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Burton Albion
Huddersfield TownBurton Albion are quietly getting on with things this season, aren’t they? No fuss, no grand proclamations, just Gary Bowyer building something steady at the Pirelli Stadium while most people expected them to be scrapping near the bottom again. A 1-0 win away at Plymouth last weekend, stopping them from going top of the table, tells you everything about where the Brewers are at right now. Confident, organised, and absolutely nobody’s idea of an easy afternoon.
Huddersfield, meanwhile, came into this weekend carrying a nasty bruise from their loss to newly promoted Bromley. Martin Drury’s side had nearly 70% of the ball, 18 shots, and 38 touches in the opposition box, and still lost 2-1. That is the kind of defeat that stays with you. All that dominance, nothing to show for it. They need a response, and fast, because a side sitting sixth in League One cannot afford to let momentum slip against opponents who are growing in belief by the week.
This League One fixture takes place at the Pirelli Stadium in Burton upon Trent, with both clubs arriving in the top seven and level on 12 points. Huddersfield sit above Burton on goal difference alone, which tells you how tight this is. The competition context matters here too because this is a genuine six pointer between sides who both have promotion ambitions, whether they are shouting about it or not.
Neither side is going into this completely clean, and the treatment rooms are doing decent business on both sides of the Pennines.
Bowyer has a settled shape right now and there is no real reason to change it after that Plymouth result. The back three of Delap, Tilt and Evans worked well on the road, and with Sibbick unavailable, Evans retains his place by necessity as much as merit. Jack Armer, who scored the winner at Plymouth, keeps his spot at wing back.
Burton Albion: Addai; Delap, Tilt, Evans; Raphael, Collar, Chauke, Armer; Webster, Vickers; Adom
For Huddersfield, Drury will be without a stack of midfielders and may have to be creative in the engine room. Roughan coming back gives them more options in wide areas, and if Radulovic is fit, he adds something off the bench at the very least. The back four looks largely settled, and Fletcher and Taylor will be expected to lead the line.
Huddersfield Town: Young; Balker, Wallace, Bowat; Bronkhorst, Collins, Humphreys, Mumba; Harness; Fletcher, Taylor
Burton’s record of three wins, three draws and two defeats from their opening eight League One games is solid rather than spectacular, but context matters. That win at Plymouth was not a smash and grab, it was a controlled, disciplined performance against a side chasing top spot. Jack Armer’s 70th minute finish was the difference, and Burton were defensively excellent throughout. They are unbeaten in their last four at the Pirelli Stadium too, which gives them a genuine fortress feel at home. Only three points separate them from the league leaders, which is a sentence that would have surprised most people before a ball was kicked this season.
Huddersfield’s numbers look similar on paper, four wins and four draws from eight before the Bromley defeat, but that loss is a real concern. Not just because of the result, but because of how they lost it. Dominating a game to that degree and still walking away with nothing points to a cutting edge problem. Martin Drury described his side as bitterly disappointed, and you can understand why. When you control a match so completely and still lose, it plants a seed of doubt. Can this team actually convert their possession into points consistently? That is the question hanging over this one.
What makes this interesting is that Burton are exactly the kind of side that will punish you on the counter if you give them space. They are not a team that invites pressure and hopes to nick it, they are organised and direct and they make teams pay for switching off. Huddersfield will have a lot of the ball at the Pirelli Stadium, but quality in the final third is what wins League One games, not possession stats.
The head to head record here is stacked in Burton’s favour at home. The Brewers have won their previous two home encounters with Huddersfield by an aggregate score of 6 goals to 1, including a 3-1 league victory back in January. That is not a small margin, that is dominance on home turf. The familiarity of the Pirelli Stadium and the way Burton set up there has clearly suited them well against this particular opponent.
Huddersfield’s last away win in this fixture came way back in December 2016, when a late Nahki Wells goal sealed a 1-0 win in what was the very first meeting between these clubs. That is nearly a decade without an away victory here for the Terriers, and given how Burton are performing on home soil right now, ending that sequence will take something special from Drury’s side.
This looks like a game where both teams have enough quality to score, but Burton’s home record and Huddersfield’s recent profligacy in front of goal makes backing the Brewers to lead at some point very appealing. A draw also feels like a live outcome given how close these sides are on points and overall quality. I am not convinced Huddersfield have the ruthlessness right now to come here and take all three, despite their superior ball retention.
Two top seven sides meeting with genuine stakes involved usually means a physical, competitive affair in the middle of the park. Huddersfield’s midfield is already depleted, so the players who do start will be working overtime, and Burton’s wing backs are direct and aggressive. Expect the referee to be busy. Over three and a half cards looks a solid shout here.
Given Burton’s home comfort and Huddersfield’s ongoing struggles to convert possession into goals, a 2-2 draw feels right. The Terriers have enough quality to score, but so do Burton, and a share of the spoils would not flatter either side based on current form.
Jack Armer got the winner at Plymouth last weekend and has clearly got momentum right now. He is a wing back who loves to get forward and carry the ball into dangerous areas, and teams sitting in against Burton tend to leave space on the flanks that Armer exploits brilliantly. He is worth a look as first goalscorer at what should be a decent price.
Huddersfield are a possession heavy side who like to work the ball into the final third and create from wide areas. Burton will sit relatively compact at home and look to force the Terriers wide. That combination points strongly towards a high corners count. Over nine and a half corners looks well within reach here.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Correct Score | 2-2 |
| First Goalscorer | Jack Armer |
| Total Corners | Over 9.5 |
Armer scoring in an open, end to end game that finishes level while both teams push for wide areas fits perfectly with what we know about these two sides right now.
Burton Albion have quietly become one of the more interesting sides in League One this season, and their home record gives them a real edge here. Huddersfield are a good side under Martin Drury, but that Bromley defeat exposed something about their ability to finish off games, and the Brewers will not be as accommodating as their recent opponents.
Gary Bowyer’s men are full of confidence, playing without fear, and the Pirelli Stadium has become a proper fortress this term. Huddersfield will come here with plenty of the ball, but Burton know how to hurt teams on the break and they have the nous to grind out results when they need to. A 2-2 draw feels like the most likely outcome, an entertaining game with goals at both ends, but ultimately neither side able to land the knockout blow.