Serbia vs Germany Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Serbia

vs

Germany

KickoffFriday 13 November 2026, 7:45pm

VenueStadion Rajko Mitić

CompetitionUEFA Nations League

Germany cannot afford to slip up here. Jurgen Klopp’s side sit third in Nations League Group A2, three points behind Greece with just two games left to play. Win both and they could still make the quarter finals. Drop points in Belgrade, and that dream is effectively over before the final matchday even arrives. The pressure is real, and Serbia, for all their struggles this campaign, will be desperate to end their own miserable run with something to show for it at home.

Serbia are rock bottom of the group with nothing to play for in terms of qualification, but Veljko Paunovic will want to avoid finishing last, and a win here would at least give them a puncher’s chance of pipping Germany to third. These are very different motivations, but do not underestimate what pride can do for a team that has been battered in every game this autumn.

Serbia vs Germany Match Details

This Nations League Group A2 fixture takes place in Serbia and represents the penultimate round of group stage action. Germany come into it knowing that anything other than a win makes the quarter finals an almost impossible ask, while Serbia are playing for pride and the slim hope of leapfrogging their opponents in the standings before the campaign wraps up.

Team News

Serbia are already short in midfield, and they will be even shorter here with two key men unavailable through suspension.

• Sasa Lukic is suspended and misses out.
• Nemanja Maksimovic is also suspended and will play no part.
• Aleksandar Mitrovic is set to win his 107th cap and leads the line as captain and talisman.
• Mihajlo Cvetkovic is expected to support Mitrovic in the final third, with one goal in five appearances for his country this cycle.
• Sergej Milinkovic Savic is set to anchor the midfield despite those absentees around him.

Germany have no fresh injuries to report, but Klopp will be keeping one eye on the booking situation heading into the final matchday.

• Philipp Treu, Malick Thiaw and Yann Bisseck are all one yellow card away from suspension, which could force cautious selection decisions or see them withdrawn early if the game is in hand.
• Marc Andre ter Stegen has been confirmed between the sticks.
• Kai Havertz leads the attack and Florian Wirtz is expected to start in behind.
• Said El Mala and Lennart Karl are both pushing for starting spots out wide.

Predicted Lineups

Paunovic does not have a great deal of flexibility given the suspension losses, so expect a relatively pragmatic shape with Milinkovic Savic doing the heavy lifting in the engine room and Mitrovic being the focal point up top. Luka Samardzic and Andrija Zivkovic are likely to provide energy on either side of the midfield, with Cvetkovic given license to roam off the striker.

Serbia: V Milinkovic Savic; Nedeljkovic, Gudelj, Babic, Erakovic, Sukacev; Samardzic, S Milinkovic Savic, Zivkovic; Cvetkovic, Mitrovic.

Klopp should go with his strongest available lineup given the stakes. Havertz through the middle, Wirtz pulling the strings, and the full backs pushing high to get bodies forward and create overloads. The booking concern around Treu, Thiaw and Bisseck might see them managed carefully if Germany get a lead.

Germany: Ter Stegen; Treu, Tah, Schlotterbeck, Brown; Nmecha, Kimmich; El Mala, Wirtz, Karl; Havertz.

Recent Form

Serbia have been in dreadful form across the board. They have lost all four of their Nations League group games, conceding two goals in three of those four fixtures, and they have now lost six consecutive matches in all competitions. The only win they have managed since the turn of 2026 is a solitary result that feels like a distant memory at this point. The defeat to Netherlands in their last outing, going down 2 to 1, summed up a campaign where they have competed in spells but been punished at crucial moments. There is a worrying softness about this Serbia side when things start going wrong.

Germany have not been particularly convincing either, but their problems look more like inconsistency than a genuine crisis. They opened with a 1 to 1 draw against Netherlands, then suffered a shock 1 to 0 home defeat to Greece that raised serious questions. They responded with a solid 2 to 0 win over Serbia in October, only to be held goalless by Greece in their most recent outing. That frustrating draw means they are playing catch up, but the Serbia win showed they can be clinical when motivated and facing a team at a lower level. The pattern here is a Germany side that struggles against quality opposition but tends to have too much for the weaker teams in the group.

That dynamic matters a lot going into this one. Serbia represent, on paper, the most winnable fixture left for Klopp. Germany will know that, and so will the players. If they come out focused from the first whistle, the gulf in quality and motivation should tell.

Head-to-Head Record

These two nations have met four times before this fixture, with Germany edging the overall record on two wins to Serbia’s one, with a draw making up the fourth result. The only time Serbia came out on top was a famous 1 to 0 group stage win at the 2010 World Cup, one of the great upsets of that tournament. Since then, the balance of power has shifted firmly in Germany’s favour, and the meeting earlier in this very Nations League group saw Germany comfortable 2 to 0 winners. That result in October is the most relevant data point here and it painted a clear picture.

There is no particular home fortress trend to concern Germany based on this limited head to head, and with Serbia so low on confidence right now, the away side will travel with justifiable optimism about repeating October’s result.

Key Stats

• Serbia have lost all four group games this Nations League campaign and are without a win in their last six matches across all competitions.
• Germany beat Serbia 2 to 0 when these sides met earlier in the group and have won two of their four all time meetings, with one draw and one defeat.
• Germany need four points from their final two games to give themselves a realistic shot at the quarter finals, making this a must win in everything but name.

Serbia vs Germany Betting Tips

Germany are the clear pick to win this, and the case for backing them is strong given the motivation gap, the quality advantage, and the head to head evidence from just a few weeks ago. The more interesting question is how to maximise value across the markets, and there are a few angles worth exploring beyond the straight result.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Three of Germany’s four group games have finished with two goals or fewer, and Serbia’s matches have tended to be tight affairs that explode late rather than open up early. With that in mind, over 2.5 goals feels like a slight stretch, but under 2.5 at a decent price makes sense. We are going under 2.5 goals.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Kai Havertz is the standout pick here. He has 25 international goals for Germany, he leads the line in Klopp’s setup, and he was directly involved when these two met in October. With Germany expected to control the game and create the better opportunities, Havertz is well positioned to get on the scoresheet first. He is our first goalscorer selection.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

Serbia have scored in three of their four group games, so they are not entirely toothless, and Mitrovic on his 107th cap will be desperate to leave a mark. However, Germany’s defensive structure has been solid enough to suggest they can keep a struggling Serbia attack quiet, particularly with Lukic and Maksimovic absent from midfield to provide service. We are going no to both teams scoring.

Corners Prediction

Germany tend to dominate possession and territory against weaker opposition, and when they get in front they typically keep pressing rather than sitting off. Serbia, chasing the game and needing a result, will be forced to push bodies forward late on. That combination should generate a decent volume of corners. We are backing over 9.5 corners in this fixture.

Bet Builder Tip

A Germany win with Havertz opening the scoring and Serbia kept off the board is a coherent combination that reflects the likely flow of a game Germany are strongly motivated to control from start to finish.

Final Match Prediction

Germany are not playing their best football right now, but they do not need to be brilliant here. Serbia are low on confidence, short in midfield, and have nothing tangible to play for in terms of qualification. Klopp’s side have already beaten them in this group and they go into this one with significantly more at stake. The motivation difference alone should be enough to settle this.

Expect Germany to take the lead before half time, manage the game sensibly in the second half, and claim a 2 to 0 win that sets up a winner takes all final matchday against Netherlands. Scoreline prediction: Serbia 0 to 2 Germany.

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