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Free betting tips for boxing from expert analysts

The latest boxing betting tips from expert analysts. 100% free boxing tips for all of the major fights throughout the year taking place in the various divisions.

Boxing Tips For Today

Joseph Parker
Joseph Parker vs Fabio Wardley
Winner
3/10
Joseph Parker
Joseph Parker vs Fabio Wardley
To Win on Points
21/10

Joseph Parker vs Fabio Wardley Fight Preview

Interim world heavyweight champions Joseph Parker (36-3, 24 KOs) and Fabio Wardley (19-0-1, 18 KOs) headline the O2 Arena in Greenwich on Saturday, October 25, live on DAZN Box Office.

The event is titled ‘All or Nothing’, which is absolutely apt, as both boxers are risking their pole positions; with WBO titlist Parker standing at the front of the line to face undisputed king Oleksandr Usyk, and WBA beltholder Wardley right behind him in the queue.

Despite their similar standings and both holding the same belts, but with different governing bodies, this duo couldn’t be any further apart in terms of how they reached this point.

Parker was jabbing his father Dempsey’s hands from the age of three, beginning his amateur boxing career at the age of 10, where he won national titles and bronze, silver, gold medals in international tournaments over a 66-fight career.

Then he turned pro and went unbeaten in 21 bouts to secure a WBO world heavyweight title shot in his own backyard in Auckland. He narrowly outpointed Andy Ruiz Jr to win via mixed decision. He enjoyed two successful defences, including the mixed decision win over Hughie Fury in Manchester in 2019.

It was his third defence when he was decisioned and dethroned by Anthony Joshua in 2018, then he suffered a second consecutive loss the same year to Dillian Whyte, also unanimous at ringside.

He then reeled off six straight wins, including those two victories over Derek Chisora in 2021, but then another Brit halted him in his tracks, literally, when Joe Joyce stopped him in round 11 of their 2022 bout, inflicting the first and only knockout defeat on his 39-fight record.

It was shortly before then that Parker began working with trainer Andy Lee, and the pair have gone from strength to strength since. Since falling to the ‘Juggernaut, 33-year-old Parker has gone on another six-fight win streak, including scalps over Deontay Wilder, Zhilei Zhang and Martin Bakole, all known as big punchers, with a combined KO ratio of 85% between them.

Wardley, on the other hand, isn’t a former word champion with an extensive amateur background behind him. Far from it. The 30-year-old from Ipswich, England, only begun boxing around eight years ago!

Trained by Robert Hodgins, Wardley took up boxing in his early 20s and had just a couple of white-collar bouts before turning pro in 2017.

The die-hard Ipswich FC fan dropped his debut opponent in the very first professional round of his career – a sign of things to come. However, he played it safe and boxed clever to win on points, but he didn’t allow anyone else to escape that same fate, his next 18 wins all being decided by knockout.

Despite his lack of pedigree, he won the English title against a Commonwealth Games gold medallist, then he defeated Nathan Gorman to become British champion in 2022. He defended that Lonsdale belt against the fearsome David Adeleye via seventh-round stoppage, also picking up the vacant Commonwealth strap.

Then, he fought in two epic encounters with Olympic Games bronze medallist Frazer Clarke in 2024. Their first fight saw Clarke decked in the fifth, but the result was split in a draw after a ‘Fight of the Year’ contender. Then, in their rematch seven months later in Saudi, Wardley was in devastating form to break Clarke’s draw to stop him in the very first round.

It took one more win, over Australian Justis Huni, to claim the WBA Interim belt to now stand on the precipice of an undisputed world title fight.

So, they have had very different journeys to reach the exact same place – one taking just eight years and the other three times that amount – but which one’s story is going to turn into a fairytale ending? Let’s find out!

Joseph Parker vs Fabio Wardley Prediction

Parker has most of the cards in his deck – superior in skill, experience, acumen, intelligence, movement, ringcraft, technique…

He has already reigned as world champion, defeating three opponents in world championship contests with a combined record of 65-2. But they weren’t even his most impressive scalps. Chisora is a hard night’s work for anyone and Parker shared 24 rounds with the relentless slugger to beat him twice, and he can also boast wins over the division’s most feared puncher, Deontay Wilder; also ‘Big Bang’ Zhilei Zhang, who knocked out Joe Joyce twice, as well as the aforementioned American. Then, there’s his latest win – a second-round stoppage of Martin Bakole, considered the division’s bogeyman and most avoided opponent.

But then, Wardley has dropped all his opponents in every single one of his fights. He scored a knockdown in his pro debut, which ended on points, and dropped Clarke in their first fight that ended in a stalemate, and everyone in-between has been stopped, averaging a KO every three rounds.

It was very briefly mentioned that Fabio stopped highly-rated Aussie Huni in his last fight in June, but that doesn’t tell the full story. Huni was outboxing the Tractor Boy in front of his home fans at Portman Road stadium, until the local hero landed a juddering overhand right in the 10th to KO the heavyweight that was well on his way to victory.

Fab has ‘get of jail’ power, able to turn a fight on its head with a single shot. Despite losing the fight, Huni exposed Wardley’s shortcomings, so Parker should be able to outbox and dominate the lesser experienced Englishman, but the Brit has the ability to win at any given moment.

Parker will likely get caught with a powerful shot at some point, but he has proven his chin on many occasions, so it might take more than a single blow to stop this tough’un. 

Wardley, too, has shown he has heart and durability, especially during his 12-round war with ‘Big Fraze’. But, in his last fight, he took a lot of punishment from Huni, and credit to him for staying standing, but he did look hurt and harried several times. Someone as seasoned as Parker could be a lot more clinical in those situations.

Parker is the favourite for a reason, but Wardley cannot be written off in any of the 12 upcoming rounds, making this one of the most exciting matchups of the year.

 

Prediction: Parker to win

Extra Tip: Parker to win on points

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Free Boxing Betting Tips

Tim Rickson is the WhichBookie boxing analyst who joined the team midway through 2022 and will be providing boxing betting tips throughout the year for all of the big fights.

How Much Do The Boxing Tips Cost?

All of the boxing tips currently published on WhichBookie are completely free of charge. Remember to check back regularly and subscribe to our social media channels to be notified of when new free boxing tips are published.

Are Past Tips Archived?

Yes. All tips remain live here on WhichBookie. You can view all past boxing tips here on this page.

Which Bookie Should I Place The Tips With?

If you’d like to back any of the selections, we recommend a bookmaker to do so with. These are usually the bookies offering the best odds on the selection at the time of posting the tip but it may be worth checking other bookies in case the odds have changed. There may also be betting offers associated with the tip that are only available with specific bookmakers that are worth taking into consideration.

What Stakes Should I Use?

We never recommend an actual stake to use for each bet as this will vary between people depending on the size of their betting bank. Never bet more than you can afford to lose and always stick to your staking plan.

How Regularly Are Boxing Tips Published?

WhichBookie boxing analyst Tim Rickson will publish tips whenever he finds value in a bet. If there is a big fight coming up, it’s likely that he will cover it but generally, they’ll be posted whenever a good bet comes about.

Can You Watch Boxing Online?

Many of the big boxing matches are only available via Pay Per View. However, you may be able to find streams of some of the less-popular fights via the Bet365 Live Streaming service. Bet365 provides over 100,000 live streams of sporting events every year and is regarded as one of the best services for streaming sports online without charge.


How To Bet On Boxing

There are several options when it comes to betting on boxing, and the more you know, the better your chances of success. We will now go into more detail about some of the different betting markets that you will find, and discuss a few potential strategies you could use.

Outright / To Win Fight

outright betting on boxing is the easiest way to find a winning betAs with most sports, the outright market is probably the simplest, because you’re just betting on who will win the fight. There are no other criteria to consider, other than the fact that with many of the best bookies for boxing, you can also bet on the draw. However, draws in boxing are very rare and not many people tend to back this outcome.

Bear in mind that in many fights, one boxer tends to be a heavy favourite and it’s usually quite easy to pick the winner. There don’t tend to be that many shock results. Therefore, the odds on the favourite are often very low, even if you use the bookie with the best odds as described earlier in the article.

If you’re happy betting at short odds, you can certainly get a good success rate simply by backing short price favourites in boxing. But many people prefer to look for bigger wins. So you may sometimes need to look at some of the other markets to get a better return on your bet.

Fight Outcome / Method of Victory

This market lets you choose not only who will win the fight, but how they will win. Different methods of victory are usually grouped as follows:

  • By KO (knockout), TKO (tecnhical knockout) or DQ (opponent disqualified).
  • By Decision (on points) or Technical Decision.

So because there are more possible outcomes in this market, the odds are higher than just the outright win market.

Round Betting

boxing round betting offers the highest oddsThe Round Betting market offers the opportunity to get the highest odds. Here you can bet on which fighter will win, and which round he/she will win in.

Options to bet on a fighter to win on points, or to bet on the draw, are both also included in this market. In a 12 round bout, that gives 27 different possible outcomes. Therefore, the odds on each one are naturally going to be much higher. Think of it as the equivalent of the correct score market in football betting.

So the round betting market offers the biggest potential wins when betting on boxing. But of course, it’s harder to predict the outcome. You do have the option to split your stake to cover more than one outcome though. So if you felt that a fighter would win within the first 3 rounds, you could split your stake to back him to win in round 1, round 2 and round 3. The odds would mean you’d get a good profit if any of those outcomes happened.

To Go The Distance

This is a simple market in which you decide whether the fight will last all 12 rounds or not. Therefore there are only two outcomes to bet on, Yes or No.

It’s possible to get a decent success rate when betting on this market. Check the stats and the history of each boxer and ask yourself the following:

  • Are the fighters evenly matched?
  • Do they have a reputation for durability and rarely having been stopped in the past?
  • If there is a favourite, is he/she an aggressive boxer or does he/she prefer to wear their opponent down?
  • How many of their previous fights have gone the distance?

The answers to these key questions should give you a good idea of whether the fight is likely to go the distance or not. There can still be surprises, but you’ll certainly win more bets than you lose.

Total Rounds Over/Under

This market allows you to bet on the total number of rounds the fight will last for. The advantage here is that you do not need to specify who will win, just how long it will last.

For example, let’s consider a market of Over/Under 3.5 Rounds. There are only two options to bet on, either Over 3.5 Rounds or Under 3.5 Rounds. Therefore, you would approach the market as follows:

  • If you think the fight will last for 3 rounds or less, you would bet on Under.
  • If you think it will last for 4 rounds or more, you would be on Over.

You will find that similar markets are available for Over/under 4.5, Over/Under 5.5, Over/Under 6.5 etc.

Where To Get The Best Odds On Boxing

As any professional punter will tell you, the key to making a profit is not knowing who will win every time. Because obviously, that is not possible. The real trick is making sure that when you do win, you get the best possible odds on your bet.

We studied the odds for outright bets on every professional boxing match over a period of three months. We wanted to find the best bookies for boxing odds over a prolonged period of time.

As you would expect, Betfair and Bet365 are better than most of the competition. But the results showed that Betfred have the highest odds overall and came out well in some of the other markets like round betting.

Betfred were consistently best or equal best odds on nearly every outright market we recorded. They blew some of the other online bookies away in terms of the value they offered on boxing, and their user ratings are good too. So if you don’t have an account with them yet, we would definitely recommend joining.

Best Bookies For Boxing
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