NBA Prop Betting Tips

In recent years, prop betting has become a widely practiced and entertaining form of NBA betting. Prop betting has grown in popularity as many bettors, fans, and experts alike have found they prefer wagering on individual players rather than entire teams, thanks in large part to the meteoric rise of fantasy sports, especially daily fantasy sports. 

NBA prop bets, in contrast to spread bets, typically involve wagers on individual players’ performances, such as whether they will score over 22.5 points or pull down more than 10.5 rebounds. We’ve shared the top NBA prop betting strategies you can explore at betting exchange sites like Betfair, click here for example.

Top NBA Prop Betting Tips

As online prop betting has grown in popularity, so has the number of betting strategies that players can employ. Below we have listed five NBA prop betting tips:

Choose Players Who Might Play More Minutes Than Expected

For this example, let’s assume that Eric Besdsoe is playing. He has an over/under of 11.5 points. However, the Pelicans’ second starting guard, Lonzo Ball’s participation is doubtful due to injury.

With Ball’s possible absence, you could benefit from betting on Bledsoe’s total points. It’s 50-50 whether Ball will play, but if he doesn’t, Bledsoe will get more playing time and, therefore, is more likely to contribute to his points tally.

Place Multiple Linked Bets

You may choose to combine several prop bets on an upcoming game if you have high hopes for one team’s performance. These bets can be linked in one way since you can choose selections based on how you believe the game is likely to play out.

For instance, you may bet on multiple Atlanta players’ totals if you think the Hawks will score at will against the Pistons.

Leverage Specific Matchups

It’s not always about the teams’ strengths but rather about taking advantage of their flaws in prop betting.

As an example, Joel Embiid‘s point and rebound totals are stats to keep an eye on when the Philadelphia 76ers, a side noted for their average height, meet a team who might play into their hands, like the San Antonio Spurs.

Avoid “lucky” Stakes

Betting on point and rebound props can be rewarding, but the odds of severe unpredictability increase with a low statistical average as well.

Only two active NBA players, for instance, are averaging two or more steals a match. That implies the rest of the league’s players typically pull off around 0 to 1.9 steals each game.

A wager on the over/under of 0.5 steals or one steal per game is a completely wild guess. You should avoid wagering on basketball props based on a player’s expected number of steals because there is no way to precisely anticipate that number.

Consider Recent Head-to-head Matchups

When placing NBA prop bets, recent head-to-head data for two teams can be used to great effect, much more so than if wagering on the spread of an NBA game.

A recent Blazers’ victory over the Lakers does not guarantee another upset, although if Damian Lillard scored 38 points against the Lakers, it’s possible that the Lakers may not have found a way to stop him since then.