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Cambuur
AZ AlkmaarThere is something genuinely compelling about this one. AZ Alkmaar have been one of the stories of the Eredivisie season so far, clicking along under Leeroy Echteld and looking every inch a title contender. Then Feyenoord gave them a reality check. Now they head north to Leeuwarden to face a Cambuur side that has quietly been building momentum and will fancy their chances of catching AZ cold on a Sunday afternoon at the Kooi Stadion. The promoted club against the European hopefuls, a team finding their feet against a team rediscovering theirs. It has all the ingredients.
Cambuur have earned genuine credit for the way they have steadied themselves after a brutal opening month. Johan Plat has got his side playing with a bit of belief, and a raucous home crowd behind them could make this a proper test for an AZ side still processing that Feyenoord defeat. Do not write Cambuur off just because the form book says you should.
The fixture takes place at the Kooi Stadion in Leeuwarden, Cambuur’s compact and atmospheric home ground in the north of the Netherlands. This is matchday nine of the Eredivisie, with both clubs coming off contrasting weekends before the schedule resumes.
Cambuur are carrying a few injury concerns but have some better news on one front heading into the weekend. Plat will be without a handful of players, though the squad that got the job done at PEC Zwolle is largely available.
AZ have their own absentees but Echteld will be fairly satisfied with the fitness situation given the busy schedule he is navigating this autumn.
Plat looks set to go with a familiar shape, and Binder’s fitness makes a difference in the final third. If the gaffer trusts him to start after that late winner at Zwolle, Cambuur should have some creative spark alongside the reliable Rafik El Arguioui and Ilyes Hamache.
Cambuur expected lineup: Jansen; Costarelli, Van Duijl, Baouf, Bouah; Souren, Apkakou; Kvam, El Arguioui, Hamache; Binder
Echteld has a decision to make given the Thursday night Europa League involvement and a congested October and November schedule. Some rotation from the side that started at Feyenoord is possible, but the spine of the team is likely to remain intact. Mexx Meerdink and Ro-Zangelo Daal are the attacking threats to watch.
AZ expected lineup: De Busser; Dijkstra, Goes, Schouten, Chavez; Koopmeiners, Clasie; Stengs, Oufkir, Daal; Meerdink
Cambuur’s start to the season was rough enough to make any promoted club nervous. They shipped five at Feyenoord and four at home to Twente in the opening weeks, and there were moments when it looked like the top flight might swallow them whole. But Plat has steadied the ship. A 3-0 win over NEC Nijmegen in September was the first signal that this squad had some genuine quality, with El Arguioui and Hamache both getting on the scoresheet. Draws at Telstar and away to ADO Den Haag showed resilience without setting the world alight, and then Sunday’s 1-0 win at PEC Zwolle was a statement of sorts. Four unbeaten in the league, eight points from eight games, and a growing sense that Cambuur belong at this level.
The clean sheet at Zwolle was only their second of the campaign, which tells you something important. Cambuur’s back four has been shaky, but their attack has consistently contributed, with the home side scoring in seven of their eight league matches. That goal threat keeps them in games even when the defence wobbles. Binder’s late winner also showed they have players capable of making a decisive impact from the bench, and that depth could matter in a tight game like this one.
AZ’s season has been close to flawless until last weekend. Before that Feyenoord defeat, Echteld’s side had beaten ADO Den Haag, Fortuna Sittard, Go Ahead Eagles, Heerenveen and Telstar, while putting four past Utrecht away from home. The only blemish was a 1-1 draw with Willem II, which in the context of the rest of their campaign looked like a minor slip rather than a warning sign. Third on 19 points with one defeat all season, AZ are a genuinely strong outfit. The Feyenoord result hurts, but one off day does not define a title challenge.
Historically this is a fixture where AZ’s quality tells. The Eredivisie’s established powers tend to find ways to pick up points against promoted sides, and Cambuur have only recently returned to the top flight after their spell away from it. AZ are comfortable travelling to stadiums like the Kooi Stadion where the crowd can be intimidating but the tactical setup usually suits a team with more technical quality on the ball.
Cambuur’s home support will push them hard, and the tight dimensions of the Kooi Stadion can squeeze the life out of more gifted visitors. But when these sides have met in the Eredivisie, AZ have generally had the better of things, and there is nothing in recent encounters to suggest the pattern will reverse dramatically this weekend.
AZ look the right side to be on here, but Cambuur’s goal threat and home form mean this is not a game to write off as a straightforward away win. The smart money is on goals at both ends and AZ edging it, rather than anything comfortable for either side. Here is how the individual markets shape up.
Yes looks the right call. Cambuur have found the net in seven of their eight league games and will carry a real threat in front of their home crowd, while AZ have the attacking quality to trouble any backline in the Eredivisie. Cambuur’s defence has been one of the shakiest in the division all season, which only reinforces the case for goals at both ends. Back BTTS Yes.
Mexx Meerdink has been one of AZ’s main contributors up front this season and is the kind of forward who tends to show up in away games when his side need a goal. With AZ likely to push on early after last weekend’s disappointment at Feyenoord, Meerdink is a solid shout to open the scoring at the Kooi Stadion.
A 1-2 to AZ feels right. Cambuur will get something from the game in front of their own supporters, because they have done all season, but AZ’s class in the final third should be enough to take the three points north. A narrow, tense finish with the away side just doing enough is the most plausible outcome here.
Over 2.5 goals is the pick. Both sides carry a goal threat, Cambuur’s defence has been leaking all season, and AZ will want to make a statement after the Feyenoord loss. Three or more goals in this fixture looks more likely than not, particularly given how freely goals have flowed in Cambuur’s matches throughout the campaign.
Cambuur will need to work hard defensively to stay in this game, and when a promoted side is chasing shadows against better opposition the bookings tend to follow. Expect a few niggly fouls as the home side try to disrupt AZ’s rhythm in midfield, and at least one yellow card for a Cambuur outfield player looks a reasonable market to side with. Over 3.5 total cards is worth a look at a decent price.
AZ are a possession heavy side who like to work the ball wide and put balls into the box, and against a Cambuur defence that defends deep at times they should rack up a healthy corner count. Add in Cambuur’s own set piece threat when they push forward, and over 9.5 corners for the match looks a solid market to target here.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score | Yes |
| First Goalscorer | Mexx Meerdink |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Over |
All three selections point to the same game script: AZ on the front foot, Cambuur contributing at both ends, and enough quality from Meerdink to give him a strong chance of getting his name on the scoresheet early.
AZ Alkmaar have too much quality to let this one slip, even against a Cambuur side that has rediscovered some form and will be backed by a noisy home crowd at the Kooi Stadion. Echteld’s side will want a response after Feyenoord and they have the attacking tools to get it, with Meerdink and Daal capable of punishing a Cambuur back four that has been exposed throughout the season.
That said, Cambuur are not here to make up the numbers. They have scored in almost every game this season and Plat has built a side that competes hard, especially at home. Expect a goal each way and AZ to edge it. Final score prediction: Cambuur 1-2 AZ Alkmaar.