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PEC Zwolle
Go Ahead EaglesThere is something about a local derby that cuts through everything else on the fixture list, and this one carries real weight beyond the bragging rights. PEC Zwolle are in genuine trouble at the bottom of the Eredivisie, managerless and misfiring, while Go Ahead Eagles arrive carrying their own frustrations after a promising start to the season has fizzled into five games without a win. Two clubs with contrasting problems, one very familiar ground, and a result that could define the direction of both campaigns.
For the neutral, this is the kind of fixture that delivers drama almost by design. Zwolle are desperate, which means they will have to attack at some point. Go Ahead have been leaking late goals and cannot seem to kill games off. Put those two things together and you have got a match that is unlikely to stay quiet until the final whistle.
This Eredivisie gameweek nine clash takes place at the Mac3Park Stadion in Zwolle, with the home side hosting their regional rivals in what is one of the most anticipated derby fixtures in the Dutch football calendar. The stakes could not be higher for the hosts, who find themselves scrapping at the wrong end of the table while the Eagles look to rediscover the form that made them one of the early season stories in the Netherlands.
Zwolle head into the derby short on bodies and short on confidence, while Go Ahead have a couple of their own concerns heading into the weekend.
Zwolle will be overseen by assistant Dennis van der Ree following the departure of Henry van der Vegt, with the club still working on a permanent appointment. Van der Ree is unlikely to tear up the tactical blueprint completely, so expect a similar setup to recent weeks, with Thomas keeping his place after his return from injury.
Zwolle expected XI: Schendelaar; Aertssen, Graves, Viergever, Floranus; Thomas, Sommer; Mbayo, Oosting, Cissoko; Kostons
Go Ahead Eagles boss Joseph Oosting should be able to name a strong side despite the two injury concerns, with Soren Tengstedt the obvious focal point after his brilliant recent form. Dirksen’s availability will determine one selection decision, but the overall shape should be familiar.
Go Ahead Eagles expected XI: Haug; James, Kramer, Van Zwam, Sampsted; Linthorst, Meulensteen; Suray, Edvardsen, Tengstedt; Sigurdarson
Zwolle’s season has been a slow motion disaster. Back to back defeats by a combined score of 10 goals to nil were bad enough, but then losing at home to newly promoted Cambuur felt like rock bottom. Six goals scored in eight Eredivisie matches is the worst attacking return in the division, and 21 conceded puts them among the leakiest defences in the league. The early schedule was punishing, featuring six of last season’s top ten, and that context matters, but it was not enough to save the manager and it will not be enough to save them from relegation if things do not turn around fast.
Go Ahead Eagles started the season looking genuinely exciting. Wins over Willem II and ADO Den Haag, and a 2-2 draw with Feyenoord, gave them seven points from their opening three games, their best ever start since coming back up. Then it all went a bit flat. A 5-2 hammering at AZ Alkmaar punctured the momentum, and four consecutive draws since then, including a 3-3 with Sparta Rotterdam last time out, tell the story of a side that cannot quite close games out. Conceding just under a third of their season’s goals in the final quarter of an hour is a pattern that has cost them dearly, and it is the kind of thing that opponents will be studying closely.
What stands out when you look at both sets of recent results is that Go Ahead have conceded first in four of their last five matches, and so have Zwolle. Whoever gets the early goal here could have a massive say in how the rest of the afternoon plays out.
The head to head record makes grim reading if you are a Zwolle supporter. De Blauwvingers have not beaten Go Ahead Eagles since 2017, a run of eight meetings without a win. The last two encounters ended in defeats for the hosts, and the most recent of those was a brutal 5-0 thrashing in April. That kind of result leaves a mark, and walking out at the Mac3Park Stadion with that fresh in the memory will not exactly fill the home dressing room with confidence.
Go Ahead have looked comfortable in this fixture for several years now and will fancy their chances of adding to that run, particularly given the chaos surrounding Zwolle’s managerial situation heading into derby day.
The narrative here almost writes itself. A rudderless home side with the worst attack in the division, up against a team that creates plenty but cannot shut the door. Go Ahead should have enough quality to take the points, but Zwolle’s desperation means this is unlikely to be a comfortable afternoon for the Eagles. The goals markets and individual player angles look the most appealing way into this one.
Zwolle will need to push bodies forward to avoid another embarrassing home defeat, and Go Ahead’s counter attacking play should generate chances on the break. Expect a decent number of set pieces and corners as the game opens up. Over 9.5 corners looks a reasonable shout.
Go Ahead have the quality to take control of this one, and Zwolle’s fragile back line and toothless attack make it hard to see the home side keeping it tight. A 1-2 scoreline feels right, with the hosts nicking one but ultimately coming up short against a side with considerably more firepower.
Soren Tengstedt is in the form of his life right now. Eight direct goal contributions in eight matches, a goal last time out, and he is the kind of forward who thrives against a defence as porous as Zwolle’s. The Dane gets the nod as first goalscorer.
Derby football in the Eredivisie tends to be physical, and a Zwolle side fighting for their lives under a caretaker manager will not exactly be rolling out the welcome mat. Expect some robust challenges as frustration builds, particularly if Go Ahead go ahead early. Over 3.5 cards is worth considering.
Go Ahead Eagles have not kept a clean sheet all season, and Zwolle, despite their struggles in front of goal, will have the crowd behind them in a derby. The visitors’ late game vulnerability also gives the hosts a window. Both teams to score looks like a reasonable yes, even with Zwolle’s attacking issues taken into account.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| First Goalscorer | Soren Tengstedt |
| Both Teams To Score | Yes |
| Correct Score | 1-2 to Go Ahead Eagles |
Tengstedt breaking the deadlock, both sides finding the net, and the Eagles edging it by a single goal all point to the same story of a tight but ultimately decisive away win.
Zwolle are in a bad place right now and the timing of this derby could not be worse for them. No permanent manager, a striking unit that has not scored in three straight matches, and a head to head record against this opponent that makes for horrific reading. The caretaker setup adds another layer of uncertainty to an already fragile camp.
Go Ahead Eagles have not been convincing lately, but they are a considerably better side than their recent run of draws suggests, and a trip to a bottom of the table club in total disarray is exactly the kind of game that can get a run going again. Expect the visitors to edge a competitive derby. PEC Zwolle 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles.