Date of Tips: 31/10/2025
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (14:40 31/10/2025) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Qarabağ Ağdam FK
v Chelsea FC 
Qarabağ Stadium
UEFA Champions League LEAGUE_STAGE 
05-11-2025 17:45
Qarabağ Ağdam Form
Chelsea Form
Date: Wednesday, 5th November 2025
Kick-off: 17:30
Venue: Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium, Baku
The Champions League rolls into Azerbaijan as Qarabag host Chelsea in what promises to be a fascinating clash under the lights in Baku. For many fans, the Qarabag vs Chelsea prediction might seem straightforward on paper, but recent performances tell a more interesting story. Qarabag have already caused a few surprises this season, while Chelsea are finding their rhythm after a dominant display against Ajax. So, let’s break it all down — team news, lineups, and what you should expect from this one.
Qarabag come into this tie with plenty of belief, even after a tough 3-1 loss to Athletic Club last time out. Their Champions League campaign has been a real rollercoaster — wins over Benfica and FC København showed they can mix it with the big boys, but defensive lapses remain a concern. Coach Qurban Qurbanov has done wonders to get his side this far, and the passionate home crowd will be desperate to see another upset.
One potential worry is the fitness of Marko Janković, who’s been struggling to regain full sharpness. His absence would be a blow given his influence in midfield. Still, players like Kady Borges, Leandro Andrade, and Abdellah Zoubir are more than capable of causing problems in transition.
Chelsea, meanwhile, travel to Baku on a high after hammering Ajax 5-1 at Stamford Bridge. Vincenzo Maresca’s side were ruthless in that match — sharp pressing, slick movement, and real intent from the opening whistle. With players like Estêvão, Marc Guiu, and Jamie Gittens in attack, the Blues have no shortage of pace and creativity.
However, they’ll be without Levi Colwill and Liam Delap, both sidelined, but with the depth Chelsea boast, that shouldn’t change their approach much.
Coach: Qurban Qurbanov
Starting XI:
Kochalski (GK); Matheus Silva, Mustafazada, Medina, Cafarquliyev; Pedro Bicalho, Kady Borges; Duran, Andrade, Zoubir; Akhundzade
Bench options: Mahammadaliyev, Buntic, Mmaee, Chriso, Jankovic, Addai, Bolt, Kashchuk, Bayramov, A. Huseynov, Cabrayilzada, B. Huseynov
Coach: Vincenzo Maresca
Starting XI:
Jørgensen (GK); Caicedo, Fofana, Adarabioyo, Hato; Buonanotte, Lavia, Enzo Fernández; Estêvão, Guiu, Gittens
Bench options: Sánchez, Cucurella, James, Chalobah, Andrey Santos, Garnacho, Neto, Acheampong, Merrick
If you’re trying to read the game, the first thing to note is momentum. Qarabag’s energy at home is always fierce, and they’ve shown they can score early — just ask Athletic Club, who were stunned in the first minute of their clash. So, a “Both Teams to Score” angle feels realistic here. Qarabag rarely park the bus, even against stronger sides.
Chelsea, though, are in a completely different gear right now. Their back-to-back Champions League wins, capped off by that demolition of Ajax, highlight their balance between attacking flair and midfield control. Estêvão looks in fantastic form, and with Enzo Fernández dictating tempo, it’s hard to see them not creating chances.
If you’re eyeing player-focused markets, Estêvão to score anytime feels like a solid shout — he’s confident, clinical, and always pops up in dangerous spaces.
Qarabag will be bold. They’ll try to start fast, press high, and use their width through Zoubir and Andrade to stretch Chelsea’s backline. But sustaining that intensity for 90 minutes against Maresca’s side is a tall order. Chelsea’s technical quality, especially in midfield, should eventually take control of the game.
Expect Qarabag to make it tricky in patches, but Chelsea’s experience in Europe and superior squad depth should shine through as the match wears on. The Blues will likely dominate possession, and if they find an early goal, it could turn into another commanding performance.
Match Prediction: Chelsea to win. Bet with bet365.
Here’s what feels realistic: Qarabag won’t go down without a fight, especially at home. They’ve proven capable of scoring against quality opposition. But Chelsea just have too much in every department right now.
Predicted Score: Qarabag 1-3 Chelsea
That balance feels fair — Qarabag get their moment in front of their fans, but Chelsea’s quality tells in the end.
Correct Score Prediction: Qarabag 1-3 Chelsea. Bet with bet365.
Given both teams’ attacking form, Over 2.5 Goals looks likely. Qarabag’s last five matches have all seen at least three goals, and Chelsea just hit Ajax for five. Maresca’s system encourages attacking risk, which leaves spaces at the back — and Qarabag love to exploit those.
So, the smart call here? Back goals. Plenty of them.
Over/Under Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.
That’s a realistic combo based on both teams’ form and tactical tendencies. It covers the likely pattern of play — an open match with chances at both ends but Chelsea’s edge ultimately deciding it.
Bet Builder Tip: Chelsea to win, Over 2.5 goals, and Estêvão to score anytime. Bet with bet365.
Key Stats
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Visit our football previews & predictions page for more betting tips on upcoming matches.
Chelsea are the favourites thanks to their recent form and quality. Qarabag might make it competitive, but the visitors should take all three points.
The match will be held at the Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium in Baku, Azerbaijan.
Kick-off is scheduled for 8pm local time on Wednesday, 5 November 2025.
He’s a fitness doubt, so Qarabag may have to cope without him.
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