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Hibernian
AberdeenThere is a real contrast in mood heading into this one. Hibernian are in freefall, rooted in ninth, with a managerial change already forced upon them before we have even reached the end of September. Aberdeen, on the other hand, rolled into the weekend off the back of a 4-0 hammering of Motherwell and are playing with the kind of swagger that makes them dangerous visitors. This is a fixture that could not have come at a worse time for a Hibs side searching for an identity, and it could not have come at a better time for a Dons team rediscovering theirs.
John Potter steps into the dugout at Easter Road in the most difficult of circumstances, asked to steady a ship that has been taking on water for weeks. The pressure on his players is enormous too. Six straight home defeats in the league is a miserable run, and the prospect of a seventh, against a side that thrashed Motherwell and is brimming with confidence, is very real. Something has to give. The question is whether a new voice in the dugout is enough to spark a reaction, or whether Aberdeen simply have too much about them right now.
This Scottish Premiership fixture takes place at Easter Road Stadium in Edinburgh, with Hibernian hosting Aberdeen in what is a pivotal game for both clubs early in the season. For Hibs, it is about halting a damaging slide under a new interim manager. For Aberdeen, it is about building on a big win and pushing into the upper reaches of the Premiership table.
Hibernian have a few gaps to fill in the squad, and Potter will be working with a slightly depleted group on his first day in the job. Aberdeen are not completely injury free either, though their issues look a little less damaging given the depth Robinson has available.
Potter is likely to make changes from the side that lost to Kilmarnock, with Boyle and Elding pushing for starts after being left out or underused recently. The interim boss will want more attacking intent and wider threat, and that likely shapes the lineup below.
For Aberdeen, Robinson has no reason to change a team that put four past Motherwell. Nisbet and Olusanya carried the attacking threat brilliantly and should continue as the forward partnership, with Afeez and Ronan providing the energy in behind them.
Hibernian: Sallinger; Kerr, Hanley, Iredale; Passlack, Mulligan, Devaney, Boyle, Mayor; Elding, Lowe
Aberdeen: Muller; Cadden, Mayo, Knoester, Molloy, Guinness-Walker; Marshall, Afeez, Ronan; Olusanya, Nisbet
Hibs got off to a promising start, winning two of their opening three league fixtures including a 2-1 win over Rangers with Callum Wright grabbing a late winner, and another 2-1 victory against Dundee. That looked like the foundation of something. But it has completely unravelled since. Three defeats on the spin against Hearts, St Johnstone and Kilmarnock, conceding seven goals and scoring none, has the Easter Road faithful furious. The 1-0 defeat to Kilmarnock was the final straw for David Gray, who paid for a sixth consecutive home defeat in the league with his job.
Aberdeen have had their own wobbles. After opening with a win over Hearts, Robinson’s side went four games without winning in the league, losing three and drawing one. That kind of run would have concerned supporters, but the 4-0 win over Motherwell has completely changed the atmosphere around the club. Kevin Nisbet is in brilliant form with 11 goals already to his name this season, and Toyosi Olusanya alongside him gives Aberdeen a forward pairing with real pace and punch. The Dons look like a team that has clicked back into gear at exactly the right moment.
The contrast in confidence could not be starker. A side with a new interim manager facing a crisis, against a side riding a wave of form after a demolition job. On paper, Aberdeen look the more settled and dangerous outfit heading into this one.
Aberdeen did beat Hibernian 2-0 back in April of this year, and they will draw confidence from that. But their recent record at Easter Road tells a more complicated story. The Dons have failed to win in any of their last three visits to Edinburgh in this fixture, which is worth noting for anyone tempted to simply back the away side at a short price.
Easter Road has been a tough ground for Aberdeen to go and get a result at, even when they have been the better side on paper. Whether that trend continues under the disrupted circumstances Hibs find themselves in is the interesting question. A new manager can sometimes spark a reaction in home support and players alike, but Aberdeen have the personnel and the momentum to break that recent away hoodoo.
The narrative around this game is pulling in one direction fairly strongly. Hibs are in crisis, their new interim boss has had minimal preparation time, and Aberdeen arrive with a potent attack in red hot form. The bounce factor for Potter is real and worth respecting, but backing it at Easter Road against a side this confident feels like a stretch. The value looks to be with Aberdeen finding a way through, even if it is not as comfortable as the scoreline against Motherwell might suggest.
Aberdeen have been getting forward with real intent lately and Hibs will be under pressure for large spells of this game. Expect the Dons to win a healthy share of corners, and with a disorganised home side potentially chasing the game late on, corners over 9.5 looks a reasonable shout.
Hibs have been leaking goals and struggling to score, while Aberdeen have just put four past a team without breaking sweat. Both teams have reasons to produce an open game here, and with the pressure on Hibs to attack, space could open up for the Dons on the counter. Over 2.5 goals looks the way to go.
Hibs failed to score against the bottom side last time out, and their recent form in front of goal is poor. Aberdeen’s defence, while not impenetrable, has looked solid enough. The concern is whether a struggling Hibs attack can actually find the net, even with fresh faces coming in. BTTS no carries some logic here, though if Hibs do get their new lineup clicking early, the game could open up. On balance, BTTS no is the lean.
Aberdeen have the quality and the confidence to win this, and with Nisbet and Olusanya causing problems all afternoon, a narrow away win feels right. Hibs might nick something late on given the pressure on the players to perform for the new interim boss, but 1-2 to Aberdeen captures the likely shape of the game well.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Match Result | Aberdeen to Win |
| Over and Under Goals | Over 2.5 Goals |
| Anytime Goalscorer | Kevin Nisbet |
Aberdeen winning in a game with goals, with their in form striker getting on the scoresheet, ties together everything that the form book is pointing at heading into this one.
John Potter might get a lift from his first game in charge, and Hibs’ players will want to show a reaction. But this is a horrible fixture to walk into as an interim manager, facing an Aberdeen side full of goals and belief after that Motherwell result. Robinson’s squad has real quality in the final third, Nisbet is in the kind of form that wins games on his own, and Easter Road has become a ground where Hibs’ own fans are turning on the team.
The smart money is on Aberdeen making it back to back wins and extending Hibs’ miserable home run. A 1-2 Aberdeen win feels like the right call, with Nisbet getting involved and the Dons showing why they are starting to look like genuine top six contenders in this Premiership season.