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Schalke 04
RB LeipzigCan RB Leipzig keep their push for a top four spot alive while Schalke 04 fight to avoid being dragged into a relegation scrap? That is the question hanging over this one. Leipzig arrive at VELTINS-Arena in decent nick and with genuine ambition, while Schalke are quietly building something defensively but desperately need to start finding the net. There is plenty to unpick here, so let us get into it.
This Bundesliga matchweek eight fixture takes place at VELTINS-Arena in Gelsenkirchen. Schalke are back in the top flight after promotion and are still finding their feet, while Leipzig make the trip as one of the division’s more convincing attacking outfits and with one eye on breaking into the top three before the weekend is out.
Schalke are dealing with a sizeable injury list heading into this one, which is a real headache for Miron Muslic given how thin their attacking options already look. Leipzig have fewer concerns but are not entirely without problems up front either.
Muslic looks set to go with the back four that has been holding things together this season, with Karius in goal and a midfield built around Tanaka and Bachmann. Ebimbe and V Becker provide width, while Adamu and Hwang carry the attacking burden despite not being natural first choices in this system.
Demichelis should stick with the shape that has been producing goals at the other end of the country. Vandevoordt starts between the sticks, Lukeba and Orban remain the trusted centre half partnership, and with Banzuzi providing creativity behind Romulo, Leipzig have enough quality to unlock most defences even without Nkunku at his best.
Schalke are winless in four, which sounds alarming, but context matters here. Their three defeats in that run include a cup exit to Dynamo Dresden midweek, and even then, their league record tells a more nuanced story. They held Bayern Munich to a goalless draw on home soil earlier in the season, and their 0-0 with Koln last weekend showed they are not just rolling over. The problem is they are the worst attacking team in the Bundesliga right now, with just four goals to their name. Seven goals conceded in the league is an impressive return for a promoted side, but you cannot keep winning points without scoring.
Leipzig have been on a much more positive trajectory. Four wins from their last six, and the two defeats were against Real Madrid in the Champions League and Bayern Munich in the league, so there is no shame there whatsoever. Their midweek cup win over Rot-Weiss Essen, a 2-1 victory, keeps the momentum ticking over nicely. The one genuine concern is their recent away record. That cup win ended a five-game losing streak on the road, so while they have quality, they have not exactly been lighting up grounds away from home lately.
The goal scoring numbers for Leipzig are frankly impressive in the context of the Bundesliga as a whole. Twenty goals in the top flight, second only to Bayern’s 25, tells you Demichelis has got his attacking players firing. But ten goals conceded across their last four games is a crack in the armour worth noting, especially when the hosts have shown they can sit deep and stay compact.
These two have not been Bundesliga rivals consistently in recent years given Schalke’s stint in the second division, but Leipzig have historically had the upper hand when the fixture has come around. The pattern tends to follow what you would expect given the respective trajectories of the two clubs, with Leipzig’s rapid rise through German football contrasting sharply with Schalke’s more turbulent recent history.
At VELTINS-Arena specifically, Schalke have shown they are difficult to break down at home, even if results have not gone their way. That 0-0 against Bayern Munich remains the standout result of their home campaign and suggests Leipzig will not simply walk in and take three points without working hard for them.
The way this one sets up, Leipzig look the logical side to be on. Their attacking quality is undeniable and Schalke simply do not have the firepower to hurt them. That said, the hosts have been genuinely hard to score against this season, so expecting a cricket score here would be naive. A tight, low scoring Leipzig win feels like the most likely outcome, and that shapes most of the markets quite nicely.
A 0-1 scoreline looks the most likely outcome. Schalke will make it difficult and their defensive solidity is real, but Leipzig’s quality in the final third should be enough to nick one goal and see the game out from there.
Romulo is the pick here. With Nkunku a doubt, the striker steps into the central role with the full backing of Demichelis’s system behind him. Leipzig’s attacking players create plenty of chances and Romulo will have opportunities to get on the scoresheet against a Schalke side that struggles to create going the other way, meaning Leipzig can press without fear of being exposed on the counter.
Schalke will need to work extremely hard defensively to keep Leipzig’s attackers quiet, and that usually means physical, committed defending that can tip over into reckless at times. With a promoted side under pressure at home and Leipzig’s pacey wide players likely to cause problems in behind, expect over three cards in this one as tackles fly in and frustration builds for the hosts.
Leipzig’s attacking play and their tendency to get wide and deliver into the box should generate a healthy corners count on their own. Schalke sitting deep and defending in numbers will invite Leipzig onto them, which means repeated attacks and repeated opportunities for set pieces. Over eight corners looks a solid shout in this one.
Under 2.5 goals is the call here. Schalke’s defensive record is genuinely one of the better ones in the division, and Leipzig, for all their goalscoring ability, have been inconsistent on the road. A tight affair where Leipzig score once and Schalke cannot find a reply feels much more likely than an open, high-scoring game.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Match Result | RB Leipzig to Win |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 Goals |
| First Goalscorer | Romulo |
A narrow Leipzig win with Romulo grabbing the only goal of the game in a tight, low-scoring affair ties all three picks together perfectly given the defensive nature of Schalke and Leipzig’s reliance on their striker with Nkunku potentially absent.
This is a game where the gap in quality between the two squads should tell in the end, even if Schalke make Leipzig work harder than their supporters might expect. Die Konigsblauen have shown they can be stubborn and defensively organised, but asking that back line to keep a clean sheet against the second highest scoring team in the Bundesliga is a big ask, especially when Schalke’s own attacking threat is so minimal.
Leipzig were due a positive away result after that miserable run on the road, and this looks like the kind of fixture where a single goal settles it. Demichelis gets the three points, but Muslic will take some encouragement from how hard his side made the visitors work. Schalke 04 0-1 RB Leipzig.
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