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Universitatea Craiova
GetafeFive wins on the spin heading into a European opener. That is the kind of form that gets you thinking this could be a decent night. Universitatea Craiova arrive at this Conference League curtain raiser in the sort of shape that makes neutral observers take notice, and they are doing it without the kind of budget that Getafe can call upon from La Liga. The White Blues have not tasted defeat since the end of August, and that run of consistency is going to be a real test for a Getafe side that just got torn apart by Barcelona at the weekend.
Getafe, on the other hand, are creating their own kind of history here. First ever Conference League campaign for the Deep Blue Ones, and they head into it sitting fourteenth in La Liga with four defeats already on the board this season. The contrast in momentum between these two sides is stark, and that shapes almost everything about how this match sets up.
This Conference League league phase opener takes place at Universitatea Craiova’s ground in Romania, with the home side looking to put down an early marker in a group that also features Brighton and Copenhagen. For Getafe, this is uncharted territory in the Conference League, making it a historic occasion for the Spanish club, even if their current domestic form is giving their supporters little to cheer about right now.
Craiova go into this one relatively light on injury concerns, which is good news given how well their squad has been clicking lately. Getafe have a couple of notable absentees that could affect their attacking options significantly.
Filipe Coelho has a settled side to pick from and the lineup largely picks itself given the squad depth and current form. Craiova look set to line up with Popescu in goal, a back four of Romanchuk, Stevanovic, Screciu and Bancu, a midfield featuring Mora, Baluta, Cicaldau and Matei, with Al Hamlawi and Bairam leading the attack.
For Getafe, Jose Bordalas brings back Unal up front after resting him against Barcelona, and Satriano and Abqar come into the side to freshen things up. The expected shape is Soria between the sticks, Femenia, Djene, Gudelj and Mojica across the back with Abqar also involved, and a midfield of Garcia, Francho and Martin supporting Satriano and Unal in the forward areas. Bordalas tends to be pragmatic and will likely set up to be hard to beat on the road in Europe.
Craiova’s five match winning run is the headline number here, but what makes it more impressive is the variety of opposition they have beaten along the way. Their most recent outing was a 1-0 win over Csikszereda M. Ciuc in the Romanian top flight on Sunday, keeping the winning habit going right up to this European fixture. When a team goes unbeaten from the end of August deep into October, that is not luck, that is a squad that knows what it is doing and has genuine belief running through it.
Getafe’s picture is very different. A 3-0 defeat to Barcelona last time out was a reality check, and their La Liga record of two wins, two draws and four defeats from eight matches this season tells a story of a side that is inconsistent and vulnerable. Two of those wins have come at home to opponents they were expected to beat. On the road, and in unfamiliar European territory, questions remain about whether Bordalas can get his shape right quickly enough.
The one positive Getafe can point to is their Conference League playoff performance, where they beat Partizan 4-3 on aggregate. Scoring four across two legs suggests they carry a threat going forward, and Unal was sharp in those ties. But Partizan are a very different proposition from a Craiova side in this kind of form at home.
These two clubs have not met before, so there is no historical record to lean on for clues. What we do know is that Craiova have been playing Conference League football for a few seasons now, racking up twenty two appearances in the competition with nine wins. They understand the rhythms of European nights at this level. Getafe are walking into completely new ground, literally and figuratively, and that inexperience in this competition could be a factor in how they approach the game tactically and emotionally.
The form book points heavily toward Craiova having a strong night at home, but Getafe are not without quality when Unal is fit and leading the line. Bordalas is a defensive minded manager by nature and his side will make themselves difficult to break down. The angle here is goals at both ends with the scoreline staying tight rather than backing either side to run away with it.
Yes. Craiova have genuine cutting edge through Al Hamlawi and Bairam, and they will create chances at home. Getafe have shown in the Partizan ties that they can find the net, and with Unal back in the side they have a proper striker leading the line. Both teams to score looks a strong play in a fixture where neither side is likely to shut up shop completely.
Assad Al Hamlawi is the pick here. Six goals in fourteen appearances this season at twenty five years old, starting at home in front of his own fans in a European opener, this is exactly the kind of occasion where strikers in form make their mark. He has been banging them in regularly and there is no reason to think he will not carry that into this one.
1-1. Craiova find the net through Al Hamlawi, Getafe nick one through Unal, and both sides settle for a point that probably suits the visitors more than it does the home side. Bordalas will not be unhappy with a draw in an unfamiliar competition on the road, and Craiova, despite their form, will find Getafe’s defensive structure awkward to completely unpick.
Over 9.5 corners looks reasonable here. Craiova will push forward in front of their home support and are capable of winning corners in volume when they are on top. Getafe defending deep at times will invite pressure, and the visitors will also look to get balls into wide areas on the counter. Both styles tend to generate set piece situations and corners specifically.
Bordalas teams have always had a combative edge to them. His Getafe sides over the years have been disciplined in structure but physical in their approach, and coming up against a pumped up Craiova side at home in a European opener, there are likely to be a few strong challenges flying in. Over 3.5 cards is worth considering, with Getafe’s midfield likely to pick up a booking or two keeping Craiova’s attacking players quiet.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score | Yes |
| First Goalscorer | Assad Al Hamlawi |
| Cards | Over 3.5 Cards |
Al Hamlawi opening the scoring in a game where both sides find the net and the physical nature of the contest drives the card count up is a tidy combination that reflects the texture of this fixture.
Craiova deserve to be favourites here given everything the form book is telling us, and home advantage in Europe at this level is worth something real. Their squad is settled, their confidence is high, and they have a proven goalscorer ready to perform on the big stage. The White Blues will come at Getafe from the first whistle and make this a proper game.
But Getafe have Unal, they have Bordalas’s tactical discipline, and they have the experience of grinding out results when their backs are against the wall. A 1-1 draw feels like the likeliest outcome. Craiova push for the win, Getafe hang in and grab their goal, and both sides walk away with a point to build on in a Conference League campaign that has plenty more to offer before the dust settles.