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Queens Park Rangers
Preston North EndCan QPR use this one to kickstart a run, or will Preston’s chaos prove more of a leveller than it should? That is the real question hanging over Loftus Road this weekend. The Hoops are sitting pretty in the top five but they have not won in three, and there is a version of this fixture where a rudderless Preston side nicks something they barely deserve. The version I think is more likely looks quite different though, and I will explain why below.
Preston are arriving without a permanent manager and with a goal difference that tells you everything you need to know about their season so far. QPR have their own wobble to shake off. Something has to give.
This Championship fixture takes place at Loftus Road, the compact west London ground that QPR have made genuinely difficult for opponents this season. The Championship table still has plenty of shuffling to do at both ends, and this game matters in very different ways to the two clubs involved. QPR want to pull clear of the chasing pack and get back to winning ways. Preston desperately need points to drag themselves off the foot of the table, and they are doing so without the man who was supposed to be leading that fight after Paul Heckingbottom was shown the door following a defeat to Lincoln City.
QPR have a few selection headaches to manage, and the fitness of Paul Smyth is the main one. He pulled up during the first half against West Brom and did not make it to half time, so his involvement here looks doubtful. Beyond that, Julien Stephan is without a chunk of his first team options.
For Preston, it is a strange one. Heckingbottom has gone, which means nobody is entirely sure who picks the team or what shape they line up in. The narrow defeat to Lincoln, where they only conceded in the 81st minute, might encourage whoever is in charge to keep things largely the same. Delano Burgzorg and Jusef Erabi could come back into attacking positions, with Alfie Devine potentially given a central berth. The right back slot is a dilemma, with Liam Gibbs, a central midfielder by trade, and Harry Clarke both in contention.
Stephan is likely to shuffle his attacking options slightly given Smyth’s fitness issues. Scarlett could come in and provide directness from the flank, and the back four should remain solid with Clarke-Salter and Edwards at the heart of it.
QPR likely XI: Charles; Mbengue, Edwards, Clarke-Salter, Cirkin; Varane, Madsen; Poku, Vale, Scarlett; Burrell
Preston’s interim setup is the real unknown. If they go with what Heckingbottom had working towards the end of his tenure, it could be a fairly compact 4231 shape with Burgzorg and Erabi looking to carry the threat up top. Whoever takes training this week will likely keep things simple rather than tear it all up.
Preston likely XI: Iversen; Gibbs, Offiah, Storey, Vukcevic; Mills, Thompson, Devine, Burgzorg; Lang, Erabi
QPR have twelve points from seven Championship games, which is a return most clubs would snap your hand off for at this stage. The problem is that three of their last three have ended without a win, and the attacking output has dried up badly. One goal in three games, and that was an own goal at The Hawthorns in a 1-1 draw. When your best creative players are sidelined and your form striker is a fitness doubt, that kind of drought makes sense, but it still needs addressing.
What QPR do have going for them is an outstanding defensive record. Five goals conceded from seven games, and they have not shipped more than one in any single Championship fixture this season. Their only loss in normal time came at home to Middlesbrough, a 1-0 defeat that looks more like an anomaly than a pattern. This is a team built on a solid foundation, and they do not panic. The attacking form will come back. The question is whether it comes back here.
Preston’s form is genuinely alarming. Seven defeats from eight games under Heckingbottom, with the most recent a 1-0 home loss to Lincoln. That result proved to be the final straw, and he left with a win ratio of barely over a quarter across his entire stint at Deepdale. What makes Preston’s situation complicated is that their defensive record in Heckingbottom’s last three games was not catastrophic, conceding just four across matches against Blackburn, Watford and Lincoln. The problem is at the other end. Six goals all season, joint worst in the division, and a goal difference that keeps them off the bottom only by the thinnest of margins. You can defend solidly enough and still be deep in trouble if you cannot score.
QPR and Preston have a fairly familiar Championship rivalry, the kind of fixture that appears regularly enough that both sets of supporters have a decent read on the other. Loftus Road has generally been a decent hunting ground for the Hoops in recent meetings, and there is little in the head to head history to suggest Preston travel well to west London. Preston’s away form this season is part of the reason they are sitting where they are, and facing a QPR side that has kept things tight at home is not the fixture a struggling team wants when they are trying to find their feet under new interim leadership.
The narrative here is fairly straightforward. QPR are the more organised, more settled and more defensively sound of the two sides. Preston are in freefall, managerless and unable to score goals with any consistency. The Hoops need a win to stop their own mini wobble turning into something more serious. This feels like a fixture that sets up well for QPR across several markets.
Preston are a side under pressure and playing without the kind of structure a settled manager provides, which usually means more desperate challenges and frustrated players as the game gets away from them. QPR have the quality to get in behind and win free kicks in dangerous areas. Expect four or five bookings across the ninety minutes, with Preston likely contributing the majority.
This one pulls in two directions. QPR’s defensive solidity suggests goals might be limited, but Preston’s inability to keep clean sheets and their organisational uncertainty tips it towards a few going in. QPR’s drought needs to end somewhere, and a disorganised Preston backline is as good a place as any. Over 2.5 goals looks the call.
Burrell leads the line for QPR and with service coming from the wide areas, he is the natural pick to open the scoring. Preston will be vulnerable to runs in behind and Burrell has the movement to exploit that. He is worth backing to get on the scoresheet first.
Preston have managed to find the net in some games this season even during the losing streak, and QPR, despite their defensive solidity, have not kept blanks every week. That said, with only six goals all season and an interim in charge, I am leaning towards QPR to shut this out and keep a clean sheet. BTTS No looks the stronger side of the market here.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Match Result | QPR to Win |
| Over and Under Goals | Over 2.5 Goals |
| First Goalscorer | Burrell |
A QPR win with goals in the game and Burrell on the scoresheet reflects the most likely flow of this fixture, with the Hoops having enough quality to open up a struggling and leaderless Preston side.
QPR need this one and they should have more than enough to get it. Preston are in genuine crisis, without a manager, without goals, and without the confidence that comes from winning football matches. A week of preparation and rest will have done Stephan’s side good, and playing at home against the division’s most out of form team is exactly the kind of fixture you want when you are trying to end a run without a win.
The Hoops to win comfortably, with the goals finally flowing again. QPR 3-1 Preston.