Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

Featured Offer

BetAhoy

Bet £10 Get a £10 Free Bet

Claim Free Bet →

Code ALLABOARD10 – Place qualifying bet within 7 days of registration (Min £10 at odds of EVS+). 2 x £5 free bets awarded once qualifying bet settles (18+). Full T&C’s Apply. #ad

Istanbul Basaksehir

vs

Samsunspor

KickoffSunday 1 November 2026, 1:00pm

VenueBaşakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

CompetitionTurkish Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir come into this one on the back of a frustrating defeat but with genuine reason for optimism when they pull on the home shirt. Three wins at the Fatih Terim Stadium this season, and a defensive record at that ground that reads like a goalkeeper’s dream. Samsunspor, on the other hand, are in freefall. Seven consecutive league defeats, a new manager still searching for his first point, and an away record that gives absolutely nothing away. The form contrast between these two sides could not be much starker heading into Sunday afternoon.

New Samsunspor boss Nenad Bjelica has had two matches to try and turn things around and has so far come away with nothing to show for it. That is no real surprise given the scale of the job, but walking into the Fatih Terim Stadium on the back of this kind of run is about as tough a fixture as you can ask for. Basaksehir are not exactly setting the league alight in twelfth place, but at home they have been a different animal entirely, and this fixture has a habit of being very one sided.

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor Match Details

This Super Lig clash takes place at the Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium in Istanbul. Basaksehir host Samsunspor in what is a significant game for the home side as they look to build on their strong home form and climb further up the table, while the visitors desperately need anything they can get to drag themselves off the bottom end of the division.

Team News

Basaksehir have a couple of defensive concerns to manage ahead of this one, which could force some reshuffling at the back. Samsunspor meanwhile arrive with their own problems through suspension and injury, further limiting Bjelica’s options.

• Jerome Opoku is carrying a muscle injury and is a doubt for Basaksehir
• Christopher Operi is also dealing with a muscle issue and may not be available
• Either Ousseynou Ba or Hamza Gureler is expected to fill in at centre back alongside Emin Bayram
• Saba Kharebashvili and Michal Karbownik are expected to start at full back
• Afonso Sousa is suspended for Samsunspor and will play no part
• Fatih Kaya is sidelined through injury
• Igor Drapinski picked up a knock against Amed and is a doubt, with Yunus Emre Cift ready to step in
• Joe Mendes will be assessed before the match

Predicted Lineups

Basaksehir will likely line up with Ba coming in to partner Bayram in the heart of defence given the injury concerns, with Kharebashvili and Karbownik providing width from full back. Further forward, Andreas Skov Olsen is the creative hub of this side and will look to feed Eldor Shomurodov, who has been in fine goalscoring form this term.

Samsunspor are likely to set up in a fairly conservative shape given their lack of firepower and the quality they are missing through suspension and injury. Bjelica will want to be compact and hard to break down, though their results this season suggest they have not managed to achieve even that basic requirement consistently.

• Istanbul Basaksehir: Sengezer; Karbownik, Bayram, Ba, Kharebashvili; Kemen, Gunes; Olsen, Shomurodov, Brnic; Bozok
• Samsunspor: Kocuk; Tan, Erakovic, Guarino, Tomasson; Kayan, Watt; Coulibaly, Sekongo, Onur; Bayo

Recent Form

Basaksehir had actually put together a decent little unbeaten run before running into Besiktas. A 2-1 home win over Gaziantep, a goalless draw with Konyaspor, and a thoroughly convincing 4-0 victory against Genclerbirligi suggested they were finding their feet. The Besiktas defeat ended that sequence, but Nuri Sahin’s side can take heart from the fact that their home form has been consistently strong. Three wins from three at the Fatih Terim Stadium, and in all three of those they have kept clean sheets while scoring eight times across the last three home fixtures alone.

Away from home it is a completely different story for Basaksehir. Three defeats and one draw from four road trips, with just a single goal scored and nine conceded. Fortunately for them, this one is on their patch, which matters enormously given how different their home and away performances have been this season.

Samsunspor are in genuinely alarming form. Seven league defeats on the spin, 18 goals conceded across those matches, and they have failed to score at all in four of those seven games. Their only win of the entire campaign came away from home, which is a strange quirk given how badly they have travelled since. Three straight away defeats with just one goal to show for it. Bjelica has a mountain to climb here and this is a daunting place to start that climb.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent history between these two clubs is absolutely stacked in Basaksehir’s favour. They have won the last three meetings between the sides, scoring nine goals in the process without conceding a single one. That is a remarkable record and it speaks to a genuine gap in quality between the teams when they have faced each other in recent years.

At this specific ground, Samsunspor have visited four times in the top flight and have yet to win any of them. The last three home encounters for Basaksehir in this fixture have produced eight goals for the home side and none for Samsunspor. History suggests very strongly that the visitors are going to have an extremely difficult afternoon.

Key Stats

• Samsunspor have conceded 18 goals during their seven match losing streak
• Basaksehir have scored eight goals without conceding in their last three home games in this fixture
• Samsunspor have failed to score in four of their last seven league matches
• Basaksehir are unbeaten in all three home league games this season

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor Betting Tips

The shape of this preview points in one direction pretty clearly. Basaksehir at home against a side that has lost seven on the bounce and cannot buy a goal away from home, with their defensive injury concerns largely irrelevant when you consider how little threat Samsunspor have posed going forward. The value here is not in finding something exotic, it is in backing what the evidence is screaming at you.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Under 2.5 goals might feel tempting on paper, but Basaksehir at home have shown real attacking intent in this fixture historically, and Samsunspor’s defence has been a complete sieve. Back over 2.5 goals, with the home side very likely supplying the majority of them.

Correct Score Prediction

A 2-0 home win looks the most probable scoreline here. Basaksehir have the quality to get the job done comfortably, and Samsunspor have been shut out so regularly during this awful run that another clean sheet for the hosts is entirely plausible.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Eldor Shomurodov is the standout pick here. Seven league goals this season already makes him comfortably the most dangerous attacker on the pitch, and with Skov Olsen creating chances at a rate no one else in the squad matches, the service should be there for Shomurodov to get on the scoresheet early.

Cards Prediction

Samsunspor are a side under enormous pressure and their players are likely to be chasing the game at some point. Frustrated defenders and a midfield that will be stretched in a home environment like this tends to produce yellow cards. Back over 3.5 cards for the match, with the visiting side likely contributing most of them.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

No, and this feels fairly straightforward. Samsunspor have failed to score in four of their last seven matches, have bagged just once across three away games, and have never won at this ground. With Basaksehir keeping clean sheets regularly at home in this fixture, backing both teams to score feels like going against the weight of evidence.

Corners Prediction

Basaksehir pressing forward at home against a side that will be pinned back and defending deep for large portions of the game means corners should flow. Back over 9.5 corners in this one, with the home side likely winning the majority of them as they look to break down a stubborn but overmatched defensive unit.

Bet Builder Tip

A dominant home win with Shomurodov opening the scoring and Samsunspor failing to find the net captures exactly what the form book and head to head record are pointing toward.

Final Match Prediction

This has comfortable Basaksehir home win written all over it. Samsunspor are in the kind of form where confidence is shot, key players are unavailable, and their new manager is yet to find a way of stopping the rot. Basaksehir at the Fatih Terim Stadium this season have been a different side to the one that has struggled on the road, and this fixture historically has only ever gone one way when they are the home team.

Shomurodov leads the line well, Skov Olsen provides the creativity, and a Samsunspor backline that has conceded 18 in seven will find it very hard to keep the hosts quiet. Prediction: Istanbul Basaksehir 2-0 Samsunspor.

Featured Offer

BetAhoy

Bet £10 Get a £10 Free Bet

Claim Free Bet →

Code ALLABOARD10 – Place qualifying bet within 7 days of registration (Min £10 at odds of EVS+). 2 x £5 free bets awarded once qualifying bet settles (18+). Full T&C’s Apply. #ad