Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Stuttgart

vs

Borussia Dortmund

KickoffSaturday 19 September 2026, 5:30pm

VenueMHP Arena

CompetitionGerman Bundesliga

TV ChannelSky Sports Football

Stuttgart are a side with genuine quality in the final third. Deniz Undav leading the line, real pace and creativity around him, and a record at MHPArena this season that reads five wins from six at home with an aggregate score of 7-2 in their two home outings so far this term. On paper, that is a side you respect. But peel back the surface and you find a team that has been shipping goals, missing big chances, and leaking confidence at the back. Borussia Dortmund arrive in a completely different headspace. Five wins on the bounce since losing the Supercup final, 16 goals scored, three clean sheets, and a manager in Niko Kovac who has his squad firing on multiple cylinders right now.

This is a fixture between a side that looks dangerous in patches but fragile over 90 minutes, and one that has found the kind of ruthless consistency that title contenders need. Stuttgart are sitting in 14th. Dortmund are second, separated from top spot only by goal difference. The contrast in trajectories could not be sharper.

Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Match Details

This Bundesliga fixture takes place at the MHPArena in Stuttgart, a ground where the hosts have been genuinely tough to beat this season. Dortmund make the trip as one of the form sides in German football, and the occasion carries real weight at this early stage of the 2026/27 campaign with both clubs at very different ends of the table.

Team News

Stuttgart are dealing with a significant injury crisis that has hit their attacking options particularly hard. Up to eight players could miss out, and the defensive setup will also need reshaping with Dan-Axel Zagadou absent. Dortmund have their own concerns at centre-back but have enough cover to cope.

• Stuttgart: Dan-Axel Zagadou out, which opens the door for a three-man backline featuring Finn Jeltsch, Jeff Chabot and Maximilian Mittelstadt
• Stuttgart: Multiple attacking players carrying knocks heading into the weekend, with up to eight first-team players facing a fitness battle
• Dortmund: Emre Can and Filippo Mane both remain injured and will not feature
• Dortmund: Teenage forward Konstantinos Karetsas is back in the squad after circulatory problems but is unlikely to start
• Dortmund: Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck and Joane Gadou are all fit and available at centre-back

Predicted Lineups

Sebastian Hoeness will almost certainly set Stuttgart up in a back three given the absence of Zagadou, with Jeltsch, Chabot and Mittelstadt forming that defensive unit. Joakim Maehle or Vagnoman could provide width on the right, with Chris Fuhrich offering a similar outlet on the left. Deniz Undav leads the attack and will be hoping Bilal El Khannouss and Dzenan Pejcinovic can provide the support play he needs.

Dortmund look likely to line up with Gregor Kobel in goal behind a back three of Anton, Schlotterbeck and Gadou. Julian Ryerson and a left-sided option provide the wing-back energy, with Jude Bellingham’s brother Jobe, Lukas Nmecha and a creative presence in the middle. Ethan Nwaneri and Fabio Silva support Serhou Guirassy, who leads the line.

• Stuttgart: Bredlow; Jeltsch, Chabot, Mittelstadt; Vagnoman, Promel, Stiller, Fuhrich; Undav, El Khannouss; Pejcinovic
• Dortmund: Kobel; Anton, Schlotterbeck, Gadou; Ryerson, Bellingham, Nmecha, Svensson; Nwaneri, Silva; Guirassy

Recent Form

Stuttgart’s 2026/27 campaign has been a tale of two halves within each game. They are creating chances at a good rate and have scored at least three goals three times across all competitions, which tells you the attacking intent is there. But then you look at the defensive numbers and the picture gets messy. Five of their nine conceded in the league came in a 5-1 hammering by Bayern Munich on the opening weekend, so some of that looks misleading. Except they then went and lost 2-1 to Hoffenheim having missed four of their five big chances in that game. The clean sheet record is also telling: one in five matches, and that came in a DFB-Pokal romp against Hansa Rostock.

Dortmund are a different story entirely. Three wins from three in the Bundesliga, nine points, and five straight victories across all competitions. Their 3-0 win over Paderborn last time out looked comfortable on the scoresheet but took until the 80th minute to be fully put to bed, which is a minor caveat worth noting. Still, 16 goals in five games with three clean sheets is the form of a side that is clicking. Kovac has them organised and clinical, and the attacking options at his disposal give Dortmund a flexibility that few sides in the Bundesliga can match right now.

The concern for Stuttgart is that they are not just losing games, they are failing to convert chances when they create them and then getting punished on the break. That is the kind of pattern that gets exploited by a team as sharp as Dortmund.

Head-to-Head Record

The head to head record here reads much better for Stuttgart than the current form tables would suggest. Dortmund have won just once in their last eight meetings with Die Roten, losing five of those encounters. That is a remarkable statistic for a club of Dortmund’s stature and it is not something Kovac’s backroom staff will be ignoring going into this one.

The one victory Dortmund did manage in that run came back in April, a 2-0 win, so the memory of how to beat this Stuttgart side is relatively fresh. But the historical pattern here is worth respecting. Stuttgart have a habit of making life difficult for Dortmund, and at a ground where they have been almost unbeatable recently, that is a factor that adds genuine uncertainty to what the current form lines would suggest should be a comfortable away win.

Key Stats

• Stuttgart have won five of their last six home matches and are unbeaten at MHPArena in 2026/27
• Dortmund have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches and scored 16 goals in that run
• Stuttgart have missed a significant number of big chances this season, including four from five in their loss to Hoffenheim
• Dortmund have won just one of their last eight meetings with Stuttgart, losing five

Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Tips

The case for Dortmund is strong. Their form is excellent, their squad depth is real, and Stuttgart’s defensive vulnerabilities look tailor-made to be exploited by a side with Guirassy, Nwaneri and Silva at their disposal. But the head to head record, the home fortress Stuttgart have built at MHPArena, and the injury issues disrupting Dortmund’s centre-back options mean this is not as straightforward as the league table makes it look. I still fancy BVB to come away with the points, but Stuttgart will contribute to an open, attacking game.

Cards Prediction

Stuttgart are under pressure at home and will need to be aggressive to compete, particularly with their makeshift back three facing a high-tempo Dortmund attack. Expect at least three or four bookings across the 90 minutes as the hosts try to disrupt BVB in transition. Over 3.5 cards looks a fair shout.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Stuttgart have a leaky backline and create chances at a solid rate. Dortmund are scoring for fun right now. Both sides have enough going forward to suggest this will not be a low-scoring affair, and with Stuttgart needing to attack to stay relevant in the game, there should be space for Dortmund to exploit on the break. Over 2.5 goals looks like the smart call here.

Correct Score Prediction

Stuttgart will likely grab one given their creative output and the fact that Dortmund have looked slightly vulnerable in moments despite their clean sheet record. But Dortmund’s attacking depth should see them score multiple times against a defence that has been shipping goals all season. A 1-3 away win feels like the most likely outcome, giving Stuttgart a consolation but ultimately confirming BVB’s quality on the night.

Corners Prediction

Both sides are attack-minded and Stuttgart in particular will be pushing forward at MHPArena with the crowd behind them. Dortmund’s wing-backs also love to get forward and whip balls into the box. Over 9.5 corners is the play here, with the game likely to have enough end-to-end action to generate a healthy tally from set-piece situations.

Bet Builder Tip

Dortmund’s firepower should be enough to take the win, Stuttgart’s attacking quality means they are unlikely to be completely shut out, and the open nature of this fixture should generate plenty of set-piece action throughout the 90 minutes.

Final Match Prediction

Stuttgart will make this competitive. Their home record this season is genuinely impressive, the crowd will be right behind them, and the head to head history suggests Dortmund do not find it easy at MHPArena. But the gap in current form, squad depth and defensive solidity between these two sides is significant right now. Dortmund are scoring freely, defending well, and they have a squad loaded with attacking options that can hurt Stuttgart’s patched-up back three from multiple angles.

Hoeness needs results fast to pull Stuttgart up the table, and that need to attack should actually play into Dortmund’s hands. Kovac’s side will be comfortable sitting off and catching the hosts on the break. Give me Dortmund to win this 1-3, with Stuttgart grabbing a well-worked goal of their own but ultimately unable to contain the visitors across the full 90 minutes.

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