Fiorentina vs Pisa Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

Featured Offer

bet365

Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets

Claim Offer →

Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org #ad

Fiorentina

vs

Pisa

KickoffTuesday 15 September 2026, 8:00pm

VenueArena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani

CompetitionCoppa Italia

Fiorentina are a club trying to rediscover themselves after a chaotic opening to the season, and Tuesday night at Stadio Franchi represents the perfect opportunity to build a bit of momentum. Paolo Vanoli is back in the dugout and already has a winning result on the board, which is more than his predecessor managed in four attempts. Pisa, meanwhile, arrive as a side currently trying to find their feet in Serie B after a painful top flight stay that ended almost before it began. The gap between these two clubs right now is significant, and this fixture reflects that.

That said, Pisa are not coming here just to make up the numbers. Paolo Bianco has a squad that contains experienced heads, and a Coppa Italia run is exactly the kind of distraction a promotion chasing side could do without but also cannot afford to ignore. The Nerazzurri need wins and confidence wherever they can find them. Whether they are capable of nicking anything at the Franchi tonight is another question entirely.

Fiorentina vs Pisa Match Details

This is a Coppa Italia second round tie played at Stadio Franchi in Florence. The winner earns a trip to Napoli in the last 16, which gives both clubs a tangible incentive beyond just progression. For Fiorentina, this competition holds real significance given their history in it, including a final appearance as recently as 2023. For Pisa, it represents a chance to go deeper than they managed last season when they were knocked out at this exact stage.

Team News

Fiorentina are in a good position squad wise heading into this one. Vanoli has a full complement of options available to him barring one long term absentee, which gives him real flexibility to rotate and still field a strong side.

• Fabiano Parisi remains out with a long term injury and is the only confirmed absentee for the hosts
• Summer signings Pedro Goncalves, Alieu Njie and Willy Gnonto all featured at Venezia and rotation is expected here
• Mateo Pellegrino is pushing for a start up front having scored in each of his last two appearances
• Beto, who started at Venezia, may be rested with Pellegrino ready to step in
• For Pisa, midfielder Mehdi Leris was sent off in Friday’s defeat and faces a question over his selection here
• Stefano Moreo returned from injury during that same game and is now pushing for a starting role

Predicted Lineups

Vanoli will rotate, but he will not take this lightly. Expect a blend of squad players and those pushing for regular starts. Pellegrino should get his chance through the middle, with Goncalves likely to feature again given his early impression. The back line may see some shuffling but the structure will remain familiar.

Fiorentina predicted lineup: De Gea; Mario, Pongracic, Ranieri, Viery; Ndour, Oulai, Brescianini; Goncalves, Pellegrino, Gnonto

Bianco will also ring the changes after a humbling 4-1 loss at home to Virtus Entella. Moreo could well start if his fitness allows it, and the Leris situation will need careful handling given what is at stake with the red card and any potential suspension in Serie B. Pisa are likely to line up with a compact shape and look to be hard to beat.

Pisa predicted lineup: Confente; Calabresi, Canestrelli, Primasso; Vural, Leone, Loyola, Angori; Ferrah, Moreo; Petagna

Recent Form

Fiorentina’s season started as badly as you can imagine. Fabio Grosso, only appointed in the summer, oversaw a 4-1 cup win over Benevento before things fell apart spectacularly. Four matches in and he was gone, which is an almost unheard of start for any manager at a club of this size. The decision to bring Vanoli back, having guided the Viola to safety in an interim capacity last season, looks a smart one. His first game back produced a genuinely entertaining 4-2 win at Venezia, with the Real Madrid loanee Franco Mastantuono grabbing a hat trick. That is a proper platform to build on.

Pisa’s recent form tells a very different story. They were relegated from Serie A last season after a collapse that was hard to watch, losing nine games on the spin at the end of the campaign and conceding 22 goals in that run alone. They managed just four points between February and May. Now back in Serie B under Bianco, who has a solid track record after taking Monza up through the playoffs, they have started with two defeats in four games. The 4-1 home loss to Virtus Entella on Friday was particularly damaging, and losing Leris to a red card in the first half made it even harder for them to compete. That kind of form against second tier opposition does not inspire confidence ahead of a trip to Florence.

What matters for this game is that Fiorentina have genuine quality throughout their squad, even with rotation. The summer recruitment brought in several players who are still finding their feet under the new manager, but collectively they represent a level far above what Pisa can match right now. Vanoli will be looking for a controlled performance rather than a thriller, but with the attacking talent available to him, goals are likely to come.

Head-to-Head Record

These two clubs come from the same region of Tuscany, which gives this fixture a local derby flavour despite the significant gulf in their current standings. Fiorentina have historically been the dominant force in any meeting between these sides, and that superiority is reflected in the head to head record. Pisa have rarely troubled the Viola when they have met in knockout competition or in the league, and there is little in recent history to suggest that dynamic has changed.

Pisa have never won the Coppa Italia, which underlines their status as a club without a deep tradition in the competition. Fiorentina, who have lifted the trophy six times, know how to navigate these ties. Home advantage at the Franchi matters in a one legged knockout format, and Fiorentina will be expecting to control this one from relatively early on.

Key Stats

• Fiorentina scored four goals in their Serie A opener at Venezia, with Mastantuono claiming a hat trick on his first competitive appearance under Vanoli
• Pisa conceded four at home to Virtus Entella in Serie B on Friday, having already lost to a red card inside the first half
• Fiorentina have reached the Coppa Italia final as recently as 2023 and have won the competition six times, Pisa have never lifted the trophy

Fiorentina vs Pisa Betting Tips

Fiorentina are the clear favourites here and the underlying logic is hard to argue with. They have more quality, they are at home, they have a manager who knows the club inside out, and they are facing a Pisa side that just shipped four goals to a Serie B team. Vanoli will want a professional night rather than a shootout, but the Viola have the tools to win this comfortably. The question for punters is less about who wins and more about how the game plays out in terms of goals, cards and corners.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Given the difference in quality and Pisa’s recent defensive problems, goals look likely here. Fiorentina have attack minded players who will see this as a chance to build confidence, and Pisa have conceded freely in recent weeks. Over 2.5 goals looks the sensible call, with the hosts capable of finding the net two or three times on their own.

Corners Prediction

Fiorentina will dominate possession and territory, which should translate into plenty of attacking pressure and set piece opportunities. When one side is pushing for goals from wide areas against a side defending deep, the corner count tends to climb. Over 9.5 corners in the game looks reasonable with Fiorentina likely to generate the bulk of them.

Cards Prediction

Pisa already had a player dismissed on Friday, which shows the discipline issues that can creep in when a team is under pressure. When a lower division side comes to a ground like the Franchi and finds themselves chasing the game, the frustration tends to show. Expect at least two or three bookings across the 90 minutes, with Pisa the more likely source of them. Over 2.5 cards in the match is worth considering.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

Pisa have shown they can find the net, getting on the scoresheet against Empoli in their first round win, but Fiorentina’s defence under Vanoli should be more organised than what Pisa have faced recently. The hosts keeping a clean sheet is genuinely plausible here, so BTTS No looks the smarter side of this market. Fiorentina to win to nil carries appeal if you want to back the home side with a bit more value attached.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Mateo Pellegrino is the pick here. He has scored in each of his last two appearances and is expected to lead the line in place of Beto, which means he should get plenty of service in what looks like a favourable matchup. A young striker in form, starting at home against a defence that has leaked goals at an alarming rate, is a decent first goalscorer proposition.

Bet Builder Tip

Fiorentina winning with goals in the game and Pellegrino finding the net all point in the same direction given the current form of both sides and the quality gap between them.

Final Match Prediction

This has Fiorentina win written all over it. Vanoli gets his second successive victory, the squad depth he has available is more than enough to handle a Pisa side still trying to find any kind of rhythm in Serie B, and the Franchi crowd will be in decent spirits after what happened at Venezia. A comfortable home win is the most likely outcome.

Fiorentina 3-0 Pisa is the prediction. The hosts control proceedings, Pellegrino gets on the scoresheet, and the Viola book their place in the last 16 with a professional, controlled performance under their returning manager.

Featured Offer

bet365

Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets

Claim Offer →

Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org #ad