Parma vs Genoa Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Parma

vs

Genoa

KickoffSunday 20 September 2026, 2:00pm

VenueStadio Ennio Tardini

CompetitionItalian Serie A

Two teams stuck at the bottom of the Serie A table, neither of them able to buy a win in the league, both desperately searching for something to kick their season into life. That is what you are getting on Sunday afternoon at the Ennio Tardini. Parma vs Genoa might not be the glamour fixture of gameweek five, but for anyone looking at the relegation picture, it matters enormously. The question is whether either side has the quality to finally get three points on the board, or whether this ends up as another frustrating afternoon for both sets of supporters.

Parma vs Genoa Match Details

The game takes place at the Ennio Tardini in Parma, with both clubs representing the winless contingent of Serie A this season. It is a bottom half scrap with genuine stakes for both, given that a win here could shift either side clear of the danger zone depending on how the rest of gameweek five plays out.

Team News

Neither manager is working with a full squad, and the absences are significant enough to shape how each side lines up.

• Parma are missing Hans Nicolussi Caviglia through a groin complaint, but that appears to be the only absentee Carlos Cuesta is dealing with this weekend.
• Last season’s top scorer Mateo Pellegrino has left for Fiorentina, which has left Parma short of a reliable finisher. Simone Lontani and David Romero are the only players to have found the net so far this term.
• Genoa are without Johan Vasquez through suspension after he picked up two yellow cards last weekend. That is a real blow to Daniele De Rossi’s defensive options.
• Elias Havel is sidelined with an ankle problem, while Lorenzo Venturino is out with a knee injury.
• With Vasquez gone, Milutin Osmajic becomes Genoa’s main hope of a goal, though his only strike this season came in a 4-1 defeat to Como back in early September.

Predicted Lineups

Cuesta looks set to go with a back four of Delprato, Troilo and Carlos behind Corvi in goal, with Britschgi and Bernabe providing the engine in the middle alongside Keita and Valeri. Toure and Lontani will look to support lone striker Romero up top.

For Genoa, De Rossi appears likely to line up with Bijlow in goal behind a three of Marcandalli, Ostigard and Otoa. Ehizibue and Ellertsson should operate as wing backs, with Frendrup and Sow in the middle. Baldanzi slots in behind a front two of Osmajic and Colombo, though asking that partnership to create chances from scratch is a big ask given how little firepower this side has shown so far.

Recent Form

Parma have been stuck in a rut. They have not won since beating Catania in the Coppa Italia back in mid August, and a run of four defeats in five matches tells you everything about where confidence is sitting right now. The nadir came in back to back Serie A defeats against Cagliari and Juventus where they failed to score at all, and then Cremonese knocked them out of the cup with a 2-0 win. The only flicker of life has come recently, with a 1-1 draw against Monza giving them their first league point of the campaign, followed by a narrow 2-1 defeat to Como on Monday. Not great, but at least a sign they can compete.

Genoa’s numbers are arguably worse. De Rossi has now presided over a nine match winless run in the league, with the last victory coming against a Pisa side that has since been relegated. Since then it has been six defeats and three draws, leaving them second bottom after four games. Only two goals scored in the league so far, which is level with Parma and the lowest in Serie A. Eight conceded, which puts them among the worst defences in the division. The one positive heading into this game is a clean sheet in the midweek cup win over Sudtirol, which at least gives the backline something to build on.

Neither side is in any kind of form. But both have shown in recent outings that they can grind out a result when things go their way, even if the performances have been far from convincing.

Head-to-Head Record

Parma have not beaten Genoa in three years, which is a sobering stat for the home side to carry into this one. The two clubs have met regularly given their shared history in and around Serie A, and recent meetings have tended to be tight, low scoring affairs. The head to head at the Tardini has generally been close, with neither side able to put clear daylight between themselves over a full 90 minutes. Given the current form of both clubs, there is no reason to think Sunday will buck that trend.

Key Stats

• Parma and Genoa are joint lowest scorers in Serie A this season with just two goals each from four matches.
• Genoa have conceded eight goals in four league games, the fifth worst defensive record in the division.
• Parma have not beaten Genoa in any competition for three years.

Parma vs Genoa Betting Tips

This fixture has low scoring draw written all over it. Two of the least productive attacks in Serie A, both missing key players, both desperately short of confidence. The value here is not in backing a winner but in playing the goals and clean sheet markets, where the underlying numbers point pretty clearly in one direction.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

No. With two goals apiece from four games each, these are the two most toothless attacks in the division. Vasquez is suspended for Genoa, Pellegrino is gone from Parma, and neither side has an obvious goal threat to rely on. BTTS No looks the right call here.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Under 2.5 goals. The form guide and the context both scream low scoring. Both defences have been leaky but both attacks have been even worse, and with neither manager able to call on their best options going forward, keeping it tight is more likely than a goal fest.

Correct Score Prediction

0-0. These two have already played out consecutive 0-0 draws in recent meetings, and the current state of both squads makes another stalemate entirely plausible. No cutting edge from either side, significant absences in attack and midfield, and two managers who will probably prioritise not losing. A goalless draw feels like the most natural outcome here.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 corners. With attacks this toothless and both sides likely to set up compactly, neither team is going to be peppering the box with crosses or forcing the opposition into repeated goal kicks. Expect a conservative game with limited corner count on both sides.

Cards Prediction

Over 2.5 cards. A scrappy, tense relegation six pointer with both sides desperate for points and not much quality to separate them tends to produce a few late tackles and yellow cards. Neither side can afford to lose, and that usually means niggly challenges as the game gets tight in the second half.

Bet Builder Tip

A scrappy, tight game with very little quality in the final third points squarely to few goals, no BTTS, and enough frustration on the pitch to ensure the referee stays busy with his cards.

Final Match Prediction

Parma vs Genoa is the kind of game that ends up being defined by what does not happen rather than what does. Two managers with real problems in front of goal, two squads missing important figures, and a fixture between two sides that have consistently struggled to score against each other in recent years. The Tardini crowd will will their side forward but they may spend most of Sunday afternoon watching a game that never really gets out of second gear.

The most likely outcome here is a 0-0 draw that leaves both clubs still searching for that elusive first league win of the season. Neither gaffer will be happy, but given the constraints both are working under right now, it would be hard to be surprised. Back the goalless draw, play the unders, and brace yourself for a very long afternoon in Emilia-Romagna.

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