026
Kick-off Time: 10pm BST
Venue: Miami Stadium
England Manager: Thomas Tuchel
Norway Manager: Stale Solbakken
England come into this after one of their biggest wins of the tournament so far, beating Mexico 3-2 in Mexico City with ten men. Jude Bellingham scored twice in a chaotic first half, before Harry Kane converted from the spot after Anthony Gordon won the penalty. Mexico pushed hard, Raúl Jiménez scored a penalty of his own, and England had to hang on through a long, tense finish.
That win should give Thomas Tuchel plenty of belief, but it also took a lot out of the squad. England played a large chunk of the second half with ten men after Jarell Quansah was sent off, so he misses this quarter-final through suspension.
Reece James was back on the bench against Mexico and could be closer to featuring, but Djed Spence may keep his place at right-back if Tuchel wants legs and match rhythm. Declan Rice of Arsenal should continue in midfield alongside Elliot Anderson, with Bellingham given freedom to drive forward from the No 10 role.
Bellingham, now one of the key players at Real Madrid, has been England’s standout performer in this tournament. He has carried the ball, scored huge goals and dragged England through difficult spells. Kane, now at Bayern Munich, remains the main finisher and England’s penalty taker. Free kicks are likely to be shared between Rice, Saka and Kane depending on the angle, while corners should again involve Rice and Saka.
Norway arrive after a famous 2-1 win over Brazil. That result will live forever back home. Haaland scored twice, taking his tournament total to seven goals, and Odegaard produced one of his best performances in a Norway shirt.
Haaland is the obvious danger. The Manchester City striker does not need many touches. One run, one header, one clean strike, and suddenly the whole game changes. He is also Norway’s penalty taker.
Odegaard, Arsenal’s captain, remains the creative brain of the side. He takes a lot of Norway’s free kicks and corners, and his battle with Rice and Bellingham could shape the entire match.
Antonio Nusa gives Norway pace and direct running out wide, while Alexander Sorloth offers another physical option in attack. Behind them, Sander Berge and Patrick Berg give Norway a strong midfield platform.
England probable XI (4-2-3-1)
GK: Jordan Pickford
DF: Djed Spence, Ezri Konsa, Marc Guehi, Nico O’Reilly
MF: Declan Rice, Elliot Anderson
AM: Bukayo Saka, Jude Bellingham, Anthony Gordon
FW: Harry Kane
John Stones could still come back into the defence if Tuchel wants more experience, while Marcus Rashford, Eberechi Eze, Morgan Rogers and Ollie Watkins give England strong options from the bench.
Norway probable XI (4-3-3)
GK: Orjan Nyland
DF: Julian Ryerson, Kristoffer Ajer, Torbjorn Heggem, David Moller Wolfe
MF: Patrick Berg, Sander Berge, Martin Odegaard
FW: Alexander Sorloth, Erling Haaland, Antonio Nusa
Fredrik Aursnes could also come into the side if Solbakken wants more control or flexibility in midfield.
This is a proper clash of tournament experience against tournament momentum.
England have been here before. They reached the World Cup semi-finals in 2018, the Euro 2020 final, and have become used to playing high-pressure knockout matches. That does not make the pressure easier, but it means most of this group know what these nights feel like.
Norway are in completely new territory. This is their first World Cup quarter-final, and they have earned it the hard way. They got through the group, beat Ivory Coast in the Round of 32, then stunned Brazil in the Round of 16. You do not fluke that.
The obvious battle is Haaland against England’s centre-backs. Konsa and Guehi have the pace and strength to compete, but Haaland is a different sort of problem. He can look quiet for 70 minutes and still score twice. England cannot switch off once.
At the other end, Kane gives England the same kind of edge. Norway will know all about his movement, his penalty-box calm and his ability to drop deep to link play. If Kane drags Ajer or Heggem out of shape, Bellingham and Saka can attack the space behind.
The midfield should be just as important. Rice and Bellingham against Odegaard and Berge is a brilliant matchup. England need to stop Odegaard playing forward early, because if he gets time to feed Haaland, Norway become dangerous very quickly.
This does not feel like a cagey quarter-final where both teams just sit off and wait. Norway have scored goals all tournament, and England looked far more dangerous when Mexico came at them.
Both teams have match-winners. Kane and Bellingham for England. Haaland and Odegaard for Norway. That alone makes goals feel realistic.
England still look slightly stronger across the pitch, but Norway’s attack makes them hard to ignore. If you are looking beyond the match result, our BTTS tips page could be useful for this kind of game.
England should be favourites, but this is probably their toughest test of the tournament so far.
Mexico pushed them hard, and Norway carry an even clearer goal threat through Haaland. The way he took Brazil apart showed exactly why England cannot afford sloppy defending or loose passing in their own half.
Still, England have found answers when it has mattered. Kane rescued them against DR Congo, Bellingham was huge against Mexico, and Tuchel’s side have shown they can survive difficult spells.
Norway can absolutely score. They may even lead at some point. But England’s depth, midfield strength and knockout experience could just carry them through.
Match Prediction: England to win. Bet with bet365.
This feels like a game where both sides can get on the scoresheet.
The most realistic scorelines look like:
Norway’s attacking threat is too strong to ignore, but England have more routes to goal and a stronger bench.
Correct Score Prediction: England 2-1 Norway. Bet with bet365.
Norway have been involved in open, entertaining matches throughout the tournament, and England’s knockout games against DR Congo and Mexico both had plenty of drama.
Over/Under Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.
If you are putting together a bet builder for this quarter-final, consider:
That fits the shape of the game nicely. England have the better overall squad, Norway have enough attacking quality to score, and Kane remains England’s most reliable finisher.
Bet Builder Tip: England to win, both teams to score, and Harry Kane to score anytime. Bet with bet365.
Key Stats
England beat Mexico 3-2 in the Round of 16 despite playing much of the second half with ten men.
Jude Bellingham scored twice against Mexico.
Harry Kane scored twice against DR Congo in the Round of 32 and added another from the spot against Mexico.
Norway beat Brazil 2-1 in the Round of 16.
Erling Haaland scored twice against Brazil and now has seven goals at the tournament.
Norway are playing in their first World Cup quarter-final.
England are aiming to reach the World Cup semi-finals for the fourth time.
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England look slightly more likely to win because of their tournament experience and squad depth, but Norway have enough attacking quality to make this very difficult.
England vs Norway kicks off at 10pm BST on Saturday 11 July 2026.
The winner moves into the World Cup semi-finals, so this is England’s biggest match of the tournament so far.