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Canelo by KO

Canelo vs William Scull

15/4

Canelo Round 4-6

Canelo vs William Scull

3/1

Canelo Round 7-9

Canelo vs William Scull

11/2

Canelo vs William Scull Fight Preview

Four-weight world champion Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez (62-2-2, 39 KOs) attempts to become a two-time undisputed super-middleweight champion against undefeated Cuban William Scull (23-0, 9 KOs).

Canelo opted to fight Edgar Berlanga over his IBF mandatory, Scull, last September and was subsequently stripped of the title, downgrading his undisputed status to unified. But now he has the opportunity to regain his rightful rank.

Scull won the vacant IBF super-middleweight title with a unanimous decision win over unbeaten Vladimir Shishkin in October 2024. It was an extremely close contest, the lone 115-113 scorecard perhaps the most reflective of the tense fight. In the final round, despite being ahead, Scull’s legs buckled from underneath him after eating two jabs from Shishkin, who then put the pressure on, continually hurting the Cuban, who just about survived to the final bell.

Based in Berlin, Scull is light on his feet, very technical, with very good head movement. He is a cagey, defensive fighter, poised and patient, but doesn’t have a very high output or potency. He likes to slip shots then counter quickly, but he’s not the biggest puncher. Despite being so elusive and defensive, he does drop his hands down low quite often in a relaxed style, where he opts to stay loose and nimble to strike quickly.

The 32-year-old has only experienced four 12-round fights and he hasn’t scored any KOs in his last five fights, dating back to November 2021, which is an identical stat shared with Canelo.

Trained by Eddy Reynoso, Canelo’s last five wins have all been dominant unanimous decisions, so he hasn’t scored a knockout since Caleb Plant in November 2021, over three-and-a-half-years ago now.

Mexican megastar Canelo is hard to beat because he is so versatile and experienced. Of course, there’s many other factors, such as his durability, having never been knocked down in 66 fights. He’s also a fantastic counter-puncher, possesses a high IQ, as he cleverly sets traps and figures out opponents to adjust his strategy to find the winning formula.

He has only been beaten by generational great, Floyd Mayweather, and light-heavyweight genius Dmitry Bivol, who is now undisputed.

These two super-middleweight champions are, arguably, very far apart. Perhaps harsh to say it, but this undisputed championship contest could even be called a mismatch.

Canelo vs William Scull Prediction

Canelo is far more experienced, having had 25 world championship fights, winning 22, losing only twice. His versatility as an all-round great boxer should see him gain control of the contest right from the first bell.

Scull has the speed and reflexes to make the early rounds close, plus he’s so very tentative and defensive, which could take time to figure out, but Canelo will gradually get to grips with his style to take over and dominate. 

Neither man has scored a knockout in almost four years, but Canelo has floored his last four foes. In fact, the only one of his last eight victims to not hit the deck against him was the formidable Kazakh, Gennadiy Golovkin. Those last four knockdowns averaged 4.74 rounds and his most recent KO victories have averaged 7.2 rounds.

Prediction: Canelo to win, most likely by KO after the first few rounds have passed.

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Free Boxing Betting Tips

Tim Rickson is the WhichBookie boxing analyst who joined the team midway through 2022 and will be providing boxing betting tips throughout the year for all of the big fights.

How Much Do The Boxing Tips Cost?

All of the boxing tips currently published on WhichBookie are completely free of charge. Remember to check back regularly and subscribe to our social media channels to be notified of when new free boxing tips are published.

Are Past Tips Archived?

Yes. All tips remain live here on WhichBookie. You can view all past boxing tips here on this page.

Which Bookie Should I Place The Tips With?

If you’d like to back any of the selections, we recommend a bookmaker to do so with. These are usually the bookies offering the best odds on the selection at the time of posting the tip but it may be worth checking other bookies in case the odds have changed. There may also be betting offers associated with the tip that are only available with specific bookmakers that are worth taking into consideration.

What Stakes Should I Use?

We never recommend an actual stake to use for each bet as this will vary between people depending on the size of their betting bank. Never bet more than you can afford to lose and always stick to your staking plan.

How Regularly Are Boxing Tips Published?

WhichBookie boxing analyst Tim Rickson will publish tips whenever he finds value in a bet. If there is a big fight coming up, it’s likely that he will cover it but generally, they’ll be posted whenever a good bet comes about.

Can You Watch Boxing Online?

Many of the big boxing matches are only available via Pay Per View. However, you may be able to find streams of some of the less-popular fights via the Bet365 Live Streaming service. Bet365 provides over 100,000 live streams of sporting events every year and is regarded as one of the best services for streaming sports online without charge.

How To Bet On Boxing

There are several options when it comes to betting on boxing, and the more you know, the better your chances of success. We will now go into more detail about some of the different betting markets that you will find, and discuss a few potential strategies you could use.

Outright / To Win Fight

As with most sports, the outright market is probably the simplest, because you’re just betting on who will win the fight. There are no other criteria to consider, other than the fact that with many of the best bookies for boxing, you can also bet on the draw. However, draws in boxing are very rare and not many people tend to back this outcome.

Bear in mind that in many fights, one boxer tends to be a heavy favourite and it’s usually quite easy to pick the winner. There don’t tend to be that many shock results. Therefore, the odds on the favourite are often very low, even if you use the bookie with the best odds as described earlier in the article.

If you’re happy betting at short odds, you can certainly get a good success rate simply by backing short price favourites in boxing. But many people prefer to look for bigger wins. So you may sometimes need to look at some of the other markets to get a better return on your bet.

Fight Outcome / Method of Victory

This market lets you choose not only who will win the fight, but how they will win. Different methods of victory are usually grouped as follows:

• By KO (knockout), TKO (tecnhical knockout) or DQ (opponent disqualified).
• By Decision (on points) or Technical Decision.

So because there are more possible outcomes in this market, the odds are higher than just the outright win market.

Round Betting

The Round Betting market offers the opportunity to get the highest odds. Here you can bet on which fighter will win, and which round he/she will win in.

Options to bet on a fighter to win on points, or to bet on the draw, are both also included in this market. In a 12 round bout, that gives 27 different possible outcomes. Therefore, the odds on each one are naturally going to be much higher. Think of it as the equivalent of the correct score market in football betting.

So the round betting market offers the biggest potential wins when betting on boxing. But of course, it’s harder to predict the outcome. You do have the option to split your stake to cover more than one outcome though. So if you felt that a fighter would win within the first 3 rounds, you could split your stake to back him to win in round 1, round 2 and round 3. The odds would mean you’d get a good profit if any of those outcomes happened.

To Go The Distance

This is a simple market in which you decide whether the fight will last all 12 rounds or not. Therefore there are only two outcomes to bet on, Yes or No.

It’s possible to get a decent success rate when betting on this market. Check the stats and the history of each boxer and ask yourself the following:

• Are the fighters evenly matched?
• Do they have a reputation for durability and rarely having been stopped in the past?
• If there is a favourite, is he/she an aggressive boxer or does he/she prefer to wear their opponent down?
• How many of their previous fights have gone the distance?

The answers to these key questions should give you a good idea of whether the fight is likely to go the distance or not. There can still be surprises, but you’ll certainly win more bets than you lose.

Total Rounds Over/Under

This market allows you to bet on the total number of rounds the fight will last for. The advantage here is that you do not need to specify who will win, just how long it will last.

For example, let’s consider a market of Over/Under 3.5 Rounds. There are only two options to bet on, either Over 3.5 Rounds or Under 3.5 Rounds. Therefore, you would approach the market as follows:

• If you think the fight will last for 3 rounds or less, you would bet on Under.
• If you think it will last for 4 rounds or more, you would be on Over.

You will find that similar markets are available for Over/under 4.5, Over/Under 5.5, Over/Under 6.5 etc.

Where To Get The Best Odds On Boxing

As any professional punter will tell you, the key to making a profit is not knowing who will win every time. Because obviously, that is not possible. The real trick is making sure that when you do win, you get the best possible odds on your bet.

We studied the odds for outright bets on every professional boxing match over a period of three months. We wanted to find the best bookies for boxing odds over a prolonged period of time.

As you would expect, Betfair and Bet365 are better than most of the competition. But the results showed that Betfred have the highest odds overall and came out well in some of the other markets like round betting.

Betfred were consistently best or equal best odds on nearly every outright market we recorded. They blew some of the other online bookies away in terms of the value they offered on boxing, and their user ratings are good too. So if you don’t have an account with them yet, we would definitely recommend joining.

Best Bookies For Boxing
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