Norway vs Denmark Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Norway

vs

Denmark

KickoffThursday 24 September 2026, 7:45pm

VenueUllevaal Stadion

CompetitionUEFA Nations League

Norway go into this Nations League opener on the back of one of the finest summers in the history of Norwegian football. Stale Solbakken’s side reached the quarter-finals of the 2026 World Cup, knocking out Ivory Coast and Brazil before a narrow 2-1 defeat to England ended their tournament. That run has generated genuine belief that this is a Norwegian squad capable of competing with the best in Europe, and the Nations League gives them the perfect stage to prove it straight away.

Denmark, meanwhile, missed the World Cup entirely, which felt like a genuine shock given the calibre of players Brian Riemer has at his disposal. They have been ticking over with friendlies since June and will arrive here hungry to make a statement after watching the summer tournament without them. This group also includes Portugal and Wales, so both sides know that getting off to a winning start matters enormously.

Norway vs Denmark Match Details

This UEFA Nations League Group 4 fixture takes place in Norway, with both sides competing in League A alongside Portugal and Craig Bellamy’s Wales. It is Norway’s first competitive outing since their World Cup campaign, while Denmark are making their return to competitive action after a summer of friendlies. Both nations will play four times during this international window, so the schedule is punishing and squad depth will be tested before October is out.

Team News

Norway are missing one significant name through injury, but the headline acts are available and ready to go. Denmark welcome back a key figure at the back, which will ease any defensive concerns heading into the opener.

• Alexander Sorloth is out injured for Norway, which removes one option in attack
• Martin Odegaard is available and expected to start after a strong early season at Arsenal
• Erling Haaland is fit and in contention, bringing his extraordinary international record of 62 goals in 55 caps into this fixture
• Sander Berge is available for Norway in midfield
• Oscar Bobb and Antonio Nusa are pushing for places in Norway’s attacking third
• Andreas Christensen returns to fitness for Denmark, a major boost given his composure and experience at the heart of defence
• Patrick Dorgu of Manchester United is in line to start down Denmark’s left flank
• Rasmus Hojlund is expected to lead the Denmark attack
• With Kasper Schmeichel retired, the goalkeeper spot is up for grabs and West Ham’s Mads Hermansen could get the nod

Predicted Lineups

Solbakken looks set to build his side around the spine of Haaland and Odegaard, with Berge providing the engine room in midfield. The selection dilemma for Norway sits out wide, where both Bobb and Nusa are capable of hurting a defence and either could force their way into the starting eleven.

Norway: Nyland; Ryerson, Ajer, Ostigard, Wolfe; Odegaard, Berge, Berg; Bobb, Haaland, Nusa

Riemer will likely go with Hermansen in goal as he attempts to settle the No.1 debate, while Christensen’s return gives the back line a commanding presence alongside Joachim Andersen. Dorgu’s energy on the left adds a dynamic attacking threat, and Hojlund will carry the burden of Denmark’s goalscoring responsibility up front.

Denmark: Hermansen; Bah, Andersen, Christensen, Maehle; Hojbjerg, Hjulmand, Froholdt; Isaksen, Hojlund, Dorgu

Recent Form

Norway’s World Cup run tells you a great deal about where this squad currently sits. Beating Ivory Coast in the round of 16 was one thing, but eliminating Brazil was a genuine statement. Yes, they fell to England in the quarters, but to lose 2-1 rather than being blown away shows this is a side with real backbone. Solbakken has built something cohesive and difficult to break down, and the confidence flowing from that World Cup campaign should carry into this match.

Denmark’s recent football has been far more low key. A goalless draw with DR Congo followed by a 2-1 win over Ukraine in June friendlies does not give you a great deal of competitive data to work with. Those results are fine as far as they go, but friendly football is a different animal entirely. The rust from missing the World Cup is a real factor, and Riemer will know his side need to be sharp from the first whistle against a Norwegian team who have been playing high pressure knockout football far more recently.

What stands out about Norway is that they have genuinely developed an identity. Haaland leads the line with devastating effect at international level, Odegaard pulls the strings behind him, and the structure around them is solid enough to keep clean sheets when required. This is not just a team built around two superstars. There is substance throughout the squad.

Head-to-Head Record

Pull up the overall record between these two and it makes for uncomfortable reading if you are Norwegian. Across 86 meetings, Denmark lead by a margin of 52 wins to 22, with 12 draws. That is a historically lopsided rivalry, and Denmark’s dominance over their Scandinavian neighbours has been a consistent feature rather than a historical quirk.

That said, head-to-head records can only tell you so much. The current Norwegian squad is arguably the most talented generation the country has ever produced, and the gap in quality that explains those historical numbers has closed significantly. Denmark are still without World Cup football to sharpen them this summer, which shifts the balance in ways that a raw historical record simply cannot capture.

Key Stats

• Erling Haaland has scored 62 goals in 55 international appearances for Norway, a ratio that defies all logic
• Norway have won 14 of their 24 Nations League matches to date, losing only six times across the tournament’s history
• Denmark have reached the quarter-finals in each of the last three Nations League editions, showing they know how to perform in this competition

Norway vs Denmark Betting Tips

This is a game where the quality of Norway’s attacking players gives them a genuine edge at home, even against a Danish side who are no pushovers. With Haaland and Odegaard both in form for their clubs and riding the wave of a memorable World Cup summer, the hosts carry a threat that is difficult for any defence to fully contain. Denmark have enough about them to cause problems going forward, but the competitive edge Norway bring into this fixture feels decisive.

Correct Score Prediction

Norway to win 2-1. Both teams have the quality to get on the scoresheet, but Haaland being involved in the final third makes it very hard to back against the hosts finding the net more than once. Denmark will push and likely grab one, but Norway should just edge it.

Cards Prediction

Expect a competitive and feisty affair with this level of talent and pride involved. A Nations League opener between two sides who both want to set the tone for the group should produce at least three bookings. Norway carry pace in behind that will force defenders into rash challenges, and Denmark’s pressing style tends to generate its fair share of yellow cards as well. Over 3.5 cards looks a reasonable shout.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

Yes. Norway have the firepower to score against virtually any opposition, while Denmark have Hojlund leading the line and enough creativity around him to cause Norway problems defensively. With competitive rust in Denmark’s system and momentum on Norway’s side, this still feels like a game where both teams find the net. BTTS yes is the call.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 corners. Norway are likely to be on the front foot for large portions of this game and will look to work the channels and get crosses into the box for Haaland. Denmark will also look to attack from wide areas through Dorgu and Isaksen. The combination of two progressive, attack-minded sides should generate a healthy corner count throughout the 90 minutes.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Erling Haaland. That goalscoring record of 62 goals in 55 caps speaks for itself, and at home in a competitive opener where Norway will be motivated and organised in attack, Haaland is the standout choice. He thrives on big occasions and this is exactly the kind of game where he tends to make his presence felt early.

Bet Builder Tip

Norway winning while both teams score and Haaland getting on the scoresheet first fits neatly with the 2-1 scoreline prediction and gives this bet builder a logical, joined-up argument behind it.

Final Match Prediction

Norway to win 2-1. The hosts carry genuine World Cup momentum, have two of the most in-form players in European club football right now, and are playing at home in their Nations League debut in League A. That combination is hard to argue against. Denmark are a quality side and will make this uncomfortable at times, but the gap in recent competitive experience feels significant here.

Solbakken’s side should find a way to get the job done, with Haaland the most likely man to be at the centre of the decisive moments. It will not be a stroll, but Norway are the right side to back in this one.

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