Leeds United vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Leeds United

vs

Crystal Palace

KickoffSunday 20 September 2026, 2:00pm

VenueElland Road

CompetitionEnglish Premier League

Leeds United are flying right now, and that makes this one genuinely compelling viewing for any Premier League fan. Three games in and you can already see the shape of what Daniel Farke is building at Elland Road. A team that presses hard, scores freely, and carries real belief through the lineup. Crystal Palace arrive as the kind of opponent that could either pull off a smash and grab or get absolutely picked apart, and given their current defensive record, you know which feels more likely.

Pierre Sage has had a rough opening to the league season and the stats behind the results make grim reading for Palace supporters. Eleven goals conceded in four games, more shots on target faced than anyone else, opponents getting more touches in their box than any other side. This is a team that is being carved open week after week. Coming to Elland Road, against a Leeds side absolutely buzzing with confidence, is about as tough a test as you can ask for right now.

Leeds United vs Crystal Palace Match Details

This Premier League fixture takes place at Elland Road, the iconic home of Leeds United in West Yorkshire. Leeds come into this one sitting third in the table after four matches, with Crystal Palace looking to arrest a troubling run of form in the top flight. Both sides will be aware of what is at stake as the early season standings begin to take shape.

Team News

Farke is dealing with a few absences but nothing that should drastically alter his best lineup. Crystal Palace have bigger selection problems to navigate, particularly in defence following the red card against Ipswich.

• Harry Wilson is out with a quad injury for Leeds
• Joe Rodon remains sidelined with a hamstring problem
• Mateo Joseph is still working his way back from a knee injury
• Axel Disasi begins a three match suspension for Crystal Palace after his red card against Ipswich
• Dean Henderson is out for Palace with an ankle injury
• Jean-Philippe Mateta is absent with a hamstring complaint
• Chadi Riad is also unavailable with a knee problem
• Ismaila Sarr made his first appearance of the season off the bench in midweek and may not be ready to start from the off

Predicted Lineups

Farke looks set to name an unchanged side after that brilliant 4-1 win over Newcastle. There is no reason to tinker when your team is performing like that. Calvert-Lewin leads the attack alongside Noah Okafor, with Bogle and Gudmundsson providing the width from the wing-back positions. The midfield three of Ampadu, Stach and Tanaka offers the right balance of drive and physicality.

For Palace, Sage faces a headache in the back three with Disasi suspended. Tomiyasu or Canvot will likely slot in alongside Chris Richards and Ahanor. Up front, Jorgen Strand Larsen spearheads the attack after an excellent recent run of form, with Pino expected to feature and a decision to be made on whether Sarr is ready to start. Nketiah and Kamada are both pushing for inclusion too.

Recent Form

Leeds have been outstanding. One defeat in their last 13 league matches, and that solitary loss came almost two months ago. They bounced back from a chaotic EFL Cup thrashing at Chelsea with a dominant 4-1 league win over Newcastle, a result that tells you everything about the character and quality in this squad. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the standout figure, leading the Premier League scoring charts among English players in 2026 with 17 goals, and he already has three to his name this season. He has now scored in each of his last five Premier League home games, which is the kind of run that makes defenders genuinely nervous.

Crystal Palace are in a completely different headspace. Three points from a possible 12 in the league, with that Ipswich defeat at home last weekend particularly damaging. They had fought back to level it with ten men, only for Zian Flemming to score a 90th minute winner and rip the rug out from under them. Sage did get a confidence boost from a thumping 4-0 win over Lech Poznan in the Europa League in midweek, which at least shows they can perform, but translating that into Premier League results is proving far harder.

The defensive numbers are what really stand out. Palace have conceded in ten consecutive top flight matches, letting in at least two per game. They have not kept a clean sheet in the league since late April. Against a Leeds side that has scored 12 goals across their last five home matches, those numbers look genuinely alarming.

Head-to-Head Record

Leeds have a strong record at home against Crystal Palace in the league, winning seven of their last eight home meetings and scoring 16 goals across those games. That is a dominant record and one that will give Farke and his players plenty of confidence coming into Sunday. The last home clash between these two produced a 4-1 win for Leeds, which tells you just how one-sided these Elland Road encounters can get.

In their most recent away meeting at Selhurst Park in March, it finished goalless, so Crystal Palace can contain Leeds when everything clicks defensively. The question is whether they can do that again, particularly given how badly they have shipped goals this season and the fact that they are weakened at the back through suspension and injury.

Key Stats

• Crystal Palace have conceded 11 Premier League goals in four games, the most in the division, and have faced more shots on target than any other side
• Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored in each of his last five Premier League home appearances and has 17 top flight goals in 2026
• Leeds have found the net in all five of their last home matches, hitting 12 goals across those games

Leeds United vs Crystal Palace Betting Tips

The overall picture here points fairly clearly in Leeds direction. They are in sensational home form, their top scorer is bang in form and the opposition is defensively all over the place. That does not mean Palace cannot cause problems going forward, because Strand Larsen is scoring freely and they do carry a threat in the final third. But backing Leeds to win this convincingly, and expecting goals at both ends, feels like the smart approach.

Corners Prediction

Leeds like to get forward in numbers and force teams back at Elland Road, which generates plenty of corners naturally. Palace also tend to sit deeper when chasing the game and will likely be doing that for large parts of this one. Back over 9.5 corners in this match.

Correct Score Prediction

Given Leeds relentless home form and Crystal Palace tendency to concede while also carrying some threat up top through Strand Larsen, a 3-1 home win feels like the sharpest call here. Leeds have the quality to put the game to bed early, and Palace have enough about them to nick one on the break.

Cards Prediction

Crystal Palace are going to be under the cosh for large portions of this game and that kind of sustained pressure tends to lead to frustrated challenges and yellow cards. A match with over three cards total looks a reasonable shout, particularly with Palace needing to commit bodies to stop Leeds driving forward.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the standout pick here. He has scored in five consecutive Premier League home games, he is in the form of his life, and he is leading a Leeds attack that has been relentless at Elland Road this season. At the prices available, he is well worth backing to open the scoring.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

Yes. Crystal Palace have conceded in every Premier League game this season, but Leeds have also shipped goals. More importantly, Strand Larsen is in red hot form and Palace do enough going forward to threaten. With Leeds expected to score two or three, there is enough space for Palace to grab one at least. BTTS yes looks the play.

Bet Builder Tip

All three picks reinforce the same story: a high-tempo Leeds victory, Calvert-Lewin continuing his brilliant home run, Palace getting a goal of their own, and a game that generates plenty of pressure and attacking play in both directions.

Final Match Prediction

Leeds United are in the kind of form that makes them a genuinely exciting watch, and Elland Road is going to be rocking for this one. Crystal Palace will try to be compact and hit on the counter, but their defensive issues this season run deep, and facing Calvert-Lewin at his sharpest is not the environment to try and fix them.

Strand Larsen gives Palace a focal point and may well grab a goal, but this game has Leeds win written all over it. The Whites should have enough to put the game to bed before the hour mark and see it out comfortably from there. Leeds United 3-1 Crystal Palace.

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