Slovenia vs Sweden Prediction Betting Tips & Preview

Date: 05/09/25
Kick-off time: 19:45
Venue: Stožice Stadium, Ljubljana

World Cup qualifiers throws Slovenia up against Sweden under the Friday night lights in Ljubljana. Both sides know how important a fast start is, and there’s a real sense that this could set the tone for their campaigns. Slovenia have been scrappy but hard to beat lately, while Sweden… well, they’ve been unpredictable but full of goals. So, who’s taking the early advantage? Let’s dig in.

Slovenia vs Sweden Team News

Slovenia

Slovenia head into this one with confidence after beating Bosnia 2-1 in their last friendly. Benjamin Verbič and Andrés Vombergar got the goals that night, and they’ll both be pushing for starts again. But the spotlight is firmly on Benjamin Šeško. The Manchester United striker is still finding his feet in the Premier League, but he’s already shown he can handle the big stage. Remember his goal against Sweden in the Nations League a few years back?

Defensively, Slovenia look steady, but goals are their main problem. They’ve scored more than once in just two of their last 15 competitive games. That’s a worrying stat for Matjaž Kek’s men, especially against a Swedish side that loves to attack.

Sweden

Sweden come into this one off the back of a wild 4-3 win over Algeria. Ken Sema stole the headlines with a hat-trick, while Viktor Gyökeres and Alexander Isak will both be key going forward. The big miss? Tottenham’s Dejan Kulusevski. He’s out, which takes away some creativity, but this team still has plenty of firepower.

Boss Jon Dahl Tomasson will also be happy that Gyökeres is off the mark at Arsenal already. Combine him with Isak – who’s fresh from sealing a blockbuster move to Liverpool – and you’ve got two strikers who can punish any defence.

Likely Lineups

Slovenia: Oblak; Karnicnik, Bijol, Brekalo, Janža; Stankovic, Elsnik; Verbič, Gnezda Čerin, Mlakar; Šeško

Sweden: Olsen; Krafth, Lindelöf, Ekdal, Augustinsson; Olsson, Cajuste; Sema, Forsberg, Gyökeres; Isak

Slovenia vs Sweden Betting Tips

Here’s what I think… this game has Sweden written all over it. They score for fun, even if they leave the back door open. Slovenia don’t create much, so unless Šeško produces something special, they’ll struggle to keep up.

A couple of betting angles worth a look:

• Sweden to win & under 3.5 goals (tight but controlled).
• Viktor Gyökeres anytime scorer.
• Both teams NOT to score (Slovenia’s goal record is poor).

Slovenia vs Sweden Match Prediction

Slovenia will sit deep, try to frustrate, and hit on the counter with Šeško. But Sweden have too much going forward. Even without Kulusevski, they’ve got energy, movement, and a real threat in the final third.

Match Prediction: Sweden to win. Bet with bet365.

Slovenia vs Sweden Correct Score Tips & Prediction

If you’re looking for an exact score, I’d lean towards a 2-0 Sweden win. Slovenia don’t score much, and Sweden’s quality should eventually tell. A late second goal wouldn’t surprise me once Slovenia chase the game.

Correct Score Prediction: Slovenia 0-2 Sweden. Bet with bet365.

Slovenia vs Sweden Over & Under Goals Betting Tips

The history between these two screams low-scoring. Four previous meetings, all under 3 goals. Slovenia’s attack isn’t clicking, but Sweden’s is. The balance? A couple of goals, but not a flood.

Over/Under Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.

Slovenia vs Sweden Bet Builder Tip

Here’s a combo I like for Friday night in Ljubljana:

• Sweden to win
• Both teams to score – No
• Viktor Gyökeres anytime scorer
• Under 3.5 total goals

That feels like the sweet spot for how this game plays out. Sweden have the edge, Gyökeres is in form, and Slovenia’s lack of goals keeps the scoreline low.

Bet Builder Tip: Sweden to Win, BTTS No, Gyökeres Anytime, Under 3.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.

Key Stats

• Sweden have scored 30 goals in their last 10 matches.
• All four previous meetings between these sides ended with under 3 goals.
• Slovenia have scored more than once in just 2 of their last 15 games.
• Sweden are unbeaten in their last 5 away qualifiers.

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Visit our football previews & predictions page for more betting tips on upcoming matches.

Who will win between Slovenia and Sweden?

Sweden look stronger and should edge this one.

What will the score be in the Slovenia vs Sweden match?

A 2-0 Sweden win looks the most likely outcome.

Who are the key players to watch?

Benjamin Šeško for Slovenia. Viktor Gyökeres and Alexander Isak for Sweden.

When is Slovenia vs Sweden being played?

Friday, September 5, at the Stožice Stadium in Ljubljana.