Newcastle United vs Hull City Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Newcastle United

vs

Hull City

KickoffSaturday 19 September 2026, 3:00pm

VenueSt James Park

CompetitionEnglish Premier League

Newcastle are under pressure to respond after a nightmare Monday night up at Elland Road, and now they get Hull City rocking up to St James’ Park fresh off the back of a draw at Chelsea. On paper it sounds like a home banker, but this is shaping up to be anything but straightforward. Is Newcastle’s leaky defence about to be exposed again by the most exciting promoted side in years, or can Matthias Jaissle’s young squad show they have the character to bounce back? Let’s dig in.

There is real intrigue here. Two clubs heading in very different directions in terms of momentum, meeting for the first time in a league context in a decade. That context matters. So does the table, because Hull City are sitting in fourth place and they are there on merit.

Newcastle United vs Hull City Match Details

St James’ Park plays host to this Premier League fixture, with Newcastle looking to arrest a worrying slide after the international break sandwiches this game alongside their trip to Coventry. It is a big fortnight for Jaissle’s side, and it starts here against a Hull outfit that are writing their own Premier League story in the most unexpected fashion.

Team News

Newcastle are dealing with a proper injury crisis heading into this one, and Jaissle has limited options to work with across the squad.

• Anthony Elanga (unspecified) is out after being left out of the matchday squad at Leeds
• Jacob Ramsey (thigh) picked up his injury in the warm up before the Leeds game
• Nico Gonzalez is missing with concussion after coming off early at Elland Road
• Amar Dedic (hamstring), Dan Burn (ankle), Ewen Jaouen (ankle), Joelinton (thigh) and William Osula (foot) are all sidelined
• Bazoumana Toure could earn his first Premier League start after scoring against Leeds, with Jacob Murphy potentially making way
• Harvey Barnes could shift to the right flank to accommodate Toure on the left
• Sean Steur and Lewis Miley are in contention to start together in central midfield, though Joe Willock and Aladji Bamba are pushing for recalls
• Tino Livramento and Fabian Schar are both hoping to force their way into the starting eleven

Hull have their own injury list to manage, though their squad depth has looked impressive so far this season.

• Ilyas Ansah (back), Jack Butland (shoulder), Charlie Hughes (groin), Hidemasa Morita (groin), Elliot Matazo (knee and ineligible) and Darko Gyabi (thigh and ineligible) are all unavailable
• Nobel Mendy was taken to hospital after a nasty head injury in the Chelsea draw and is a serious doubt
• Nineteen year old Lucas Herrington could come in at centre back alongside John Egan and Semi Ajeyi
• Brooke Norton Cuffy, Lucas Gourna Douath, Tim Iroegbunam, Sorba Thomas and Mohamed Ali Cho are all pushing for places

Predicted Lineups

Jaissle looks likely to go with Hornicek in goal behind a back four of Livramento, Thiaw, Botman and Hall. The midfield is where the real selection headache lies, with Steur and Miley possibly handed the responsibility of controlling the game despite their combined age barely touching 40. Barnes, Fernandez Pardo and Toure could support lone striker Wissa in the forward positions.

Jakirovic has no real reason to deviate from what has been working. Tzolakis starts in goal, with Ajeyi, Egan and Herrington forming a back three. Coyle and Slater as the wing backs, Crooks and Giles in the engine room, and Belloumi and Stroud supporting McBurnie up top. The system is settled and the players know their roles.

Recent Form

Newcastle’s form coming into this is a story of two halves. They had put together a five game unbeaten run across all competitions, which gave real hope that Jaissle was getting his ideas across to the players. Then came Leeds away and a 4-1 thumping that raised serious questions about how far this squad has actually come. Conceding four goals and facing 76 shots in the Premier League this season, more than any other top flight side, tells you everything about the structural problems at the back. In 2026 alone, only Crystal Palace and Chelsea have conceded more than Newcastle’s 39 Premier League goals. That is a horrifying stat for a club with genuine ambition.

Hull City are the story of the season so far. Four games in the Premier League, eight points collected, and they have beaten Manchester United, beaten Coventry, held Aston Villa to a goalless draw and then gone to Stamford Bridge and been two goals up before settling for a point. Sergej Jakirovic has these players believing in themselves completely, and Mohamed Belloumi looks like a genuine Premier League quality attacker capable of causing havoc against anyone. Only two newly promoted sides in Premier League history have ever collected more than Hull’s eight points from their opening four fixtures. This is a serious football club right now, not just a feelgood story.

The contrast in momentum could not be starker. Newcastle are a team searching for answers. Hull are a team full of confidence and clarity about how they want to play. On current form alone, the away side deserve serious respect.

Head-to-Head Record

The two clubs have not met competitively since November 2016, when Hull beat Newcastle on penalties in the EFL Cup fifth round after a 1-1 draw, so this is effectively a fresh start in terms of recent head to head data. What is worth flagging, though, is Newcastle’s record against Hull at St James’ Park in Premier League football. The Magpies have won none of their last three home league meetings, drawing one and losing two. The most recent of those came in September 2014 when Newcastle came from two goals down to rescue a 2-2 draw. It is a small sample, but it is a pattern that adds a little extra spice to what the visiting supporters will be believing is possible today.

Key Stats

• Newcastle have faced 76 shots in the Premier League this season, more than any other top flight side, averaging 19 per game
• Hull have collected eight points from four Premier League games, a record bettered by only two promoted clubs in the entire history of the competition
• Newcastle have kept just two clean sheets in their last 20 Premier League matches

Newcastle United vs Hull City Betting Tips

This fixture has draws and goals written all over it. Newcastle need the win desperately, but they are walking into it without a clutch of key players and against a Hull side that has not lost in the league yet and is full of belief. Jaissle’s defence is porous, Belloumi is lethal, and St James’ Park could be a very nervy afternoon for the home faithful. Here is how the markets stack up.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

With Newcastle conceding goals for fun and Hull having the attacking quality to punish them, and with Newcastle also capable of finding the net themselves, this feels like a fixture built for goals. Over 2.5 is the call, and it would not be a shock if we got four or more given the defensive vulnerabilities on show from both sides recently.

Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle have enough attacking quality to score, and Hull have too much going forward to be kept out by this back line. A 2-2 draw feels like the most natural outcome here, mirroring the chaotic nature of this Newcastle defensive setup and Hull’s ability to take their chances against top flight opposition.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Mohamed Belloumi is the standout pick here. He scored twice at Stamford Bridge and has looked a cut above anything defenders have thrown at him so far this season. Facing a Newcastle back line that has struggled for cohesion and confidence, the Hull attacker looks well placed to get on the scoresheet early at St James’ Park.

Corners Prediction

Newcastle will push for the win at home and get bodies forward, while Hull will look to use the wide areas and press aggressively. Both of those approaches tend to generate corners at a healthy rate. Over 9.5 corners looks a solid bet in this one, with the game likely to have plenty of tempo and both sides attacking with intent.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

Yes, and with some confidence. Newcastle have scored in their recent games and Wissa is a genuine threat as a striker. Hull have scored in every Premier League game this season. Given Newcastle’s inability to keep clean sheets, backing both teams to find the net feels like one of the safer calls on the card.

Cards Prediction

Newcastle will be desperate to win and under pressure from their own fans after the Leeds defeat. Hull are a physical, aggressive side that press with real intensity. Jaissle himself has flagged that his team were outworked in terms of duels at Elland Road, and the response from his players is likely to involve a more combative approach. Add in the frustration that tends to come when a home crowd turns on their team and you have a recipe for yellow cards. Over 3.5 cards looks the sensible play here.

Bet Builder Tip

Belloumi scoring in a game that features goals at both ends is a combination that the form book fully supports, making this a compelling bet builder for the fixture.

Final Match Prediction

Jaissle needs a response and he needs it badly. The squad is thin, the defence is leaking, and the manager has admitted his players were physically outmatched against Leeds. Hull City are exactly the kind of opponent who will run at that shaky back line without fear, because they have done it to better teams already this season and got results. Belloumi in particular looks like a nightmare matchup for a Newcastle defence low on confidence and short on personnel.

That said, St James’ Park with a full house behind them still carries weight, and Newcastle have the attacking pieces to cause Hull problems of their own. This feels like one of those games where neither side can fully get on top of the other. A 2-2 draw is the prediction, and it would be no surprise whatsoever if that is exactly how it ends.

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