Date of Tips: 07/10/2025
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (12:10 07/10/2025) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Date: Friday, 10 October 2025
Kick-off time: 19:45 (UK)
Venue: Allianz Arena, Munich
Well, here we go again. Germany are back in action on a Friday night, and this one feels like a bit of a mismatch on paper. They’re taking on Luxembourg in the World Cup Qualifiers — and let’s be honest, anything short of a convincing win would shock everyone.
Germany come into this buzzing after their 3–1 win over Northern Ireland, and you could sense the confidence returning under Julian Nagelsmann. Luxembourg, meanwhile, just can’t catch a break — they’ve lost back-to-back games and are finding goals hard to come by. So, the big question is: can Luxembourg pull off a miracle in Munich? Or will Germany turn on the style again in front of their home fans?
Let’s break it down.
Germany looked sharp last time out — 80% possession, slick passing, and goals from Gnabry, Amiri, and Wirtz. You could tell they’re starting to click again.
Julian Nagelsmann does have a few absentees to juggle, though. Antonio Rüdiger, Kai Havertz, and Marc-André ter Stegen are all sidelined through injuries, while Leroy Sané and Niklas Füllkrug didn’t make the cut this time around. On the bright side, Bayern Munich’s Aleksandar Pavlović is back in the squad and should get minutes in midfield.
Expect Nagelsmann to rotate a little, but he won’t take this lightly — Germany need consistency and rhythm as the qualifiers roll on.
Players to Watch: Florian Wirtz is flying right now. Every time he gets the ball, something happens. And Serge Gnabry? He’s rediscovering that killer instinct.
Luxembourg fans might be a little worried heading into this one — and you can’t blame them. They’ve scored just three goals in their last six matches and conceded eight. That’s not a great ratio when you’re facing one of Europe’s most dangerous attacks.
Heracles midfielder Yvandro Borges Sanches has been their bright spark, bagging a few goals recently. He’s clever on the ball and could be the one to cause Germany a bit of trouble. But overall, manager Luc Holtz knows this will be about damage limitation — staying compact, frustrating Germany, and hoping for something on the counter.
Players to Watch: Yvandro Borges Sanches — if Luxembourg get anything, it’ll probably come through him.
Germany: Neuer; Henrichs, Tah, Schlotterbeck, Mittelstädt; Kimmich, Pavlović; Gnabry, Wirtz, Musiala; Havertz.
Luxembourg: Moris; Martins, Chanot, Mahmutovic, Jans; Barreiro, Bohnert; Borges Sanches, Sinani, Thill; Rodrigues.
This has Germany goal-fest written all over it. Luxembourg will dig in and try to keep things tight, but when you’re facing players like Wirtz and Musiala, cracks will show eventually.
Germany have scored 20 goals in their last six games, averaging over three a match. That’s no coincidence — their front line is firing, and even with a few absentees, the depth is ridiculous. Luxembourg, on the other hand, haven’t found the net in three of their last five matches.
So, betting angles worth looking at:
It’s hard to look past Germany here. They’re playing at home, the crowd will be up for it, and they’ve got too much quality all over the pitch. Luxembourg will defend deep, maybe hold out for 20–30 minutes, but once the first goal goes in, it could open up completely.
Germany’s tempo, pressing, and creativity should be way too much. Expect Musiala and Wirtz to pull the strings, and Gnabry to get on the scoresheet again.
Match Prediction: Germany to win. Bet with bet365.
I’m leaning towards a 4–0 Germany win. Luxembourg just don’t have the tools to cope with that movement and pace. If Germany are ruthless — and they usually are at home — it could be even more.
Correct Score Prediction: Germany 4–0 Luxembourg. Bet with bet365.
Let’s talk goals. Germany’s last six matches have averaged over 3.3 goals per game — and most of those have come from their side alone. Luxembourg’s defence hasn’t held up well against top nations, and Germany won all of their last four meetings against them by big margins.
Over 2.5 feels like a banker, but if you want to chase a bigger return, over 3.5 looks solid.
Over/Under Prediction: Over 3.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.
Here’s a combo I like for this one:
That’s your “Friday night fireworks” special — and it matches how I see this game going.
Bet Builder Tip: Germany to win, Over 3.5 goals, and Serge Gnabry anytime scorer. Bet with bet365.
Key Stats
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Germany should win comfortably. They’re in far better form, have home advantage, and much greater depth.
A 4–0 Germany win looks realistic based on current form and attacking strength.
Serge Gnabry and Florian Wirtz are the main goal threats, with Musiala always capable of adding one too.
It’s unlikely. Luxembourg have struggled in front of goal, and Germany’s defence is tightening up again.
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