Premier League Predictions, Betting Tips & Odds 2023/24 Season

English league football got underway last weekend with the return of the Championship, League One and other leagues. This weekend brings us the first fixtures of the 2023/24 Premier League season and I’ll be taking a look at pre-season markets such as the league winner, top scorer and to be relegated to see if there is any value in the prices that are being offered.

When Does Premier League Season Begin?

The new 2023/24 Premier League season gets underway on Friday 11th August with with newly-promoted Burnley taking on the reigning champions Manchester City at 8pm at Turf Moor.

Premier League Winner Prediction

It comes as no surprise to see Manchester City as odds-on favourites to once again finish top of the league this coming season. Pep’s men are in search of a sixth Premier League title in seven seasons and they’re in a great position to do so. History will be made if they achieve that with no team ever winning four consecutive titles in the 130 years of top-flight English football.

City are the team to beat this season but they’re certainly not without competition. Arsenal managed to clinch the Community Shield from them earlier this month and the Gunners gave them a good run or their money in the league last year before faltering late in the season.

Both Manchester United and Liverpool will be looking to challenge once again and Tottenham and Chelsea should improve on their league positions from last season given that they are absent from European competitions, allowing them to focus solely on their upcoming league campaigns.

Newcastle had a great 2022/23 season under Eddie Howe who managed to secure Champions League football for the club for the first time in 20 years. They’re 28/1 to finish top but with the additional European fixtures, it’s difficult to see them challenging for the league title. However, as well as making a good go of the Champions League this term, they’ll be aiming to return to Europe’s elite competition next year so expect another gritty and determined season from the Magpies.

Here are the pre-season prices from the bookies:

• Man City (5/6)
• Arsenal (5/1)
• Liverpool (8/1)
• Man Utd (11/1)
• Chelsea (18/1)
• Newcastle (28/1)
• Tottenham (50/1)

It’s difficult to see past a fourth consecutive league title for City. Not only have they finished top the last three seasons, but they also became just the second English club to pick up the treble and have averaged an impressive 91 points in the league over the past six seasons.

Riyad Mahrez and club captain Ilkay Gundogan have departed City but Chelsea’s Mateo Kovacic and Josko Gvardiol from RB Leipzig have been brought in which are two strong additions to an already impressive squad.

Things get a little more interesting when you remove Manchester City from the equation and several bookmakers such as BetVictor, Coral, William Hill and Betfred are offering a ‘Without Man City’ market which is effectively a ‘finish top or 2nd behind City’ bet.

For me, Liverpool and Arsenal are the main contenders and from those, I’d have to opt to back the London side.

Arsenal gave the league a great go last season and looked set to claim the title heading into April. However, a run of disappointing results let chasing City leapfrog them and Arleta’s side were unable to regain the lead in the chase for the title.

Declan Rice has arrived at the Emirates for a club record fee of £105m, along with Kai Havertz from Chelsea and Jurrien Timber from Ajax. All three signings will no doubt strengthen their squad and they look set to give their title challenge another go, starting when they host Nottingham Forest on Saturday lunchtime.

Arsenal to win the league ‘without Manchester City’ is a best price of 9/4 with Coral, which is slightly better odds that backing them for a top 2 finish at 2/1 with other bookies who are offering that market.

Premier League Winner Prediction 2023/24
Manchester City	4/5
Arsenal 'Without Man City'	9/4

Premier League Relegation Prediction

Onto the relegation market and the bookies are expecting two of the three new additions to the league to drop straight back down.

• Luton (4/11)
• Sheffield Utd (4/6)
• Nottingham Forest (5/2)
• Wolves (11/4)
• Everton (3/1)
• Bournemouth (3/1)
• Fulham (4/1)
• Burnley (9/2)
• Crystal Palace (7/1)
• Brentford (10/1)

Luton and Sheff Utd are set to struggle this coming season and both are odds-on to be back playing in the Championship next year. Burnley finished top of the league to gain automatic promotion and averaged an impressive 1.9 goals per game and although the Premier League will be a much sterner test, they’ve been there before and I think they should have enough to stay up.

I expect Everton to perform better than they did last season and Bournemouth showed good spells throughout their campaign. If I was to pick a third team to drop down into the Championship it would have to be Wolves who finished last season seven points above the drop zone but have perhaps failed to make precautions for the season ahead of them.

Other than a string of players returning from loan spells and the addition of goalkeeper Tom King from League One’s Northampton, their only signing has been right-back Matt Doherty from Atletico Madrid on a free transfer. They could find themselves in a spot of bother early in the season given that their squad has been depleted throughout the summer with the likes of Ruben Neves, Nathan Collins, Conor Coady, Raul Jiminez and others all departing to other clubs.

At best odds of 11/4, I think Wolves are a good value bet to go down.

Premier League Relegation Prediction 2023/24
Wolves	11/4

Premier League Top Scorer Prediction

All eyes were on Erling Haaland last season as he completed his move from Dortmund for City and the Norwegian certainly didn’t disappoint in his first season in England, scoring 36 goals and finishing as the leagues top scorer.

Providing he stays fit, there’s no doubt that Haaland will get goals again this season and be in contention for back-to-back golden boots, but at odds of 4/6, I really can’t see any value in backing him.

• Erling Haaland (4/6)
• Mo Salah (9/1)
• Harry Kane (12/1)
• Marcus Rashford (16/1)
• Darwin Nunez (18/1)
• Son-Heung Min (33/1)
• Alexander Isak (33/1)
• Rasmus Hojlund (33/1)
• Gabriel Jesus (33/1)

My selection is a risky one and depends on whether or not he’s actually playing in the Premier League this coming season.

Harry Kane finished last season with 30 league goals, just 6 shy of Haarland’s tally, despite Spurs having an underwhelming season.

There have been talks of Kane leaving Tottenham for several months now and Bayern Munich have reportedly reached agreement with the club to bring the England captain to Germany for a club record fee. If true, it would leave the decision in the hands of Kane who may wish to move in the more likely search of silverware.

However, other than some early loan spells, Kane has spent all of his career at Tottenham and may choose to see at least his contract out under new manager Ange Postecoglou. Another reason for Kane to remain in the league is that he’s just 47 goals shy of Alan Shearer’s all-time goals record in the Premier League which is perfectly achievable should he play another couple of seasons.

Although I would recommend waiting a few days to see how the Bayern Munich situation develops, odds of 12/1 for Kane to finish as the leagues top scorer seems good value to me. Especially given that Spurs won’t be playing European football which will leave Kane free to focus solely on the league.

If you don’t fancy taking the chance on Kane, United’s Marcus Rashford looks reasonable each way value at 16/1. He bagged 17 goals last season, finishing as the leagues sixth highest scorer and with each way bets paid out on four places, he makes more of an appealing bet that Haarland at odds-on in my opinion.

Premier League Top Scorer Prediction 2023/24
Harry Kane If he remains in PL	12/1
Marcus Rashford EW (4 Places)	16/1