Haiti vs Costa Rica Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Haiti

vs

Costa Rica

KickoffMonday 28 September 2026, 12:00am

VenueSabina Park

CompetitionCONCACAF Nations League

Seven goals. A 3-0 lead at half time. And somehow Costa Rica still lost. That is the kind of collapse that haunts a squad, and it is the baggage Fernando Batista’s side are carrying into this one. Four defeats on the bounce, a seven-match winless run, and a Nations League opener that turned from a cruise into a catastrophe within twenty minutes of the second half. Whatever Costa Rica show up in Jamaica, it cannot be that version of themselves.

Haiti, meanwhile, are riding a wave. Sebastien Migne has built something genuinely exciting with Les Grenadiers, a side that qualified for the World Cup above Costa Rica and Honduras, lost three group games against Scotland, Brazil and Morocco without disgracing themselves, and then came back to open this Nations League campaign with a stoppage time win over Trinidad and Tobago. Wilson Isidor netting in the 98th minute is the sort of thing that gets a squad believing in itself. Costa Rica will need to be ready for a crowd and a home side with momentum behind them.

Haiti vs Costa Rica Match Details

This is a CONCACAF Nations League group stage fixture taking place at Sabina Park in Kingston, Jamaica. Haiti are hosting in front of what should be a partisan crowd, and for Costa Rica this is a road trip they know they cannot afford to get wrong given the rocky start they have already made to the competition.

Team News

Neither side is walking in at full strength, which adds another layer of uncertainty to an already unpredictable fixture.

• Wilguens Paugain is a doubt for Haiti and may not be available for selection
• Duckens Nazon is also nursing an injury and looks unlikely to feature
• Warren Madrigal is out for Costa Rica and not expected back until mid-October
• Christopher Nunez is facing a longer absence and could be unavailable until late next month
• Abraham Madriz may retain his place in goal for Costa Rica despite his nightmare second half against Curacao

Predicted Lineups

Migne has little reason to change a winning side. Alexandre Pierre keeps his spot between the sticks, with Garven Metusala and Hannes Delcroix partnering at centre back after Metusala got on the scoresheet last time out. Wilson Isidor leads the line, with Fafa Picault supporting him just behind. If Paugain and Nazon are ruled out, Migne has some decisions to make in the wider attacking areas, but the core of what worked against Trinidad and Tobago should remain intact.

Batista faces a trickier puzzle. Madriz is likely to keep his place despite the horror show against Curacao, because dropping him could undermine morale further. Carlos Mora and Orlando Sinclair are the men Costa Rica will look to for a goal, both found the net in that opening defeat and both carry a real threat going forward. The question is whether the midfield and defence can provide a platform this time around.

• Haiti: Pierre; Arcus, Metusala, Delcroix, Experience; Sainte, Jean Jacques; Deedson, Picault, Jean; Isidor
• Costa Rica: Madriz; Barahona, Mitchell, Calvo, Araya; Acuna; Mora, Galo, Mendez, Alcocer; Sinclair

Recent Form

Haiti’s win over Trinidad and Tobago was not pretty, but it was gutsy. Going 2-1 down after taking the lead could have knocked the stuffing out of a lesser side, but Migne’s men dug in and found a winner in the 98th minute through Isidor. That kind of resilience is worth more than the three points on their own, and the Haitian squad will be full of confidence heading into this one at home.

Costa Rica’s form is genuinely alarming. Four straight defeats as part of a seven-game run without a win is the sort of sequence that puts pressure on everyone from the manager down to the goalkeeper. The Curacao defeat was particularly damaging, not just in terms of the result but in terms of what it said about the team’s defensive organization. Leading 3-0 and conceding four in twenty minutes is not bad luck, it is a structural problem that Batista has to solve quickly.

The gap in momentum between these two sides is significant. Haiti are building, Costa Rica are scrambling. That dynamic matters, particularly in a home game where the crowd will be right behind Les Grenadiers from the first whistle.

Head-to-Head Record

Three of the last four meetings between these two have ended level, which tells you something about how closely matched they tend to be when they get together. The most recent encounter during World Cup qualifying ended in a wild 3-3 draw, and Haiti also took four points off Costa Rica across that qualifying campaign, a result that played a significant role in Los Ticos missing out on the World Cup. Costa Rica have not forgotten that, and there is real motivation to put things right here.

But history suggests Costa Rica find Haiti difficult to break down, and with both defences showing vulnerabilities in their opening Nations League games, the pattern of goals in these fixtures looks set to continue.

Key Stats

• Costa Rica have gone seven games without a win, with four consecutive defeats heading into this fixture
• Haiti won a dramatic Nations League opener 3-2 against Trinidad and Tobago, scoring twice after the 90th minute
• Three of the last four head-to-head meetings between these sides have ended in a draw
• Costa Rica conceded four goals in a twenty-minute second-half spell against Curacao after leading 3-0 at the break

Haiti vs Costa Rica Betting Tips

Both defences have been leaky, both sides have shown they can score, and the head-to-head record screams goals and shared points. The backdrop of Costa Rica chasing revenge adds an edge, but their form makes it hard to back them with any real confidence. This feels like a game that twists and turns before settling on a score that reflects how evenly matched these two actually are at this level.

Correct Score Prediction

Given the head-to-head tendency for draws and the attacking qualities on both sides, a 2-2 scoreline looks appealing. Isidor and Picault can hurt Costa Rica at one end, while Mora and Sinclair have already shown they can find the net in this competition. A share of the spoils with goals at both ends fits the profile of this fixture perfectly.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

Yes, and it is hard to make a strong argument against it. Costa Rica scored three times in their opening game even in a defeat, and Haiti found the net three times against Trinidad and Tobago. Neither defence has looked convincing, and with attacking quality on both sides, backing both teams to score feels like one of the safer calls on the card.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Over 2.5 goals looks well-supported here. The last time these two met it finished 3-3, Costa Rica shipped four in twenty minutes in their previous game, and Haiti needed two late goals to see off Trinidad and Tobago. There is plenty of evidence pointing toward a game with goals in it, and the under line looks difficult to defend.

Cards Prediction

With revenge on Costa Rica’s mind and Haiti determined to protect home advantage, the intensity of this one should be high. These Nations League group games can get feisty quickly, and with Costa Rica’s frustration levels already elevated from their form run, expect a few reckless challenges. Over 3.5 cards is worth considering for this one.

Bet Builder Tip

Two leaky defences, a revenge mission and a home crowd pushing Haiti forward make this combination a natural fit for a game that should produce goals, cards and plenty of drama.

Final Match Prediction

Haiti have the home advantage, the momentum and a squad that genuinely believes in what Migne is building. Costa Rica have the motivation of revenge but are arriving in poor shape, with a defence that cannot be trusted and a dressing room that needs a lift. Batista’s men have the attacking quality to score, but conceding looks almost inevitable against a Haiti side that showed real character in their opener.

The head-to-head record keeps pulling this prediction toward a draw, and a 2-2 scoreline feels like the most likely outcome. Haiti edge the game in terms of home advantage and form, but Costa Rica will not be rolled over quietly. Expect goals, expect tension, and expect this one to go right down to the wire.

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