Date of Tips: 12/10/2025
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (08:27 12/10/2025) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Date: 14/10/25
Kick-off time: 19:45 BST
Venue: Daugava Stadium, Riga
Well, here we go again. England are back in World Cup qualifying mode, and this time they’re off to Riga to take on Latvia. The Three Lions have been flying lately – ruthless, confident, and scoring for fun. Latvia, though? They’ve shown flashes of fight, but consistency hasn’t been their friend.
This one looks like a classic case of the underdog trying to keep things tight while the big boys come to town. But football’s funny sometimes, isn’t it? So, let’s take a proper look at what to expect on Tuesday night.
Latvia head into this one knowing they’ll need everything to go right. Their captain Kristers Tobers is out injured, and that’s a huge blow. He’s their leader, organiser, and the one who keeps everyone calm when the pressure’s on. Without him, the back line will be relying on youngsters like Niks Sliede and Dario Šits to step up – and that’s a lot to ask against England’s attack.
Manager Paolo Nicolato has tried to make Latvia tougher to beat, and it’s worked in spells. They’ve picked up points against Andorra and Albania, but when faced with better sides, their defence has cracked. Expect a compact shape, plenty of running, and the occasional hopeful counter through Janis Ikaunieks or Artūrs Zjuzins.
As for England, Thomas Tuchel has got this squad purring. Even with Harry Kane, Phil Foden, and Jude Bellingham still sidelined, they’ve been steamrolling opponents. The 5–0 win over Serbia and a comfortable 3–0 over Wales showed just how deep this team is.
Youngsters like Morgan Rogers and Bukayo Saka have taken the spotlight, while Declan Rice continues to run the midfield like he’s got a remote control. England’s defence has also been rock solid, with John Stones and Marc Guehi forming a tidy partnership in front of Aaron Ramsdale.
Latvia: Ozols; Dubra, Savalnieks, Sorokins; Saveljevs, Cernomordijs, Emsis; Sliede, Zjuzins, Ikaunieks, Sints
England: Ramsdale; Walker, Stones, Guehi, Shaw; Rice, Loftus-Cheek, Anderson; Saka, Rogers, Watkins
Latvia will almost certainly sit deep in a 5-3-2 and hope to frustrate England. Their best bet is to stay organised and pray for a set-piece opportunity. England, meanwhile, will dominate the ball, press high, and look to create overloads down the wings.
This game is going to be all about patience for England. Latvia will sit back, block everything, and make life difficult. But once that first goal goes in, the floodgates usually open.
England have been a machine lately. They’ve scored at least two goals in each of their last four games and conceded just once in five. That’s not a fluke – Tuchel’s side have balance all over the pitch. Saka looks electric, and Ollie Watkins is finding the net regularly when given the chance.
Latvia’s issue is simple: scoring. They’ve only managed three goals in their last five games and failed to score in three of those. Against this England backline, that’s a real worry. If they can’t keep the ball, they’ll spend most of the night chasing shadows.
So, I’m leaning towards another comfortable England win. Something like 3–0 feels about right. Latvia might hold firm for a while, but England’s tempo and movement should eventually pull them apart.
What do you think? Can Latvia make it ugly enough to nick a draw? Or will England just roll through them again?
Well, if history’s anything to go by, Latvia don’t have much luck in this fixture. England have won every meeting between the two – scoring 14 and conceding just once across five games. That’s some record.
Tuchel’s men won’t underestimate Latvia, but they’ll know this is a game they should win comfortably. Expect England to dominate possession, press high, and create plenty through the flanks. Latvia’s best hope is to hang in there until halftime – but once the spaces open up, it’s hard to see them lasting the full 90 without conceding a few.
Match Prediction: England to win. Bet with bet365.
I’m going for a 3–0 England win. Clean sheet, control, and a couple of goals from their wide players. Watkins could easily get on the scoresheet again, and Saka looks due another big performance.
If Latvia sneak one from a corner or a long throw, fair play, but England’s discipline makes that unlikely. This should be another calm, clinical away win for the Three Lions.
Correct Score Prediction: Latvia 0–3 England. Bet with bet365.
Here’s where it gets interesting. England’s last five games have all gone over 2.5 goals, and Latvia’s defensive record suggests this could follow the same pattern. The hosts will fight, but England just have too much firepower and control.
If you’re thinking in terms of goals, I’d say Over 2.5 goals feels the smart call. You could even stretch to over 3.5 if you fancy something bolder. England create a lot of chances, and once they’re ahead, they don’t usually slow down.
Over/Under Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.
Here’s a combo that fits how I see it:
That’s your “England in control” ticket right there. Solid at the back, slick going forward, and plenty of energy in attack.
Bet Builder Tip: BTTS No, Bukayo Saka Anytime Scorer, Over 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.
Key Stats
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England should win comfortably based on current form and quality. Latvia will fight hard, but the gulf in class is just too big.
A 3–0 win for England feels likely – strong defence, sharp attack, and total control.
The match will take place at the Daugava Stadium in Riga.
Kick-off is at 19:45 BST on Tuesday, 14 October 2025.
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