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Date published: September 17, 2025
The latest boxing betting tips from expert analysts. 100% free boxing tips for all of the major fights throughout the year taking place in the various divisions.
Australian former world champion Liam Paro (26-1, 16 KOs) continues his comeback with an IBF world welterweight title eliminator against undefeated Frenchman David Papot (30-0-1, 5 KOs) on Thursday, September 18 in Brisbane’s Pat Rafter Arena in Australia.
The No Limit Boxing event will be broadcast live on Kayo Sports, which will start from 10am for UK fight fans.
The winner will take on the newly crowned world champion Lewis Crocker next, but with Paro ranked IBF #7 and Papot IBF #8, it’s difficult to tell who that might be.
Local hero, Paro, won the IBF world super-lightweight title with a close but unanimous decision win over the bookies favourite Subriel Matias in the Puerto Rican’s backyard in June 2024. The fight was a shootout, with Matias the strong favourite after defeating every opponent by knockout, but Paro started the brightest and kept his spark throughout, outpunching, outworking, and giving as good as he got when the going got tough to win 116-111 and 115-112 twice.
However, the Aussie southpaw lost the belt in his first defence to American Richardson Hitchins in December the same year, but only narrowly on a split decision. Hitchins was just too clever with his range and sharp with his counters and handspeed, but not everyone was clear on who won when the final bell sounded.
Now 24, the Brisbane boxer bounced back with a fifth-round knockout win over 18-1 Jonathan Navarro in June this year, fighting above 140lbs for the first time in almost eight years.
Paro is 5’8” and uses his southpaw lead right hand to hold his opponents at distance. He has plenty of snap in his shots and uses his gloves to block attacks, not necessarily moving his head much. He is very busy with his output, he persistently paws out his lead right, tapping the guard, then he lunges in with big, heavy uppercuts or backhand rights. He doesn’t overload on his punches, so he always retains his shape and balance well.
34 from France, Papot is the holder of the WBO Global and IBF International welterweight belts. He’s also a former holder of the once-obscure IBA world super-welterweight title, now known as a title Tyson Fury recently claimed he would like to win.
The former French champion is unbeaten in 31 bouts, has won all his fights in France, with just one draw on the road in America when he drew over 12 rounds with James McGirt in 2019.
The man known as ‘L’enfant de Penhoet’ has a very relaxed, fluid style, often seen bouncing around on his toes, like an amateur, with his hands down low, showing off some neat footwork and evasive skills. His upper body and head movement, reflexes and reactions are all very impressive and he is able to back up quickly with his fast feet and pivot off to the side deftly to frustrate foes.
It’s a battle of southpaws Down Under; one carries the confidence of a man that’s never been beaten, but the other is a former ruler of the world who has the advantage of being on home turf.
Papot is very skilful with his speed and movement, he will certainly cause Paro plenty of problems with his explosiveness and evasiveness.
The Frenchman could frustrate Paro with his movement, especially early on, but the Aussie is a quick starter and his output and engine will surely catch his opponent regularly enough to win the rounds at ringside and to also slow his man down over time. He has to close the gap though, if the fight is fought at long range, he is in danger of being picked off by Papot, so he needs to stick to the Frenchman and keep him on the end of his jab.
Papot’s best chance of winning is to stick and move to win on points, as he is not known for being a knockout artist, with just a 16.67% KO ratio. However, 12 rounds is a long time to last with an experienced ex-world champion, who will have a very hostile and passionate home crowd fully behind him on the night.
Paro will most likely show his experience up at the highest level to take control of the fight, setting a high, demanding, uncomfortable pace that will teach Papot there’s levels to this.
Prediction: Paro to win on points
Extra Tip: Paro to win via KO in rounds 7-12
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Tim Rickson is the WhichBookie boxing analyst who joined the team midway through 2022 and will be providing boxing betting tips throughout the year for all of the big fights.
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If you’d like to back any of the selections, we recommend a bookmaker to do so with. These are usually the bookies offering the best odds on the selection at the time of posting the tip but it may be worth checking other bookies in case the odds have changed. There may also be betting offers associated with the tip that are only available with specific bookmakers that are worth taking into consideration.
We never recommend an actual stake to use for each bet as this will vary between people depending on the size of their betting bank. Never bet more than you can afford to lose and always stick to your staking plan.
WhichBookie boxing analyst Tim Rickson will publish tips whenever he finds value in a bet. If there is a big fight coming up, it’s likely that he will cover it but generally, they’ll be posted whenever a good bet comes about.
Many of the big boxing matches are only available via Pay Per View. However, you may be able to find streams of some of the less-popular fights via the Bet365 Live Streaming service. Bet365 provides over 100,000 live streams of sporting events every year and is regarded as one of the best services for streaming sports online without charge.
There are several options when it comes to betting on boxing, and the more you know, the better your chances of success. We will now go into more detail about some of the different betting markets that you will find, and discuss a few potential strategies you could use.
As with most sports, the outright market is probably the simplest, because you’re just betting on who will win the fight. There are no other criteria to consider, other than the fact that with many of the best bookies for boxing, you can also bet on the draw. However, draws in boxing are very rare and not many people tend to back this outcome.
Bear in mind that in many fights, one boxer tends to be a heavy favourite and it’s usually quite easy to pick the winner. There don’t tend to be that many shock results. Therefore, the odds on the favourite are often very low, even if you use the bookie with the best odds as described earlier in the article.
If you’re happy betting at short odds, you can certainly get a good success rate simply by backing short price favourites in boxing. But many people prefer to look for bigger wins. So you may sometimes need to look at some of the other markets to get a better return on your bet.
This market lets you choose not only who will win the fight, but how they will win. Different methods of victory are usually grouped as follows:
So because there are more possible outcomes in this market, the odds are higher than just the outright win market.
The Round Betting market offers the opportunity to get the highest odds. Here you can bet on which fighter will win, and which round he/she will win in.
Options to bet on a fighter to win on points, or to bet on the draw, are both also included in this market. In a 12 round bout, that gives 27 different possible outcomes. Therefore, the odds on each one are naturally going to be much higher. Think of it as the equivalent of the correct score market in football betting.
So the round betting market offers the biggest potential wins when betting on boxing. But of course, it’s harder to predict the outcome. You do have the option to split your stake to cover more than one outcome though. So if you felt that a fighter would win within the first 3 rounds, you could split your stake to back him to win in round 1, round 2 and round 3. The odds would mean you’d get a good profit if any of those outcomes happened.
This is a simple market in which you decide whether the fight will last all 12 rounds or not. Therefore there are only two outcomes to bet on, Yes or No.
It’s possible to get a decent success rate when betting on this market. Check the stats and the history of each boxer and ask yourself the following:
The answers to these key questions should give you a good idea of whether the fight is likely to go the distance or not. There can still be surprises, but you’ll certainly win more bets than you lose.
This market allows you to bet on the total number of rounds the fight will last for. The advantage here is that you do not need to specify who will win, just how long it will last.
For example, let’s consider a market of Over/Under 3.5 Rounds. There are only two options to bet on, either Over 3.5 Rounds or Under 3.5 Rounds. Therefore, you would approach the market as follows:
You will find that similar markets are available for Over/under 4.5, Over/Under 5.5, Over/Under 6.5 etc.
As any professional punter will tell you, the key to making a profit is not knowing who will win every time. Because obviously, that is not possible. The real trick is making sure that when you do win, you get the best possible odds on your bet.
We studied the odds for outright bets on every professional boxing match over a period of three months. We wanted to find the best bookies for boxing odds over a prolonged period of time.
As you would expect, Betfair and Bet365 are better than most of the competition. But the results showed that Betfred have the highest odds overall and came out well in some of the other markets like round betting.
Betfred were consistently best or equal best odds on nearly every outright market we recorded. They blew some of the other online bookies away in terms of the value they offered on boxing, and their user ratings are good too. So if you don’t have an account with them yet, we would definitely recommend joining.
| Best Bookies For Boxing | ||
|---|---|---|
 | Betfred | Visit |
 | Bet365 | Visit |
 | Betfair | Visit |
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