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Leeds United vs Newcastle United Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview
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Leeds UnitedLeeds United
vs
Newcastle UnitedNewcastle United
KickoffMonday 14 September 2026, 7:00pm
VenueElland Road
CompetitionEnglish Premier League
TV ChannelDisney+ Hotstar
Who do you think will win?

Monday night football under the lights at Elland Road. There are few better settings in English football, and this one has real bite to it. Leeds United and Newcastle United are both unbeaten after three Premier League gameweeks, both sitting on five points, separated only by goal difference. One of them is about to blink first, or neither of them will. Either way, this fixture has all the ingredients for a proper autumn evening classic.

Both clubs arrive on the back of EFL Cup action in midweek, with contrasting results and contrasting levels of drama. Leeds were involved in an absolute circus at Stamford Bridge, going two goals up before somehow ending up on the wrong end of a 6-3 scoreline. Newcastle were far more composed, grinding out a 1-0 win over Millwall through a Joe Willock goal. Jaissle’s side look cool and organised under their new manager. Farke’s side look exciting but occasionally fragile. Monday night should tell us a lot about where both clubs genuinely are.

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Match Details

Leeds United host Newcastle United at Elland Road on Monday 14th September 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 8pm. The match is a Premier League gameweek four fixture, rounding off the weekend’s top flight action under the lights in West Yorkshire.

Team News

Leeds have come through the Chelsea game without picking up any fresh injury concerns, which is a relief given how hectic that night was. Farke has confirmed that Ilia Gruev could be back available after a knee problem, which would be a welcome boost in midfield. The main absentee remains Joe Rodon, who is facing eight to ten weeks out with a thigh injury, while Mateo Joseph continues his recovery from an ACL problem and will not be involved.

  • Joe Rodon: out, thigh injury, eight to ten weeks
  • Mateo Joseph: out, ACL recovery
  • Ilia Gruev: doubt, knee problem, could return

Newcastle have a concern at right back after Amar Dedic was withdrawn at half time against Millwall with hamstring discomfort. The word coming out of the camp is that it is not serious, but Jaissle may decide not to risk him. Further back in the treatment room, Joelinton, Dan Burn and William Osula are all expected to miss out and are unlikely to return until after the international break. Ewen Jaouen may have a chance of being available after an ankle problem of his own.

  • Amar Dedic: doubt, hamstring discomfort
  • Joelinton: out, thigh
  • Dan Burn: out, ankle
  • William Osula: out, ankle
  • Ewen Jaouen: possible return from ankle issue

Predicted Lineups

Farke made wholesale changes in the League Cup and will now go back to his strongest available side. Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads the line, and with seven Premier League goals against Newcastle to his name, he will be relishing this one. Gruev’s potential return adds an interesting selection dilemma in the middle of the park, but otherwise this looks like a settled XI that has had a week to prepare properly.

  • Leeds United (predicted): Trafford; Justin, Muharemovic, Elvedi; Bogle, Stach, Tanaka, Ampadu, Gudmundsson; Calvert-Lewin, Okafor

Jaissle’s main headache is at right back. If Dedic cannot go, then Tino Livramento is the man to step in. The Englishman got 45 minutes against Millwall after making a brief cameo the week before, so he has some minutes in the legs. The rest of the side looks fairly settled, with Wissa up top and Barnes operating behind him, looking to cause problems on the counter.

  • Newcastle United (predicted): Hornicek; Livramento, Thiaw, Botman, Hall; Gonzalez, Miley; Elanga, Willock, Barnes; Wissa

Recent Form

Leeds have been one of the more eye-catching stories of the early Premier League season. They are one of only eight sides to avoid defeat in the first three rounds, and crucially they have scored in every single game. The 1-1 draw with Brighton last weekend felt like two points dropped rather than one gained, with Jayden Bogle’s opener cancelled out by Luka Vuscovic, but the underlying numbers paint a picture of a side that is genuinely difficult to play against. Only one of their last 12 Premier League matches has ended in defeat, which is a remarkable run of consistency for a side that many expected to struggle after promotion.

The Chelsea cup game was a reality check of sorts, but context matters there. Leeds were two goals up and had Chelsea rattled before Xabi Alonso threw his big money options on and turned the tie completely. The 6-3 scoreline looks embarrassing but glosses over the fact that a very good side needed their A-list reinforcements to dig them out. Farke will know that, and he will have used it as a teaching moment rather than a confidence crusher. What it did expose is that Leeds can be vulnerable when games open up and opponents get momentum behind them.

Newcastle’s form under Jaissle has been quietly impressive. Five points from three games, a come-from-behind 2-2 draw at home to Bournemouth after being two goals down, and a professional cup win in midweek. The Magpies have scored at least two goals in every Premier League game this season, which tells you they have plenty of attacking threat. However, conceding more shots than any other side in the top flight through the first three gameweeks is a number that demands attention. They have the quality to hurt teams, but they can be got at.

Head-to-Head Record

Newcastle have not lost to Leeds in the Premier League for six games, which is a streak worth noting. Their last meeting in January was a extraordinary 4-3 home win for the Magpies, a result that only arrived because Harvey Barnes scored at 101 minutes and 48 seconds, making it one of the latest goals in Premier League history. That is the kind of result that can haunt a side if they let it get into their head, although this Leeds squad has changed considerably since that night.

Newcastle can also set a new benchmark for themselves on Monday. Win here and they will have taken maximum points from their first two away Premier League games of a season for the first time since 1995-96, which was over 30 years ago. That kind of historical milestone tells you just how good a result it would be for them, and equally how rare it is for Newcastle to travel well in the early weeks of a campaign.

Key Stats

  • Newcastle have conceded more shots than any other Premier League side through three gameweeks, 61 in total
  • Leeds have applied the second-highest number of high-intensity pressures in the opposition half in the league so far, 528, which points to a real physical threat from Farke’s side
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored seven Premier League goals against Newcastle, more than he has managed against any other opponent in the competition
  • Newcastle are unbeaten in six Premier League meetings with Leeds

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Betting Tips

This is a match where the numbers point in one clear direction: goals. Both sides carry a real attacking threat, Leeds press with intensity and create chances, and Newcastle have been scoring freely while also leaking shots at an alarming rate. The right back situation for the Magpies creates a potential weakness on that flank that Leeds will want to exploit. Add in the fact that Calvert-Lewin has an almost personal rivalry with Newcastle defenders, and you have a game that feels ripe for a few goals and a close, competitive finish.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

Yes, both teams to score. Leeds have found the net in every Premier League game this season and Newcastle have managed at least two in each of theirs. With Calvert-Lewin drooling at the prospect of facing his favourite opponents and Newcastle’s attack looking sharp, there is very little reason to think either goalkeeper gets a clean sheet here.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Over 2.5 goals looks like a strong call. Newcastle’s matches have already featured goals in bunches this season, and Leeds at home carry real threat going forward. The away side’s defensive fragility, evidenced by that shots against number, makes it hard to see this finishing as a tight, low-scoring affair. Over 2.5 goals, potentially over 3.5 if you want to be bolder.

Correct Score Prediction

A 2-2 draw feels like the most likely outcome here. Both sides are pushing for an unbeaten start, neither looks especially nailed on to get the win, and the statistical picture suggests goals at both ends. Leeds score first through Calvert-Lewin, Newcastle level, and then the game swings back and forth before ending all square. Elland Road would take that, even if it feels like more points dropped for the home side.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the obvious shout and the stats back it up completely. Seven Premier League goals against Newcastle makes him the standout pick here. He will start through the middle for Leeds, he will be up for this one personally, and if Livramento is in at right back for Newcastle rather than the more experienced Dedic, then Calvert-Lewin and whoever operates down that side will fancy their chances of exploiting a player who is short of match sharpness.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 corners. Leeds press high and force teams backwards, which tends to generate corners at both ends. Newcastle like to get wide and deliver, and with the game expected to be open and end to end, both sides will be winning set piece opportunities regularly. A high-tempo, attacking Monday night game like this typically produces double figures in corners.

Cards Prediction

Over 2.5 cards. This is a fixture with some needle to it and both managers will have their sides set up to be competitive and physical. Leeds press relentlessly, which can lead to frustration and cynical fouls when they win the ball back quickly. Newcastle have enough combative players in midfield to contribute to a feisty card count. A Monday night clash between two unbeaten sides with European ambitions on the line has all the hallmarks of a game where the referee will be busy.

Bet Builder Tip

Market Selection
Both Teams To Score Yes
First Goalscorer Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Total Corners Over 9.5

Calvert-Lewin against his favourite opponents in a high-pressing, end-to-end game that is almost certain to produce goals at both ends and a stack of corners makes this a tidy combination that all points in the same direction.

Final Match Prediction

Leeds United 2-2 Newcastle United. Both sides have too much attacking quality to be kept quiet, and neither backline has looked completely watertight so far this season. Calvert-Lewin will cause Newcastle problems all night, but the Magpies have the pace and creativity to hurt Leeds on the counter, particularly if the home side chase the game at any point.

Farke will be desperate to get that fourth unbeaten Premier League start on the board, and Jaissle will be eyeing a historic away record for his side. In the end, the spoils are shared. Elland Road gets a Monday night thriller, Calvert-Lewin adds to his Newcastle collection, and both managers walk away with their unbeaten runs intact but knowing there are things to work on before the international break.

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Corners Betting Tips
Read
Liam Johnson
Over 9.5 Corners
Tottenham v Everton

Here you'll find football corners betting tips from our expert football analyst, Liam Johnson. All of the corner predictions published here on WhichBookie are 100% free.

Date published: September 12, 2026

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