WhichBookie racing analyst Andrew Blair White provides a preview and betting tips for races at Lingfield on Friday 21st January.
Espanyol vs Real Betis
|Real Betis||10/3||Match Result & BTTS
Espanyol vs Real Betis
|Espanyol / Real Betis||28/1||HT/FT
Espanyol vs Real Betis
Date of Tips: 21/01/2022
Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (09:00 21/01/2022) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.
Espanyol take on Real Betis tonight at the RCDE Stadium in the only La Liga match taking place.
The hosts are currently winless in their last two league matches and were knocked out of Copa del Rey last week when away to Mallorca. However, their form at home has been very different with their recent 2-1 defeat to Elche being their first in eight at the RCDE Stadium where Vicente Moreno’s side have proven to be a very tough team to break down. They’ve conceded less than one goal per game at home this season but may find it though to contain a Betis side that are free-scoring when they click.
Real Betis are having a fantastic season and the possibility of Champions League football next season gets closer by the day. However, Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad are hot on their tails and both have a game in hand over Manuel Pellegrini’s side and so they’ll know that they need to maintain their form throughout the second half of the season if they are to achieve that.
Although Betis have the third-best away record in La Liga, 17 points from a possible 30 doesn’t scream consistency. That said, their defeats on the road this season have come at the hands of Villarreal, Atletico and Bilbao and they are yet to drop points against any team in the bottom half of the table on their travels.
This is a tricky match to call given Espanyol have proven to be solid at home but Real Betis are formidable in attack when things click for them. I’m siding with the visitors to take all three points from the game tonight and I’m also expecting a few goals. Real Betis have scored in 13 of their last 14 and Espanyol in 9 of their last 10. Both teams to get on the scoresheet tonight seems like a logical selection and odds of 13/19 are probably fair.
Odds of 10/3 are available on Real Betis to Win & BTTS and I’ll also be taking a longshot punt with a small stake on Espanyol to be leading at halftime but Betis to win @ 28/1 with Parimatch as if any team is capable of getting back into the game from being down it’s the visitors.
|Espanyol vs Real Betis|
|Real Betis & BTTS||10/3||Visit|
Real Betis FT
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Arsenal take on Liverpool this evening at the Emirates in the second leg of this EFL Cup semi-final clash with the winner set to face Chelsea in the final.
These two sides met a week ago at Anfield with the game ending goalless after 90 minutes. The Reds failed to capitalise on an early red card for Arsenal’s Xhaka and although Klopp’s side maintained 78% possession throughout the game, they only registered one shot on target. Liverpool were without several key players for the first leg and they will too be tonight with the likes of Liverpool, Salah, Mane and Naby Keita being away on AFCON duties and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain set to miss the game due to an injury sustained in their game against Brentford on Sunday in which Liverpool emerged as 3-0 winners.
Arsenal will be somewhat hopeful things will go their way tonight given that they head into this match with the score level and having the home advantage. However, they too have players out with Nicolas Pepe, Thomas Partey and Mohamed Elneny all away at the Africa Cup of Nations. There are also doubts regarding the fitness of Bukayo Saka, Emile Smith Rowe, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Cedric Soares and Calum Chambers, along with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang who has returned from AFCON but is unlikely to feature tonight.
Absentees are the main factor in determining a winner in this clash and it’s Arsenal’s midfield that is the concern for me. Arteta may have Albert Sambi Lokonga as his only recognised central midfielder and I feel they may struggle with controlling the game in that part of the field. Arsenal will need to produce more of the defensive resilience that they showed in the first leg if they are to progress to the final but I think that they’ll fall short tonight by a somewhat narrow margin.
Arsenal have been excellent at home for the majority of the season and were unbeaten in their last twelve, winning eleven of them, prior to their 2-1 defeat to Manchester City on New Years Day. However, with several players out from both sides, it’s difficult to look too much into past results. Liverpool definitely aren’t as strong without Salah and Mane but they still have a host of players at their disposal who are capable of causing Arsenal’s back line issues and so I’ll be backing them to win tonight within 90 minutes.
Odds of 11/10 are available on an away win with Betfair Sportsbook.
I’ll also be having small wagers on Liverpool to win 1-0 @ 9/1 and Jota to score anytime @ 9/5.
Lastly, Sky Bet have boosted the odds on Liverpool’s Alexander-Arnold to have a shot on target from outside of the box from 5/2 to 5/1 which I like the look of a lot.
|Arsenal vs Liverpool|
|Alexander-Arnold SOT from|
Outside of Box
Two top-flight matches take place tonight with Leicester hosting Tottenham and Brentford taking on Manchester United and I think that we’ll see goals from both sides in each game.
Brentford vs Man Utd could be a great game and I’m tempted to back the hosts to come out on top. Man Utd have found the net in every one of their league games away from Old Trafford this season but have been poor at the back and conceded in all but three. There’s still a lot of work to be done with Ralf Rangnick’s side as they look to find a formation and tactics that produce consistent results.
Brentford haven’t been getting the results they would have wanted recently with losing four of their last five in the league. However, their only loss at home came at the hands of Manchester City and that was by a narrow 1-0 scoreline and Thomas Frank’s side impressively limited the reigning Premier League champions to just two shots on target throughout the 90 minutes. Their form at home has been a lot better with victories against Everton, Watford and most recently, Aston Villa. They’ll fancy their chances tonight against a somewhat vulnerable and inconsistent United and odds of 15/2 for them to win & BTTS is tempting.
Both teams to score tonight is a safer bet and at a price of 9/10 makes a good selection to include in a multiple.
The other match tonight is Leicester vs Tottenham at the King Power Stadium and Spurs head into the game as the bookies favourites. I’m not confident in backing Spurs in this one given that Leicester have won their last five home games in all competitions. Brendan Rodgers’ side have also averaged 2.9 goals per game throughout their last ten and so should pose a threat in front of goal tonight despite the absence of a number of key players such as Wilfred Ndidi, Daniel Amartey, Nampalys Mendy, Kelechi Iheanacho, Wesley Fofana, Jonny Evans, Ricardo Pereira, Ryan Bertrand and Jamie Vardy.
Tottenham haven’t been the best on the road this season and generally don’t score that many away from home. However, the likes of Kane and Moura should get their chances against a depleted squad and I’d fancy them to get at least one goal tonight.
BTTS in this game is a relatively short 5/8 but when coupled with the first selection, comes in at just over 2/1 with 10Bet.
|Brentford vs Man Utd|
Leicester vs Tottenham
|Brentford vs Man Utd|
|Brentford & BTTS||15/2||Visit|
My other selection today comes from the Championship where Hull City take on Blackburn Rovers at the MKM Stadium.
Hull were in great form towards the end of the year, going on a six match unbeaten run (W4, D2) but their form has taken a nosedive and they have now lost four consecutive matches in all competitions. Grant McCann’s side now find themselves back in a relegation battle and they’ll do well to take three points away tonight from a side challenging for automatic promotion.
Rovers on the other hand are unbeaten in their last ten Championship matches (W8, D2) and their run of good results have propelled Tony Mowbray’s side up to third in the league, tied on points with second-placed Bournemouth and just five points adrift of Fulham. Victory tonight would see them move into an automatic promotion spot and given the form that they’re in, I think it’s the most likely outcome.
Blackburn have beaten Hull in their last five meetings with Hull failing to find the net in any of them. An away win at odds of 11/8 seems like a great bet and one that I’ll be taking up tonight.
|Hull vs Blackburn|
I’m starting off today in League one where Morecambe host Wigan at the Mazuma Stadium and I think the value is with backing the visitors.
Wigan are in tremendous form at the moment and are now unbeaten in their last 15 matches in all competitions. Leam Richardson’s side have won their last four with those including a 6-0 thrashing of Oldham in the EFL Trophy and a 3-2 win at home to Blackburn in the FA Cup. Their impressive run of form has propelled The Latics up to fourth in League One and they’re now the bookies favourite to take the title come the end of the season. That’s mainly due to the fact that today’s visitors have five games in hand over league leaders Wycombe who are currently just four points ahead of them.
While Wigan are the bookies favourites to win the league, Morecambe are the favourites for the drop. They currently sit in 21st place and head into this game with just 2 wins in their last 15 league games. Stephen Robinson’s side did pick up a point in their latest outing away to Wimbledon but today’s opponents should prove to be a must bigger test for them this evening and considering that they’ve conceded more goals than any other team in the league this season, it’s hard to see them coming away with anything tonight.
Wigan to win is priced at 4/6 with Boylesports which I think is a good price for both a single and an inclusion in a multiple with all factors considered.
|Morecambe vs Wigan|
Next up, we have Preston vs Sheffield United in the Championship in what could be a very close encounter.
These two sides are locked on 32 points apiece midway through the season and need to find some consistency if either are to challenge for a spot in the playoffs. That’s not out of the question given that only ten points separate them from sixth-placed Middlesbrough with Sheff Utd having three and Preston two games in hand.
The hosts head into this game on the back of a 1-1 draw at home to Birmingham in their most recent outing but won their two previous league games with a scoreline of 2-1. In fact, Preston’s last four victories have finished 2-1 and a similar score today wouldn’t be out of the question.
After a good run of four consecutive victories, including a 1-0 win away to Championship leaders Fulham, Sheffield United crashed out of the FA Cup with a 3-0 defeat away to Wolves and followed that up with a 2-0 loss to Derby on Saturday. They’ll be eager to get back to winning ways tonight but I think that the game will be more even than the odds suggest.
Preston are priced at 2/1 whereas you can get odds of 8/5 for United to win. Given the home advantage, I would have put the odds the other way around and so if I was to pick a winner, I’d have to back the hosts based on the prices. There is a reasonable chance that this game could end all square as it has done in the last two meetings between the two. However, I’m willing to take a punt on Preston and given that they struggle to keep a clean sheet, I think Preston to Win & BTTS is a good bet at odds of 11/2 with Bet365.
|Preston vs Sheff Utd|
|Preston & BTTS||11/2||Visit|
This isn’t a betting game for me as I find it hard to bet against Chelsea but Brighton have proven to be an incredibly tough team to break down this season. However, SkyBet have a Double Odds Boost available on the game and are offering 5/1 on Chelsea’s Mason Mount to have two or more shots on target. It’s been boosted from 5/2 and definitely has value. Mount has netted seven in the league this season and I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see him have a handful of attempts in front of goal tonight and at odds of 5/1 to hit the target two or more times, it’s definitely worth a small wager.
There are a handful of fixtures taking place today in Serie A but I’ve chosen to focus on the Africa Cup of Nations where we have two games scheduled, both of which are in Group A.
Burkina Faso take on Ethiopia in their final match of the group stages of AFCON. Realistically, only a draw is required from Burkina Faso today to secure a place in the last 16 of the competition and they’ll be confident of achieving at least that against an out-of-form Ethiopia side.
Following an opening defeat at the hands of Cameroon, Burkina Faso picked up three points in a 1-0 win against Cape Verde on Thursday to give their chances of progression a huge boost. They’re currently second in Group A and with today’s opponents without a point on the board, a draw would see them guaranteed a spot in the next round, either automatically via second place or via the third-place route. However, a win would be preferable for Kamou Malo’s side as a second-place finish would mean that they avoid one of the bigger teams in the next round.
Ethiopia are all but out of the competition with just a small glimmer of a chance of qualifying in third place. After a narrow 1-0 defeat to Cape Verde in their opening match, in which they played with 10 men for 78 minutes, they threw away an early lead against Cameroon to lose the game 4-1 and head into this final fixture without picking up a single point in the tournament. The quality isn’t there in the Ethiopia team currently with 23 or their 25 squad players playing in domestic leagues. It could be argued that because they have less to play for today that they may play more freely tonight but ultimately, I think that the difference in quality will show and that they’ll suffer their third defeat of the tournament, albeit by a narrow margin.
Burkina Faso have it all to play for today and with suffering just one defeat in their last ten, I’m backing them to pick up all three points and finish second in their group to make it through to the last 16 of the tournament. They’re priced at 6/10 to do so and make a good addition to a multiple in my opinion.
|Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia|
Cameroon look in great form during the opening stages of this tournament, averaging three goals per game over their first two played. They’ll be eager to finish the group stages with a perfect run of results and given that they’ve won six games on the bounce now, I expect them to do so.
Toni Conceição’s side came back from 1-0 down early on in their games against Ethiopia last week to win the match rather comfortably with a 4-1 scoreline. They’re anything but shy in front of goal, which is more than can be said for many of the teams at AFCON this year, and it’s rare to see them not get on the scoresheet at least once in a game.
Cape Verde are relatively solid at the back and haven’t conceded more than one goal in their last six matches. They’ll likely aim to get men behind the ball today in an attempt to contain Cameroon’s attacking threat but whether or not they can do that effectively for 90 minutes remains to be seen. However, they will take confidence in the fact that they beat today’s opponents 3-1 in the qualification rounds of this competition in March of last year.
Although it is Cape Verde who need the three points more, they really can’t afford to be pushing too hard against a Cameroon side who are so dangerous in front of goal. Based on current form in this tournament, it’s hard to see past a third successive AFCON victory for the Indomitable Lions and they’ll be my second selection in the double at odds of 19/25.
|Cameroon vs Cape Verde|
I suggest placing the double with Betfair Sportsbook who are offering odds of 2.60 on the two selections and will award a £5 free bet regardless of the result.
|Burkina Faso &|
My selections today come from the game between West Ham and Leeds at the Olympic Stadium and I’m confident the Hammers will come out on top after 90 minutes.
David Moyes’s side will be looking to make it five consecutive victories after picking up maximum points against Watford, Palace and Norwich in recent weeks. They also knocked today’s opponents out of the FA Cup seven days ago with a 2-0 convincing win at home and I can see a similar scoreline today.
The hosts are currently fourth in the Premier League and are having a superb season under David Moyes. Victory today would take them within just two points of third-placed Liverpool and give their hopes of a place in next seasons Champions League a significant boost. After a disappointing end to 2021, which saw them pick up just one win from seven, they seem to have gotten their season back on track and will be confident of picking up three points today against a Leeds side who have been poor on the road this season.
Leeds have picked up 19 points from as many games this season and find themselves just six points above the drop zone following Norwich’s 2-1 win against Everton yesterday. For a side that finished in a respectable ninth last season, it’s fair to say that they’re having a disappointing season and with some tough fixtures scheduled for the weeks ahead against the likes of Villa, Man Utd and Spurs, Marcelo Bielsa’s side could find themselves in a relegation battle heading into the final few months of the season should they not improve.
Defeat today would make it five losses from their last six for the visitors but perhaps more worrying is the fact that they’ve conceded 17 goals across their last five and with West Ham averaging 2.6 goals across theirs, another defeat could be on the cards today for the Whites.
West Ham are by far the stronger side and head into this game in much the better form. Given their ability to score goals and Leeds’ poor defensive record against the top teams, I’m willing to take a punt on West Ham -1 which is priced at 8/7 with Sport Nation.
Hammers forward, Jarrod Bowen, has netted three times throughout his last two games and looks a great bet to get on the scoresheet at any time today at 5/2 with Coral. Sky Bet have also in included him in their Double Odds boost today and are offering 8/1 instead of 4/1 on both Bowen and Liverpool’s Jota to have two or more shots on target each. Liverpool are at home to Brentford this afternoon and I expect Jota, who is the leagues second-highest scorer this season, to get a handful fo chances in front of goal. It’s definitely not a banker but at odds of 8/1, it has value and is a boost I’ll be backing today.
|West Ham vs Leeds|
|West Ham -1||8/7||Visit|
|Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia|
Although this is by far the game of the weekend, it’s not one for betting in my opinion. City are understandably the favourites but I can’t see the value in backing them at odds of around 7/10.
I expect Chelsea to try and keep things tight at the back and they’ll probably be able to contain City more than most teams have been able to. However, it’s hard to bet against City at the moment and to force a bet out of this game, I think you have to look at other markets.
Sky Bet are offering customers a £5 free bet when placing a bet of £5 or more pre-match on the game. With this offer, it’s definitely worth having a punt and I’ve spotted a Request a Bet that I quite like the look of.
Odds of 7/2 are available on Manchester City to win, Manchester City most corners in each half and Manchester City most shots on target in each half.
As I think Chelsea will be set up defensively, they should be on the back foot for the majority of the game with City attempting to retain possession as much as possible. Therefore, there’s a good chance that the ball will be in Chelsea’s half for the best part of 90 minutes and so backing City to have the most corners and the most shots on target is a logical bet.
At 7/2, I’d much rather take this bet on than a straight City win at odds-on.
Boylesports also have their EPIC ODDS offer available on the game and are offering the following price boosts on the Match Winner market:
Both selections of course have value but with the home advantage and how they’ve played this season, I’ll be backing City to come out on top at very generous odds of 2/1.
|Man City vs Chelsea|
|Man City Win,|
|Man City Win||2/1||Visit|
Huddersfield host Swansea at Kirklees Stadium in the Championship this afternoon knowing that they have to maintain their good run of form if they are to stay in the race for a place in the playoffs.
The Terriers are unbeaten in their last seven games and head into this match after knocking Premier League side Burnley out of the FA Cup with an impressive 2-1 victory away from home. That win made it four from their last five for Carlos Corberán’s side who are currently one of the most in-form sides in the Championship.
Swansea’s form on the road this season has generally been rather poor having avoided defeat in just four of their last ten. They’re currently 17th in the league heading into this clash and although they’re not looking likely to get caught up in a relegation battle, they do have to improve if they are to play out the second half of the season without that worry.
Three league losses in a row were followed up with an exit from the FA Cup in extra time by Southampton last weekend and it’s hard to see them picking up all three points today against a side who are looking very tough to beat at the moment.
Considering Huddersfield are at home, the odds on them to win look very generous at 8/5 with Boylesports which is a price I’ll be taking up today.
|Huddersfield vs Swansea|
Sky Bet are offering price boosts on the following today:
Fulham are at home to Bristol City and head into this game on the back of an impressive 7-0 thrashing of Reading on Tuesday night. After suffering their first loss in 12 games when being beaten 1-0 at home to Sheff Utd, it was the perfect response from Marco Silva’s side. I expect them to build on that win with another today against a Bristol City side with just one win in their last five in all competitions.
Everton are away to struggling Norwich and although the Toffees haven’t exactly been in great form themselves, I do think that they’ll have enough to pick up all three points against a side who have scored just 8 goals in 20 games this season.
The final game sees Middlesbrough host Reading at the Riverside and I’m backing the hosts to come out on top. Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last seven games, having won their last four, and are at home to a side who have conceded in their last 13. The Boro are back in the mix for a spot in the playoffs and with a game in hand over sixth-placed Huddersfield, they’ll be eager not to drop points in the games ahead.
The treble on Fulham, Everton and Middlesbrough to win has been boosted from 5/2 to a very nice 9/2.
|Sky Bet Boosted Treble|
I’ll also be having a double today with two selections from League One with the first being league leaders Rotherham to beat Fleetwood Town away from home.
The hosts head into this match in relatively good form having lost just one of their last five (W3, D1, L1). However, those three victories all came against sides in 18th place or below and today’s opponents are likely to prove to be a much tougher test for Stephen Crainey’s side.
Defeat today for Fleetwood could potentially see them drop into the relegation zone and I think that they’ll have to wait until they meet Charlton next week for a chance to put more points on the board.
Rotherham have lost just once in the league since mid-September and are looking like one of the more likely candidates for automatic promotion this term. With Sunderland having a somewhat tricky fixture this afternoon away to Accrington, they’ll be eager to pick up maximum points to retain their place at the top of League One and it’s difficult to not back them doing that today.
Odds of 8/15 are available on Rotherham to win away from home today which isn’t hugely appealing as a single but makes a good addition to a multiple in my opinion.
My second selection comes from the Doncaster vs Wigan game and I’m backing another away victory.
Wigan are on a great run currently and are unbeaten in their last 14 games across all competitions. They head into this match after picking up three points in the league away to Oxford in December, followed by a 6-0 demolishing of Oldham in the EFL Trophy and and most recently, knocking Blackburn out of the FA Cup with a 3-2 win in front of home fans a week ago. Leam Richardson’s side have picked up more points in the league than any other side from their last 20 games and with having five games in hand and as many points adrift of second placed Sunderland, automatic promotion wouldn’t be out of the question if they’re able to maintain their current form throughout the second half of the season.
Odds of 1/2 are available on Wigan today and 2.30 when coupled with Rotherham in the double.
You may wish to place the bet with Betfair Sportsbook or Parimatch who both offer a £5 free bet for doing so, regardless of the result.
|League One Double|
|Rotherham & Wigan||2.30||Visit|
I’ll be looking at just one game today and it is the AFCON match between Gabon and Ghana taking place this evening.
It is Ghana who head into this fixture as the bookies favourites, priced at around Evens for the win. However, their AFCON campaign hasn’t gotten off to the best of starts as they suffered a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Morocco on Monday night. That result made to back-to-back losses for Milovan Rajevac’s side who were beaten 3-0 in their previous game when playing against current AFCON champions, Algeria, back in May. The lack of goals from Ghana is a slight concern given that they have found the net more than once in just one of their last ten games.
Gabon currently share the top spot in Group C with Morocco after picking up a 1-0 win against Comoros in their opening match of the competition. They were able to hold onto an early goal from forward Aaron Boupendza to take all three points from the game and give their qualification chances a huge boost. They were without both Nice midfielder, Mario Lemina, and Arsenal striker Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang for that match but it’s possible that both could make a return tonight and should they do so, there is a good chance that the odds on a Gabon win will shorten.
Gabon are priced at 4/1 for the win which I think is overpriced. There haven’t been many teams run away with games so far in the competition and I wouldn’t be surprised to see another low-scoring affair. Should Lemina and Aubameyang be fit and named in the starting XI, I think Gabon have a great chance of getting something from this game and at those odds, they’re definitely worth a punt. If you’d rather play it a bit safer, Gabon Draw No Bet is available at 23/10 or the double chance bet on Gabon or Draw is priced at just shy of Evens.
|Gabon vs Ghana|
Draw No Bet
Our £20 single with Novibet on Chelsea came in last night and we also received a £5 free bet for placing it. They have the same offer available today on the Liverpool vs Arsenal match which is worth taking advantage of if you’re having a bet on the game. Sky Bet also have a generous price boost for the second EFL Cup semi-final that I’ll be sharing the details of.
Chelsea secured their place in the final of the EFL Cup last night with a 1-0 win away to Tottenham but they’ll have to wait another week to find out their next opponents as tonight’s match is only the first leg between these two sides.
Both sides will be without key players due to various reasons. Mo Salah, Sadio Mane and Naby Keita are all missing for Liverpool with being away on African Cup of Nations duties and Harvey Elliott, Divock Origi, Thiago Alcantara and Nat Phillips will miss the match due to injury. Trent Alexander-Arnold being back in training will be a major boost for the hosts should he prove fit to make an appearance and it’s likely that we’ll see the return of Jordan Henderson and Diogo Jota to the starting XI.
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Mohamed Elneny, Thomas Partey and Nicolas Pepe will be absent for Arsenal and there are doubts regarding the fitness of Granit Xhaka, Emile Smith Rowe and Takehiro Tomiyasu.
Liverpool head into this clash on the back of a 4-1 win at home to League One side Shrewsbury Town in the FA Cup 3rd Round four days ago. That victory broke a four-game winless run for the Reds after only managing draws against Tottenham, Leicester (EFL Cup normal time) and Chelsea and suffering a rare 1-0 defeat at the hands of Leicester in the league. The absence of Mo Salah, Sadio Mane and others is a concern for them tonight but Klopp still has some quality players to field who should be able to cause problems for Arsenal’s back line.
Arsenal’s five-game winning streak was halted when they conceded in stoppage time against Manchester City on New Year’s Day to lose the match 2-1. They followed that defeat up with another a week later being knocked out of the FA Cup by Championship side Nottingham Forest for the second time. That exit from the FA Cup made it four defeats in their last six on the road for the Gunners and given that they were beaten 4-0 at Anfield in their last visit, Arteta’s depleted side may find it tough to head into the second leg next week with the advantage.
Both sides are missing players for tonight’s game, as they were in their FA Cup fixtures four days ago. However, it was Liverpool’s second-string side that showed more quality and should do tonight also, especially with being on home turf where they remain unbeaten in all competitions having won 10 and drawn four of their 14 games played this term.
As mentioned, Novibet are offering customers a £5 free bet when placing a bet of £20 or more on the game and I’ll be backing a straight win for the hosts which is priced at 17/20.
Sky Bet have boosted the odds on Van Dijk to have one or more headed shots on target from 3/1 to 6/1 which shows huge value and definitely worth a punt in my opinion.
I’m also going to have another single on Liverpool to Win & Both Teams To Score. With players missing for both teams, there should be chances for both sides who still have players capable of causing issues in front of goal for their opponents such as Lacazette, Saka and Jota. Odds of 5/2 are available on this selection with William Hill.
|Liverpool vs Arsenal|
1+ Headed SOT
|Liverpool & BTTS||5/2||Visit|
Spurs host Chelsea in the second leg of one of two EFL Cup semi-finals taking place this week but it is the visitors who head into the game with a 2-0 advantage.
Chelsea will be confident of progressing through to the final stage of the competition following a dominant performance at Stamford Bridge a week ago. The Blues haven’t been beaten by Spurs in their last ten meetings (W7, D3) and won 3-0 last time out when playing them away in the league early on in the season.
Tottenham have it all to do tonight and will be without key player, Son Heung-min due to injury. They’ll need to improve significantly on their performance in the first leg but they will take confidence in the fact that they have found the net at least two times in their last four played on home turf.
With Chelsea heading into the match with a two-goal lead, it’s likely that they’ll take a more defensive approach. However, a goal from either side early on could open up the game but I’d still back Tuchel’s side to be able to contain Kane and other threats that Spurs pose in front of goal.
Chelsea haven’t lost by more than one goal all season which is one reason why I’m not confident Tottenham will progress tonight. They’re also unbeaten in their last ten and were far the better side last week at Stamford Bridge.
It’s a difficult result to call but I’m siding with Chelsea to come out on top. There are a few betting offers available on the match that are worth taking advantage of with the first being a £5 free bet from Novibet when placing a bet of £20 or more on any market. For this bet, I’m simply backing a Chelsea win which is priced at 6/5.
Boylesports are also offering customers a £5 free bet when placing a £5 pre-match Bet Builder. I’m opting for Both Teams To Score and Under 3.5 Goals which I think at 2/1, is a good bet.
Lastly, Sky Bet have doubled the odds on both Kane and Lukaku to have two or more shots on target each from 5/1 to 10/1. It’s a longshot but at those odds, it’s definitely worth a punt.
|Tottenham vs Chelsea|
|BTTS & Under 3.5 Goals||2/1||Visit|
|Kane & Lukaku|
2+ SOT Each
La Liga rivals Barcelona and Real Madrid meet tonight in the semi-finals of the Super Cup which will be played at the King Fahd Stadium in Saudi Arabia.
The winner will meet either Atletico Madrid or Athletic Bilbao in the final which is scheduled to take place on Sunday evening.
Barcelona threw away a 1-0 lead when away to Granada in their most recent outing to take only a point away from the game. A second yellow card for Gavi resulted in his dismissal with 10 minutes remaining which helped Granada’s Antonio Puertas grab an equaliser in the 89th minute. That result has left Xavi’s side sixth in La Liga but with third-placed Betis just two points ahead, they still have everything to play for this season to be part of the Champions League next year.
Although Real Madrid remain at the top of La Liga, they have slipped up a couple of times recently, taking only a point away from their meeting at home to Cadiz and suffering a shock 1-0 defeat away to Getafe. However, Carlo Ancelotti’s side responded with back-to-back wins against Alcoyano (3-1) in the Copa del Rey and Valencia (4-1) in La Liga.
It’s hard not to back Real Madrid with the form they have been in this season which sees them at the top of the league and having scored more goals than any other team. They’ve generally had a good record at the back also but have conceded in each of their last four games. Therefore, I’m willing to take a chance on a Madrid Win & BTTS bet here at odds of 27/10 with William Hill rather than just shy of Evens for just the win.
|Barcelona vs Real Madrid|
|Real Madrid & BTTS||27/10||Visit|
Sunderland host Lincoln at the Stadium of Light this evening and the Black Cats will be looking to continue their excellent run of form on home turf.
Sunderland have the best home record in League One having picked up an impressive 31 points from a possible 36. Lee Johnson’s side have been incredibly solid at the Stadium of Light this season and have conceded just six goals in twelve games which has resulted in them winning nine, dropping points only in their 1-0 defeat to Charlton in October and in a 1-1 draw with Oxford the week after. Since those two slip ups, they’ve gone on to beat both Morecambe and Sheffield Wednesday 5-0 and Plymouth 2-1 which has given their promotion hopes a huge boost. They now sit tied on points at the top of the table with Rotherham and will be confident of keeping the pressure on the Millers by picking up all three points today.
Lincoln would be heading into this game in the relegation zone had it not been for a rare win at home to Oxford three days ago. That was Michael Appleton’s sides first victory in nine and they’ll do well to get anything out of this game. The Imps have conceded in 14 of their last 15 matches in League One and so it’s difficult to see them keeping at bay a Sunderland side who have netted 12 goals in their last three at home.
Sunderland will be disappointed to have dropped points in their 3-3 draw away to Wycombe last weekend. Ross Stewart put the visitors ahead in the 93rd minute only for Rotherham to steal a point with a 98th-minute equalizer from Joe Jacobson. That result has kept Wycombe hot on the heels of Sunderland and they’ll be eager to extend that gap of four points to seven this evening and I’m backing them to do so.
Seven of Sunderland’s ten victories at home this season have resulted in three of more goals being scored and so I’m backing a home win & Over 2.5 goals which is priced at 6/4 with Boylesports.
|Sunderland vs Lincoln|
Over 2.5 Goals
Next, we head down into League Two where league leaders Forest Green take on Colchester at the New Lawn.
Although Forest Green have drawn two of their last three, they are unbeaten in their last 11 in League Two and look set for promotion come the end of the season. Rob Edwards’s side have by far the best goalscoring record in the league, averaging over two goals per game, although, they did see out a stalemate at home to Exeter last time out. They’re at home to a side currently third-bottom this evening and they’ll be hopeful of getting back to winning ways in a rather comfortable fashion.
Where Forest Green have scored more goals than any other team in the league, Colchester have netted the fewest. Just 17 goals have been scored in their 21 matches this season and things get even worse when you look at their away record where they have averaged a measly 0.64 goals per game.
It’s hard to envisage anything other than a home win today and if you’d like to give the odds a boost, Forest Green to win to nil looks like a good bet at odds of 13/10. However, I’m sticking with a straight win and adding it into a multiple today.
|Forest Green vs Colchester|
My final selection comes from the National League where Grimsby travel to The Shay Stadium to take on the league leaders.
Halifax currently top the National league table but there is pressure from Chesterfield who are just a single point adrift of The Shaymen with two games in hand. They’re in good form heading into this game being unbeaten in their last six and have an excellent record at home having picked up 24 points from a possible 30 this season, scoring 22 in the process and conceding just 7.
Grimsby picked up a point in their most recent game at home to Halifax just over a week ago but that was only the second time in ten games that Pete Wild’s side have avoided defeat. They’ll do extremely well to pick up points away from home this evening against the league leaders and there are what looks like some generous odds available on a home win.
Halifax are 11/8 with Betfred which I think is a great price and will be the third and final selection in my treble today.
|Halifax vs Grimsby|
If you place the treble with bookmaker Parimatch at odds of 4.31/1, they will award you with a £5 free bet regardless of the result.
The third round of the FA Cup concludes today with Manchester United vs Aston Villa at Old Trafford which is worth taking a look at as William Hill have a free bet offer available for the match. There are also a handful of fixtures taking place in other top European leagues as well as African Cup of Nations games.
Two Premier League sides look to secure their spot in the fourth round of the Cup with victory today at Old Trafford. The winner will host Middlesbrough in just over three weeks time and so both sides will be eager to progress.
The bookies have United as the odds-on favourites which isn’t surprising given their home advantage. However, they have been far from inspiring of late, or throughout the season for that matter, and so they do have a game on their hands tonight against a much improved Villa side.
Man Utd’s 3-1 win at home to Burnley at the end of December was the only match in which they’ve scored more than one goal under the reigns of Ralf Rangnick. They head into this clash on the back of a 1-0 defeat to Wolves at Old Trafford a week ago which made it just two wins in their last five, averaging just 1.2 goals per game.
After a positive start for Steven Gerrard, which saw him kick-start his managerial stint with the Villans with four wins from six games, losing only to Manchester City and Liverpool by one-goal margins, his side have now lost their last two to Chelsea (3-1) and Brentford (2-1). However, they will be confident of causing an upset today given their opponents’ inconsistent form.
With United struggling for goals currently and Villa having already beaten them at Old Trafford back in September, it’s difficult to back a home win at odds-on. The value has to be with the visitors who are priced at 21/5 with Unibet. A safer bet would be on Villa Draw No Bet (3/1) or Villa Double Chance (5/4) or perhaps even Villa to qualify @ 5/2.
William Hill are offering customers a £10 free bet when placing a £10 pre-match #YourOdds bet on the game which is definitely worth taking advantage of. For this bet, I’m backing Aston Villa or a Draw & Under 3.5 Goals.
I’ll also be having a small wager on Ronaldo to score a header for which Sky Bet have boosted the odds of from 8/1 to 10/1.
|Manchester United vs Aston Villa|
Draw No Bet
|Aston Villa or Draw|
Under 3.5 Goals
To Score A Header
The other match that has caught my eye today is Torino vs Fiorentina in Serie A and there seem to be some generous odds available on an away win.
Fiorentina have been in excellent form of late and head into this match unbeaten in their last six. Goals have been flowing for Vincenzo Italiano’s side, mainly thanks to striker Dušan Vlahović who is Serie A’s top scorer with 16 league goals this season which has resulted him attracting interest from several Premier League clubs including Arsenal, Tottenham and Newcastle.
The visitors are currently sixth in the league and six points adrift of Juventus. However, they have two games in hand over them and so will see this game as a great opportunity to narrow the gap and to take one step closer to European football next season.
Torino are currently 13th in Serie A having picked up 25 points this season. Although they have the worst away record in the league, they have the fifth-best at home having picked up 20 of those 25 points at the Stadio Olimpico di Torino. That is a slight concern when backing the visitors. However, they tend not to get results against the big sides and with tonight’s opponents enjoying some of the best form in the league currently, I think that they’ll do well to keep them at bay in front of goal.
Vlahović didn’t find the net in Fiorentina’s last outing but he has in six of his last eight starts. He’s also failed to find the net in consecutive games only once this season and so he’s a great bet to get on the scoresheet tonight.
However, odds of 3/2 are more than enough for me to back a straight win for Fiorentina. They have also conceded in seven of their last eight and so if you’d like to take a chance at some slightly bigger odds, Fiorentina & BTTS @ 4/1 with William Hill seems like a good bet.
|Torino vs Fiorentina|
|Fiorentina & BTTS||4/1||Visit|
FA Cup action continues today with no less than 21 matches scheduled to take place. There are also fixtures in League One, League Two and across Europe and so plenty of betting opportunities to fish out.
I’m starting off in League One where struggling Gillingham host Ipswich at Priestfield Stadium.
The hosts are without a win in their last ten matches and currently have the worst home record in the league having picked up just nine points from ten games. Although their defensive record on home turf is of a reasonable standard compared to other teams around them in the table, they have struggled for goals, averaging just 0.7 goals per game in front of their home fans.
Ipswich are hovering around midtable, eleven points off a playoff spot and ten above the relegation zone. New manager Kieran McKenna was introduced midway through December and the Blues are now unbeaten in their last three league games. Although only one of those resulted in a win for Ipswich, they were all against top-four sides, picking up respectable 1-1 draws against both Wigan and Sunderland followed by an impressive 1-0 victory at home to Wycombe last time out.
Ipswich have already beaten Gillingham away from home in the EFL Trophy this season (2-0) and I can see a similar result today.
An Ipswich win is priced at Evens with Boylesports which I think is worth taking up.
Gillingham vs Ipswich
Ipswich 1/1 Visit
Staying in League One and Lincoln take on Oxford at 3 pm this afternoon.
Lincoln had a reasonable start to the season and were midtable until heading into November. However, their form has plummeted and Michael Appleton’s side are now winless in their last eight across all competitions and have picked up just three points in their last seven in the league. They are well-rested having last played on Boxing Day but unless they’re able to improve on their form, they could be in for another defeat against an in-form Oxford side.
Oxford have their sights set on promotion and are currently fifth in the league, seven points adrift of league leaders Rotherham. They’re unbeaten in their six on the road and will be hopeful of taking that tally to seven this afternoon.
Karl Robinson’s side have taken 10 points from their last five games, averaging two goals per match. Although their home record is far superior to that on their travels, they will see this as a winnable game and given the momentum that they currently have and the potential to move up to third in the league with a win today, I’m backing them to take away all three points.
Lincoln have managed to bag five goals over their last two games and so I wouldn’t be surprised to see them get on the scoresheet today despite averaging less than one goal per game at the LNER Stadium this season.
A straight bet on Oxford to win at 5/4 would be the safer bet but I’m backing Oxford & BTTS at the slightly more attractive price of 10/3 with Betfred.
Lincoln City vs Oxford United
Oxford United & BTTS 10/3 Visit
It would feel wrong not to include some FA Cup selections considering the number of fixtures taking place today and so I’ve picked out a -1 Handicap double from the scheduled matches.
I’m starting off with Newcastle vs Cambridge at St James’ Park and I’m doing my best not to let my heart rule my head as I’ll be at the match and expecting a rare victory for Howe’s side.
Newcastle have had a horrible start to the season in the Premier League but things have picked up since the arrival of Howe at the beginning of November. Under his reigns, Newcastle have looked far more energetic and although issues at the back remain, they have looked like a different team going forward with dramatic improvements from certain players such as Joelinton who has been moved into a midfield role.
It goes without saying that remaining as a Premier League club next season is the top priority for Howe but victory for his team today could do wonders for their confidence heading into their match against Watford on the 15th. I’m expecting a reasonably strong lineup from Newcastle despite being without the likes of Paul Dummett, Callum Wilson, Isaac Hayden, Federico Fernandez and Jamal Lewis through injury. Karl Darlow, Ciaran Clark, Joe Willock and Matt Ritchie could all possibly return following the end of their isolation periods and it’s possible that fans could see the first appearance of new signing Kieran Trippier following his arrival from Atletico Madrid this week.
Cambridge are winless in their last three without finding the net in any of them which has caused the League One side to slip down to 16th place in the table. Mark Bonner’s side have been poor on the road in general this season picking up just 12 points from 11 games and will have their work cut out against a side two tiers above them who’s form is on the up.
I’m expecting a home win today and willing to take a punt on Newcastle -1 which is priced at 5/6 with Betfair Sportsbook.
Yeovil Town hope to get back to winning ways after losing their last two matches when they host Championship leaders Bournemouth at Huish Park this afternoon.
The hosts are currently 11th in the National League but after an unbeaten run of eleven games, of which they won nine, they head into this game suffering back-to-back defeats against Torquay, both home and away. They’ll be eager to cause an upset today but considering that they have only progressed passed the third round of this competition two times within the last 16 years, it would be a huge achievement if they managed to do so.
Bournemouth are looking set to a return to the top flight with currently topping the Championship table heading into the second half of the season. Scott Parker’s side haven’t been without fault this season. Up until a couple of weeks ago, they were without a win in six games. However, they seemed to have turned a corner and got back to winning ways with back-to-back victories against both QPR (1-0) and Cardiff (3-0).
Similar to Newcastle’s priorities with staying up, Bournemouth’s main aim this season is to return to the Premier League. Therefore, there are some concerns with the starting XI Parker will name for this clash. However, they should have the depth in squad to see this game out as winners relatively comfortably and with winning their last two without conceding, I envisage a similar scoreline to the Newcastle vs Cambridge game with a 2-0 or 3-0 win for Bournemouth.
Bournemouth -1 is priced at 10/11 with Boylesports and you can back the double at 2.44/1 with Betfred but I’ll be opting to place it at the ever so slightly shorter odds of 2.35/1 with Betfair who are offering a very generous £10 free bet for doing so.
FA Cup Double
As well as the £10 free bet you can receive from Betfair for placing a £20 double, there are a couple of other offer available today that are worth considering.
The first is a price boost from Sky Bet who are offering the following:
Leicester are big favourites at home to Watford and I’ve already covered the Newcastle game which leaves QPR vs Rotherham. It’s a tricky one to call with both sides doing well domestically but with Rotherham’s sights solely set on promotion this term, I think QPR will progress within 90 minutes. However, it could be a close game.
Coral are offering customers a £5 free bet to use in-play on the Millwall vs Crystal Palace match when placing a £5 bet pre-match. I’m going to back an upset in this game mainly due to Palace having players away on African Cup of Nations duties. Both teams are capable of scoring goals though and so I’m taking a punt on Millwall to win & BTTS which is priced at 13/2 with Coral and a £5 free bet will be awarded regardless of the outcome.
|Millwall vs Crystal Palace|
|Millwall & BTTS||13/2||Visit|
AC Milan beat Roma 3-1 last night for our home win & BTTS tip to land @ 10/3. There were also Under 2.5 Goals scored in the Juventus vs Napoli match (51/50) but unfortunately, as Napoli bagged a goal, our bet on Juve to win 1-0 didn’t come in. However, a profitable day of betting overall and hopefully that will continue today.
There are relatively few games taking place today before we head into the weekend where there is a full round of FA Cup fixtures to look forward to along with some free bet and price boost offers from various bookies.
Struggling Santa Clara host high-flying Sporting Lisbon in Ponta Delgada this evening and an away win seems like the most probable outcome.
The hosts currently sit just one point above the relegation zone and won’t be looking forward to this game against a Lisbon side who they have been unable to beat in every one of their meetings dating back over 20 years. Daniel Ramos’ side head into this game on the back of a 2-1 defeat to mid-table side Ferreira and they will be disappointed not to have taken something away from the game having headed into the tunnel at half-time 1-0 up. That defeat continued their winless run on the road this season but they have been in somewhat slightly better form on home turf, winning three of their eight matches played at Estadio de Sao Miguel.
Sporting Lisbon are only missing out on the top position in Liga Portugal due to goal difference but that would change should they pick up points tonight. Rúben Amorim’s side are unbeaten this term having only dropped points in draws against Porto and Famalicao early on in the season and head into this game with an impressive winning streak of eleven matches. They have the best defensive record in the league, conceding just seven goals in their 16 games played and so it’s hard to see them being outscored tonight.
An away win is on the cards in this fixture but to squeeze a bit more value from the selections, I think it’s worth looking at markets other than just the match winner.
Santa Clara haven’t performed well against the big teams in the Portuguese top-flight. They have been beaten 3-0 by Porto, 5-0 by Benfica and 6-0 by Braga. Although Sporting haven’t been as prolific in front of goal this season as some of those other teams, they do keep things tight at the back and so a Handicap bet could be the smart choice.
I’m backing Sporting to Win -1 and also Sporting to Win & Over 2.5 Goals, both of which are at odds of 11/8 with Bet365.
|Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisbon|
|Sporting Lisbon -1||11/8||Visit|
|Sporting Lisbon &|
Over 2.5 Goals
The Spanish Copa del Rey continues today and we also have a reasonable number of fixtures taking place in Serie A to look at.
It’s a tricky time to be betting on football at the moment with many squads depleted due to players isolating and for other reasons. This match between Juventus and Napoli is a perfect example of that and some consideration has to taken into account regarding missing players from both sides.
Five points separate these two sides in Serie A with both battling it out for a spot in next seasons Champions League. After an excellent start to the season, Napoli’s form took a nosedive in November and Luciano Spalletti’s side have now won just three of their last ten matches in all competitions and have scored just once in their last three. They head into this match on the back of a 1-0 defeat at home to Spezia and this fixture won’t be any easier for them, especially with the players they will be without.
Napoli have a number of players missing for tonight’s match due to having to isolate, being suspended or because they’re away at the African Cup of Nations. Up to nine of their regular first-team players could be absent tonight which is a huge blow for Spalletti’s side given that they’re playing Juve just as they have hit a bit of form.
Juventus also have players out, albeit not as many, with Giorgio Chiellini, Carlo Pinsoglio, Kaio Jorge and Luca Pellegrini all set to miss the game for various reasons. However, Massimiliano Allegri’s side are unbeaten in their last six and more impressively, have won five of those to nil.
With Napoli struggling for goals at the moment due to a depleted squad and Juve being solid at the back having conceded just once in six games, a home win could be on the cards tonight. I was hoping for slightly more generous odds than 7/10 but taking everything into account along with the fact Juventus have beaten Napoli in their last four meetings at the Allianz Stadium, the price does seem reasonable.
Under 2.5 goals have been scored in Juventus’s last seven and in Napoli’s last three and so I think this is also a good bet on the match. Odds of Evens aren’t hugely appealing but again, fair.
If you’d like to double up on the above two selections, odds of 11/4 are available with Sky Bet for Juventus to win & Under 2.5 Goals or you could spread your stake across both 1-0 (6/1) and 2-0 (7/1) as you please which is essentially the same bet.
|Juventus vs Napoli|
|Under 2.5 Goals||51/50||Visit|
This is another match that it’s important to look at carefully as based on recent results, Roma should likely be a shorter price. However, AC have been hit with injuries of late but are looking set to have several key players back tonight for this crucial clash with all of Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Ante Rebic and Rafael Leao having resumed training this week.
AC Milan’s recent run of poor results have halted their title challenge somewhat and have now dropped four points adrift of local rivals Inter. They did pick up a 4-2 win away to Empoli in their most recent outing and will be looking to build on that by picking up another three points today and with the players that they have returning, they have a good chance of doing so.
Despite being unbeaten in their last four in all competitions, Roma head into this match as underdogs. José Mourinho’s side have lost five of their nine matches played on the road this season and although they haven’t been short of goals on their travels, they have conceded far too many.
AC Milan are one of just two teams to have beaten Roma at the Stadio Olimpico this season by picking up a 2-1 win at the end of October. They achieved the same result last season also and with the home advantage this time around along with Roma’s poor away form, it’s not surprising to see them as favourites.
Roma are more than capable of scoring goals on the road as they have done in six of their last seven. Therefore, a win for AC Milan and BTTS seems like the logical bet which has been boosted to 10/3 with Sky Bet.
|AC Milan vs Roma|
|AC Milan & BTTS||10/3||Visit|
The first of the two EFL Cup semi-finals take place tonight with Chelsea hosting Tottenham at Stamford Bridge. That’s about it for English football but the Copa del Rey is also back with several fixtures available to look at.
Chelsea take on Spurs in the Carabao Cup tonight at Stamford Bridge where their 1-0 loss to Manchester City towards the end of September was their only defeat since being beaten in the FA Cup Final at the hands of Leicester back in May. However, Tuchel’s side have struggled to pick up maximum points from games lately having drawn five of their last six league games in front of home fans. Those draws mean that the Blues are now 10 points adrift of league leaders Manchester City and so this competition could be their most realistic chance of picking up silverware this season.
Chelsea’s last outing resulted in a 2-2 draw at home to Liverpool in a game that saw four goals within the first 45 minutes. That made it nine of Chelsea’s last eleven that both teams have found the net in and with Tottenham scoring in nine of their last ten, it wouldn’t be surprising to see both sides get on the scoresheet tonight.
Tottenham have been a much improved side under Conte but generally haven’t travelled well at all this season where they have picked up just half of the points that they have at home in the league. They did pick up a 1-0 win last time out away to Watford but just seven goals have been scored in their eight league games on the road which is a slight cause for concern, especially if Lukaku starts tonight.
It remains to be seen whether or not Chelsea’s Romelu Lukaku will make a return to the squad tonight. The Belgian international was dropped by Tuchel for his sides clash with Liverpool at the weekend following negative comments about the club but has since apologised which could see him regain his place. If so, his presence would be a huge boost for the Chelsea attack and I’d back him to get on the scoresheet within 90 minutes should he start.
I was hoping for some more favourable odds on Chelsea tonight but it seems as though the bookies have taken Tottenham’s away form into account with the hosts the big favourites being priced as Evens and the best odds on Spurs being 3/1. It’s a tough one to call but if Lukaku does start, I’d fancy Chelsea to narrowly win the game but it’s whether the value is there with the home side which I don’t think it is. 3/1 on Tottenham seems to have more value but I’m not confident enough in their performances on the road to back them either.
Instead, I’m opting to take advantage of a couple of betting offers that are available from both Boylesports and Sky Bet to gain a bit of extra value.
Boylesports are offering customers a £5 free bet to use in-play when placing a £5 pre-match Bet Builder on the game. For this, I’m backing a score draw that is priced at 7/2.
Sky Bet have a price boost on Harry Kane to have two or more shots on target. It’s been boosted from 6/4 to a generous 3/1 and so definitely has value. Kane has scored in three of Tottenham’s last five and likely to get a handful of chances against a Chelsea defence that have conceded in nine of their last eleven.
|Chelsea vs Tottenham|
|Harry Kane 2+ SOT||3/1||Visit|
Moving onto the Copa del Rey where Primera División RFEF – Group 2 side Alcoyano host La Liga giants Real Madrid.
Real Madrid have been in excellent form this season having lost just one of their last sixteen games which was a surprise 1-0 defeat away to Getafe in their most recent outing. Carlo Ancelotti’s side are currently leading the Spanish top-flight by five points and have a great chance to claim their 35th La Liga title this term. With the best away record in the league and playing a third-division side tonight, they’re expected to progress to the next round comfortably despite Ancelotti being sure to make a number of changes to his usual starting XI.
Alcoyano play in the Spanish third tier which is a world away from La Liga in terms of quality. They’re currently in 11th position and shouldn’t pose much of a threat to the visitors tonight given that they have only managed to score seven goals in their eight matches on home turf this season. They’re also winless in their last three league games without managing to find the net in any of them and as they are coming up against a team with the second best defensive record in the top-flight, they’ll do extremely well to produce chances, nevermind goals, tonight.
Although the Madrid side we see tonight will be different from what we’re used to seeing in league matches, I do expect them to control the game comfortably and limit Alcoyano to relatively few chances. Therefore, I think there’s value in backing the visitors to win to nil which is priced at 10/11 with Paddy Power.
|Alcoyano vs Real Madrid|
To Win To Nil
There are a handful of EFL Trophy fixtures taking place today but some tricky ones and there’s not much value in the match result odds from what I can see. However, there is one match in League Two between Forest Green and Exeter that I’ll be looking at and we have EFL Cup semi-final matches between Chelsea & Spurs tomorrow and Arsenal & Liverpool on Thursday to look forward to before a round of FA Cup fixtures at the weekend.
Forest Green host Exeter at The New Lawn this evening knowing that a win would take them a healthy ten points clear at the top of League Two.
The hosts are on target for promotion into League One and have now won four league games on the bounce at home which has helped them move closer to achieving that feat. Rob Edwards’ side have kept clean sheets in their last three at The New Lawn but I do expect tonight’s opponents to cause them some issues in front of goal.
Exeter are currently on a four-game losing streak but despite a string of poor results on the road, in which they are winless in their last five, they have managed to find the net in their last twelve away games. Conceding goals has been the main issue for Matt Taylor’s side this season and it’s hard to see the league leaders not getting their chances in front of goal this evening.
Not many will be betting against Forest Green in this fixture but odds of 4/6 don’t have a huge appeal for a single. With Exeter proving their ability to score goals away from home, where they have averaged a respectable 1.45 per game, the Match Winner & BTTS market appeals more to me. Forest Green to Win & Both Teams To Score is priced at 5/2 with Parimatch which I think is a good single bet to have on tonight.
|Forest Green vs Exeter|
|Forest Green & BTTS||5/2||Visit|
Forest Green’s Jamille Matt is a key player to watch tonight. The Jamaican striker has netted six in his last four and 14 in 21 starts for Rovers and should be in the starting XI this evening. Matt’s currently 4/1 to score first if you feel like adding another selection on this fixture.
Forest Green Expected Lineup:
McGee; Bernard, Moore-Taylor, Cargill; Wilson, Adams, Diallo, Cadden; Aitchison; March, Matt
Exeter City Expected Lineup:
Dawson; Key, Stubbs, Diabate, Caprice; Collins, Kite; Brown, Dieng, Edwards; Jay
Brentford host Aston Villa in one of the three 2 pm kickoffs today and I think that there’s value in backing the visitors to come out on top.
The hosts head into this match on the back of three consecutive defeats and failed to score in any of them. Two of those games were against Chelsea and City but Thomas Frank’s side also fell short in their 2-0 defeat when away to Brighton on Boxing Day. The Bees have held their own in the top-flight so far this term but have failed to find any consistency. They’re currently nine points above the drop zone following recent poor results and will be eager not to get themselves into a relegation battle heading into the new year after starting the season brightly.
Brentford are meeting Villa at a bad time as they have won four of their seven games with Gerrard in charge, losing only to Man City, Liverpool and Chelsea. Although Villa have a poor record on the road this season, they’ve looked a much better side under the reigns of Gerrard and have won two of their three away trips, only dropping points in their narrow 1-0 defeat at Anfield in mid-December.
Gerrard will be hoping to return to the dugout this afternoon after missing his sides last two games and I think the value is in backing an away win. Odds of 6/4 are available for Villa to take all three points which I think is a good price.
|Brentford vs Aston Villa|
The big match of the day sees Chelsea host Liverpool at Stamford Bridge and there are a few generous betting offers and price boosts available that are definitely worth taking advantage of.
Firstly, Boylesports have their EPIC ODDS offer available and are offering the following boosts:
Both selections have a lot of value but as we can only choose one, I’m backing Liverpool to get back to winning ways.
Klopp’s side’s title challenge took a big blow on Tuesday when they suffered a surprising 1-0 defeat away to Leicester. That result has left them 12 points adrift of league-leaders Manchester City and now sit in third place and a point away from today’s opponents. They’ll be eager to pick up all three points today given that they have a game in hand over Chelsea and two over City which would keep the pressure on the current holders should they be able to win both of them.
Chelsea managed just a point at home to Brighton last time out which was their third draw in their last four league matches. Tuchel’s side have been relatively solid defensively at Stamford Bridge this season, conceding just 8 goals in their 10 matches played there. However, with Liverpool failing to score in just one of their games this term, it’s hard to see them keeping the likes of Mo Salah, Diogo Jota and Sadio Mane at bay for 90 minutes.
Liverpool to Win at the boosted price of 5/2 will be my second selection today.
Sky Bet also have a couple of offers available on this fixture. Firstly, they have a price boost on Mo Salah to have two or more shots on target which has been boosted from Evens to a very generous 3/1. Salah is the leagues top scorer with 15 goals and at 3/1, it’s definitely worth backing him to have a couple on target.
Secondly, Sky are also awarding a £5 free bet to customers who place a bet of £5 or more in-play on the first half. For this bet, I’m backing Draw/Liverpool in the HT/FT market. The score has been level at half-time in four of Liverpool’s last five league games and I expect both teams to keep it relatively tight in the early stages of the match but for Liverpool to come out on top by the final whistle.
|Chelsea vs Liverpool|
|Mo Salah 2+SOT||3/1||Visit|
My final selection comes from League One where Morecambe host Doncaster in a somewhat uninspiring fixture.
Both sides are struggling in League One this season with just four points separating the two in the drop-zone. However, it is the home & away form that should be considered when selecting a match winner from this game and I think there’s value in backing a home win.
Doncaster currently occupy the bottom spot in the league and much of the reason for their position is down to their results on the road where they have picked up just one single point from a possible 33. Perhaps more worrying is the fact that Gary McSheffrey’s side have found the net just three times across their eleven away fixtures this term. They will take some confidence in the fact that their opponents have the worst defensive record in League One this season but it’s still hard to envision them running away with this game.
Morecambe will see this as an excellent opportunity to pick up three points and lift themselves out of the relegation zone and based on Doncaster’s form on the road, they’ll be confident of doing so. However, they too have been struggling for goals of late with their opening goal in their 2-1 defeat to Crewe last time out being their first in five league games.
The return of Cole Stockton would be a huge boost for the hosts should Steven Robinson name him in the starting lineup. Stockton is Morecambe’s top scorer with 13 league goals this season and could provide the cutting edge that the Shrimps lacked against Crewe. Defensive midfielder Alfie McCalmont, who is on loan from Premier League side Leeds, may also make his return which would certainly help in their attempt to keep the visitors at bay.
Although both sides have their flaws, it’s hard to ignore Doncaster’s dismal form on the road this season. Odds of over Evens are available on a home win which I think is worth backing given that they have the home advantage and some key players set to return.
|Morecambe vs Doncaster|
There’s plenty of football action taking place today to enjoy across the top four English Leagues. I’ve taken a look at all of the fixtures and picked out four selections to include in a Lucky 15 along with sharing a boosted double on two Premier League matches which definitely has value.
I’m opting for a Lucky 15 today for a change as I have picked out four selections from across League One and League Two that I think have a good chance of coming in.
The first selection is Rotherham to beat Bolton at home as it is hard to bet against The Millers at the moment. They did lose 1-0 away to Accrington last time out but prior to that defeat, they had gone unbeaten for 21 matches and will be eager to pick up maximum points today to potentially reclaim their place at the top of League One which was taken by Sunderland following their most recent game.
They’re up against a Bolton side who have lost their last six league matches on the road without managing to find the net in any of them and so it’s hard to envision them causing a title-challenging side like Rotherham many issues today.
Next up, I’m backing MK Dons to pick up three points at home to Gillingham. The visitors are winless in eleven games and have lost their last six. They were beaten 4-1 at home by The Dons back in September and another defeat could be on the cards again today.
MK Dons were 2-0 down heading into half-time in their most recent match away to Lincoln but three second-half goals, which included a 90th-minute winner from Scott Twine, meant that they left the LNER Stadium with all three points leaving Liam Manning’s side just one place adrift of a playoff spot.
My third selection also comes from League one and I’m backing Oxford to come out on top against Cheltenham. After a good stint throughout November, The Robins are winless in their last six and head into this game following two consecutive defeats to Shrewsbury and Plymouth.
Oxford came out as 3-0 winners against Wimbledon in their last match and have tasted defeat just once in their last eleven League One matches. Only Sunderland have picked up more points at home this term than the hosts and it’s not surprising to see them as big favourites for the win today.
For my fourth and final selection, I’m looking at the League Two match between Forest Green and Stevenage and backing yet another home win.
Forest Green currently top the league by four points and have a game in hand over second-placed Northampton. They’re not short of goals having scored two or more in each of their last five and put five past Oldham in their lastest outing which resulted in a ten-goal thriller.
Stevenage have won just once away from home in the league this season where they have picked up just 6 points from a possible 33. They’ve failed to score in any of their last four on the road and I can see a comfortable victory for the hosts this afternoon.
Sky Bet have a New Year’s Day price boost available on the following:
Spurs are away to Watford and although they have been less than impressive on the road this season, I do expect them to come out on top against a Watford side that have lost their last five games. They have managed to find the net in all of those matches and with them being against the likes of Leicester, Chelsea, Manchester City and West Ham, it wouldn’t be out of the question to see them bag a goal at Vicarage Road today. However, they’re up against a Tottenham side who look much improved under Conte and are rightly the underdogs heading into the match.
The second fixture is slightly more tricky as although West Ham picked up a much needed 4-1 win against Watford last time out, they have had a poor run of results prior to that match. It was their first league win in five and it remains to be seen whether or not they’ll be able to build on that victory with another today.
Palace are mid-table with a mixed run of results throughout the season. However, Viera’s side have lost just one of their ten games played at Selhurst Park this term and have averaged 1.8 goals per game there. They’ve proved to be a tough team to beat on home turf and West Ham will have to find some of the form that they showed earlier in the season in order to take away all three points.
I’m split on a result in this match and so I’m opting to back the draw.
The double on Tottenham to beat Watford and Crystal Palace to draw with West Ham has been boosted from 9/2 to 13/2 which seems like a great bet.
C.Palace & W.Ham Draw
I’ll also be putting a separate wager on both teams to score in the game. Both sides are more than capable in front of goal and it’s likely that we could see one or more goals at both ends of the pitch this afternoon.
|Crystal Palace vs West Ham|
Our single on Blackburn landed last night as they continued their excellent run of form at Ewood Park, beating Barnsley 2-1 with goals on either side of halftime. However, Danny Welbeck’s 91st-minute header for Brighton to level the score against Chelsea meant that the boosted 3/1 treble failed to come in which would have resulted in a good profit for the day.
Onto today and the match between Everton and Newcastle has been postponed but it looks like Man Utd vs Burnley will be going ahead as planned along with a handful of Championship fixtures and Sunderland vs Sheff Wed in League One.
Manchester United host Burnley at Old Trafford tonight in the only Premier League match to take place. United head into this game on the back of a 1-1 draw away to Newcastle three days ago which made it four straight games in which Ralf Rangnick’s side have scored just one goal. Not taking anything away from Newcastle, United’s performance in that match was well below par and it’s clear that a lot of work is still required to take them back to a title-challenging team. That said, United are still unbeaten under Rangnick and I do expect them to take away all three points tonight. However, odds of 1/3 are just not appealing enough to back them against a Burnley side who have drawn 8 of their 15 matches played this season.
Only a win tonight would see Burnley climb out of the relegation zone but with only Norwich scoring less goals than tonight’s visitors, it’s hard to see them outscoring Man Utd at Old Trafford. Only one goal has been scored across Burnley’s last three matches and two or less in United’s last four. I expect Burnley to play for the draw which is a result that wouldn’t be out of the question here tonight. Therefore, my selection on the match is Under 2.5 Goals to be scored at a best price of 5/4 with Betfair Sportsbook which is a bet that has landed in over 60% of Burnley’s matches on the road this season.
|Manchester United vs Burnley|
|Under 2.5 Goals||5/4||Visit|
Next up we have Bournemouth vs Cardiff in the Championship and the hosts will be looking to build on their 1-0 win away to QPR three days ago which was their first league victory in seven matches.
The Cherries were looking set to head into the new year with a healthy lead at the top of the Championship but a string of poor results starting towards the end of November has left them just a single point above both Fulham and Blackburn with Fulham having a game in hand. Picking up maximum points tonight is essential for Scott Parker’s side considering the form Blackburn are in and I’m backing them to do so in what could be a very entertaining game.
Despite struggling for goals in recent games, if you ignore their 2-0 loss to Blackburn two weeks ago, Bournemouth haven’t had so much of an issue in that department when playing at the Vitality Stadium where they’ve averaged over two goals per game.
Although only picking up 15 points from a possible 33 on the road this term, only Fulham, Notts Forest and QPR have scored more away from home than Cardiff and so I do expect them to be a threat tonight. Over their last four games, The Bluebirds have put two past Birmingham, Luton and Preston and scored three against Stoke.
Both teams to score tonight seems like a good bet at odds of 10/11 with Bet365 but I’ll also be backing a home win along with that selection as the hosts really can’t afford to be dropping points again.
|Bournemouth vs Cardiff|
|Bournemouth & BTTS||13/5||Visit|
My final selection comes from League One where Sunderland take on Sheff Wed at the Stadium of Light.
The hosts have the chance to go top of the table tonight if they pick up maximum points and based on their performances at home this season, it’s the most likely outcome. Sunderland have taken 28 points from a possible 33 at the Stadium of Light this term, dropping points only in their 1-0 loss to Charlton and their 1-1 draw against Oxford earlier this month. Lee Johnson’s side have averaged 2.18 goals per game at home where they also have the best defensive record in the league by some margin, conceding just 6 goals in 11 games.
Sheffield Wednesday are pushing for a spot in the playoffs and are now unbeaten in their last twelve matches in League One. However, seven of those matches ended in draws, although, the Owls do head into this match on the back of a 2-0 win away to Crewe last time out. Today’s opponents should prove to be much more of a threat to Darren Moore’s side but with them finding the net in 15 of their last 16 games, they too should be able to cause problems for the hosts.
Despite Sunderland’s excellent defensive record at home this season, I think there’s a good chance Sheffield Wednesday will get on the scoresheet. I’m backing both teams to score tonight but also the hosts to come out on top which they have done in over 81% of their league matches played at the Stadium of Light this term.
Sunderland to win & BTTS is priced at 17/5 with William Hill.
|Sunderland vs Sheffield Wednesday|
|Sunderland & BTTS||17/5||Visit|
All football tips came in yesterday with Crystal Palace beating Norwich 3-0 and West Ham coming out as 4-1 winners away to Watford for our Win & BTTS selection. The Sky Bet price boost on Mo Salah to have 2+ SOT also landed at odds of 2/1 despite Liverpool losing the match 1-0 to complete a perfect day of betting. Hopefully, we’ll bring in more profit today from bets across UK leagues.
Blackburn take on Barnsley at Ewood Park this evening and it is the hosts that head into this game in the better form of the two.
Rovers suffered a 7-0 defeat in early November at the hands of Fulham but remain unbeaten since that humiliation with seven wins and a draw. Tony Mowbray’s side are currently on a five-game winning streak and even more impressively, haven’t conceded a single goal throughout those matches. Those victories included a 1-0 win away to Stoke and a 2-0 win away to league-leaders Bournemouth and so you can’t say that they’ve had an easy run of fixtures either. Their excellent run of form has propelled Rovers up to third in the table and just four points adrift of the top spot with a game in hand. They’ll be eager to pick up maximum points today and I don’t think many people will be betting against them doing so.
Where Blackburn are undefeated in their last seven, Barnsley are winless in theirs. They have drawn three of their four, which included a stalemate against West Brom last time out, but with just one victory in the league since the first game of the season, things aren’t looking great for Markus Schopp’s side. The Tykes have picked up fewer points than any other team in the Championship this season and are only propped up off the bottom of the table by Derby who are battling against their points deduction.
With the home advantage and their current form, a sixth successive victory for Blackburn is expected which is priced at 3/5 with Novibet.
|Blackburn vs Barnsley|
For my next selection, I’m heading to the Scottish Championship where Kilmarnock host a struggling Morton side at Rugby Park.
Following successive 1-0 defeats to Inverness and Raith, Kilmarnock got back to winning ways with a 3-2 victory away to Hamilton last time out. They’re currently just five points off league-leaders Arbroath with a game in hand and so this is an excellent opportunity to narrow that gap and potentially move up to second in the Scottish Championship.
Morton finished second-bottom last season and look set to finish around that position this term. They’re currently bottom of the Championship having collected 13 points from a possible 54 and have won just 2 of their 18 matches this season. They head into this game on the back of defeats to Inverness (6-1) and Arbroath (2-1) and it’s likely that David Hopkin’s side will suffer a third consecutive loss this evening.
Despite having the best defensive record in the league, Kilmarnock have conceded in their last four and with Morton finding the net in their last seven in all competitions and in their last five on the road, I’m backing both teams to get on the scoresheet today. However, I do expect the hosts to take away all three points from the game and so my selection will be on a Kilmarnock Win & BTTS which is priced at 10/3 with Bet365.
|Kilmarnock vs Morton|
|Kilmarnock & BTTS||10/3||Visit|
Sky Bet have another price boost available today on the following:
City are away to Brentford and are the big favourites for the win. Pep’s side have won nine consecutive games in the Premier League and are likely to extend their lead at the top of the table tonight following Liverpool’s defeat to Leicester last night.
Chelsea host Brighton at Stamford Bridge and are undefeated in their last six in all competitions, including back to back wins against Brentford and Aston Villa in recent games. They haven’t lost to Brighton in their last nine meetings and with the home advantage, are expected to come out on top tonight which would see them move up to second in the league ahead of Liverpool.
That leaves the Blackburn vs Barnsley match which I have already covered above and expect a home win for Rovers.
The treble has been boosted from 6/4 to a very generous 3/1 which definitely has value.
|Man City /|
Premier League action continues today but with three matches postponed, we only have four to look at.
The first match I’m going to look at is Crystal Palace vs Norwich at Selhurst Park and neither side are heading into this fixture with the results they would have wanted from recent matches.
Palace have lost four of their last six with their most recent outing resulting in a 3-0 loss away to Tottenham on Boxing Day. Although Patrick Vieira’s side have picked up just 6 points from a possible 27 on the road this term, they have the sixth-best home record in the league having only tasted defeat once at Selhurst Park. They’ll be without Wilfried Zaha after the forward was dismissed in the Spurs game two days ago but they will see this as a great opportunity to get back to winning ways and to put some points on the board which could move them into the top half of the table.
Dean Smith’s impact on Norwich seemed to have been short-lived as after winning his first game in charge and drawing the following two, the Canaries have now lost their last four. Although those four defeats were against the likes of Tottenham, Man Utd, Villa and Arsenal, they conceded 11 goals throughout those matches and failed to score in every one of them. Goals have been a problem for Smith’s side this season having found the net just 8 times in 18 games. They have also picked up just five points on the road this season which in itself is an achievement given that they have only managed to score three goals.
With the home and away form of the two sides and the fact that the match is at Selhurst Park, a home win is expected here. Odds of 3/4 are available on Palace with Betfair Sportsbook which I think is more than fair.
|Crystal Palace vs Norwich|
This is another game that both sides head into in relatively poor form. Watford have yet to keep a clean sheet all season but have managed to find the net in their last four, despite losing all of those matches. West Ham are also winless in their last four in the league and will be keen to pick up points after twice coming back from being down against Southampton two days ago only to concede a third in the 70th minute and leave with nothing.
With several of Watford’s matches being postponed, this will be their first since their 2-1 loss away to Brentford over two weeks ago. Claudio Ranieri’s side will be a lot fresher than the Hammers for which this will be their third game in six days which will surely have an impact on the players’ fatigue.
It’s a tough match to call but with both sides proving capable of scoring goals lately, despite not winning games, Both Teams To Score seems like a great bet. Odds of 4/6 for that selection are available with Bet365 which although not hugely appealing, are fair.
I’m also tempted to back West Ham to come out on top in this game. I do expect them to snap out of their poor form sooner or later and this could be the match to get them back on track. West Ham to Win & BTTS is at best odds of 58/19 with 10Bet which is just over 3/1.
|Watford vs West Ham|
|West Ham & BTTS||58/19||Visit|
Sky Bet have a Super Boost available on the Leicester vs Liverpool match which certainly has value. I don’t fancy this game from a betting perspective but odds of 2/1 are available on Mo Salah to have two or more Shots on Target during the match. He’s the Premier League’s top scorer this season with 15 goals and has also provided the most assists (9). The bet has been boosted from 4/6 and so a huge price in terms of value.
|Leicester vs Liverpool|
|Salah 2+ SOT||2/1||Visit|
After an exciting day of football yesterday which saw no less than 28 goals scored across just six Premier League fixtures, top-flight football continues today with Newcastle hosting Manchester United at St James’ Park along with a handful of fixtures across the Championship and League One.
West Ham losing to Southampton was the only match that let us down on our Boxing Day selections but we did have the HT/FT double on the Man City & Arsenal games that meant we returned a profit for the day.
I’ll be looking at just one game today as there are some tricky fixtures lined up. However, with Premier League action continuing on Tuesday, Wednesday & Thursday, there will be plenty more to look at throughout the week.
Newcastle fans have been praying for the remainder of their December Premier League fixtures to be postponed until the New Year so that they’d be able to make use of the January transfer window before those games are played. However, their fixtures have continued to run as scheduled and this evening, they host Manchester United in front of 52,000 at St James Park.
Eddie Howe’s side have looked better going forward since his arrival but as a result, they have looked even more vulnerable at the back. In past seasons, Newcastle survived the Ashley era due to being relatively solid at the back and although they were a far cry from the entertainers that they once were, they were able to grind out results to keep the club in the top flight. However, they’ve conceded a worrying 41 goals in 18 games this term, including four against Man City and Leicester and three against Liverpool in their three most recent outings. They’ve kept a clean sheet in just one game this season which was their single victory at home to Burnley at the beginning of the month. It’s hard to see them doing so again today and therefore it’s a case of whether they can outscore United which again, seems very unlikely.
Man Utd are unbeaten since the arrival of Ralf Rangnick six games ago and although they haven’t won any of their league games under the new boss by more than one goal, they are finding some consistency. They’ve beaten Newcastle in their last four encounters and will be confident of picking up maximum points against them again today which would see them move up two places in the league to fifth.
United have scored just three goals across their last three games in all competitions but given that they’re up against the worst defence in the league, I can see them bagging at least a couple. However, Newcastle have been better in front of goal in front of home fans this season with only Chelsea and Man City leaving St James’ Park with clean sheets in their nine home games. Therefore, it wouldn’t be out of the question to see both sides get on the scoresheet this evening with a United Win & BTTS bet being priced at 15/8 with Betfred. Sky Bet are offering odds of 80/1 for Fernandes to score first and United to win 3-1 which I like as a very small punt. A safer bet would be 23/20 on United -1 as if they get an early goal, I’d be confident of them bagging two or three throughout the game. With Howe’s side losing by two or more goals in their last three games, United -2 wouldn’t be out of the question which odds of 3/1 are available on with Paddy Power. Based on that, I’ll also be backing another Price Boost, this time from Boylesports, on Manchester United to score two or more goals in the first half at odds of 3/1, boosted from 9/4. Newcastle have been down by two goals in their last two games and an early United goal could open the flood gates before the halftime whistle.
Sky Bet also have a price boost for which they’ve doubled the odds on Ronaldo, Fernandes and Saint-Maximin to each have one or more Shots on Target. It was priced at 2/1 but they’ve boosted it to 4/1 which looks like a great bet and one I’ll definitely be including in my selections. I’d wait until the lineups are announced before placing it as Saint-Maximin did start on the bench against City but I do think that Howe will restore him to the starting XI for today’s match.
|Newcastle United vs Manchester United|
|Manchester United -1||6/5||Visit|
|Manchester United -2||3/1||Visit|
|Fernandes First Scorer|
United Win 3-1
|Man Utd To Score|
2+ First Half Goals
1+ SOT Each
Nine fixtures were scheduled for Boxing Day but both Liverpool vs Leeds and Wolves vs Watford have been postponed with others possibly following suit. However, there is still plenty of action to look forward to and I’ve picked out a handful of bets that look to have value.
The first game I’m going to look at is West Ham vs Southampton which is an interesting match given that both sides are not in the best of form currently.
Before the international break last month, West Ham were third in the Premier League and one of the most in-form sides in the top-flight. However, a string of disappointing results have meant that David Moyes’s side have dropped down into fifth and are at risk of getting mixed up in a mid-table battle if they don’t turn things around soon. Their 3-2 win at home to Chelsea at the beginning of the month was their only victory in their last seven games in all competitions and they’ll be looking at this match as a good chance to get back to winning ways.
The Saints are currently 15th in the league and six points above the drop zone. After successive victories against Aston Villa and Norwich, Ralph Hasenhüttl’s side are winless in their last six in the league but have picked up points in three of those against Leicester, Brighton and Crystal Palace. In fact, no other team has drawn more games than Southampton, taking away a single point in 8 of their 17 matches this season.
Southampton have found the net in 10 of their last 12 games and so I wouldn’t be surprised to see them get on the scoresheet again in this fixture. However, with the home advantage, I do fancy The Hammers to take away all three points given that the visitors have only won once away from home this season.
West Ham to Win & BTTS is my first selection and is priced at 3/1 with Sport Nation.
|West Ham vs Southampton|
|West Ham & BTTS||3/1||Visit|
Next up is Spurs vs Palace and it is the hosts who head into this match in the better form of the two.
Tottenham are unbeaten in the league since their loss to Manchester United at the end of October and only City, Arsenal and Liverpool have picked up more points on home turf this season. A win for Antonio Conte’s side could potentially lift them up to fifth in the league and I’m backing them to take away all three points in this game.
Spurs played extremely well in their 2-2 draw with Liverpool a week ago and had multiple chances to win the game. They followed that match up with a 2-1 win at home to West Ham in the EFL Cup to continue their excellent run of form at home this season. They’ll be confident of adding another home win to their tally on Sunday given that their opponents have tasted victory just once away from home this season, although that was an impressive 2-0 win against league-leaders Manchester City at the Etihad.
Palace have lost their last two on the road and failed to find the net in both of those. In fact, in all of their five defeats away from home this season, Patrick Vieira’s side have been unable to score. They’re meeting Tottenham at a bad time as Spurs have found some consistency under Conte and they’ll do well to get anything from this game.
A Tottenham win is expected based on current form and the home advantage and is priced at 3/4 with SpreadEx.
|Tottenham vs Crystal Palace|
I’m also opting for a double on the HT/FT result of two matches. The first is in the Manchester City vs Leicester match where I expect a comfortable home win.
City are in excellent form and head into this match on the back of eight consecutive league wins. They’ve scored eleven goals over their last two games which brings their tally for the season up to 44 in just 18 games and perhaps more impressive is the fact that Pep’s side have only conceded 9 goals in the top flight this season. City currently top the Premier League by three points and I expect them to remain there after this weekend by picking up all three points at the Etihad on Sunday.
Leicester are having a tough time currently with missing players and their 4-0 win at home to struggling Newcastle was their only victory in their last five games in all competitions. The Foxes could head to Manchester without eleven of their players which doesn’t bode well for them given they’re playing one of the best teams in the world right now.
Odds of 4/6 are available on Man City / Man City in the HT/FT market with Coral.
My second selection in the double is Arsenal to be winning at HT & FT against Norwich.
The Gunners are fourth in the league and have won 9 of their last 12 games. Although no other team has picked up more points in the league on home turf, their form on the road has been somewhat disappointing. However, the majority of their losses this season have mostly come against the bigger teams such as City, Liverpool and Manchester United and following their 4-1 win away to Leeds in their last league outing, they should be able to make a two consecutive victories on the road against a Norwich side who have picked up just five points at home all season.
Arsenal / Arsenal in the HT/FT market is priced at 6/5 with Bet365 and you can back the double at odds of 3.70 with Coral.
|Man City / Man City|
Arsenal / Arsenal
Lastly, Sky Bet have a boosted Boxing Day treble available which looks excellent value. They’re offering the following:
I’ve already covered all three fixtures and so I’ll be backing Arsenal, West Ham & Spurs all to win at odds of 6/1. It’s a great price considering it has been boosted from 3/1 and perfect for a Boxing Day treble.
Carabao Cup action continues tonight with six Premier League teams battling it out for a place alongside Arsenal in the semi-finals next month. We also have a good number of fixtures taking place in other of Europe’s top leagues which I’ve taken a look through and picked out some value bets for.
All three Carabao Cup fixtures tonight are tricky to predict. Putting aside the fact that cup games are often unpredictable, many of the teams have several players out due to having to isolate which will force managers to consider their starting XI’s carefully, taking into account upcoming fixtures and how thin their squads already are.
Tottenham vs West Ham is the game I’m going to leave out of my selections. I haven’t been fully convinced with Spurs this season but they have gotten the results at home and played a great game against Liverpool last time out which they would have won it if not for a series of missed chances. I’ve enjoyed watching West Ham this season but they have hit a bad patch of form having won just one of their last six. I wouldn’t be confident backing either side but Sky bet have a price boost on Harry Kane to have two or more shots on target during the match. It’s been boosted from 6/4 to 3/1 and great value in my opinion.
|Tottenham vs West Ham|
|Kane 2+ SOT||3/1||Visit|
Therefore, my two selections for the double are from the Brentford vs Chelsea and Liverpool vs Leicester games and I’m backing the obvious choices at what may be some surprising odds. The double on Chelsea and Liverpool comes in at 3/1 which are odds you probably wouldn’t get if these sides were playing against each other in the league.
Chelsea failed to have their match against Wolves called off at the weekend with the game finishing goalless at Molineux. Tuchel’s squad is severely depleted and with them now six points adrift of City in the league, he may choose to rest the few key players that he actually has available for tonight’s match to focus on the league.
Brentford’s last game was two weeks ago when they came out as 2-1 winners against Watford. They’re well-rested after having had two matches postponed and will fancy their chances tonight against a weakened Chelsea side.
The situation is similar in the Liverpool vs Leicester match with both sides suffering due to missing players. They’ll be playing each other again at the King Power Stadium in less than a weeks time with the hope of being able to field stronger sides in that match.
Leicester are the more rested of the two teams having not played in 10 days due to postponed matches. However, this will be Liverpool’s fourth in ten days with their last outing being a 2-2 draw with Tottenham at the weekend. Klopp’s side currently have four players isolating which may not be enough to have the game postponed but due to being just one of two teams to play all of their scheduled fixtures, their absences may have an impact on the fatigue of those having to replace them.
Both of these games have the possibility of being called off tonight and with many factors coming into play with missing players and fatigue, they are tough matches to predict which is reflected somewhat in the odds.
Liverpool’s record at Anfield is just too good for me to ignore and so I wouldn’t be betting against them at home at the moment. The Brentford v Chelsea match will be close I think but I can see a narrow win for the Blues as they still have some world-class players who will likely be featuring.
3/1 is available on the Chelsea v Liverpool double with Betfair Sportsbook who will credit your account with a £5 free bet for placing the bet with them.
|Carabao Cup Double|
|Chelsea & Liverpool||3/1||Visit|
Next up, I’ll be having a single on the Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid game in La Liga.
Real top the Spanish top-flight table by a healthy five points and will look to extend that lead to eight tonight with a win in Bilbao. Los Blancos have several key players out with Rodrygo, Gareth Bale, Marco Asensio, Andriy Lunin and Marcelo isolating and Luka Modric, Isco and Dani Carvajal all major doubts. However, Carlo Ancelotti’s side will be eager to get back to winning ways after their 10-game winning run came to an end when they were held to a goalless draw at home to Cadiz at the weekend despite having a ridiculous 36 attempts on goal and 82% possession.
Bilbao head into this match on the back of an impressive 3-2 win against Betis three days ago. However, that was their first victory in nine matches and they have failed to beat Real in their last 13 encounters in the league. Although they have one of the best defensive records in La Liga this season, tonight’s hosts also have one of the worst records in front of goal. If they concede early, I think they’ll find it hard to get back into the game.
Given Real Madrid have several players out, I’m tempted to back an away win & BTTS which is priced at 4/1. However, I’m sticking with the somewhat safer option of just a win for Real at 27/20 which I think is a good price.
|Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid|
Valencia came back from 2-0 down to beat Levante 4-3 last night which meant that our away win & BTTS tip came in at 9/2 resulting in a good profit for the evening.
Carabao Cup action returns tonight with Arsenal hosting League One side Sunderland at the Emirates in the first quarter-final fixture of the competition. There are also matches taking place in La Liga and Serie A but the League Two game between Forest Green and Colchester has been postponed.
Eight teams remain in the Carabao Cup and seven of them are Premier League sides. Arsenal would have been elated to be drawn against Sunderland compared to the likes of Chelsea, Liverpool or Tottenham and have a great chance of making it through to a semi-final fixture to be played either in the first or second week of the new year.
Both sides head into the clash in fine form with Arsenal winning their last three and Sunderland unbeaten in their last seven in League One. Arsenal have turned their season around after a poor start and a string of victories have propelled Arteta’s side up to fourth in the league and their aim will be to hold onto that spot to ensure they’re part of the Champions League next season.
Sunderland are third in League One and their hopes of returning to the Championship are still alive with Lee Johnson’s side just four points adrift of league-leaders Rotherham. They’ve managed to avoid top-flight opposition up until this point in the Cup but made hard work of their match against QPR in the last round where it took spot-kicks to see them through to the quarters.
Arsenal are next in action on Boxing Day and Sunderland the day after so there shouldn’t be too many concerns of fatigue when the managers decide on their starting XI’s. However, both sides have players out due to various reasons. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang will miss another match for his club due to disciplinary issues and Arteta will likely rotate his squad to give some other players time on the pitch. However, it’s likely that Alexandre Lacazette will lead the attack from the off and if Smith Rowe starts, he will be another big threat for the Black Cats.
Sunderland will likely field their strongest possible team but they do have injuries with Leon Dajaku, Luke O’Nien, Aiden McGeady and others all set set to miss out.
Sunderland haven’t beaten Arsenal in their last eleven attempts (D3, L8) and although not much can be taken from that given they last met in 2017, I don’t expect that to change today. Although they have the more favourable opponents, Arsenal will want to win this match given that they’ve only lifted the EFL Cup twice in the clubs history. They should have the quality to see the game out as winners, most likely quite comfortably, even if Arteta makes some changes to his starting XI.
Boylesports are offering customers a £5 free bet when placing a pre-match Bet Builder on the game which is worth taking advantage of. For this bet, I’m backing Smith-Rowe as an anytime scorer, Arsenal -1 and Over 9.5 Corners at a price of 3/1. I suggest waiting until an hour before kick-off when the teamsheets are released and if Smith-Rowe isn’t starting, replace him with Nketiah at slightly shorter odds of 13/5.
|Arsenal vs Sunderland|
Smith Rowe* Anytime
Over 9.5 Corners
Barcelona head to Sevilla tonight knowing that a win would put them on 30 points in joint fourth place in La Liga with Rayo Vallecano.
The hosts have been in excellent form at home this season with only Rayo Vallecano having a better record in front of home fans. Julen Lopetegui’s side have scored an impressive 20 goals in 8 games, more than any other side in the Spanish top-flight this season, and have conceded just 7. They’ve won all of the games with the exception of their 2-2 draw against Alaves last month and are a very tempting price to continue with that trend tonight.
Barca have also been in great form at home this season but their away record paints a different picture. Just seven points have been collected from as many games by Xavi’s side this term, finding the net nine times and conceding ten. However, eight of their nine away goals have come in their last three matches on the road and despite Sevilla’s sturdy defence, they will fancy their chances of getting on the scoresheet tonight.
Sevilla are priced at 31/20 for the win and based on the home and away records of the two teams, this seems like a great bet. That would be the safer option if you fancy it but I’ll be backing Sevilla & BTTS at slightly higher odds of 9/2. Three goals away to Celta Vigo, another three against Villarreal and two on the road to Osasuna last time out is enough to convince me Barca will be a threat in front of goal.
|Sevilla vs Barcelona|
|Sevilla & BTTS||9/2||Visit|
The Premier League has wrapped up now until after Christmas but we do have some great EFL Cup fixtures to look forward to this week with Arsenal vs Sunderland tomorrow and six top-flight sides facing each other on Wednesday for a place in the semi-finals.
Today, there is a little less to look at with just two matches of note.
Fulham take on Sheff Utd at Craven Cottage this evening and the hosts remain top of the Championship table but that is mainly due to second-placed Bournemouth dropping points in recent weeks. Marco Silva’s side were looking unstoppable towards the end of last month, winning seven consecutive games and having the best goalscoring and defensive record in the league. They haven’t lost a game since the beginning of October but they have drawn their last four and scored just three goals throughout those matches. A win today would see Fulham go five points clear at the top having played the same number of games as those around them but it’s likely not to be an easy task for them.
Thirteen places separate Sheff Utd from today’s opponents in the league but that gap isn’t an accurate reflection on the two sides’ current form. The Blades are unbeaten in their last four, winning their last three, and have found a bit of momentum to get their season back on track. Paul Heckingbottom’s side would likely settle for a draw here and given Fulham’s recent results, they’ll be somewhat confident of taking away a point.
Although the form of the two sides may indicate that this match could end in a draw, Sheff Utd’s recent victories have come against Reading, Bristol City and Cardiff who are all in the bottom half of the table. They’ve failed to beat Fulham in their last seven attempts with their last victory being all the way back in 2007. This is a big game for both sides but with a game in hand, Marco Silva will want his side to head into Christmas with a more comfortable five-point lead at the top of the table and I’m backing them to get back to winning ways tonight in what could be a tight game.
Although I am tempted to back the home win, odds of 8/11 are a little short for me. Therefore, given Sheff Utd have found the net five times over their last three, I’m also backing both teams to get on the scoresheet.
A Fulham Win & BTTS is priced at 5/2 with Betfred.
|Fulham vs Sheffield United|
|Fulham & BTTS||5/2||Visit|
Next up, Levante take on Valencia in the only fixture lined up for tonight in La Liga.
This is a derby clash and one that the bookies are expecting to be relatively close looking at the odds. Valencia are slight favourites but looking at the two teams league positions, you’d expect them to be the much more favoured side. However, both sides have several players unavailable with Levante being without Nemanja Radoja, Shkodran Mustafi, Mickael Malsa and Francisco Son and Valencia are missing Daniel Wass and Maxi Gomez along with Gabriel Paulista and the fitness of both Omar Alderete and Thierry Correia will be determined closer to kick-off.
A win for Velencia would take them to within just one point of fifth-placed Atletico and just two points adrift of a Champions League spot. They’re unbeaten in their last eight in all competitions, winning their last four and should fancy their chances against a side who are yet to pick up maximum points home or away this season.
Levante are in desperate need for points. They’re currently rock-bottom of the La Liga table having collected just 8 points from a possible 51 this season. Although they haven’t won all season, they have drawn six of their eight at home which included a 3-3 draw against Real Madrid, a 2-2 draw against Atletico and taking a point away from their game against Rayo Vallecano. Those results are respectable for any team in the league but Alessio Lisci’s side have lacked the cutting edge to see games out as winners which has left them in their current, and worrying, position in the league.
Similar to the Fulham v Sheff Utd match above, this is another somewhat tricky fixture to predict. Especially when taking into account the absentees. However, I’m sticking with the visitors to narrowly edge the win but also backing both teams to find the net again. Given Lenante have failed to score in their last three, a straight away victory may seem like the safer bet but with players out from both sides, I think this game could be a bit more open.
Valencia to Win & BTTS is priced at 9/2 with William Hill.
|Levante vs Valencia|
|Valencia & BTTS||9/2||Visit|
All selections landed yesterday other than Monchengladbach who saw out a 1-1 draw away to Hoffenheim. Singles on Blackburn (6/5), Rotherham (13/20) and Arsenal (6/4) all came in which made it a profitable day.
If yesterday is anything to go by, it’s hard to know which fixtures will go ahead today. However, matches in leagues outside of the UK seem to be more reliable which will be my focus.
This isn’t a great game for betting in my opinion but I’m including it briefly in my selections as Sky Bet have an offer available. They’re awarding customers with a £10 free bet when placing a bet of £10 or more on any market. It’s a great offer and the best I’ve come across today.
Liverpool are in excellent form having won their last eight in all competitions. It’s hard to bet against them at the moment and I do expect them to come out on top today which would see Klopp’s side finish the day as league leaders.
Tottenham’s form on the road has been poor having picked up just 7 points from a possible 18 but at home, only Liverpool, Arsenal and City have performed better.
I don’t think there’s any value in backing Liverpool to win at odds of 4/7 but Sky have boosted the odds on Liverpool to win & BTTS from 7/4 to 9/4 which I’ll be backing in order to claim the £10 free bet.
|Tottenham vs Liverpool|
|Liverpool & BTTS||9/4||Visit|
Cologne suffered their first defeat at home since May when they went down 2-0 to Augsburg a week ago. However, they bounced back from that defeat with a 3-2 win on Tuesday evening away to Wolfsburg which has lifted Steffen Baumgart’s side up to 10th in the table and five points adrift in next seasons European competitions. They haven’t been the most predictable of sides this season but their games generally aren’t shy of a few goals, usually at both ends of the pitch.
Stuttgart are a point into the relegation zone and much of the reason for that is their poor form on the road. They managed to pick up their first win of the season away from home last Saturday in a 2-0 win against Wolfsburg but were unable to keep the momentum going three days later when they faced Bayern at home and suffered a heavy 5-0 defeat.
I fancy the hosts to outscore Stuttgart today but given their tendencies to leak a few, I’m also backing both teams to get on the scoresheet.
Cologne to win & BTTS is priced at 5/2 with William Hill.
|Cologne vs Stuttgart|
Next up, we head to Italy where Spezia host Empoli at the Stadio Alberto Picco.
Spezia head into this match without a win in their last six and have lost five of those. They’ve won just 3 of their 17 games this season and currently sit just two points above the drop zone. They have avoided defeat against today’s opponents in their last five meetings (W1, D4) but given their current form, they’ll do well to even take a point away from this match.
Empoli are in the opposite form being undefeated in their last five, winning four of them. They’re a team capable of scoring goals and impressively have the fifth-best record on the road this season with only Napoli conceding less on the road. A win today would take them to within a point of Roma in 5th place and I’m backing them to do that.
Empoli to win is priced at a very tempting 6/4 with Boylesports and will be my second selection.
|Spezia vs Empoli|
For my final selection, I’m looking at the match between Athletic Bilbao and Real Betis in La Liga where the value seems to be on the visitors.
Real Betis are having a fantastic season in the Spanish top flight with Manuel Pellegrini’s side currently third in the league. A win today could take them to within just one point of Sevilla in second place which would be an outstanding achievement for the side that finished sixth last season. Only Real Madrid have picked up more points on the road than Betis where they have tasted defeat just twice, winning five of their eight. They head into this match on the back of three consecutive victories away from home, including a 1-0 win against Barca at Camp Nou, which they then followed up with an impressive 4-0 thrashing of Real Sociedad at home. They kept clean sheets in all four of those matches and so to get odds of over 2/1 for them to win today seems too good to be true.
Athletic Bilbao are without a win in their last nine games but perhaps even more concerning is that they’ve been struggling for goals. Marcelino García Toral’s side have failed to find the net in all of their last three and in five of their last six. Athletic don’t concede many but given Betis’ capabilities in front of goal, should the hosts concede first, they’ll have a tough time getting back into the game.
Real Betis are the underdogs in this game based on the odds and so I think there is a lot of value in backing them at 12/5 with Betfair Sportsbook.
|Athletic Bilbao vs Real Betis|
If you’d like to back the double on Empoli and Real Betis, you can receive a £5 free bet from Betfair Sportsbook for doing so, regardless of the outcome.
Several games that were scheduled to take place today have been postponed but we do have some matches going ahead in UK leagues as well as several across Europe.
Starting off in League One and one match that does look like is going ahead is Cambridge vs Rotherham at Abbey Stadium.
Rotherham currently top the league and head into this fixture on the back of four consecutive victories. It’s hard at bet against Paul Warne’s side at the moment considering they’ve gone 20 games unbeaten and look set to extend that record today.
Following three wins on the bounce, Cambridge suffered a 2-0 defeat last time out in their match away to Charlton. Their form at home in recent games has been relatively good having tasted defeat just once in their last eight. However, today’s opponents will most likely be their toughest test yet and Rotherham dominated the reverse fixture last month where they came out as 3-1 winners.
Rotherham are League One’s highest scorers and also have the strongest defence. Odds of 13/20 are available on an away win which makes an excellent selection to a multiple in my opinion.
|Cambridge United vs Rotherham|
Next up we have Blackburn vs Birmingham in the Championship.
Blackburn’s 7-0 defeat to league-leaders Fulham at the beginning of November seems to have had a positive impact as Tony Mowbray’s side are undefeated since and have won five of their last six. Even more impressively, Rovers have won their last four without conceding a single goal.
Birmingham currently sit 15th in the Championship. Eight points above the relegation zone and the same number from a playoff spot. Their form on the road has been relatively poor this season with Lee Bowyers side having won just one of their last nine of their travels. They’ve lost to Blackburn both home and away this season and it’s looking likely they will do so again today.
I’m surprised to see Blackburn priced at over Evens (6/5) given they have the home advantage with only West Brom and Fulham picking up more points in their stadiums.
A home win is my second selection of the day.
|Blackburn vs Birmingham|
My final selection comes from the Bundesliga where TSG Hoffenheim host Borussia Monchengladbach at the PreZero Arena.
Hoffenheim are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning four of them and coming back from 2-0 down in their latest outing away to Leverkusen to draw 2-2. They’re currently fourth in the Bundesliga and a win today would see them move up to third.
The hosts have averaged 3 goals per game in their last five which is impressive. They’ve also only conceded 7 goals all season in as many games at home and when you compare that to Monchengladbach scoring just 7 goals away from home this term, it’s easy to see why a home win is the favoured bet in this clash.
Monchengladbach are currently having a terrible time. Adi Hütter’s side have lost four on the bounce, conceding 17 throughout those matches and scoring just 4. Their recent results have left them 13th in the league and just a single point above the drop zone. The manager is under an increasing amount of pressure and with tough fixtures against Bayern and Leverkusen in the coming weeks, this could be his last chance to pick up points before the pressure gets so much that a decision will have to be made by the powers above.
Hoffenheim look a great bet at 21/20 with Betfair and is my final single of the day.
|Hoffenheim vs Monchengladbach|
For today’s double, I’m going with the Sky Bet Saturday Price Boost for which the following options are available:
Arsenal are away to Leeds and head into this game on the back of two consecutive wins against Southampton and West Ham. The Gunners didn’t concede in either of those games and are looking a much more solid team than they were at the beginning of the season. In fact, Arsenal have not conceded a single goal in each of their last six victories and with goals not seeming like an issue for Arteta’s side currently, they shouldn’t have too much of a problem seeing this game out as winners against a Leeds side that have conceded 10 goals in their last two games.
Aston Villa host Burnley this afternoon at Villa Park with the hosts bouncing back from their 1-0 defeat against Liverpool with a 2-0 win away to Norwich midweek. Villa are looking a much-improved side since Gerrard was appointed as manager and given Burnley have yet to win away all season in the league, a home win is expected.
The double on Arsenal and Villa to win has been boosted from 2/1 to 4/1 which is excellent value.
|Arsenal & A.Villa||4/1||Visit|
There are five matches taking place in the top European leagues this evening and I’m including four of them in an Acca. Unfortunately, due to the relatively short odds of two of the selections, it won’t qualify for Acca Insurance but if you choose to place the bet with either Betfair Sportsbook or Parimatch, you can qualify for a £5 free bet regardless of the result.
My first selection is from the Barnsley vs West Brom game in the Championship which kicks off at 19:45 tonight. West Brom are five points adrift of league leaders Fulham and can’t afford to drop points tonight if they are to continue with their quest to return to the top-flight.
The Baggies picked up a hard-fought 1-0 win at home to Reading last time out when they had several players missing due to having to isolate. They will again be without the likes of Cedric Kipre, Semi Ajayi, Matt Clarke and Conor Townsend but even so, I think they should have enough to see this game out as winners for the third consecutive week.
Barnsley have picked up just two wins all season and lost 11 of their last 14. Goals have been a problem for Markus Schopp’s side with no other team finding the net fewer times this season. Although they have an impressive record against West Brom in past encounters, having avoided defeat in six of their last seven meetings, they’ll do extremely well to take anything away from this game based on current form.
An away win is expected at Oakwell tonight.
Next up, we have Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga and no prizes for guessing which team is my pick in this one. The hosts have won nine of their last ten in all competitions and averaged 2.9 goals per game across those fixtures. They’ve beaten Wolfsburg in their last seven encounters with the visitors’ last victory against the German giants being back in 2015.
Wolfsburg head into this match on the back of six straight defeats and without a win in their last eight. Florian Kohfeldt’s side are currently hovering around midtable on 20 points, half of what Bayern have collected this term, and they’re more than likely to remain there after tonight’s match.
A predictable and comfortable win for the hosts is my second selection.
My third and fourth selections both come from Italy where Lazio face Genoa and Salernitana take on Inter Milan in Serie A.
Lazio aren’t in the best of form currently having won just one of their last five league games. However, other than their 2-0 defeat to Juventus last month, you have to go all the way back to November 2020 to find their last league defeat at home which shows how much of a force I Biancocelesti are at the Stadio Olimpico.
Genoa are currently in the drop zone having picked up just 10 points from a possible 51 this season. They have just one league win under their belt this season which was against fellow strugglers Cagliari and have failed to beat Lazio in their last four meetings, conceding 11 goals throughout those games.
I’m backing Lazio to get back to winning ways tonight and continue their excellent run of form on home turf.
It’s bottom vs top at the Stadio Arechi for my final selection as Salernitana, who have lost 13 of their 17 Serie A games this season, host league-leaders Inter Milan who have lost just once this season domestically.
Inter have won their last five Serie A matches and haven’t conceded in their last four. Their last match resulted in a 4-0 win at home to Cagliari but victories against both Roma and Napoli in recent weeks are perhaps more impressive. They’re looking set to claim their 20th Serie A title but with local rivals AC as well as Atalanta and Napoli hot on their tails, they can’t afford to drop points in games such as this one.
A win for Napoli is my final selection of the Friday night Four-Fold which is priced at 5/2 with Betfair Sportsbook. Not the biggest odds for an Acca but they are all strong favourites and the £5 free bet reward also adds value to the bet.
|West Brom /|
Bayern Munich /
There is one more match taking place in the European top-flight this evening and it is Celta Vigo vs Espanyol in La Liga. The last five encounters between these two sides have ended all square and a sixth could very well be on the cards again tonight.
Celta Vigo’s goalless draw away to Mallorca made it just one win in their last seven league matches for Eduardo Coudet’s side who are having an underwhelming season so far. The hosts are 14th in the league having picked up 17 points from as many games and currently have the joint-worst home record in La Liga. They’re the better of the two sides in terms of quality in this fixture but their current form is well below par.
Espanyol’s season back in the top-flight of Spanish football has been excellent and Vicente Moreno’s side find themselves within just six points of a Champions League spot. Although that position come the end of the season is pretty much all but a dream, so long as they can keep picking up points, a top-half finish is more than achievable and a spot in one of Europe’s elite competitions may not be out of the question. However, if they are to aim for that, their form on the road must improve. Although only Rayo Vallecano have picked up more points than Espanyol on home turf this season, only Levante have picked up fewer points on their travels. They’re currently winless on the road having collected just single points in three of their eight games played away. However, all but one of their defeats have come by a single goal and they will no doubt fancy their chances tonight.
A score draw would be the most logical bet in this fixture which is priced at 19/5 with Parimatch. However, I’m taking a chance on the visitors to pick up their first win of the season away from home and backing Espanyol & BTTS which you can get 7/1 for with Bet365. It is a risky bet but I do think that those odds, it has value.
|Celta Vigo vs Espanyol|
|Espanyol & BTTS||7/1||Visit|
An 89th-minute goal from Anthony Modeste ruined a perfect day of betting for followers yesterday. Our Draw & BTTS bet on the Wolfsburg vs FC Koln match was looking good heading into the final minute before the French forward fired a bullet header from the centre of the box past Koen Casteels to make it 3-2 to the visitors. However, it turned out to be yet another profitable December evening from a betting perspective as the other two tips on Aston Villa to beat Norwich (27/20) and Villa -1 (4/1) both came in producing good returns.
Top-flight football continues today with four Premier League matches taking place along with a string of fixtures in the Bundesliga.
Crystal Palace welcome Southampton to Selhurst Park this evening in what is a big match for both sides. Three points separate the two and a win for either would give them a huge boost and a move further away from the drop zone.
Palace are perhaps the one team who have surprised me the most this season. They’re currently 13th in the league which isn’t anything to shout about but they have scored more goals than any other team in the bottom half of the table, averaging 1.38 goals per game. More impressively, Patrick Vieira’s side have the seventh-best home record in the league and only Arsenal, Liverpool and Chelsea have conceded fewer on home turf. The Eagles head into this game on the back of a confidence-boosting 3-1 win against Everton last time out which was much needed after three consecutive defeats. However, other than their 2-1 loss to Aston Villa towards the end of last month, you have to go all the way back to May to find their last defeat at home.
Southampton’s 3-0 loss to Arsenal on Sunday made it five games without a win for the Saints. They’ve struggled for goals this season with only Wolves and Norwich scoring less and things get even worse when you look at their record on the road. Ralph Hasenhüttl’s side have picked up just 5 points from a possible 24 on their travels this season with a 1-0 victory away to Watford being the only time they have taken away maximum points. They did grind out an impressive 0-0 draw against City in mid-September but generally, they haven’t travelled well at all.
Based on the home and away form of the two sides this term, a home win is the most likely outcome. Odds of 23/20 are available with Boylesports on Palace which will be my first selection of the day.
|Crystal Palace vs Southampton|
My next selection comes from the Bundesliga where Bayer Leverkusen host Hoffenheim at the BayArena.
There’s not much separating these two sides in any department. They’re side-by-side in the league, have collected almost the same number of points home & away and are in similar form based on recent games.
Bayer suffered a 1-0 loss away to Hungarian side Ferencvaros in the Europa League last week but not much can be taken from that result given that Gerard Seoane fielded a much-weakened side since they were already guaranteed to finish top of their group. However, they followed that defeat up with another when they blew a 2-0 lead away to Frankfurt at the weekend and ended up losing the match 5-2. That’s not the result Seoane would have wanted for his side heading into this crucial clash as another defeat tonight would see their opponent’s leap frog them into third in the table.
Hoffenheim head into this match on the back of four consecutive league victories and scored an impressive 13 goals throughout those matches. They’ve beaten Bayer in two of their last five encounters with them but have failed to do so away from home in any of those. However, they’ll see this as a winnable game and looking at the odds, I think the value is in backing them to do so.
I see this as a very even game with not much at all between the two sides. There’s a good chance it could end in a draw but given the attacking threat of both teams, one of them could easily go two goals ahead and so I’d rather opt to back a winner. Therefore, it comes down to the prices on each side and with Leverkusen being odds-on for the victory, I don’t think there’s any value at all in backing a home win. However, you can get odds of 3/1 with Betfair Sportsbook on Hoffenheim which I think is a great price. I’m expecting goals in this game and so my bet will be on an away win & BTTS @ 11/2 with William Hill.
|Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim|
|Hoffenheim & BTTS||11/2||Visit|
I’ll also be placing a double with Betfair in order to receive a £5 free bet regardless of the result. I’ll be including Palace to win and also the slightly safer option of Hoffenheim Double Chance which will come in if they either Win or Draw.
|Crystal Palace &|
Hoffenheim Double Chance
Roma beat Spezia 2-0 last night which meant that our 8/1 correct score prediction came in and made it another profitable day for December. Onto today and there are two matches in the Premier League taking place with the Brentford vs Manchester United game being postponed due to an outbreak in the Utd camp.
Norwich host Villa at Carrow Road tonight in what I expect will be a very tough game for Dean Smith’s side.
Norwich are currently bottom of the table, level on points with Newcastle but with an abysmal goal difference. The Canaries have scored just 8 goals in their 16 games in the top flight this term and have the second-worst defensive record in the league having conceded 32 times in 16 games. A good run of form which saw them pick up maximum points in back-to-back wins against Brentford and Southampton followed by draws with Wolves and Newcastle, ended when they suffered defeats in their latest outings against Spurs and Man Utd. Although they weren’t expected to get anything from those two games, Aston Villa may prove to be of a similar standard tonight as they head into this fixture in excellent form.
Since Steven Gerrard took the reins, Villa have won three of their five games. Those two losses came at the hands of Man City and Liverpool and both of them were by just a one-goal margin. Compare that to the five straight defeats the Villans suffered prior to Gerrard’s arrival and it’s clear to see that he has had a huge impact on the club in a relatively short space of time.
This is a big opportunity for Gerrard and Villa to pick up another three points tonight which could take them level on points with Leicester in 8th position in the table.
Aston Villa are priced at 27/20 for the win with Coral which I think is excellent and is my first selection of the day. I also think Villa could win this by two goals and I’m willing to take a chance with a small wager on Villa -1 which you can get odds of 4/1 for with Parimatch.
|Norwich vs Aston Villa|
|Aston Villa -1||4/1||Visit|
Wolfsburg take on FC Koln in the Bundesliga tonight in search for their first victory in eight matches. Five consecutive defeats in recent weeks, which included losses to both Sevilla and Lille in the Champions League, isn’t the kind of form that Florian Kohfeldt’s side would have been hoping for heading into this clash. They’re currently a point and a place above tonight’s opponents and will see this match as an opportunity to get back to winning ways.
I backed Cologne in their latest outing at home to Augsburg which failed to come in but that was their first defeat in six and they too will see this game very much as winnable. Their form on the road this season leaves something to be desired but they have avoided defeat in four of their last six on their travels which is something to take note of with defeats only to top-four sides Hoffenheim and Dortmund.
I am very much tempted to side with Cologne again and back an away win. However, the logical result is a draw. Neither side have been involved in a stalemate in the league this season and so my bet is a Draw & Both Teams To Score which you can get odds of 18/5 for with Parimatch.
|Wolfsburg vs FC Koln|
|Draw & BTTS||18/5||Visit|
The Sheffield United vs QPR match that was scheduled to take place tonight has been called off due to QPR having insufficient numbers to fulfil the fixture as several of their players are currently isolating. That leaves us with just a handful of games to look at and I’ve picked out selections from two matches tonight from Serie A and Ligue 2 in France.
The Stadio Olimpico is host to the Serie A match between Roma and Spezia tonight and a home win could be on the cards.
Roma head into this match on the back of two straight defeats and worryingly failed to score in both of those games. However, the most recent was against league-leaders Inter Milan and they did follow that loss up with a 3-2 win in the Europa League away to Bulgarian side CSKA Sofia on Thursday evening.
Jose Mourinho’s side are currently 8th in Serie A with a game in hand over all other teams other than tonight’s opponents and could move up into 6th with a win this evening which would take them to within 8 points of a Champions League spot.
The visitors have won just three of their 16 league games played this season and are currently winless in their last four. Spezia manager, Thiago Motta, will meet Jose Mourinho for the first time on the sidelines tonight. The ex-Inter midfielder played under the reigns of Mourinho and won the treble with him in the 2009/10 season with Inter Milan. He’d love to get one over on his old boss tonight but he has a tough task on his hand as Spezia have performed extremely poorly on their travels.
Just 4 points from a possible 24 have been picked up by Spezia on the road this season and what is more worrying is that they have conceded a whopping 25 goals during those matches. Although Roma haven’t been ruthless in front of goal at the Stadio Olimpico this season, if they get on the scoresheet, which given Spezia’s defensive record they should, it is hard to see the visitors being able to get back into the game.
A Roma win is priced at 2/5 which is too short to be backing as a single. Therefore, I’m backing Roma to win & Over 2.5 Goals which is Evens with Paddy Power. I also like a price boost that Betfair have available where they have boosted the odds of Roma to win 2-0 from 6/1 to 8/1 which is the best price I’ve found available.
|Roma vs Spezia|
Over 2.5 Goals
For my second selection, I’m looking at the Toulouse vs Rodez match in Ligue 2 in France.
The hosts have the chance to reclaim their spot at the top of the French second division tonight should they pick up all three points and I’m backing them to do so. They’ll want to get back to winning ways after dropping points in their 2-1 loss away to Niort last time out, which was only their second defeat of the season, and given they beat tonight’s hosts 2-0 in the reverse fixture back in July, I see no reason why they won’t. The hosts won their three matches prior to that defeat, although, two of those were cup matches, and they had drawn three matches before that which means they have just one league win in their last five. This is a great opportunity for them to pick up maximum points before they head into yet another Cup fixture at home to Nimes on Saturday.
Rodez have won four of their last five in the league, including a 1-0 win at home to Nimes in their latest outing. Those victories have propelled Laurent Peyrelade’s side up to 7th in Ligue 2 and within 8 points of tonight’s opponents. However, they’ve averaged just 1.1 goals per game this season and when you compare that to Toulouse’s average of 2.2 goals, it’s clear to see why the hosts are the favourites here.
I’m expecting a home win in this match but with Rodez’s current form, I wouldn’t be surprised to see them get on the scoresheet. You can back Toulouse to win at odds of 8/13 with Betfair but I’ll also be including Both Teams to Score which is priced at 3/1 with Bet365.
|Toulouse vs Rodez|
|Toulouse & BTTS||3/1||Visit|
We came close to landing all bets yesterday with only Fulham and Forest Green failing to come in. Fulham led against Luton but the hosts’ only shot on target found its way past Fulham keeper Rodak in the 62nd minute to level the score to 1-1 which is how the match finished. Forest Green were up against Oldham in League Two and spectators experienced a ten-goal thriller at Boundry Park. Forest Green lead 3-1 heading into the tunnel at half-time but six goals in the second half, including an own goal by Kane Wilson to level the score, meant the match finished 5-5.
Onto today and there are some tricky fixtures lined up in leagues across Europe.
Burnley became the first team this season to lose to Newcastle United when they visited St James’ Park last week. That result has left Sean Dyche’s side level on points with both The Magpies and Norwich which is a worrying situation to be in. Last week’s defeat won’t give them any confidence heading into this tricky fixture and neither will the fact that they’ve won just one of their last ten in all competitions.
Although West Ham lost 1-0 to Dinamo Zagreb in their latest outing, not much should be taken from that result given Moyes’ side had already qualified as group winners in the Europa League. Their result in their latest Premier League outing however is something more to shout about as they put up a good fight at home to Chelsea and came out as 3-2 winners. The Hammers needed that win given that they had dropped points against both Man City and Brighton in weeks prior to that. They’ll be fighting for fourth place for as much of the season as possible and if they are to pip the likes of Man Utd, Arsenal and Tottenham to a place in next seasons Champions League, they need to pick up maximum points in games such as this one.
Although Burnley can be a tough team to beat, West Ham’s attacking threat may be just too much for them. An away win is what I’m backing in this fixture which is priced at 21/20 with SpreadEx.
|Burnley vs West Ham|
This is a tricky fixture and one that I considered leaving out of my selections. However, I’ve picked out a couple of selections that I think have value.
Confidence will be low in the Leicester City camp after their 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa last weekend was followed up with a 3-2 loss to Napoli that resulted in them being knocked out of the competition and only gaining a place in the Europa Conference League. Overall, the Foxes are having a somewhat disappointing season and currently sit 11th in the table and look set to finish in no mans land come the end of the season unless they can find some consistency. Only Watford, Newcastle and Burnley have conceded more goals than Brendan Rodgers’ side so far this season and given Newcastle’s new found attacking threat under the reins of Eddie Howe, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the ball in their net again today.
Newcastle picked up their first victory of the season last weekend in a 1-0 win at home to Burnley. It was a huge 3 points for Howe’s side who look much improved since his arrival. This game is huge for Newcastle as they are in for a tough run of fixtures leading up to the new year. Liverpool, Man City and Man Utd are their next opponents and so this, along with their match away to Everton on the 30th could be their last chance to put points on the table before their reform happens when the January transfer window opens.
Newcastle have scored in four of their last five and with Leicester conceding in all but one of their league games this season, Both Teams To Score seems like a logical bet. Odds of 8/13 are available for BTTS with William Hill which I think is fair, albeit not hugely appealing as a single.
Leicester still have several players missing due to having to isolate and given that Rodgers had to field many of his first team regulars for the full 90 minutes against Napoli three days ago, he could choose to rest even more of them. If Vardy is rested, I think Newcastle could be in with a chance of sneaking a win here and so I’m taking a punt on Newcastle to Win. You can get 7/2 for an away win but Sky Bet are offering odds of 9/2 on a Newcastle & Callum Wilson to have one or more Shots on Target which I think shows more value. They also have a boost on Wilson To Score First and Newcastle to win 1-0 or 2-1 which I’ll be having a small wager on.
|Leicester vs Newcastle|
Wilson 1+ SOT
|Wilson Score First|
Newcastle 1-0 or 2-1
I’ve also picked out three matches for a Win & BTTS combo. I’m suggesting a Patent bet which covers all possible combinations from the three selections, making 7 bets in total (1 x treble, 3 x doubles & 3 x singles).
Leverkusen have scored 35 goals in 14 games in the Bundesliga this season, including putting seven past Greuther Fürth in their last league match. A win today would see them move within one point of second-placed Dortmund having played the same number of games and within seven points of league-leaders Bayern.
Frankfurt have picked up just 7 points from their six home matches this season but have only been defeated in one of those. They’ve also scored in all but their game against Augsburg towards the end of August and so I wouldn’t be surprised to see them bag a goal this afternoon.
None of the last 72 meetings between these two sides have finished goalless and I’m not expecting that to change today. Bayer to Win & BTTS is priced at 3/1 with Parimatch.
Next up Real Betis take on Real Sociedad in La Liga in what could be a close encounter.
Betis have been a great team to watch this season and their efforts on the field have paid off with Manuel Pellegrini’s side currently third in La Liga. Only Atletico and Real Madrid have scored more goals than today’s hosts but they’re also prone to conceding the odd goal with only being able to keep a clean sheet in one of their home matches this season.
Sociedad have been relatively impressive on their travels this season but their victories have come against bottom-half teams. They’ve scored 14 but also conceded 10 in their 8 away games which points to another potentially exciting fixture with goals at both ends today.
Real Betis head into this match in the better form of the two and so I’m siding with them for the win. Both teams to score is also likely with the home win & BTTS market priced at 4/1 with William Hill.
My final selection also comes from La Liga where Real take on Atletico in El Derbi.
Real Madrid have won nine games on the bounce and currently top the Spanish table. They are unbeaten in their last eight league encounters against Atletico, winning the last two played at the Benabeu.
It’s hard to bet against Real at the moment given the form that they’re in and their ability in front of goal. Atletico will prove to be no pushovers but I do expect the hosts to come out on top and extend their unbeaten run to 13 games.
Atletico’s main strength over recent seasons have been their defensive capabilities. However, that area of their game hasn’t been as apparent this season and Diego Simeone’s side have conceded 16 goals in 15 matches played. That’s far from bad but not close to their records over past seasons. They still have the second best goal scoring record in La Liga this term, only beaten by today’s opponents, and so they should pose some threat in front of goal.
Given past outcomes of this derby and Real’s current form, I’m siding with the hosts and also backing both teams to find the net which odds of 10/3 are available for with William Hill.
As mentioned, I’ll be placing a Patent bet on the above three selections which results in a total of seven bets. The treble is priced at 80/1 with William Hill but there will also be bets on the three doubles and three singles at the prices shown above.
|Win & BTTS Patent|
|Bayer Leverkusen /|
Real Betis /
Espanyol take on Levante in La Liga this afternoon with the hosts being in superb form at the RCDE Stadium.
Despite being 11th in the league, only Sevilla and Vallecano have picked up more points at home this season than Espanyol where they have proven to be an extremely tough team to break down. Vicente Moreno’s side are unbeaten in their last six on home turf, winning five of them, and have conceded just four goals in their eight games this term at the RCDE Stadium.
Levante on the other hand have the worst away record in La Liga, picking up just 2 points from a possible 24. No other team have conceded more on the road than today’s visitors and another defeat could be on the cards for them today. They do have a new manager with the arrival of Alessio Lisci but whether or not he will have an immediate impact remains to be seen.
With three clean sheets in their last four at home for the hosts, along with their current form, an Espanyol victory is expected today and at odds of 21/20, it’s definitely a bet I’ll be taking up.
|Espanyol vs Levante|
Next up, I’m heading to the Championship where the team with the worst home record in the league host the team with the best away record.
Oldham welcome Forest Green at Boundry Park at 3pm today and look to pick up points to move themselves out of the drop zone with Keith Curle’s side only above the bottom spot on goal difference.
After two consecutive defeats, Oldham looked to build on their 1-0 victory away to League One side Sunderland in the EFL Trophy when they hosted Tranmere at Boundry Park on Tuesday but they were unable to hold on for a point and conceded in the 90th minute to come away with nothing. They could be set for a fourth straight league defeat today given that they’re up against the league leaders who are in terrific form.
Forest Green currently top the League Two table by an impressive six points and have a game in hand over both Northampton and Port Value in the spots below. They’re looking set to move up into League One next season and shouldn’t have any problem picking up maximum points today against a much lesser side in terms of quality.
Mark Cooper’s side have won their last four in the league with their latest outing resulting in a 4-1 win away to Harrogate Town. That win made it 11 goals in four games for Rovers and conceding just two in the process. They’re unbeaten on the road this season and I can’t see that changing today.
Forest Green to win is priced at 4/5 with Boylesports which I think is more than fair.
|Oldham vs Forest Green|
Moving up into the Championship and Luton Town host Fulham at Kenilworth Road later today.
After a reasonably good spell throughout October, Luton’s form has taken a dive recently with The Hatter’s picking up just one win in their last five. That victory did come in their latest outing away to Blackpool but this will surely be a tougher match for them and they’ll do well to get anything out of it.
After a winning streak spanning seven matches, Fulham have drawn their last three and will look to get back to winning ways this afternoon. Despite dropping points recently, Marco Silva’s side still top the Championship table but with just one point separating themselves from second-placed Bournemouth, they’ll be eager to pick up 3 points today to potentially extend their lead.
Fulham have scored more than any other team in the Championship this season, finding the net a total of 50 times in 21 games. They also have the joint best defensive record. If they can score first, which they have done in eight of their last ten, they should have the quality to see the game out as winners and remain top of the table come the end of the day.
Odds of Evens are available on a Fulham win with SpreadEx which will be my third selection of the day.
|Luton vs Fulham|
If you wish to back the treble, you can get a £5 free bet from Parimatch for doing so and it is currently priced at 7.20.
Forest Green /
Sky Bet’s Soccer Saturday Price Boost this week is:
Chelsea are at home to Leeds and a win for the Blues is expected. Leeds’ only victory on the road this season was against Norwich back in October and I can’t see them troubling the visitors too much today.
Liverpool host Aston Villa at Anfield with Steven Gerrard returning to his old club in charge of the Villans. He’s won 3 of his 4 games as boss at Villa but this will be his toughest task yet and with Liverpool last losing at Anfield all the way back in March, it’s hard to see The Reds not picking up maximum points today.
Lastly, Arsenal welcome Southampton to the Emirates in perhaps the trickiest fixture of the three. After an excellent run of form, which saw them undefeated in 11 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have picked up just one win in their last four, losing the other three. A loss away to Liverpool can be excused and they narrowly missed out on a point in their 3-2 loss at Old Trafford earlier in the month. However, a 2-1 defeat away to Everton last time out wouldn’t have given the Gunners a boost in confidence heading into today’s match, although their form at the Emirates has been very good with only Spurs picking up more points at home this season.
If this game was being played at St Mary’s, I’d be backing the draw. However, with Arsenal’s excellent home form and Southampton picking up just 5 points from 7 games on the road this season, I’m siding with the hosts.
Chelsea, Liverpool & Arsenal all to win has been boosted from 6/4 to an attractive 5/2 with Sky Bet.
Sky have one more price boost that I think I like even more than the treble. It’s on Manchester City’s Bernardo Silva to have two or more shots on target today against Wolves. It’s a ‘Double Up’ boost and has been boosted from 5/2 to 5/1 which surely has value. City are playing at home and Silva has been in superb form lately having scored five in his last five, including two in his latest league outing last weekend away to Watford.
2+ SOT v Wolves
Both these sides were promoted into the top flight last season but has been Brentford that have stepped up, albeit in a somewhat inconsistent manner. The Bee’s have beaten West Ham away from home, taken a point away against Liverpool in a thrilling 3-3 draw and were on top for much of their 1-0 loss against Chelsea back in October. However, they’ve also lost to the likes of Norwich and Burnley and so it’s hard to predict which team will turn up each week. Thomas Frank’s side haven’t been short of goals recently though. They put three past Newcastle and bagged two against Leeds in recent games, both of which finished in a draw, and took away maximum points at home to Everton at the end of last month showing that they have found a bit of form which has helped them climb to 13th in the table and 7 points clear of the drop zone.
Watford haven’t found things as easy and Claudio Ranieri’s side have picked up just two wins in their last 11 in all competitions, losing 8 of those. However, their two wins included an impressive comeback against Everton which saw The Hornets win 5-2 after trailing 2-1 heading into the final 12 minutes of the match. They also produced an upset when they hosted Manchester United at Vicarage Road last month, coming out as 4-1 winners. They were unable to build on that win having suffered three consecutive defeats since but those losses were to Leicester, Chelsea and City and they managed to find the net in all of them which should give them some confidence heading into this match against somewhat lesser opposition.
I’m finding it hard to pick a winner from this match but can understand why Brentford are favourites given their home advantage and recent form. However, their inconsistency makes me reluctant to back them and I think a safer bet is simply on Both Teams To Score as neither side have been shy in front of goal in recent matches.
Both Teams To Score in this fixture is my first selection of the day and is priced at an appealing 5/6 with 10Bet.
|Brentford vs Watford|
|BTTS - YES||5/6||Visit|
Heading into La Liga and Mallorca take on Celta Vigo tonight and will be in high spirits after beating Atletico Madrid 2-1 away from home at the weekend.
Mallorca were 9/1 underdogs on Saturday when they travelled to Madrid and the bookies seemed to have gotten it right heading into the final 10 minutes as the hosts lead 1-0. However, an 80th-minute goal from Mallorca’s Franco Russo and an injury-time winner from Japanese winger Takefusa Kubo meant that the visitors took away all three points in a shock defeat.
That was the first win for Luis García’s side since the beginning of October but one that will give them a huge boost heading into tonight’s match.
Celta Vigo were on a five-match unbeaten run until the weekend and were looking for their third consecutive win when they hosted Valencia on Sunday. However, despite dominating the game in most areas, Valencia came out as 2-1 winners, putting an end to Celta’s streak.
Eduardo Coudet’s side have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches and I expect them to get on the scoresheet tonight. There have also been 10 goals scored in the last two encounters by these sides so we could be in for an entertaining game. I’m marginally siding with Celta Vigo but again, I’m opting to back Both Teams To Score in this game which you can get odds of 9/10 for, again with 10Bet.
|Mallorca vs Celta Vigo|
|BTTS - YES||9/10||Visit|
My final selection comes from the Bundesliga were FC Koln host Augsburg in Cologne.
FC Koln remain unbeaten on home turf this season with the last time they tasted defeat being a 1-0 loss against Kiel back in May. Only Bayern, Dortmund and RB Leipzig have bagged more goals in front of home fans this season than Steffen Baumgart’s side and they’ll be confident of finding the net tonight against an Augsburg side who have the third-worst defensive record in the league away from home.
Augsburg have picked up 13 points this season from 14 games which has left them third-bottom of the table. A shock win against Bayern, when they were priced at 14/1, was one of three wins this season for Markus Weinzierl’s side but he will be concerned about his teams performances on their travels where they have picked up just 3 points from 7 games. Even more worrying is the fact that Augsburg have managed just 3 goals in those 7 away games and have conceded 11 which doesn’t bode well for them heading into this match against a side that put four past Monchengladbach in their last home fixture.
I can’t see past the home and away form of these two sides which leads me to believe a home win is on the cards. I am tempting to include BTTS in that bet given that FC Koln are prone to conceding a few but the visitors haven’t exactly been ruthless in front of goal on their travels and so I’ll leave that selection out.
FC Koln to win is priced at 4/6 with Quinnbet.
|FC Koln vs Augsburg|
The odds on the treble for the above three selections are 5.35 with Betfair who will credit a £5 free bet for placing it with them regardless of the result.
|Brentford vs Watford - BTTS|
Mallorca vs Celta Vigo - BTTS
FC Koln To Win
Followers were close to popping the champagne last night as our 74/1 double and 11/1 single missed out by just one goal. Despite Young Boys having nine attempts on goal in the second half last night against Manchester United, they were unable to find the winning goal. However, the 11/2 Win & BTTS bet on Lille landed, as did the Win single at 23/10 and the 8/13 selection on Wigan to beat Shrewsbury. Overall, a profitable night of betting.
Today, we move onto the Europa League, although, there is the Champions League fixture between Atalanta vs Villarreal also taking place after it was rescheduled due to bad weather.
Napoli host Leicester City in Naples tonight in what is a crucial match in Group C of the Europa League. All four teams can currently finish top of the group and progress through to the next stage of the tournament automatically depending on the outcome of tonight’s games with the other match being Legia Warsaw vs Spartak Moscow.
Brenden Rodgers’ side currently lead the group on 8 points but with both Napoli and Spartak on 7 points and Legia on 6, maximum points are required to ensure that they remain top come the end of the night.
During the week, I was thinking that this was a tough match to call but news broke out yesterday of the virus spreading across the Leicester training camp and so several players are rumoured to have missed the trip to Italy tonight. At the moment, Rodger’s has not disclosed which players are unavailable for tonight but he has said that currently there are seven of them. However, online news site Leicestershire Live have stated that the following players have remained at home; Ademola Lookman, Daniel Amartey, Kelechi Iheanacho, Jannick Vestergaard, Ayoze Perez, Filip Benkovic and Vontae Daley-Campbell. If that is the case, their absences will be a huge blow for the Foxes and I think that Napoli can take advantage of a depleted Leicester side.
Napoli are third in Serie A and just two points adrift of leaders AC Milan but do have just one win in their last five in all competitions. However, other than their surprise loss away to Spartak Moscow in this competition two weeks ago, their other losses were at the hands of Inter Milan and Atalanta and they managed to find the net twice in both those games. In fact, despite picking up just one win in five, Luciano Spalletti’s side have scored 12 goals in the process and should be able to cause a weakened Leicester side some issues tonight.
Napoli to win is priced at 21/20 with bookies such as Betfred and Betfair. They have the home advantage and their odds haven’t changed since the news of Leicester missing several key players which leads me to believe they are currently overpriced.
|Napoli vs Leicester|
If you don’t have an account with 888Sport, they are offering new customers ENHANCED ODDS of 10/1 for Napoli to Win or 18/1 for Leicester which is definitely worth taking up. Click below to visit the promo page of the offer.
Next up is Ferencvarosi TC vs Bayer Leverkusen in Budapest tonight and although Leverkusen have already qualified as group winners, I’m backing them to come out on top again tonight against the Hungarian side.
Ferencvarosi are yet to win a game in Group G, or even pick up a single point for that matter. They’ve suffered five straight defeats, scoring 4 goals in the process and conceding 12. They’re top of their league domestically but the gap in quality in their Europa League group is evident and they could end their campaign without picking up a point.
This clash finished 2-1 to Leverkusen in Germany back in September but the hosts that night dominated the game and I wouldn’t be surprised to see them win by more goals tonight, despite being away from home, given that only Lyon have scored more in the group stages of the Europa League this year.
Gerard Seoane may rest some players tonight but even if he does, I still think the visitors will have enough to pick up all three points and inflict more misery on the hosts who’s Europa League campaign is already over.
An away win is priced at 9/10 with Parimatch which will be my second selection of the day.
|Ferencvarosi TC vs Bayer Leverkusen|
My final selection comes from the match between Ludogorets and Midtjylland is Razgrad tonight and I’m backing another away win.
Ludogorets are out of the competition having picked up just a single point in their first five games which was against tonight’s opponents back in September. However, the Danish side dominated that game with 17 attempts on goal compared to Ludogorets’ 3 and would have been frustrated that they didn’t take away all three points. Midtjylland will be eager to do so tonight however given that a victory is needed to ensure that they stay in the competition.
Midtjylland currently have 8 points in Group F, one behind Braga and two adrift of leaders Cvena Zvezda. Their fate will depend on the result in this match as well as in the other between those two sides but with it being all or nothing for Brian Priske’s side, they should be well up for it.
Both sides head into the match unbeaten in their last three and both top their leagues domestically. However, based on the performances the last time these two sides met and what is at stake in this game, an away win is expected which is priced at a reasonable 4/6 with Boylesports.
|Ludogorets vs Midtjylland|
If you wish to back the treble on the above three selections, I suggest placing it with Betfair Sportsbook who are currently offering the best odds at 6.33. They will also credit your account with a £5 free bet regardless of the result.
Bayer Leverkusen /
The 5/1 treble landed yesterday with Real Madrid, Rotherham and Sunderland all winning. We’ll hopefully have another profitable day today as we again look at Champions League and League One fixtures taking place tonight.
One of two matches tonight in League one is Wigan vs Shrewsbury at the DW Stadium and the hosts will look to extend their unbeaten run to 10 games in all competitions by picking up all three points tonight.
After both Sunderland and Rotherham won their matches last night, Wigan have now been pushed down to fourth in the table. However, Leam Richardson’s side have two games in hand over both those sides and are just three points off topping the table. This is a big opportunity for the hosts to reclaim the top spot and given their current form, I don’t see any reason why they can’t do that.
Wigan have the best away record in the league with no other teams picking up more points or scoring more than The Lactics on their travels. However, their results at home have been surprisingly poor having won just five of their nine league matches played at the DW Stadium. Despite their struggles to pick up three points at home, they’re favourites to win this clash which isn’t hard to see why when you look at the away form of their opponents.
Shrewsbury are winless on their travels this season having drawn 2 and lost 7 of 9 played on the road. Steve Cotterill’s side are yet to keep a clean sheet away from home and have found the net just 5 times across their 9 matches. Their recent 2-1 Cup victory away to Carlisle will give them a boost heading into this match but I expect Wigan to be too strong for them and they may have to wait until they play bottom of the league Doncaster next week to pick up their first away win of the season.
A home win is priced at 8/13 with Boylesports which I think is fair albeit not hugely exciting.
|Wigan vs Shrewsbury|
Wigan Expected Lineup:
Amos; Kerr, Whatmough, Tilt; Darikwa, Power, Naylor, McClean; Aasgaard; Lang, Keane
Shrewsbury Expected Lineup:
Marosi; Leahy, Pennington, Nurse; Daniels, Vela, Bennett, Ogbeta; Udoh; Bloxham, Bowman
Moving onto the Champions League and Wolfsburg take on Lille in a crucial match in Group F of the competition.
Many of the group winners and runners up have already been decided heading into this final round of fixtures but Group G is still wide open with all four teams able to qualify for the knockout stages. The Bundesliga side need maximum points from this match whereas Lille will need just a draw to finish in the top two places and to progress. If they do that, it will be the first time that the Ligue 1 side has reached the knockout stages of the Champions League for 15 years.
The visitors head into this match in much the better form having tasted defeat just once in their last 10 matches. The Ligue 1 champions are currently mid-table coming up to half way through the season and they haven’t been running away with games. In fact, their 2-0 win at home to Marseille was the only victory this season in all competitions that they have won by more than one goal. They’ve also conceded in 8 of their last 9 matches and so I wouldn’t be surprised to see goals at both ends on the pitch tonight.
Wolfsburg are winless in their last five, losing four of them, including a 3-0 defeat away to Mainz in their latest outing. Florian Kohfeldt’s side have conceded two or more goals in all of their last five games and so it’s hard to see them keeping a clean sheet tonight against a Lille side who have found the net in all of their last nine.
I’m siding towards an away win tonight despite Lille just needing a point. If Wolfsburg get the first goal, it could very well end in a draw but given the hosts current defensive record, I expect Lille to start strong and get an early lead.
Lille to win is priced at 23/10 with Quinnbet and I’ll also be having a small wager on Lille & BTTS at odds of 11/2 with Bet365.
|Wolfsburg vs Lille|
|Lille & BTTS||11/2||Visit|
Wolfsburg Expected Lineup:
Casteels; Mbabu, Brooks, Lacroix, Otavio; Arnold, Vranckx; Baku, Philipp, Lukebakio; Weghorst
Lille Expected Lineup:
Grbic; Celik, Fonte, Botman, Reinildo; Ikone, Andre, Sanches, Yazici; David, Yilmaz
My final selection comes from the Man Utd vs Young Boys match at Old Trafford and I think the underdogs are overpriced.
United head into this fixture having already qualified for the knockout stages and although new manager Ralf Rangnick will look to get another win under his belt, focus will surely be on the league and making sure he keeps players fit to move them up the table and ensure that they’re part of this competition next season.
Rangnick will surely make a number of changes to his starting XI tonight. All of Raphael Varane, Paul Pogba, Edinson Cavani, Luke Shaw, Anthony Martial and Jesse Lingard will not feature which could open up spots for the likes of Dean Henderson, Eric Bailly, Teden Mengi, Donny van de Beek, Juan Mata, Anthony Elanga and Mason Greenwood amongst others.
Young Boys are bottom of Group F but have it all to play for tonight as they can still finish third and secure a spot in the Europa League if they pick up maximum points and hope that Villarreal beat Atalanta in Spain. David Wagner’s side have already beaten United this season in the reverse fixture that finished 2-1 to the Swiss side and there’s no doubt that they’ll be up for it tonight with the aim of causing another upset.
I expect Young Boys to give it everything tonight and Wagner could set his team up in a 4-3-3 formation as they need goals. The Swiss Super League champions have scored in 9 of their last 12 on the road and with United conceding in 10 of their 11 games at Old Trafford this season, I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see the visitors get on the scoresheet. If they’re able to do that first, it will be a nervy match for a second-string United side who really don’t need to get anything out of this game other than pride.
Young Boys are priced at 7/1 for the win and although it’s a big ask for them, I do think that they’re overpriced. You can also get odds of 11/1 for Young Boys & BTTS which is what I’m siding with given that both teams have scored in 9 of Young Boys’ last 11. It’s a risky bet but one that I think has value.
|Manchester United vs Young Boys|
|Young Boys & BTTS||11/1||Visit|
Manchester United Expected Lineup:
Henderson; Wan-Bissaka, Mengi, Bailly, Telles; Matic, Van de Beek; Greenwood, Mata, Elanga; Rashford
Young Boys Expected Lineup:
Faivre; Hefti, Burgy, Lauper, Lefort; Aebischer, Martins, Rieder; Elia, Siebatcheu, Ngamaleu
In a bid for the jackpot, I’ll also be placing a small wager on the Win & BTTS double with Lille and Young Boys @ 74/1 with 10Bet.
|Win & BTTS Double|
UEFA Champions League action returns today and we also have a set of fixtures taking place in both League One and League Two.
This is the last round of the group stages in the Champions League which is always a tricky time to bet. You’ll notice some generous looking odds on sides you would expect to be favourite but it’s important to take into consideration squad rotations should one, or both, of the teams have already qualified. This should be the case tonight when AC Milan host Liverpool at the San Siro.
Klopp’s Reds are unbeaten in Group B, picking up maximum points from their first five games. They’re guaranteed qualification to the knockout stages but the other three teams in the group have it all to play for heading into this final round.
The top two teams qualify for the next stage of the tournament and currently, Porto are second in the table with 5 points, AC Milan third with 4 and Atletico also on 4 points but bottom. All three teams will be looking for a win tonight and given that Porto vs Atletico is a tricky fixture to call, this is an excellent opportunity for AC to pick up maximum points and snatch the second spot come the end of the night.
Liverpool emerged as 3-2 winners when they hosted AC at Anfield back in September but it’s likely to be a very different team heading out onto the field tonight. They’re just a point adrift of City in the Premier League and having already qualified for the knockout stages, there will be no reason for Klopp to risk his key players. That means that opportunities will likely be given to the likes of Tyler Morton and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain along with several others.
AC Milan have won three of their last four in Serie A and currently top the table being one point ahead of local rivals Inter. Back-to-back wins against Genoa and Selernitana without conceding a goal will give Stefano Pioli’s side a boost heading into this match and they should find themselves with opportunities against a somewhat weakened Liverpool side.
The hosts are the favourites for the win tonight and are priced at 21/20 with Unibet. However, I’m opting for an AC win & BTTS @ 13/5. There hasn’t been a game this season that Liverpool have failed to find the net in and so even without a string of first-team players, I do expect them to get on the scoresheet.
|AC Milan vs Liverpool|
|AC Milan & BTTS||13/5||Visit|
AC Milan Expected Lineup:
Maignan; Kalulu, Tomori, Romagnoli, Hernandez; Kessie, Tonali; Saelemaekers, Diaz, Krunic; Ibrahimovic
Liverpool Expected Lineup:
Alisson; Williams, Konate, Van Dijk, Tsimikas; Morton, Henderson, Oxlade-Chamberlain; Salah, Origi, Minamino
Bundesliga side RB Leipzig welcome Manchester City to the Red Bull Arena at 17:45 tonight and although this will be their last match in this years Champions League, they will be looking to pick up points to secure a place in the Europa League. They look set to do that given that they are currently in the third spot that is required and Club Brugge have a tough fixture away to French giants, PSG.
The hosts have made their worst ever start to their season domestically and currently sit 11th in the league with just 18 points from a possible 42. They head into this match on the back of two consecutive defeats and have been unable to keep a clean sheet in the majority of their games this season.
With City having already qualified for the next stage, we’ll likely see Pep make several changes to his starting XI. However, City have the depth in squad to still field a team capable to beating the best and so I think they should be able to come out on top tonight against a side that is in terrible form.
City are priced at an attractive 10/11 for the win tonight but given that RB Leipzig have found the net in all of their nine home games this season and City have conceded in their last four, I’m again backing both teams to get on the scoresheet.
Victory for Manchester City with both teams scoring is priced at 9/4 which will be my second selection of the day.
|RB Leipzig vs Manchester City|
|Man City & BTTS||9/4||Visit|
RB Leipzig Expected Lineup:
Gulacsi; Klostermann, Simakan, Gvardiol; Mukiele, Adams, Laimer, Angelino; Nkunku, Forsberg; A. Silva
Manchester City Expected Lineup:
Steffen; Walker, Stones, Ake, Zinchenko; De Bruyne, Fernandinho, B. Silva; Mahrez, Palmer, Grealish
Sky Bet have a boosted treble on three of tonight’s fixtures which looks good to me. They’re offering the following:
Real Madrid host Inter Milan at the Bernabeu with both sides having already qualified for the next stage of the Champions League. The hosts are an impressive 8 points clear at the top of La Liga having picked up 39 points from a possible 48 and head into this match in great form. Carlo Ancelotti’s side are unbeaten in their last 11 matches and have won their last 8 on the bounce. Inter are also in excellent form and are hot on the heels of AC in Serie A, trailing their rivals by just a single point. However, they have struggled against the elite domestically having dropped points against the likes of Juventus, Atalanta, AC Milan and Lazio.
Madrid are the bookies’ favourites and although it’s not a sure bet, I’m backing the hosts to come out on top and continue their excellent run of form.
Next up, Rotherham face Gillingham at home and will look to potentially extend their lead to the top of League One by picking up maximum points against a side that is in terrible form. Gillingham have won just 3 of their 20 league games this season and have lost their last four, failing to score in every one of them. 3 points from their last 9 games doesn’t look good for them heading into this match against a side who are unbeaten in their last 18 games in all competitions and with the home advantage on top, it’s hard to envision anything other than another 3 points for Rotherham.
Lastly, Sunderland take on Morecambe at the Stadium of Light and this is a great chance for the Black Cats to close the gap on League One leaders Rotherham who they trail by just 2 points. After an extremely good start to the season, Sunderland’s form has been mixed of late but they have picked up an impressive 22 points from a possible 27 on home turf this season and when compared to Morecambe’s 7 points from 27 on the road, it’s not hard to see why a home win is expected in this game tonight.
Real Madrid vs Inter could be the bogey match in this treble but at odds of 5/1, boosted from just 3/1, I’m willing to take the chance on three home wins.
|Real Madrid /|
We head into the new week in profit for December and we can hopefully keep that going in the days ahead.
Today, Everton vs Arsenal is the sole Premier League fixture taking place and there is also a handful of fixtures in Serie A and La Liga along with a lower-league clash in the FA Cup.
Everton’s season got worse on Wednesday when they suffered their third consecutive defeat after taking a 4-1 hammering in the Merseyside derby at Goodison Park. That loss made it eight games without a win for Rafa’s side and they now find themselves towards the bottom of the table and just five points above the relegation zone. The fact that the Toffees have scored just one goal in their last four adds to concerns at the club and it’s no surprise to see Rafa Benitez as the bookies odds on favourite for the next PL manager to get the boot.
Things could get worse for the hosts tonight as they go up against an Arsenal side who have won five of their last seven. Arteta’s side suffered losses away to both Liverpool and most recently, Manchester United, but they were just two losses in their last 14 games played in all competitions which is a stat that stretches all the way back to 1st September.
Goals are the main issue for Everton at the moment. They’re conceding too but if they’re not able to provide a threat to their opponents, it’s unlikely that they’re going to pick up maximum points in many games. Arsenal kept a clean sheet in all of their last four victories which doesn’t bode well for the hosts tonight and they’ll do extremely well to get anything out of this game.
An away win for Arsenal is fully expected and at odds of 6/5 with Spreadex, it’s definitely a bet I’ll be jumping on tonight.
|Everton vs Arsenal|
Everton Expected Lineup:
Pickford; Coleman, Godfrey, Keane, Digne; Townsend, Doucoure, Allan, Gordon; Gray; Richarlison
Arsenal Expected Lineup:
Ramsdale; Tomiyasu, White, Gabriel, Tavares; Partey, Lokonga; Saka, Odegaard, Smith Rowe; Aubameyang
Next up, I’m heading to La Liga where struggling Getafe host Athletic Bilbao at the Coliseum Alfonso Perez.
Starting with Bilbao, they’ve only won four of their 15 league games this season but find themselves in a respectable 10th place in the league with 20 points thanks to drawing eight. They’ve proven to be an incredibly tough side to break down with Real Sociedad, Barcelona, Atletico Madrid and Valencia all only being able to take away a point in their clashes with Marcelino García Toral’s side.
Away from home Athletic have scored four and conceded four in their eight matches so far this term. Only tonight’s hosts have scored less on their travels and it’s no surprise to see them have the joint-best defensive record in the league.
Getafe currently find themselves in the relegation zone but they’ve lost just one of their last five in La Liga and head into this game on the back of a confidence-boosting 5-1 win away to Primera Catalana side CFJ Mollerussa. Not much can be taken away from that result given the gap in quality between the two sides but a 2-1 win at home to Espanyol and an impressive 4-0 win on home turf against Cadiz two weeks ago does show some signs of improvement for Quique Sanchez Flores’ side.
Given Athletic’s impressive defensive record it’s hard to see a high-scoring game tonight. A total of eight goals have been scored in their eight away games this season and so Under 2.5 goals seems like a sensible bet. However, at odds of 4/9, it’s not appealing and 11/8 for Under 1.5 Goals doesn’t look any better. Therefore, I’m taking a small punt of the Match Result market. There’s a good chance that this game could end all square for the ninth time in Athletic’s 16 games this season. However, Getafe are just shy of 3/1 to win the match and I think it’ll be a closer encounter than the odds suggest.
27/10 with Novibet for a home win is my selection on this game. If Getafe can continue with their somewhat impressive run of form at home, which has seen them find the net 6 times in their last two games, they should be in with a chance and I’m willing to take a gamble at those odds. I’m also taking a punt on the correct score market and as mentioned, as goals are expected to be sparse, I’m backing 1-0 to the hosts which is priced at a reasonable 7/1 with Boylesports.
|Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao|
Getafe Expected Lineup:
Soria; Mitrovic, Dakonam, Cuenca; Suarez, Arambarri, Maksimovic, Alena, Olivera; Sandro, Unal
Athletic Bilbao Expected Lineup:
Simon; Lekue, Alvarez, Martinez, Balenziaga; Zarraga, Vencedor, D Garcia, Muniain; I Williams, Sancet
It was another great day of football yesterday from a betting point of view. The singles on Blackburn (13/10) and Nottingham Forest (17/20) came in along with the double (3.16/1). The boosted treble with SkyBet landed at 5/1 and so did the boost on Chelsea to have a SOT in the first 15 minutes at Evens. The only selection not to win was the 0.5pt Draw/Chelsea bet with Coral but we received a £5 free bet for placing that so all was not lost on that pick.
It would be great to finish the week with another winning day and today, I’ll be looking at matches taking place across three different leagues.
QPR host Stoke at the Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium this afternoon and the hosts seem like a great bet priced at 11/8.
There are only four points separating these two sides in the league but QPR are now unbeaten in their last six (W4, D2) and a fourth consecutive victory for Mark Warburton’s side would see them move up into third in the Championship.
The hosts head into this match on the back on a 2-1 win away to Derby last weekend. The Hoops were 1-0 down at half time but second-half goals from Chris Willock and Andre Gray meant they were able to take away all three points and now only Coventry have picked up more points from losing positions than QPR.
QPR’s leading scorer, Lyndon Dykes, will likely miss the game today but as the Australian has been absent for their last three, which they picked up maximum points from in all, it shouldn’t be too much of an issue for the hosts.
Stokes form has dropped of late, has their position in the table. The Potter’s had an absolutely terrible month in October where they collected just 4 points from a possible 15. They seemed to be getting back into the swing of things heading into November having picked up three wins on the bounce but head into this game on the back on consecutive defeats to Bristol City and Blackburn.
Michael O’Neill will be without striker Nick Powell along with centre-back Harry Souttar who are both huge misses for the visitors and their absences definitely help in envisioning a home win in London today.
QPR to win at home at 11/8 seems like great odds to me.
|QPR vs Stoke|
Queens Park Rangers Expected Lineup:
Dieng; Dickie, Dunne, Barbet; Adomah, Johansen, Dozzell, Odubajo; Chair; Gray, Willock
Stoke City Expected Lineup:
Davies; Ostigard, Batth, Chester; Smith, Sawyers, Allen, Tymon; Vrancic; Brown, Fletcher
Next, I’m heading to La Liga where Vellecano welcome Espanyol to Madrid.
Both of these sides were promoted into the top flight from LaLiga 2 last season but it is Vallecano who have got their season off to the better of starts and find themselves in a very respectable sixth in La Liga after 15 matches and just five points adrift of Atletico Madrid. Although their form on the road has been somewhat disappointing, they are unbeaten on home turf, winning six and drawing one of their seven games. That’s the joint best home record in the league along with Sevilla which is an impressive feat for a side playing in a division lower last term. They’ve beaten the likes of Barcelona in front of home fans and put three or more goals past their opponents in four of their seven home matches and if they’re able to do the same today, they shouldn’t have any problems picking up another three points.
Espanyol are also holding their own in the top flight this season and similar to Vallecano, they have an excellent record at home but have been extremely poor on their travels where they are without a win so far this season. In fact, their dismal record on the road stretches back into last season and it’s been 16 away games without victory for the visitors.
Given the form of the two sides at home and away, it’s hard to back anything other than a home win here today. Vallecano have also kept a clean sheet in four of their seven home games, conceding just 3 goals and scoring 16, and so if they can find the net more than once this afternoon, it should be enough to see them take away all three points and maintain their impressive run of form at home.
|Vallecano vs Espanyol|
Vallecano Expected Lineup:
Dimitrievski; Balliu, Saveljich, Catena, F. Garcia; Lopez, Valentin; Palazon, Trejo, A. Garcia; Guardiola
Espanyol Expected Lineup:
Lopez; Vidal, Gomez, Cabrera, Pedrosa; Bare, Herrera; Embarba, Darder, Puado; De Tomas
You can back the double on QPR and Vallecano with Betfair Sportsbook @ 4/1 and get a £5 free bet for placing it regardless of the result.
My final selection comes from the Aston Villa vs Leicester match in the Premier League at 16:30.
Steven Gerrard faces his former manager Brendan Rodgers at Villa Park this afternoon but will be on the sidelines in charge of his new club who he has gotten off to a positive start with. Successive victories in his first two games against Brighton and Crystal Palace was followed up with a narrow 2-1 defeat at home to Manchester City last time out and he’ll be looking for his side to get back to winning ways today in a match that he’ll see as one they can take all three points from.
Leciester followed up on their six-goal thriller against Watford at the end of last month with a 2-2 draw away to Southampton last time out in a match that they came back from behind twice to secure a point. Goals don’t seem to be an issue for Brendan Rodgers’ side at the moment but their season as a whole has been somewhat disappointing with the Foxes hovering around mid-table without being able to find consistency in their results.
I’m finding it hard to pick a winner from this game but I do think that we’ll see goals. Villa have scored in 10 of their last 11 matches and in all of their games at Villa Park this season and there have been an average of 3.35 goals scored in each of Leicesters matches this term, including 17 in just their last four.
Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 23/20 with Boylesports which I think is fair. Although, you can get Evens on just Over 2.5 Goals with Bet365 and given there isn’t too much of a difference in the price, I think I’d rather side with that bet which removes a selection from the equation.
SkyBet also have a price boost on this game and are offering Double Odds on Watkins, Vardy and Maddison all to have 1 or more Shots on Target. It’s been boosted from 5/2 to a very tempting 5/1 which looks good to me.
This should be an open game and one that has the potential for goals from both sides and if not, at least chances in the box. As always with these type of bets, I’d recommend waiting until an hour prior to kick-off to place the bet when the lineups are released to ensure that all three players are featuring from the start. If so, I think this is a great bet.
|Aston Villa vs Leicester|
|Over 2.5 Goals||1/2||Visit|
Unfortunately, it wasn’t to be for Gateshead last night in their 2nd round FA Cup clash with League One Charlton Athletic. However, The Heed held their own for the majority of the game and certainly had their chances to cause an upset. When you head into matches like this as underdogs, you often need to have both the determination as well as a bit of luck to narrow the gap in quality. The hosts certainly had the motivation at Gateshead Stadium last night but luck wasn’t on their side and should they have gotten the first goal, which they came close to on multiple occasions, it could have been a completely different game.
Fulham vs Bournemouth finished all square with both sides getting on the scoresheet as predicted which meant that the 4/1 selection landed. That return means that we’re yet to have a losing day in December which will hopefully continue throughout this weekend.
There are some incredibly tough fixtures today and I had to sift through the majority of the games to find some selections but I’ve picked out a couple from the Championship which I think have value and also suggesting two price boosts from Sky Bet that look very good.
Blackburn host Preston at Ewood Park this afternoon and head into this game in excellent form having won their last two without conceding and being undefeated in their last four. The only defeat for Tony Mowbray’s side in their last seven was against Fulham and although it was a 7-0 thumping, they’ve been in good form generally which has helped Rovers climb to fifth in the league and just two points adrift of third-placed QPR.
The hosts are priced at 13/10 for the win today which I think are great odds. No other team have scored more than Blackburn on home turf in the Championship this season and they’ll be confident of picking up a third consecutive victory this afternoon.
Preston are undefeated in their last two outings with a win against Middlesbrough and an impressive 1-1 draw with Fulham last weekend. However, their general form on the road this season has been poor and 9 points from a possible 30 isn’t a stat that is worth shouting about.
Everything points to a home win here based on the difference in the home & away form this season of the two sides. Blackburn have also been on a great run since their loss to Fulham at the beginning of November and I’m backing them to continue with that.
13/10 for Blackburn to win is available with Betfred.
|Blackburn vs Preston|
Blackburn Rovers Expected Lineup:
Pears; Lenihan, Van Hecke, Wharton; Nyambe, Travis, Rothwell, Pickering; Buckley; Khadra, Brereton Diaz
Preston North End Expected Lineup:
Iversen; Van den Berg, Bauer, Lindsay; Barkhuizen, McCann, Whiteman, Earl; Browne; Evans, Riis
Nottingham Forest take on Peterborough at the City Ground at 3pm and the hosts are the bookies’ favourites to take away all three points. They’re 17/20 with Parimatch and despite being odds-on, I think they’re a good price.
Forest have lost just one of their last 13 matches and although they have drawn five of their last six, they’ve proven that they’re an extremely tough side to break down.
Peterborough are winless in their last six and perhaps more worrying is the fact that Darren Ferguson’s side found the net just once in those 540 minutes of playing time. The Posh’s form on the road has been woeful this season in general having picked up just 3 points from a possible 30 and averaging just one goal every two games.
Based on the above, it’s hard to see anything other than a home win in this fixture and at odds of 17/20, it will be my second selection of the day.
|Nottingham Forest vs Peterborough|
Nottingham Forest Expected Lineup:
Samba; Worrall, Figueiredo, McKenna; Spence, Yates, Garner; Bong; Mighten, Grabban, Zinckernagel
Peterborough Expected Lineup:
Cornell; Knight, Edwards, Beevers; Thompson, Coventry, Taylor, Burrows; Dembele, Szmodics; Clarke-Harris
If you’d like to back the double on the above two selections, I’d recommend placing the bet with either Parimatch or Betfair who both offer a £5 free bet for doing so, regardless of the result. Currently, Parimatch are offering the best odds at 4.16.
Sky’s boosted treble came in on Wednesday @ 5/2 and they have another one available on today’s fixtures which also looks promising.
I’ve already backed Blackburn to beat Preston and so we’d need Liverpool and City to win for the 5/1 boost to land.
Liverpool are away to Wolves this afternoon and it’s hard to bet against Klopp’s side at the moment. They’ve won their last four, scoring 4 goals in three of them and have also beaten Wolves in the last five meetings between the pair.
Wolves failed to score against both Norwich and Burnley in their last two games which made it just one goal in their last four for Bruno Lage’s side.
City are involved in the late kick-off and away to Watford at Vicarage Road. The hosts have lost four of their last five and although they were against the likes of Chelsea, Leicester and Arsenal, this match against Manchester City won’t be any easier.
Man City have now won six games on the bounce in all competitions and at odds of 1/5, they’re fully expected to pick up all three points today.
5/1 on Blackburn, Liverpool and Man City seems like a great bet and one that definitely has value.
Manchester City /
This could be a great game and one that could really test Chelsea.
After a great run of form in the league, West Ham’s form has taken a slight dip. After losing 1-0 away to Wolves at the end of November, they were beaten 2-1 by Manchester City at the Etihad and only managed a point in their 1-1 draw at home to Brighton three days later. That makes it 3 games without a win for David Moyes’ side and they’ll need to regain a bit of form to get anything out of this match today.
Chelsea have the best away record in the league currently having picked up 19 points from a possible 21, only dropping points in their 1-1 draw against Liverpool at Anfield back in August. Their defensive record on their travels is particularly impressive with Tuchel’s side only conceding two goals in 7 games. Also, only Liverpool have scored more goals than Chelsea on the road in the Premier League this season which makes it hard to back anything other than an away win here today. That said, West Ham are a huge threat and it could be an interesting game if Moyes sets his side up to attack.
Coral are offering a £5 free bet on this game when placing a £5 pre-match bet. I’ll be taking them up on this offer and backing Draw/Chelsea in the HT/FT market which is priced at 4/1.
My final selection of the day is another price boost from Sky Bet and they’re offering odds of Evens for Chelsea to have one or more shots on target within the first 15 minutes which has been boosted from 1/4. Sky often offer these kinds of boosts and more often than not, they come in. It’s a great bet and although not at huge odds, has a lot of value.
|West Ham vs Chelsea|
|Chelsea 1+ SOT|
in First 15 Mins
It was a great day of football yesterday. Unfortunately, my 5/1 boosted selection on Arsenal didn’t come in after they failed to hold onto their lead. However, fair play to Man Utd and to Michael Carrick who retained his unbeaten run as caretaker manager and it was a great sendoff for the ex-United midfielder who left the club after last nights game. Although Arsenal didn’t win the match, Emile Smith-Rowe did find the net for the Gunners which was my other selection on the game, priced at a very generous 5/1.
Moving onto today’s fixtures and there is a huge match in the Championship between the top two sides, Fulham & Bournemouth along with a handful of other games across Europe. I’ll also be taking a look at the FA Cup clash between Gateshead FC and Charlton in the FA Cup with WhichBookie being the Official Betting Partner of the hosts.
Competition Time! – Be sure to scroll down to the bottom of the tips below to enter your score prediction for the Gateshead vs Charlton Athletic game tonight. One user who predicts the score correctly will receive £50 cash from the team here at WhichBookie! It’s free to enter so feel free to share with your friends.
I had considered leaving this fixture out of my tips but as it’s such a big game, it feels right to cover it.
Just a point separates these two sides in the Championship table and both sides have dropped points in recent games with back-to-back draws in their last two outings. However, there’s a seven-point gap between Bournemouth and third-placed QPR and currently, both sides are looking likely to make their way back into the top-flight next season if they’re able to retain their form.
Both sides will be hoping to get back to winning ways tonight but a draw should suit them both. Neither will want to hand three points to the other which could lead to a cagey affair tonight at Craven Cottage.
The hosts have only tasted defeat at home once this season which was a 2-1 loss against Reading back in mid-September. Marco Silva’s side had won five on the bounce on home turf up until they met Derby last week when their rotated side were unable to find the net and had to settle for a goalless draw. It was the first of two games that the Cottagers were only able to pick up a point as they failed to hold onto their lead against Preston three days later to draw the match 1-1. A win tonight would give them a huge boost in their title race and odds of just shy of Evens are tempting on the hosts.
Although Bournemouth trail tonight’s opponents by just a point, their form has taken a dive somewhat in recent games. After being undefeated in 11 games, Scott Parker’s side have now won just one of their last five which is a slight concern heading into this match against a team that has averaged 2.45 goals per game this season. However, Bournemouth have scored in all but two of their matches this term and have the best away record in the league currently, along with the best defensive record on their travels having conceded just one goal every two games on average.
The hosts are rightly the favourites for the win tonight given their home advantage and Bournemouths slight dip in form. However, it could go either way and given that both sides would likely settle for a point, I’m backing the draw tonight, but given the attacking ability of both sides, I’m also expecting both teams to get on the scoresheet.
A Draw & Both Team To Score is priced at 4/1 with Parimatch which I think are great odds.
|Fulham vs Bournemouth|
|Draw & BTTS||4/1||Visit|
Fulham possible Expected Lineup:
Rodak; Odoi, Adarabioyo, Ream, Robinson; Seri, Reed; Wilson, Carvalho, Kebano; Mitrovic
Bournemouth Expected Lineup:
Travers; Stacey, Cahill, Cook, Davis; Kilkenny, Cook, Billing; Christie, Solanke, Anthony
WhichBookie.co.uk are the Official Betting Partner of Gateshead FC and we’re extremely proud, and excited, to see them reach the 2nd round of the FA Cup where they face League One side Charlton tonight at Gateshead Stadium.
Three leagues separate these two sides and so the Northern club have their work cut out if they are to progress to the next round where potentially huge fixtures against the biggest of clubs await. However, I think that they’re in with a chance tonight based on current form and there’s no doubt that The Heed will be up for it and give it all they’ve got.
The hosts currently sit in fifth place in the National League North having picked up 26 points from a possible 36. They have several games in hand over other clubs and so their current position isn’t completely reflective of their performances this season. In fact, based on points picked up per game, they’d be within 1 point of the league leaders.
Gateshead have the home advantage tonight which bodes well for them given that they are unbeaten in front of a home crowd since mid-January, winning eight and drawing one of their nine matches at Gateshead Stadium. That’s a run that they won’t want to end tonight and as they’ve scored in every game played on home turf for almost 12 months, they should be in with a chance.
Charlton’s form on the road will be a concern for them with the League One side having won just three of their last ten. They’re struggling in the league currently and are a distant 11 points adrift of a playoff spot – Something that they only missed out on last season due to goal difference.
Charlton have not gone on to win a match this season when they have conceded the first goal. Hopefully, Gateshead will be aware of this and start on the front foot. If they do and are able to bag the first goal, momentum could build and they’ll have a great chance of getting something out of this game given that they have won 75% of their matches at Gateshead Stadium when they have gone 1-0 up.
Cup fixtures are always tricky to predict the outcome of but I do think that Gateshead will give Charlton a real game tonight. I’m backing The Heed to score first which is priced at 15/8 with Parimatch. They’ll do well to hold on for the full 90 minutes and so I’m opting for a wager on a draw at half time and rather than back them to win, I’m siding with the somewhat safer bet of Gateshead Draw No Bet @ 10/3 with Betfair Sportsbook.
|Gateshead vs Charlton|
|Draw @ HT||13/8||Visit|
Draw No Bet
As WhichBookie are the Official Betting Partners of Gateshead FC, we’re giving away £50 cash to one person who correctly predicts the score in tonight’s FA Cup clash against Charlton. To enter, simply submit your prediction below and leave your email so that we can contact you if you win.
Gateshead Expected Lineup:
Chapman; Tinkler, Storey, Jacob, Wombwell, Hunter, Ward, Pani, Williams, Campbell, Blackett
Charlton Athletic Expected Lineup:
MacGillivray; Clare, Famewo, Purrington; Blackett-Taylor, Lee, Dobson, Gilbey, Souare; Washington, Davison
A good start to the month yesterday with all tips coming in other than our Chelsea -1 bet. Liverpool beat Everton in the Merseyside derby comfortably as predicted @ 11/10 for the -1 handicap and the boosted treble on Chelsea, Man City & Liverpool also landed @5/2 to return a good profit for the day. We can hopefully continue to be in the black with today’s tips where I’ll be looking at the United vs Arsenal match in the Premier League and also at Lazio vs Udinese in Serie A.
I’ll start off with the big game of the night which sees Arsenal take on Manchester United at Old Trafford.
Manchester United confirmed the appointment of Ralf Rangnick as manager of the club on an interim basis earlier this week but he won’t be seen in the dugout tonight due to work visa issues. Therefore, 12-year United veteran Michael Carrick will remain in charge as caretaker manager and look to maintain his unbeaten run whilst having the reins.
Since the departure of Ole Gunnar Solskjær two weeks ago, United picked up a 2-0 win in the Champions League away to Villarreal followed by a very respectable 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge in their match against Chelsea on Sunday. Carrick couldn’t have hoped for a better start in charge of his club but he’ll face another tough test tonight in what is set to be his last game as boss.
Arsenal’s season got off to an atrocious start but have managed to turn it around and have now lost just one of their last 13 matches in all competitions, winning 10 of them. The Gunners got back to winning ways after a 4-0 thumping by Liverpool two weeks ago with a 2-0 win against Newcastle at the Emirates. Arteta, also an ex-midfielder managing his old club tonight, has finally got his team playing good football and they’ve displayed some impressive performances over the past couple of months.
Looking at the odds, I can’t understand why United are odds-on favourites tonight. Not a great deal has changed since Solskjær left and Arsenal have been far the better team in terms of performances of late. I’d be tempted to back the draw @ 11/4 or even Arsenal Double Chance @ 20/23 which has a much better chance of coming in than a home win in my opinion and at very similar odds.
However, I won’t be backing either of those selections tonight as Boylesports have their EPIC ODDS offer available on this game which is too good to turn down and requires you to select one of the two teams to win the match.
These are the boosts that are available with Boylesports which can be claimed by both new & existing customers:
From the two, I definitely think that there is more value in backing Arsenal @ 5/1 than United @ 2/1. It could be a very close match but based on recent performances, I’m siding with the visitors. One big concern is that Arsenal have been relatively poor on their travels this season and have struggled for goals unlike at the Emirates. However, they’ve only played four games away from home since their form picked up at the beginning of September and lost just one of those which as their defeat to Liverpool.
5/1 on Arsenal has great value and will be my first selection in this clash.
Sky Bet also have an offer available on this game and are awarding customers with a £5 free bet when they place a £5 bet in-play during the first half. If you place your bet immediately after kick-off, you should be able to get pre-match odds and the boosts are generally available in-play. For this bet, I’m opting for Emile Smith-Rowe to score anytime which has been boosted from 11/4 to a tempting 5/1. The youngster has been playing great lately and found the net in consecutive games against both Leicester and Watford and odds of 5/1 to score anytime looks like a great bet.
|Man Utd vs Arsenal|
If you don’t have an account with 888Sport currently, they are offering enhanced odds of 9/1 for United to win and a whopping 25/1 on Arsenal!
Manchester United Expected Lineup:
De Gea; Wan-Bissaka, Maguire, Lindelof, Telles; Matic, Fred, McTominay; Fernandes; Sancho, Ronaldo
Arsenal Expected Lineup:
Ramsdale; Tomiyasu, White, Gabriel, Tavares; Partey, Lokonga; Martinelli, Odegaard, Smith Rowe; Aubameyang
Next up I’m heading to Serie A where Lazio host Udinese at the Stadio Olimpico.
Lazio’s form at home this season has been excellent with only Napoli and Inter picking up more points in front of home crowds. They’ve lost only to Juventus and scored an impressive 18 goals in their seven home fixtures this term. They head into this game after back-to-back losses in the league but they were to Juventus and Napoli and Maurizio Sarri’s side should be able to get back to winning ways tonight against a much inferior team.
Udinese have just one win under their belt from their last 12 games and their 14th position in the league is mainly down to taking away single points from games which they have done in five of their last eight in Serie A. However, other than their 1-0 win away to Spezia towards the beginning of the season, Luca Gotti’s side have been unable to take away maximum points on their travels, losing 3 and drawing 2 of their other 5 away matches.
Lazio have been equally as poor on the road this season but there’s no ignoring their performances at home. If they can score two or more, which they have done in four of their five of their seven games at the Stadio Olimpico in the league this season, that should be enough to see the game out as winners tonight and the hosts are priced at a reasonable 7/10 to do that with Unibet.
|Lazio vs Udinese|
Lazio Expected Lineup:
Reina; Lazzari, Patric, Acerbi, Hysaj; Milinkovic-Savic, Leiva, Alberto; Anderson, Immobile, Pedro
Udinese Expected Lineup:
Silvestri; Becao, Nuytinck, Samir; Molina, Walace, Arslan, Udogie; Deulofeu, Pussetto; Beto
Mid-week Premier League fixtures continue today and there are some cracking matches tonight including the Merseyside derby at Goodison Park. I’ll be focussing on top-flight fixtures and picking out a few selections along with sharing some generous enhanced odds offers for those wishing to open new bookie accounts.
I’m starting off with the late kick-off which is the Merseyside derby between Liverpool and Everton at Goodison Park tonight.
This fixture has proven to be unpredictable historically and the form of the two teams is considered to be less relevant when determining the outcome. The last four Merseyside derbies have ended all square, as have six of the last seven, which will give a struggling Everton side hope of getting something out of this game. However, the difference in form between the two local rivals this season is apparent and I can’t see the hosts being able to contain Klopp’s side based on recent results.
Everton head into this clash without a win in their last seven and have scored just three goals throughout those games. In terms of recent form, Rafa Benitez’s side have scored fewer goals (3) and collected the least number of points (1) in their last five matches than any other team in the league. When you compare that to Liverpool netting 17 goals in their last five and picking up 10 points, it’s clear to see why the away win is the favoured bet.
Unlike the hosts, Liverpool’s season is going well with Klopp’s side just two points adrift of leaders Chelsea in the league and having won their somewhat tough Champions League group with a perfect record. They’ve won their last two league games 4-0 against both Arsenal and Southampton and have scored more goals on their travels than any other team in the league, averaging a hugely impressive 3.5 goals per game.
Rafa is expected to get a warmer welcome tonight from Liverpool fans than he is from his own and I expect things to get worse for the ex-Reds boss with another defeat on the cards for the Toffees. They have some tough fixtures ahead of them against the likes of Arsenal (H), Crystal Palace (A), Chelsea (A) and Leicester (H) and so he’ll no doubt be feeling them pressure tonight and in the weeks ahead.
Liverpool are priced at 2/5 for the win but I expect a comfortable victory for the visitors tonight on a cold night in Merseyside and so I’ll be backing Liverpool -1 at the slightly more attractive odds of 11/10 with Boylesports.
|Everton vs Liverpool|
Everton Expected Lineup:
Pickford; Coleman, Keane, Godfrey, Digne; Townsend, Allan, Doucoure, Iwobi; Gray; Richarlison
Liverpool Expected Lineup:
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Henderson, Fabinho, Thiago; Salah, Jota, Mane
If you don’t have an account with online bookmaker 888Sport, they’re offering new customers enhanced odds of either 6/1 on Liverpool to win or a whopping 40/1 on Everton. Both selections have value but I’d suggest sticking with the favourites.
Next up is Watford vs Chelsea and I’ll again be backing a -1 handicap with no prizes in guessing on which team.
Chelsea currently top the Premier League table and won’t be looking to give up that position tonight at Vicarage Road. Tuchel’s side have the best away form in the league having picked up 16 points from a possible 18 and perhaps even more impressively, have conceded just a single goal on their travels this term.
The visitors make the short trip north following a 1-1 draw at home to Manchester United at the weekend and will be looking to get back to winning ways to retain their place at the top of the table. They’ve beaten Watford in their last four meetings and not many will be betting against them making it five tonight.
After an impressive 4-1 win against Manchester United two weeks ago, Watford slumped to a 4-2 defeat away to Leicester a week later. Claudio Ranieri’s side now sit just three points above the relegation zone and it’s likely that they’ll remain in that position after tonight’s match. They’d love to take away at least a point from this game given that they’re up against City at the weekend but they’ll most likely have to wait until they face Brentford, Burnley, Palace and Wolves before the new year in order to add to their tally.
An away win is on the cards here but given Chelsea’s impeccable defensive record on the road and the likely return of Romelu Lukaku, I’ll be backing Chelsea -1 which is priced at a reasonable 17/20 with SpreadEx.
|Watford vs Chelsea|
Watford Expected Lineup:
Bachmann; Ngakia, Cathcart, Troost-Ekong, Rose; Kucka, Sissoko, Tufan; Hernandez, Pedro, King
Chelsea Expected Lineup:
Mendy; Chalobah, Christensen, Rudiger; Azpilicueta, Jorginho, Barkley, Alonso; Mount, Havertz; Lukaku
If you’d like to back the double on the two above selections, I suggest placing it with either Betfair Sportsbook or Parimatch who both offer a £5 free bet for doing so regardless of the result. Currently, Betfair are offering the best odds of the two @ 3.66.
|Liverpool -1 &|
Lastly, I’ll be taking Sky Bet up on a boosted treble that they have for tonight. They’re offering:
I’ve already covered the Liverpool and Chelsea matches and so the third one is Manchester City to beat Aston Villa at Villa Park.
Villa have won both their games since the appointment of Steven Gerrard as their new manager last month with wins against Brighton and Crystal Palace which ended a losing streak of five consecutive games. The ex-Rangers boss would love nothing more than to cause an upset tonight in front of home fans but it’s hard to see that happening against a City side who Villa have failed to beat in their last eleven attempts.
I wouldn’t be surprised to see Villa get on the scoresheet tonight with them doing so in all of their home games this season. However, City should have enough going forward to outscore the hosts tonight and Pep’s side really can’t afford to be dropping points at the moment since the gap between themselves and the leaders was narrowed to just one point after Chelsea’s draw against United at the weekend.
I’ll be backing the treble of Chelsea, Man City and Liverpool all to win which has been boosted from 5/4 to a generous 5/2.
Man City /
A full set of Premier League fixtures take place mid week and things kick-off tonight with games between Newcastle & Norwich and Leeds & Crystal Palace.
Newcastle are still without a win this season and this is one of two upcoming games that could define their season going forward. They’ll see this as a winnable game, as they will their home match against Burnley on Saturday. However, after those games, they are in for a tough run of fixtures against the likes of Leicester (A), Liverpool (A), Manchester City (H) and Manchester United (H). If they don’t pick up points tonight and against Burnley, it’s entirely possible that they could head into the new year bottom of the league having collected just 6 points from 19 games which is a dier situation to be in. Yes, they’ll be making signings in the January transfer window but it’s unlikely to be a complete squad reform and so this game tonight and the one against Burnley at the weekend are their biggest of the season so far.
The hosts head into this game on the back of a 2-0 loss away to Arsenal at the weekend but there were some signs of improvement compared to how they have performed earlier in the season. Jonjo Shelvey came close to scoring a stunner only for it to be tipped onto the crossbar by Ramsdale and Callum Wilson was unlucky not be to awarded a penalty after being brought down in the box by Arsenal’s left-back, Nuno Tavares. The trio of Saint-Maximin, Wilson and Joelinton up front certainly provides more opportunities in front of goal and I think that they should be able to exploit the second-worst defence in the league tonight who have conceded 16 goals in 6 games on the road this season.
Norwich currently sit 3 points above Newcastle and so this is a huge game for them too. Depending on the outcome of the other league game tonight, a win tonight would see them move level on points with 17th-placed Leeds, and make it 10 points from a possible 12 in recent games. After their 2-1 win away to Brentford earlier in the month, new manager Dean Smith took charge of the Canaries and he remains unbeaten with a debut victory against Southampton followed up by a 0-0 draw at home to Wolves at the weekend.
Norwich certainly head into this clash with the better results of late but this is a must-win game for Newcastle and given their improved performances over their past couple of matches, albeit with not much success in terms of points, I think that they’ll be able to pick up their first win of the season which will hopefully see them head into the weekends clash with Burnley in much higher spirits and we’ll be able to see Eddie Howe’s tactics at play more clearly going forward.
A home win is what I’m backing tonight which is priced at Evens with bookmaker Spreadex.
I’ll also be having a small wager on Newcastle’s Callum Wilson to score a header which has been boosted with Sky Bet to a tempting 12/1.
Newcastle United Expected Lineup:
Dubravka; Krafth, Schar, Clark, Lewis; Almiron, Hayden, Shelvey; Saint-Maximin; Wilson, Joelinton
Norwich City Expected Lineup:
Krul; Aarons, Hanley, Gibson, Williams; McLean, Rupp, Gilmour; Sargent, Pukki, Rashica
|Newcastle vs Norwich|
|Callum Wilson To|
Score A Header
These are two teams that have surprised me this season. Leeds have underperformed and find themselves towards the bottom of the table having collected just 12 points from their first 13 games, whereas Crystal Palace, although just below mid-table, have generally performed well this season and have picked up points against the likes of West Ham, Leicester and Arsenal as well as wins against both Tottenham and Manchester City.
The hosts have averaged less than a goal per game this season and the absence of forward Patrick Bamford hasn’t helped matters. They picked up a point in their latest outing away to Brighton but failed to find the net again and are yet to score more than two goals in any league game so far this season.
Palace’s loss away to Villa at the weekend was only their third of the season and they’ve averaged 1.86 goals per game over their last seven which included games against some tough opponents such as Leicester, Arsenal and City.
Leeds have won just once at home this season and I feel that stat will remain come the final whistle tonight. Palace have had a tough run of fixtures away from home, playing all of the top five already, and have held their own and some.
An away win is priced at 43/20 with 888Sport which I think is great value and will be my second selection of the day.
Leeds United Expected Lineup:
Meslier; Llorente, Struijk, Cooper, Firpo; Phillips; Raphinha, Roberts, Dallas, Harrison; James
Crystal Palace Expected Lineup:
Guaita; Ward, Tomkins, Guehi, Mitchell; Gallagher, Kouyate, Eze; Edouard, Benteke, Zaha
|Leeds vs Crystal Palace|
I’ll also be backing the double with Newcastle & Crystal Palace to win with Parimatch who offer a £5 free bet for doing so regardless of the result.
Just the one game takes place in the Championship this evening and it’s Derby County vs QPR at Pride Park.
I’ve been a big fan of QPR this season but I think this will be a tough game for them. Although only Fulham, Coventry and West Brom have picked up more points in front of home fans than Mark Warburton’s side, their form on the road hasn’t been as impressive where the Hoops have won just three of their nine games (W3, D2, L4). They managed to break a run of four consecutive defeats on their travels with a 1-0 win away to Cardiff earlier in the month but were unable to hold onto their lead against Blackpool, picking up just a point at Bloomfield Road. They have collected maximum points in their last two outings against both Luton and Huddersfield but those were both home fixtures where they have proven to be a lot more clinical.
Derby have also picked up just three wins from nine at home but having just lost one of those, they’re a tough team to beat at Pride Park. Wins are what Wayne Rooney’s side need after their points deduction and they were able to do that a week ago when they hosted Bournemouth and picked up an impressive 3-2 victory after heading into the break 2-1 down. They followed that win up with an equally impressive goalless draw away to table-toppers Fulham and will be looking to pick up points for the fourth consecutive game tonight.
QPR’s away form should be taken into account in this fixture along with the fact that the hosts have proven to be extremely tough to break down even against the best in the league. I’m finding it hard to pick a winner in this game and so I’ll be backing the draw which is priced at a reasonable 23/10 with bookies such as Mansionbet, Bet365 and Betfred.
Derby County Expected Lineup:
Roos; Byrne, Davies, Jagielka, Forsyth; Shinnie, Thompson, Bird; Knight, Kazim-Richards, Lawrence
Queens Park Rangers Expected Lineup:
Dieng; Dickie, Dunne, Barbet; Adomah, Amos, Johansen, Wallace; Chair, Willock; Austin
|Derby vs QPR|
Five fixtures are scheduled in the Premier League today but the big game takes place at Stamford Bridge between Chelsea and Manchester United.
After a 2-0 victory in the UEFA Champions League away to Villarreal, this is set to be the last game in charge of United for Michael Carrick. Former RB Leipzig boss Ralf Rangnick is set to take over until the end of the season in the coming days and Carrick would like nothing more than to see his short time out as gaffer with a 100% win record.
However, although victory in Spain mid-week was exactly what United needed, their issues defensively remain which has seen them concede five against Liverpool, two against City and four against Watford in recent weeks.
Chelsea on the other hand have won nine of their last ten in all competitions and dropped points only in their surprising 1-1 draw at home to Burnley three weeks ago. There’s no getting away from the fact that teams have found it tough to break down Tuchel’s side which is clear from their defensive record of conceding just four goals in their twelve league games this season. Also, only Liverpool have scored more goals than Chelsea in the league this term and so there are no concerns at the other end of the pitch either.
It’s difficult to see any result other than a home win this afternoon, although, the price of 4/7 on Chelsea to do that isn’t hugely tempting given the potential of players such as Cristiano Ronaldo to break them down. However, Boylesports are thankfully running their EPIC ODDS offer on this match with price boosts available on the team of your choice as follows:
Both boost have value but I’ll be backing Chelsea to come out on top and retain their place as Premier League leaders come the end of the week at a generous price of 2/1.
If you have an account with Betway, you can get your hands on a £5 free bet when placing a pre-match Bet Builder bet or one of their Pre-Built bets on this match. I’ll be backing Chelsea to win & both teams to receive 2 or more cards @ 5/2.
There are also several enhanced odds offers available for new customers on this match. For example, William Hill are offering new mobile customers a massive 30/1 on Chelsea or 100/1 on United!
Chelsea possible Expected Lineup:
Mendy; Chalobah, Silva, Rudiger; James, Jorginho, Loftus-Cheek, Alonso; Mount, Hudson-Odoi; Werner
Manchester United Expected Lineup:
De Gea; Wan-Bissaka, Lindelof, Bailly, Telles; Matic, McTominay; Sancho, Fernandes, Rashford; Ronaldo
|Chelsea vs Manchester United|
|Chelsea Win & |
Both Teams Over 1.5 Cards
This could be a cracking game and one that I will definitely be following.
City have the joint best home record in the league this season and have conceded just two goals in their six games at the Etihad. However, West Ham’s record on the road has been almost as impressive and I think that they’ll be able to give the hosts a run for their money today.
City are unsurprisingly the favourites for the win but I definitely can’t see any value in backing them at just 2/7. That price is far too short in my opinion given that they are playing a team who have beaten both Liverpool and Manchester United this season and who also knocked City out of the EFL Cup on penalties.
The Hammers head into this game on the back of a 2-0 win away to Rapid Vienna in the Europa League mid-week but did fall short in their last league outing when they were unable to find the net away to Wolves and lost the match 1-0. However, they’ve generally had no trouble in front of goal this season and I think that they could be the team to cause an upset this weekend.
The main reason why I’m willing to take a small punt on West Ham here is that City may be missing a string of key players. It’s worth waiting until the lineups are announced to place any bets but both Jack Grealish and Phil Foden have injuries and not confirmed to feature. Kevin De Bruyne is also unlikely to make an appearance after being one of the latest victims of the circulating virus and Ferran Torres will be missing several fixtures due to injury.
City to have the depth in their squad to make that many changes and still come out on top against the best of teams but they are key players and their absences give a glimmer of hope to West Ham.
You can get generous odds of 10/1 with SpreadEx on an away win but I’ll be having a small flutter on West Ham & BTTS which is priced at a whopping 17/1 with Parimatch. It’s of course a long shot but I believe it to have value which should pay off in the long term.
Manchester City Expected Lineup:
Ederson; Walker, Dias, Laporte, Cancelo; Silva, Rodri, Gundogan; Mahrez, Jesus, Sterling
West Ham Expected Lineup:
Fabianski; Johnson, Zouma, Dawson, Cresswell; Rice, Soucek; Bowen, Fornals, Benrahma; Antonio
|Manchester City vs West Ham|
|West Ham & BTTS||17/1||Visit|
Two of the three Under 2.5 Goals selections came in last night with only the Athletic Bilbao vs Granada match resulting in 3 or more goals. It was the most goals scored in any of Athletic’s games this season and only the second time this term that they’ve conceded more than once in a game. However, the two winning singles did produce a return for us so onto today where we’ll be looking at matches taking place in both the Premier League and the Championship.
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I’m starting off with the early kick-off today which sees Newcastle travel to the Emirates in search of their first win of the season.
The hosts head into this match on the back of a heavy 4-0 defeat at Anfield but were in good form prior to that having won four consecutive games and being undefeated in their last eleven in all competitions. The Gunners have managed to turn their season around after a dreadful start and they’ll see this game as an opportunity to get back on track given how Newcastle have been performing lately.
Although Newcastle are winless this season, there were signs of improvement in their latest outing at home to Brentford last weekend. New manager Eddie Howe should be attending his first match pitchside and will be looking to improve defensively after conceding three in that match to only take away a single point.
Although it’s hard to see Newcastle winning this match, they were more attacking against Brentford which showed with their three goals. They’ll be going out to win this match and to do so, I think that they’re going to have to get on the scoresheet. Therefore, I think Both Teams To Score is a very good bet priced at 4/5 with SpreadEx and will be my first selection of the day.
SkyBet also have a price boost available on this game which is definitely worth jumping on. They’ve boosted the odds on Aubameyang to have 1 or more Shots on Target from 1/6 to Evens which shows huge value. They’ve run similar offers for the past few weeks and from my recollection, they’ve all come in.
Lastly, if you place a £5 pre-match bet on Arsenal vs Newcastle, Coral will award you with a £5 free bet. For this bet, I’ll be backing Newcastle’s Saint-Maximin to make an assist which is priced at 15/2. The Frenchman has three assists and three goals for the visitors this season and is always in the mix when they’re pushing forward.
Arsenal Expected Lineup
Ramsdale; Tomiyasu, White, Gabriel, Tierney; Saka, Partey, Lokonga, Smith Rowe; Aubameyang, Lacazette
Newcastle United Expected Lineup
Dubravka; Krafth, Lascelles, Clark; Murphy, Willock, Hayden, Ritchie; Joelinton, Wilson, Saint-Maximin
|Arsenal vs Newcastle|
|BTTS - Yes||4/5||Visit|
Make An Assist
My second selection also comes from the Premier League and there are some tempting odds available for an away win in the Norwich vs Wolves match at Carrow Road.
Norwich City have lifted themselves from the bottom of the Premier League following successive victories against Brentford and Southampton. The Brentford victory was to be the last game in charge of the Canaries for ex-manager Daniel Farke with the German being swiftly replaced by former Villa boss, Dean Smith. Smith got his time at the club off to the perfect start with a crucial victory against the Saints in front of home fans and he’ll be looking to continue their momentum into today’s match against Wolves.
Despite Norwich’s recent run of form, they’ll do well to pick up points today against a Wolves side who are also going through a good spell.
Bruno Lage’s side have now won five of their last seven which included an impressive 1-0 win at home to West Ham a week ago. Raul Jimenez is a key player for the Wanderers and was on target in the 58th minute to put his side in front and take away all three points in a match that they headed into as underdogs.
Wolves are in a respectable 6th position in the league and although a win today could potentially only see them move up one place, they’ll be eager to pick up points in fixtures like this throughout the season to keep their dreams of European football next season a reality. That’s a feat that is entirely possible given that both Spurs and Manchester United are currently underperforming and sit below Wolves in the Premier League currently.
Betfred are offering odds of 23/20 on an away win which I think is overpriced. That price wouldn’t have been available should Norwich have not picked up maximum points in their last two matches but I don’t think that Wolves’ more impressive string of results have been taken into account fully.
I’ll be backing an away win for Wolves today at a generous 23/20.
Norwich City Expected Lineup
Krul; Aarons, Hanley, Gibson, Williams; Gilmour, Normann, McLean; Sargent, Pukki, Rashica
Wolves Expected Lineup
Sa; Kilman, Coady, Saiss; Semedo, Neves, Moutinho, Ait-Nouri; Podence, Jimenez, Hee-Chan
|Norwich vs Wolves|
Next up, I’m looking at the Championship where Swansea City host Reading in a match that could send the visitors into the relegation zone depending on the result.
Swansea picked up 3 points away to Barnsley mid-week and following a poor September, they’ve managed to claw their way back up the table to be in contention for a playoff spot again.
Russell Martin’s side have been in good form of late and if you can dismiss their 4-0 loss away to Bournemouth earlier in the month, the Swans have picked up five wins in their last eight. However, they’ll be disappointed that it is not nine wins after conceding late in their match against Blackpool last weekend to only take a point away from that fixture.
Reading’s form on the road has been less than impressive where the Royals have averaged less than one goal per game. Defeat today could see them drop down to third-bottom given that 22nd-placed Peterborough have a winnable game against 23rd-placed Barnsley this afternoon.
Five losses and only one win in the last seven for Veljko Paunović’s side doesn’t bode well for them heading into this match and I’d be surprised to see them take away points from this game.
You can back Swansea at odds of 5/6 with Boylesports which I think is great for a home win given the home & away form of the two sides in the Championship this season.
Swansea City Expected Lineup
Hamer; Bennett, Naughton, Cabango; Laird, Grimes, Downes, Manning; Ntcham, Paterson; Piroe
Reading Expected Lineup
Southwood; Holmes, Moore, Dann, Rahman; Laurent; Yiadom, Swift, Ejaria, Halilovic; Puscas
|Swansea vs Reading|
The Sky Bet boosted trebles haven’t been coming in over recent weeks. However, they almost always have value and if that’s the case, they’re worth backing in the long term.
This week, they’re offering the following boosted prices:
Liverpool are at home to Southampton and there’s not much to say about this game. The hosts are unbeaten at Anfield this season and should see out a comfortable win against a Saints side that lost away to struggling Norwich last week.
If you don’t have an account with William Hill, they’re offering new mobile customers enhanced odds of 30/1 for Mo Salah to score any time (see below). Salah has scored 11 times in 12 league games this season which makes this boost a great bet.
Next up is Bournemouth who are at home to Coventry in what could be a tough match for the Cherries. However, Coventry’s form on the road has been pretty dismal with the Sky Blues having picked up just 9 points from a possible 27 this season. That coupled with the fact that Bournemouth have only lost once on home turf this term means that a home win is the expected outcome.
Lastly is the Norwich v Wolves game that I’ve already covered and so I’ll be backing the boost on Liverpool, Bournemouth and Wolves which is priced at 6/1, enhanced from 4/1.
We have a great weekend of football to look forward to with some big matches taking place across Europe’s top leagues. Today, there is slightly less to look at and I’ve picked out a bet that is a little different to what I usually go for and it’s a multiple in the Under 2.5 Goals market.
First up is Athletic Bilbao vs Grenada in the only fixture in La Liga this evening.
Athletic have the best defensive record in the Spanish top flight this term having conceded just 8 goals in their first 13 games. The hosts are currently 8th in La Liga and their position is mainly down to Marcelino García Toral setting up his side so that they’re extremely hard to beat. In fact, no other team has drawn more games this season with Bilbao taking a point away in over 50% of their matches.
Goals are not expected to be in abundance tonight given that both sides have averaged less than one goal per game this season. There have been fewer than 3 goals scored in over 84% of Athletic’s fixtures so far this term and in over 71% of Granada’s away games.
Everything points to a low scoring affair tonight and although I do think that the hosts may sneak a win, it’s likely to be by a narrow margin and so Under 2.5 Goals seems like a good bet priced at 13/16 with 10Bet.
|Athletic Bilbao vs Granada|
|Under 2.5 Goals||13/16||Visit|
Next up, we’re heading to the Championship where West Brom host Nottingham Forest at the Hawthorns.
West Brom’s form has taken a dip lately and The Baggies have now registered just one win in their last five matches. Goals have been a problem for Valérien Ismaël’s side as they have found the net just two times throughout those five games. They need to find a way to get their season back on track as they have found themselves drifting further and further away from the top two and are now mixed in with the likes of QPR, Coventry and Stoke and just six points above a mid-table position.
Forest head into this clash with just one defeat in their last twelve in all competitions and that was against an in-form Fulham side. However, Steve Cooper’s side have drawn four of their last five including a 1-1 draw away to Reading and in a stalemate when they hosted Luton Town at the City Ground in their most recent outing.
Other than Forest’s 3-0 win at home to Preston earlier in the month, neither side have shown a whole lot in front of goal lately. There have been less than 3 goals scored in four of Forest’s last five games and in all of West Brom’s last four.
I’m predicting another low scoring match at the Hawthorns tonight with Under 2.5 Goals being priced at 5/6 with Boylesports.
|West Brom vs Nottingham Forest|
|Under 2.5 Goals||5/6||Visit|
My final selection comes from Serie A where two struggling sides battle it out in the Italian top-flight.
Cagliari and Salernitana are tied on a worrying 7 points at the bottom of Serie A and are both desperate for points to lift them out of the relegation zone. Salernitana head into this match on the back of three straight defeats and failed to find the net in any of them. They’ve averaged less than one goal per game on their travels this season and although they’re up against one of the poorer sides in the league this evening, I’m not expecting a flurry of goals from the visitors.
Cagliari ended a run of four consecutive defeats with an impressive 2-2 draw away to Sassuolo last time out. They have found the net in the majority of their games at home this season but scored one goal or less in four of their seven.
Cagliari could be set to pick up a crucial three points in this match but if they do, I think that it will be with a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline if it doesn’t end all square.
Under 2.5 goals in this game is priced at Evens with Boylesports which will be my final selection of the day.
|Cagliari vs Salernitana|
|Under 2.5 Goals||1/1||Visit|
I’ll be taking a punt on the treble with the above three selections and placing it with Parimatch who offer a £5 free bet for doing so regardless of the result which is one of several great betting offers from the bookie. If you don’t have an account with Parimatch yet, you can also get a cash refund up to £30 if your first bet with them doesn’t win – An absolutely great offer and a solid reason to have an account with them.
|Under 2.5 Goals Treble|
|Athletic Bilbao vs Granada|
West Brom vs Nottingham Forest
Cagliari vs Salernitana
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It was a profitable day of betting yesterday with our 9/5 bet on Manchester City to beat PSG & Both Teams To Score coming in, along with our double on Real Madrid & Sporting Lisbon which was priced at 2/1. We also received a £10 free bet for placing that double which added to our returns. Unfortunately, Lionel Messi was the only one of the three from Sterling and Mbappe not to record a shot on target against City which would have seen the 4/1 price boost land, but overall, a good day in terms of returns.
Today, we move away from the Champions League and will be looking at the many Europa League fixtures taking place. There aren’t as many betting offers available compared to over the past couple of days but Betfair are still running their ‘Bet £20, Get £10’ promotion which is hard to say no to and a no brainer if you are placing a multiple.
I’m starting off with the match between Olympiacos and Fenerbahce in Greece tonight. It’s a huge game for both sides with the hosts knowing that victory here tonight would secure them a place in the knockout stages. For Fenerbahce, defeat would knock them out of the competition but as their final fixture of the group stages is against group-leaders Frankfurt, they really need to pick up maximum points in this match to stand a chance of progressing.
Olympiacos emerged as 3-0 winners when these two sides last met in Turkey back in September and given that they have the home advantage tonight, it’s hard not to back them to do the double over on the Süper Lig side.
The hosts have lost just one of their nine games played at home this season and Fenerbahce have an extremely poor record on their travels in Europe. In fact, their 3-0 victory away to Antwerp was their only win on the road in Europe since the 2016/17 season.
One concern is that a draw would likely suit Olympiacos tonight. They currently have 1 point more than Fenerbahce and given that their final group stage match is against Antwerp, they’ll be confident of progressing should they head into that fixture in the same position compared to Fenerbahce as they are now. However, I feel the hosts will want to win tonight to secure their pace in the knockout stages early and so I’m backing a home win that is priced at 3/4 with Bet365.
Olympiacos Expected Lineup:
Vaclik; Lala, Papastathopoulos, Cisse, Reabciuk; M’Vila, M. Camara; Onyekuru, A. Camara, Masouras; El-Arabi
Fenerbahce Expected Lineup:
Ozer; Kadioglu, Kim, Novak, Tisserand; Yandas, Sosa; Ozil, Zajc, Kahveci; Berisha
|Olympiacos vs Fenerbahce|
Next up is Dinamo Zagreb vs Genk and I’m backing another home win.
This is another fixture where the result is crucial for both sides and currently, the hosts sit one place above Genk with a two-point advantage. A win for Zagreb would send them through to the knockout stages and even a draw should be enough to see them progress given their superior goal difference. The fact that the Croatian side realistically need only a point is a slight concern but Genk have won just one of their last 14 matches in European competitions which doesn’t bode well for them heading into this fixture.
Dinamo Zagreb won this clash 3-0 when they played in Belgium towards the end of September and another victory could be on the cards given that the hosts have lost just two of their last 14 in Europe when playing on home turf.
Zagreb are priced at 5/4 for the win with Unibet which seems like a great price given that they have the home advantage where they have an impressive record in Europe.
Dinamo Zagreb Expected Lineup:
Livakovic; Moharrami, Sutalo, Theophile-Catherine, Franjic; Misic, Gojak; Ivansuec, Petkovic, Orsic; Andric
Genk possible Expected Lineup:
Vandervoordt; Munoz, Sadick, Lucumi, Arteaga; Thorstvedt, Hrosovsky; Ito, Heynen, Paintsil; Onuachu
|Dinamo Zagreb vs Genk|
I’ll be placing the double on the above two selections with Betfair Sportsbook who as mentioned, will credit a £10 free bet for doing so regardless of the result. This is a cracking enhanced offer and one not to miss while it’s available!
My final selection comes from Austria where Rapid Vienna host Premier League side West Ham at the Allianz Stadion.
A win for West Ham tonight would secure them the top spot in Group H and see them progress through to the 1/8-finals of the competition. The Hammers are currently four points clear of second-placed Dinamo Zagreb and will want to extend, or at least maintain, that lead heading into the final group stage fixture in two weeks time.
David Moyes’ side came out as 2-0 winners in London last month and dominated the game in most areas. Given that they still need points to secure first place in the table, I expect them to pick up maximum points tonight and send the hosts out of the competition.
Rapid Vienna need to win to keep their hopes of progressing in the competition alive. Even then, their fate will depend on the outcome of the other match in Group H tonight and they’ll still need points from their last group match away to Genk next month.
David Moyes could potentially rotate his squad tonight, at least with his starting XI. However, they have the quality and depth to do so and still have a good chance of winning this game which is the outcome I expect.
8/13 on West Ham to win away from home isn’t hugely appealing to me. Therefore, I’m also backing Both Teams To Score which you can get 11/5 for with Betfred. Vienna have played nine games since their 2-0 defeat to West Ham back in September and have found the net in every one of them. Both teams scored in seven of those nine matches and so I think this is a reasonable bet.
Rapid Vienna Expected Lineup:
Gartler; Ullmann, Moormann, Aiwu, Stokjovic; Grahovac, Ljubicic; Fountas, Grull, Knasmullner; Kara
West Ham Expected Lineup:
Fabianski; Coufal, Zouma, Dawson, Cresswell; Noble, Rice; Masuaku, Lanzini, Benrahma; Antonio
|Rapid Vienna vs West Ham|
|West Ham & BTTS||11/5||Visit|
We were somewhat unlucky with our tips on last nights games. Our Win & BTTS bet on Atalanta was looking good until the 80th minute when Young Boys found the net twice in four minutes to take away a point in a thrilling 3-3 draw. Coventry also dominated their game against Birmingham in the Championship and despite playing against 10 men for the final 10 minutes, were unable to find a way past the visitors and the game ended goalless. However, no other than Cristiano Ronaldo saved us with the price boost at 4/1 for the United forward to have a headed shot on target coming in midway through the first half.
Onto today and there is plenty to look at with more fixtures from the Champions League taking place as well as Europa League action and matches in the English Championship.
Before we get into the tips, round 22 of Sky Super 6 is based around tonight’s fixtures. WhichBookie provides Super 6 Predictions for each round and with it being free to play and having the potential to win £250,000 for predicting all six scores correctly, it’s worth playing.
I’m going to start off with a boosted treble that SkyBet have available on tonight’s games.
Usually, it’s the last fixture of the three that is the bogey selection but I think it could be in the Liverpool vs FC Porto game this time around. Liverpool have already qualified for the knockout stages and so it’s likely that Klopp will rotate his squad quite heavily. Porto have a lot more to play for as a win for them could also see them qualify depending on the outcome of the other match in Group B where Atletico take on Milan. However, I’m siding with the hosts who are in excellent form at Anfield and the players that do feature tonight will be out to impress.
Fulham are at home to Derby and are flying high in the Championship. They’re looking set for a return to the top-flight next season and are currently on a run of seven consecutive wins. Marco Silva’s side scored an impressive 25 goals during those games and conceded just 2 and so it’s hard not to back them tonight against a Derby side who haven’t won away from home in their last eight attempts.
The final game in the treble is Millwall vs Bournemouth and I’m backing the visitors to come out on top. They lost their last away game 3-2 to Derby but have the best away record in the league and although Millwall have a reasonable record at The Den, I expect Scott Parker’s side to be too strong for the hosts tonight.
The treble on Liverpool, Fulham and Bournemouth has been boosted from 4/1 to 7/1 which shows a lot of value.
The biggest game of tonight takes place at the Etihad where a host of world-class stars will take to the field in the match between Manchester City and PSG.
City currently top Group A but a loss tonight would see PSG take that spot from them. However, Pep’s side have won their last nine Champions League games at the Etihad and I’m backing them to make it to 10. They’ll be looking for revenge after PSG came out as 2-0 winners in Paris back in September and given the form that they’re currently in, they should have enough in front of home fans to come out on top.
PSG are winless on their travels in this competition having drawn both of their games against RB Leipzig (2-2) and Club Brugge (1-1). They’re a generous price of 4/1 for the win tonight but I’m sticking with the hosts due to their excellent form at home this season.
Coral are offering a £5 free bet when placing a £5 bet on this game and so I’m backing City to win and Both Teams To Score which is priced at 9/5
Sky also have an offer and are offering a £5 free bet when placing an in-play bet in the first half. For this selection, I’m taking a punt on a long shot and backing Lionel Messi to score from outside of the area which has been boosted from 12/1 to 14/1.
Finally, another price boost that has value is Messi, Sterling & Mbappe to have one or more shots on target each priced at 4/1. The standard price is 2/1 so double odds seems like a great bet. They’re all likely to have their chances in front of goal and I wouldn’t be surprised to see this one come in.
|Man City vs PSG|
|Man City & BTTS||9/5||Visit|
To Score From
Outside of the Area
1+ SOT Each
Lastly, I’m suggesting a double and will be placing it with Betfair Sportsbook as currently, they are offering a £10 free bet for placing it. They usually offer £5 but have doubled the reward until further notice which is definitely worth taking advantage of.
My first selection is Real Madrid to beat Moldovan side Sheriff Tiraspol. The La Liga side are priced quite short but are fully expected to win and will be looking for revenge after suffering a shock 2-1 defeat in Spain towards the end of September.
My second selection in the double is Sporting Lisbon to beat Dortmund. They lost 1-0 in Germany when they last met the Bundesliga side but have won all of their nine games since and a win tonight would see the hosts move up into second place in Group C and give them a much greater chance of making it through to the knockout stages.
Dortmund currently have a lot of injury problems and also have players out through suspension. Erling Haaland, Mats Hummels and Thorgan Hazard are a few star names that won’t be featuring tonight which will make picking up three points a much easier task for the hosts.
The double is priced at 2/1 with Betfair and we’ll receive a £10 free bet regardless of the outcome.
|Real Madrid &|
Champions League group stage fixtures get back underway tonight and there are some great matches to look forward to. There’s also action taking place in the Championship, League One and League Two which I’ll be looking at.
My first selection comes from the Young Boys vs Atalanta game taking place in Switzerland tonight and I think there’s value in backing the away team to come out on top.
Young Boys achieved a shock 2-1 win against Manchester United in their opening group stage match of this seasons Champions League competition but since then the Swiss Super League side have lost all three of their games. Those results have left David Wagner’s side bottom of Group F and they really need all three points from tonight’s match to stand any sort of chance of progressing to the knockout stages.
However, this is also a huge game for Atalanta who currently sit third in the group and just two points adrift of both Villarreal and Manchester United. Should one of those two teams win in their clash tonight, three points for Atalanta would see them move into second place in the table and head into their home match against Villarreal in two weeks time in an excellent position.
Atalanta have been an exciting team this season domestically with only AC and Inter Milan finding the net more times than Gian Piero Gasperini’s side in Serie A. They head into this match on the back of a 5-2 win against Spezia which made it 14 goals in their last 5 games. However, they are prone to leaking a few at the back having conceded in all of their last nine and so I wouldn’t be surprised to see the hosts get on the scoresheet also tonight despite only scoring 3 goals in their 4 group matches.
Atalanta to win is priced at 8/11 with William Hill and if you want to give the odds a slight boost, you can also include Both Teams To Score to the away win which you can get 2/1 for with Bet365.
Young Boys Expected Lineup:
Faivre; Hefti, Burgy, Lauper, U Garcia; Mambimbi, Aebischer, Sierro, Ngamaleu; Elia, Siebatcheu
Atalanta Expected Lineup:
Musso; Toloi, Demiral, Palomino; Zappacosta, Freuler, De Roon, Maehle; Ilicic, Zapata, Pasalic
|Young Boys vs Atalanta|
I’d usually steer clear from this match from a betting perspective given the recent happenings at Old Trafford over the past week. It’s unclear how the team will respond to the departure of Ole Gunnar Solskjær and as Michael Carrick will be taking charge for this game, we can’t expect ‘new manager syndrome’ to kick in just yet. However, there are some good betting offers available and so I’ll be making a few selections.
Issues remain in the United squad and not much will have changed following Solskjær’s sacking last week. Their vulnerability at the back which lead to conceding four goals against Watford at the weekend are a concern and it will be interesting to see what tactics Carrick will deploy tonight. Conceding 13 goals in their last 5 games doesn’t look good for the three-time Champions League winners and a slip up tonight could potentially see them drop to third in the table and inflict more misery on their already disappointing season.
Villarreal are mid-table in La Liga but have won four of their last six at home and will be looking for their third consecutive victory in their Champions League campaign after doing the double over on Young Boys in recent weeks. They’re level on points with United currently and so are in the same situation that if they lose, they could drop down into third.
Man Utd won this clash 2-1 at Old Trafford towards the end of September but it took a 95th minute goal from no other than Cristiano Ronaldo to clinch the victory for the hosts. A draw would likely suit both these sides given that they can’t afford to lose but I’m swaying slightly towards a home win given the issues with United currently.
Odds of 17/4 are available with SportNation on a win for Villarreal & BTTS which is my selection. A score draw is tempting at 7/2 with Parimatch but I feel things could get worse for United before they get better.
SkyBet also have a price boost available for this match and are offering double odds on Ronaldo to have one or more headed shots on target. It’s been boosted from 2/1 to 4/1 which I think is a great bet as he’ll be eager to be the hero in this match and we all know how good he is in the air.
Lastly, Boylesports are offering a £5 free bet to use in-play on this game when placing a £5 pre-match Bet Builder bet. I’ll be covering another outcome with this bet and backing a score draw which is priced at 3/1.
Villarreal Expected Lineup:
Rulli; Foyth, Albiol, Torres, Pedraza; Parejo, Capoue, Coquelin; Pino, Dia, Danjuma
Manchester United Expected Lineup:
De Gea; Wan-Bissaka, Bailly, Maguire, Dalot; Van de Beek, Fred; Sancho, Fernandes, Rashford; Ronaldo
|Villareal vs Manchester United|
1+ Headed SOT
My final selection of the day comes from the Championship where 5th placed Coventry take on 15th placed Birmingham at the Coventry Building Society Arena.
Coventry have the joint best record at home in the Championship so far this season having picked up 22 points from a possible 27. They’ve dropped points only in their 2-1 loss to Swansea and in a 1-1 draw against Derby last month and should be able to continue their good run of form in front of home fans tonight. They’re more than capable of causing their opponents issues in front of goal and in-form striker Matt Godden should return to the squad after being sidelined for the host’s stalemate against Sheffield United last time out. Godden has found the net five times in as many appearances for the Sky Blues and should be a threat tonight alongside Viktor Gyokeres who has bagged nine this term.
Birmingham have averaged just one goal per game on their travels this season which leads me to believe they’ll be outscored tonight. They’ve found the net in just one of their last six away games, including their most recent outing against Hull at the weekend when Lee Bowyer’s side suffered a 2-0 defeat.
A home win is priced at Evens with Betfred which I think are excellent odds given the home & away form of the two teams.
Coventry City Expected Lineup:
Moore; Hyam, McFadzean, Rose; Kane, Hamer, Sheaf, Dabo; Allen, Gyokeres, O’Hare
Birmingham City Expected Lineup:
Sarkic; Sanderson, Roberts, Dean; McGree, Woods, Sunjic, Bela; Aneke; Hogan, Deeney
|Coventry vs Birmingham|
A simple double is what I’m looking at today from two of the Europa League matches taking place. It’s the final round of qualifying with the group stage draw being made tomorrow and there are some interesting fixtures to look forward to in these second-leg ties.
Rangers travel to Armenia to face Alashkert FC tonight, having won the first leg of the tie 1-0 at the Ibrox last week. It’s not the commanding lead that Steven Gerrard would have hoped for on home turf but it is an advantage nonetheless. It means that Rangers will be going out to win this match as they can’t afford to sit back and play the game out with just a one-goal lead.
This is the furthest that Alashkert FC have ever made it in Europe and a great chance for them to better that record. However, even if they depart the competition tonight, they will still play in the group stages of the Europa Conference League which is an adequate consolation prize for the Armenian side should that happen.
One concern is that Rangers have players out through isolation, but at this point, it’s unclear as to which ones or how many. However, these players are due back for the Old Firm Derby at the weekend against Celtic which could work out well for them as they will have players rested.
The visitors were reduced to 10 men in the match at the Ibrox last week and still managed to find the net after the sending off and hold onto the lead. If they can beat Alashkert with 10-men, I expect them to go on to win tonight and with their defence looking impressively solid, I think a 2-0 scoreline is a possibility. Especially since the hosts have won just one of their most recent eight matches and failed to score in six of them.
Galatasaray welcome Danish side Randers to the Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium tonight after drawing 1-1 with them in Denmark last week. The Turkish side were the bookies favourites to win that match but were unable to hold onto the lead that Mostafa Mohamed gave them in the 26th minute.
The 1-1 draws gives a good opportunity to back the hosts tonight as they need to win the match and with the home advantage, it would be a big surprise if they failed to do so. They continued their 100% record in the Turkish Super Lig with a 2-1 win against Hatayspor on home turf at the weekend which should give them confidence heading into this second-leg clash tonight.
Galatasaray maybe should have put this tie to bed last week but have the advantage being in front of home fans tonight and I’m backing them to come out on top and progress through to the group stages.
The double comes in at 2.35 and I’m opting to place the bet with Betfair Sportsbook as they are offering a £5 free bet for doing so, regardless of the outcome.
|Europa League Double|
|Rangers & Galatasaray||2.35||Visit|
After a somewhat disappointing string of results in the cup yesterday, I’m going to take another stab at the remaining fixtures of round two tonight where there are three games that all feature Premier League sides.
Newcastle made it through to the quarter-finals of this competition last season, only to be knocked out by Brentford to the frustration and heartache of the Toon Army. It was one of the clubs best chances of silverware in a long time and fans were disappointed in the way that their club exited with the majority of the blame being put on Steve Bruce’s lineup and tactics in that game. I expect Bruce will want to make amends tonight and he, along with everyone else at the club, know how much it would mean to the city to even make the final of a competition such as this and just be in with the chance of lifting a trophy.
Both sides will make changes from their usual starting lineups tonight but one thing that will go in the hosts favour is their better depth of squad. I’m not saying Newcastle have a world-beating second string of players but the likes of Sean Longstaff, Ryan Fraser, Joelinton, Jeff Hendrick and Dwight Gayle should all get a start and be able to cause the visitors problems.
Changes could be just what Newcastle need for this match after losing their opening fixtures in the Premier League and Burnley are also yet to pick up a point this term having suffered defeats to both Brighton and Liverpool.
Given the home advantage and their slightly stronger squad, I’m edging towards a home win tonight. I do think it will be a battle between the two sides but expect the hosts to come out on top. I’m also backing Dwight Gayle to get on the scoresheet anytime tonight at odds of 2/1 with Paddy Power.
Newcastle United expected starting lineup:
Gillespie; Krafth, Fernandez, Clark; Murphy, Longstaff, Hendrick, Lewis; Joelinton, Gayle, Fraser
Burnley expected starting lineup:
Hennessey; Bardsley, Collins, Mee, Dodgson; McNeil, Brownhill, Cork, Pieters; Rodriguez, Barnes
|Newcastle v Burnley|
This is an interesting match and could turn out to be very entertaining.
West Brom have gotten off to a great start in the Championship having picked up 10 points from a possible 12 and scored more goals (11) than any other team in the league. Tonight, they host Arsenal at the Hawthorns with the Gunners yet to register a win this season having suffered defeats to both Brentford and Chelsea without scoring a single goal. Those results have caused the bookies to slash the odds on Arteta to be the next Premier League manager to leave his post from 12/1 at the start of the season, to 6/1 before their trip to Chelsea, to just evens heading into this match. Defeat tonight would pile even more pressure on the ex-Arsenal player and unfortunately for him, I can see that happening.
Arsenal have a string of players out through injury and more who are currently isolating and so we can expect a heavily rotated squad being fielded tonight. Especially given that they make the trip to the Etihad on Saturday to face Manchester City in the league. West Brom will also make changes given that promotion back into the top-flight will be their main priority this season. However, I expect a relatively strong side featuring at the Hawthorns as they will see this as a winnable game.
Odds of 7/1 are available on West Brom winning tonight which I think are too good to turn down. Especially with a small wager.
I’m also going to place a Bet Builder bet with Paddy Power who are offering money back if one of the selections lose. For this bet, I’m backing West Brom to win, Both Teams To Score, Over 2.5 Goals and Arsenal’s Emile Smith Rowe to have 1 or more Shots on Target. It comes in at an ambitious 32/1 but looks possible to me.
West Brom expected starting lineup:
Button; Kipre, Ajayi, Bartley; Furlong, Mowatt, Livermore, Reach; Phillips, Grant, Diangana
Arsenal expected starting lineup:
Ramsdale; Maitland-Niles, Chambers, Mari, Tavares; Xhaka, Elneny; Nelson, Smith Rowe, Pepe; Balogun
|West Brom v Arsenal|
|West Brom Win|
Smith-Rowe 1+ SOT
Over 2.5 Goals
The second round of the 2021/22 Carabao Cup gets underway tonight with some interesting fixtures between some good sides.
I usually steer clear of cup matches unless I’m backing the underdog as I feel that’s usually where the value lies under the circumstances. Cup upsets are common due to the lesser teams putting more into the games and their opponents usually fielding second-string teams. It’s important to look into the expected lineups with cup fixtures rather than just the names of the teams and so a little bit more research is required to determine where the value is.
I mentioned that I usually back the underdog in cup fixtures but I can’t see past a Villa win here.
As expected, Dean Smith will field a very different side that saw off Newcastle at the weekend in a 2-0 win at Villa Park, but they should have more than enough in their reserves to comfortably beat the hosts who sit 73 positions lower than them in the leagues.
Players such as Marvelous Nakamba, Matt Targett, Axel Tuanzebe, Jaden Philogene-Bidace and the Brazilian national forward, Wesley, are all likely to be given a start along with El Ghazi who picked up his first goal of the season on Saturday against Newcastle. It’s unlikely that new signing Danny Ings will play a part tonight with him being rested for Villa’s match against Brentford this coming weekend.
The hosts are currently in 16th position in the League Two table after four games having won just once this season and averaging one goal per game. Barrow were expected to do well this season under Mark Cooper but it hasn’t been the best start for them. They’ve failed to score in two of their four league games and I can’t see them outscoring tonight’s opponents who have enough depth in their squad to field a winning side.
A comfortable away win is expected.
|Barrow vs Aston Villa|
|Aston Villa -1||1/1||Visit|
This is a tough game to call but at odds of 10/3, I think the value is definitely in the away win.
Norwich City’s Premier League campaign has gotten off to a dreadful start with the Canaries losing their opening to games 3-0 and 5-0. However, they weren’t handed the best fixture list with clashes against Liverpool and Manchester City which will be followed up with matches against Leicester and Arsenal after tonight’s cup game. They desperately need a win under their belt to boost morale and this could be the best chance they get until they host Watford at Carrow Road in mid-September. However, surviving in the Premier League will be the main focus for manager Daniel Farke this season and so a rotation of their squad is more than likely. How drastically Farke will rotate his squad is yet to be seen but if several changes are made, the value is surely in backing an away win. I expect the odds will shorten on Bournemouth once the teams are released at 6pm if a second-string starting XI is fielding by the home side.
Bournemouth are unbeaten in the Championship this season having picked up two wins and two draws in their opening four fixtures. The Cherries have averaged two goals per game so far and look a real threat in front of goal. They could cause problems for a rotated Norwich defence, especially if their 5-0 thrashing of MK Dons in the first round of this competition is anything to go by. That score gives the impression that manager Scott Parker wants to have a cup run this season and he’ll need to field a relatively strong side to be sure of that tonight.
This could be an entertaining fixture but I expect Bournemouth to come out on top and leave City winless for another week.
|Norwich City v Bournemouth|
Another underdog I’m going to back tonight is Cardiff to beat Premier League side, Brighton.
Again, this is a tough match to call but I’m expecting Graham Potter to be firmly focussed on the league and so changes are expected from the Seagulls’ 2-0 victory against Watford at the Amex on Saturday.
Both sides have had a strong start to the season with Cardiff winning two and drawing two in the Championship and Brighton picking up maximum points in their opening two matches in the Premier League. Those two victories were against Burnley and Watford and so, although nothing should be taken away from them, they are due a real test against the bigger sides.
Brighton are expected to make several changes for tonight’s cup match and given that Mick McCarthy fielded several first-team players in their first-round game against Sutton earlier in the month, I would think that he would do the same against potentially stronger opposition tonight. Because of that, it has swayed me into backing the Bluebirds which you can get odds of 11/5 for with Bet365.
Welsh international Marley Watkins could be given another start for the hosts tonight after bagging a brace against Sutton in the previous round and he’ll likely be alongside fellow Welsh forward and regular starter, Kieffer Moore. The same defence that lined up against Millwall at the weekend could feature tonight with the trio of Morrison, Nelson and the Championships surprising top-scorer, Aden Flint (4 goals), aiming to keep the Brighton attack at bay.
|Cardiff vs Brighton|
Back to the top-flight fixtures and there are some exciting matches to look forward to this weekend. This week I’m looking at the Premier League, Championship and also La Liga where Barcelona continue without their main man, Lionel Messi.
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Looking at the match result odds for this game and I’m surprised to see Palace as the favourites. They’re a team that is going through a transition period and heading into this match on the back of a 3-0 defeat to Chelsea in their opening fixture. It wasn’t the result that new manager Patrick Vieira would have wanted but one that was pretty much expected. Palace registered just one shot on target in that match and they’re going to have to improve up front if they are to get anything out of this match against a lively looking Brentford side.
Brentford played their first ever match in the Premier League last Friday and got off to the perfect start with a 2-0 win at home to Arsenal. The Bee’s deserved their victory and looked like a real threat in front of goal. They reminded me of how Leeds decided to take on the top flight and played with enthusiasm, pace and determination.
I think Palace could find themselves in trouble today against Brentford and odds of 2/1 on an away win with SpreadEx look too good to turn down.
|Crystal Palace v Brentford|
Leeds were hoping to get revenge on Manchester United last weekend for the 6-2 hammering they suffered at Old Trafford last season. However, it was not to be as they once again fell short, losing the game 5-1. If there’s one thing you can expect from Leeds, it’s goals at either end of the pitch. They’ll stand a better chance of getting something out of the game when they host Everton at Elland Road today but it will still be a tough match for Marcelo Bielsa’s side.
New Everton manager Rafa Benitez got his season off to a good start with a 3-1 win against Southampton last weekend. The Toffees went 1-0 down inside the first half but showed composure to be able to pull the score back level and to eventually go on and win the match with three second-half strikes. The visitors will be relying on Calvert-Lewin for goals and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him get on the scoresheet for the second week running.
I’m expecting both sides to find the net in this game and although they’re at pretty short odds, I’m not confident in backing a winner so will leave this as a short-priced single.
|Leeds v Everton|
Barca proved that they still have firepower without Lionel Messi by putting four past Real Sociedad in their opening La Liga fixture last weekend. 30-year-old Martin Braithwaite bagged a brace along with an assist ad will be looking to add to his tally tonight.
Bilbao only managed a 0-0 draw when playing away to Elche on Monday and that is now the fourth consecutive La Liga game that Marcelino García Toral’s side have failed to score in, albeit the other three being the final matches of last season. However, that is a worrying stat when playing against Barcelona, with or without Messi, as should the visitors be on form in front of goal as you would expect them to be, Bilboa are unlikely to have the ability to get back into the game.
Odds of 20/23 are available on a Barcelona win today which I think has value.
|Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona|
If you’d like to back all three of the selections above, Mansionbet will give you odds of 8.88 but you could go with Betfair Sportsbook who are offering slightly shorter odds of 8.60 but will award a £5 free bet for placing it which would be my choice.
Lastly, I’m going to back the Sky Bet boost again this weekend. They’re offering odds of 5/1 on Man City, Bournemouth & West Brom to win, boosted from 5/2 which is once again, a great offer.
Man City are at home to Norwich and so you’d fully expect a win for the Citizens today. They need to bounce back from their 1-0 defeat to Spurs last week and Pep will accept nothing else. Norwich may have to wait at least one more week to pick up their first points of the season after losing 3-0 to Liverpool at Carrow Road and it’s hard to see them having enough to cause City problems today.
Bournemouth host newly-promoted Blackpool at Dean Court this afternoon and are favourites to pick up all three points. Following a positive 1-1 draw away to Bristol City in their first match of the season, Blackpool fell short at home to Cardiff (0-2) and Coventry (0-1) in recent matches. Bournemouth should be challenging for promotion this term and I’d expect them not to drop too many points throughout the season to lesser sides on home turf.
West Brom to beat Blackburn is the final selection in the treble and the most tricky. The two teams are level on points after three games having picked up two wins and a draw. However, I find it hard to bet against the Baggies at the moment with them finding the net no less than nine times in the Championship so far this term. I’m expecting goals from both sides in this match but I think the value is in backing an away win.
|SkyBet Price Boost|
Moving onto Sunday and we have some very intriguing fixtures and I’ve picked out a treble that comes in at over 7/1 that I think has good value.
Man Utd thumped Leeds 5-1 last week and showed that they’ll be a match for anyone this season. Leeds should have been a tougher test than Southampton and I expect Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s side to finish the week with a perfect record.
Despite going 1-0 up against Everton, the Saints couldn’t hold onto their lead and conceded 3 second-half goals to leave Goodison Park with nothing. United should pose more of a threat up front than Everton and so I’m expecting nothing other than an away victory. Especially if Jadon Sancho gets his first start for the club.
Tottenham followed up an impressive 1-0 victory against PL champions Manchester City last week with a defeat to the same scoreline against Paços de Ferreira in the Europa Conference League. However, Nuno Santo rotated his squad drastically for the European clash with the starting XI unrecognisable to that which lined up against City. His reasoning will have been to keep players fresh for this match and if they are, they should be able to see off a Wolves side who suffered a 1-0 defeat against Leicester last week.
Whether or not Harry Kane will start for Spurs is yet to be determined but with Son leading the attack, I think that they’ll have enough up front to cause the Wolves back line problems.
You can get odds of 4/5 on a Chelsea win which I think is very appealing. They dominated their game against Crystal Palace last week and the introduction of Romelu Lukaku to the starting lineup should add to their threat significantly.
Arsenal went down 2-0 to newly-promoted Brentford in their opening fixture and they haven’t looked like a side who I would confidently back for some time now. I think Chelsea could be challenging for the title this season if Lukaku finds his feet relatively quickly and I’m backing them to get one over on their London rivals on Sunday by taking away all three points comfortably.
After a poor opening two games which resulted in a disappointing 1-1 draw with Blackpool and a 2-1 defeat away to Middlesbrough, Bristol City picked their season up with a 3-2 victory against Reading on Tuesday evening. That result will have had some impact on the odds on the Robins to win today but odds of 11/8 are tempting considering the form that Swansea are in currently.
The Swans are still searching for their first win of the season having picked up just one point in their opening three games. Along with their manager, they also lost some of their main players in the summer which has left the squad looking just a glimpse of what they were last season. They’ll unlikely achieve anywhere near the 4th place that they did last season and Steve Cooper’s side could struggle for a playoff spot.
Despite City’s recent win along with Swansea’s unbelievably poor record at Aston Gate, where they have won just 1 of their last 12 meetings there, I’m not going to back the hosts tonight. Bristol City have more to prove before they can be backed confidently as you have to head all the way back to January to find their last league in on home turf. Instead, I’m backing Both Teams To Score in this fixture. Bristol certainly have goals in them which they have proved in recent games but they’re also vulnerable at the back. That coupled with their poor home record, I can see both teams finding the net which is priced at a little over evens with 10Bet.
|Bristol City v Swansea|
Betfred have an offer available on this match and are offering money back on losing #PickYourPunt bets. I’m sticking with the BTTS selection for this selection but also including Bristol City to come out on top. A home win & BTTS comes in at 10/3 through the #PickYourPunt builder and it’s essentially a risk-free bet.
|Europa League Double|
|Rangers & Galatasaray||2.35||Visit|
Heading over to the German Bundesliga and we have RB Leipzig hosting Stuttgart at the Red Bull Arena. The hosts didn’t get their season off to a great start when suffering a 1-0 defeat away to Mainz at the weekend and will be looking to bounce back against a side that they finished 7 places above last season. However, the odds on Leipzig are just too short for me at 9/20 and I think a better bet is Both Teams To Score.
Stuttgart currently top the table after their opening fixture having thrashed newly-promoted Furth 5-1 at home. Prior to that match, they came out as 6-0 winners away to BFC Dynamo in the DFB Pokal and although those two opponents cannot be compared to tonight’s opposition, it does prove that they’re capable in front of goal.
Stuttgart have never beaten Leipzig but I do think that they’ll find the net tonight. The hosts were unable to score against Mainz at the weekend despite 11 of their opponents’ side being in isolation. They’re playing in front of a home crowd tonight so I do expect a better performance from them but Stuttgart are in with a chance.
I’m going to back the BTTS double tonight with Betfair Sportsbook to receive a £5 free bet but also going to take a very small punt on Stuttgart to cause an upset. At odds of 10/1 on an away with & BTTS, I think it’s worth a small wager to make it interesting.
|Bristol City v Swansea|
RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart
|RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart|
|Stuttgart & BTTS||10/1||Visit|
The 14/1 price boost last night was frustratingly close to coming in but Cardiff were unable to find a late winner against Peterborough to make it three for three. Sky have another big boost for tonight on the West Brom v Sheff Utd match and I’m also going to take a look at a couple of the other Championship fixtures taking place.
Hull are evens to beat Derby tonight at home which I think are great odds. They’re heading into this match on the back of a 3-0 defeat to a relatively good QPR side at the weekend but did pick up 3 points in their 4-1 win against Preston in their opening fixture and so will want to bounce back from their recent loss and get back to winning ways.
Derby have yet to be tested by a strong team and although Hull aren’t the best side in the league, I do think that they’ll pose more of a threat than Huddersfield or Peterborough did from which they picked up a total of just 1 point from.
Hull had the second-best record at home in League One last season, picking up 46 points in 23 games and I fancy them to take away all three points tonight.
|Hull v Derby|
|Hull To Win||1/1||Visit|
I fancy Bournemouth to do well this season and they should be in contention to head straight back up into the top flight. Scott Parker’s side drew 1-1 against West Brom in their opening fixture and followed that up with a 2-1 win away to Nottingham Forest despite being reduced to 10 men for the final 30 minutes of the match. They’re up against a Birmingham side who they’re level on points with but who have only registered one goal in the league so far this season.
Birmingham have only conceded one goal but I think Bournemouth should be a bigger test for the hosts back line tonight and as I can always see them getting on the scoresheet, I think the visitors will have enough to break them down and squash Birmingham’s unbeaten record.
|Birmingham vs AFC Bournemouth|
|Bournemouth To Win||9/5||Visit|
Similar to Bournemouth, I expect West Brom to be up near the top of the table for the majority of the season. The Baggies have goals in them which they’ve proved in their opening two fixtures by finding the net no less than five times.
Sheffield United struggled for goals in the Premier League last season and I expected them to have an easier time in the Championship. However, Slaviša Jokanović’s side are yet to score in their two league games this season and have picked up just one point in their 0-0 draw against Swansea at the weekend, losing their opening fixture 1-0 at home to Birmingham.
I think the value is definitely in the home win here and odds of evens with Bet365 look good to me.
|West Brom v Sheffield United|
|West BromTo Win||1/1||Visit|
SkyBet have a boost on this match and are offering odds of 8/1 on both teams to have 2 or more shots on target in each half, boosted from 4/1. Although this bet isn’t massively appealing given Sheff Utds poor form in front of goal, the odds are. Despite scoring five goals in their first two matches, West Brom have also conceded four. I do expect them to outscore the Blades tonight but they are vulnerable at the back which could allow the visitors to at least register some attempts on target and so worth a small wager in my opinion.
|West Brom v Sheffield United|
|2+ SOT Each Team|
Betfred also have a betting offer available for this match and are offering refunds on #PickYourPunt bets if they lose. The odds are generally very poor with these type of bets but as the stake is refunded, they’re often worth a punt.
For this bet, I’m backing West Brom’s Callum Robinson to score anytime and Over 29.5 booking points in the match. The ex-Sheff Utd forward has bagged two goals in as many games this season as well as picking up an assist and is one of the more likely contenders to get on the scoresheet tonight. As for booking points, there have been an average of 50 booking points in Sheff Utd’s first two matches and an average of 40 in West Broms.
The #PickYourPunt bet comes in at 3/1 which aren’t huge odds but worth it in my opinion due to the refund if it loses.
There’s quite a bit of football taking place today with dozens of Championship, League One & League Two games as well as the German Super Cup between Dortmund and Bayern Munich. I’m going to focus mainly on the Championship as there are some good odds available for some of the fixtures as well as a price boost of 14/1 from 7/1 with Sky Bet.
This could be a tight match but I’m backing Fulham to come out on top. After a somewhat disappointing 1-1 draw at home to Boro in their opening fixture, they upped their game against Huddersfield where they came out as 5-1 winners away from home. Fulham registered an impressive 11 shots on target in that match showing that they’re out to win the Championship this season and bounce straight back up into the top flight.
Millwall should be a tougher opposition tonight but they’ve only managed two 1-1 draws in their opening fixtures and may struggle to outscore the visitors. Their defence is relatively solid and so they’ll be looking to keep Fulham at bay for the majority of the match but if the likes of Mitrovic and Carvalho can get the ball at their feet, I fancy them to finish their chances and put the game to bed.
Peterborough host Cardiff at the Weston Homes Stadium tonight and I’m backing another away win. After a 3-0 defeat to Luton in their opening fixture, newly-promoted Peterborough bounced back with a 2-1 win the following week but that was against a very poor Derby side who have a strong chance of being relegated this season. Cardiff are a much better side than Derby and should be in the running for a playoff spot come the end of the season and I can’t see them slipping up tonight against the hosts. They’ve lost just 1 of their last 13 matches on the road and should improve on that stat tonight.
I’m heading down into League One for my next selection as SkyBet have a price boost available on the three fixtures mentioned from which you can get odds of 14/1 on a Fulham, Cardiff & Portsmouth treble; boosted from 7/1.
Portsmouth currently top the table with victories against Fleetwood and Crewe in their opening fixtures and will be looking to keep their 100% win record intact when they host Shrewsbury tonight at Fratton Park. Danny Cowley’s side have finished in a playoff position in two of the last four seasons and will be aiming for the same this term, if not achieving automatic promotion.
Shrewsbury are rock bottom of the table following defeats to Burton and Morecambe and they are yet to register a goal in the league this season. The visitors are generally not good on the road and that is a stat that could likely be confirmed once again tonight should they lose to Portsmouth which I’m expecting them to do.
The treble of Fulham, Cardiff & Portsmouth all to win at boosted odds of 14/1 has huge value and a great bet on the Tuesday evening fixtures.
Heading back to the Championship and I’m also going to have a single on the Reading v Bristol City game.
Bristol City have failed to impress so far this season having only picked up a point against newly-promoted Blackpool and losing 2-1 away to Middlesbrough at the weekend. They face a tough trip to Berkshire tonight to line up against Reading who are heading into this match on the back of a 2-1 win against Preston on Saturday.
Bristol City manager Nigel Pearson has just 2 wins from his last 17 matches and could find himself in trouble should that form continue, despite recently being handed a long-term contract.
I expect a fight from Bristol City tonight but Reading to come out on top. That’s why I’m opting for Reading Win & Both Teams To Score which you can get odds of 4/1 with Bet365.
We had some good winners at the weekend as the Premier League returned with Everton beating Southampton 3-1 bringing in the Win single & the -1 bets, and both teams found the net in the Man Utd v Leeds match as expected. Hopefully, we’ll continue that form throughout the season but for today, we’re heading to La Liga where two matches take place on a relatively quiet day for football.
It’s the first match of the season for both sides as Villarreal host Granada at the Estadio de la Cerámica tonight. It’s a fixture that has produced goals over the seasons with the last two finishing 4-4 and 2-2. Both sides have goals in them but are also prone to leaking a few at the back and so backing Both Teams To Score seems like a logical bet here.
Granada had the worst defensive record in La Liga last season and registered just 4 victories from their 19 on the road. However, the visitors tonight did score the majority of their goals when playing away from home last season and I’m backing them to find the net tonight.
Villarreal have goals in them having scored in 8 of their last 9 matches. However, they also conceded in every one of those 8 games and so they’re a little short to be backing for the win at odds of around 7/10.
Both Teams To Score in this match will go into a double today along with the selection below.
Elche vs Athletic Bilbao is the other La Liga match taking place tonight and another that I think both teams will find the net in. Bilbao weren’t prolific goalscorers on the road last season but I do fancy them to get on the scoresheet tonight against an Elche side who have conceded in 10 of their last 12 matches at home. They lost 2-0 to tonight’s hosts on the final day of the 2020/21 season but have had a relatively solid string of warm up games which have seen them score in every one of the six. Elche, although winning just 2 of their 6 pre-season matches, have scored in all but one of them and with playing at home tonight, I do fancy them to score again and possibly go on to win the game.
Similar to the Villarreal match, I can’t be confident of a winner in this fixture and so I’ll be backing Both Teams To Score again. The double comes in at a very reasonable 4/1 with 10Bet which I think is excellent value.
Three months on from the 2020/21 season and we have a full weekend of Premier League action again with some interesting fixtures to look forward to.
I’m going to dive straight in and look at a handful of the matches taking place today and pick out a few bets that I think have value.
For me, this is the fixture of the weekend and has the potential to be a cracker. I say that because when Leeds visited Old Trafford last season, the ball found the net no less that 8 times resulting in a 6-2 win for United. We’re unlikely to see that scoreline on opening day but I do expect Leeds to at least attempt the same style of play as Marcelo Bielsa enforced last season and if they do, they’ll head to Old Trafford with the intent to outscore their rivals.
Jadon Sancho should make an appearance at some point in the match which will be something to look forward to but he’ll likely start on the bench and be brought on somewhere in the second half. However, with Martial set to be included in Solskjær’s starting XI, along with other potential threats such as Greenwood, Fernandes and Pogba, they should have enough going forward to cause Leeds trouble.
You can never put it past Leeds to beat any team in the Prem and so I don’t think backing United at 3/5 has much value. I’d also be hesitant about backing Leeds given their poor pre-season campaign and so a safer bet would be to simply back Both Teams To Score.
Both Teams To Score is priced at 4/5 with 10Bet which I think is good value.
I mentioned in my pre-season bets that I think Southampton could struggle this season with the departure of Danny Ings. The Saints were pretty poor for a large part of last season but Ings was able to net 12 goals despite missing several games due to injury.
They have a tough opening fixture away to Everton at Goodison Park and I expect the hosts to come out on top. New manager Rafa Benitez will want to get off to a good start and his experience in this league should help him to do that on Saturday.
Everton started last season strongly with Calvert-Lewin bagging 10 goals in their first 7 games. They couldn’t keep up their impressive form throughout the season but should they be anywhere near their best on Saturday, I think that they should win comfortably in front of a home crowd.
Everton are 23/20 just to win the match with Spreadex which I think is very generous. I’d definitely include a home win in my accumulator at that price and may even consider an Everton -1 bet at odds of 3/1 with 10Bet.
With goals expected from the home side due to the Saints’ poor defensive record, I think Calvert-Lewin should get on the scoresheet as he will be eager to do and he’s 5/1 to do so first with Betfair Sportsbook.
Those are the two matches that caught my eye from a betting perspective but there is value to be had elsewhere when incorporating some of the available betting offers.
SkyBet are offering a huge price boost on the following:
Chelsea are at home to Crystal Palace and I expect them to win that game with ease. I expect Palace to struggle this season and Chelsea could be competing for the title along with City. If they are to do so, they can’t be dropping any points against the lesser sides in the league.
Leicester are also at home and up against a Wolves side that struggled for goals last season. New manager Bruno Lage will be looking to improve on that this term but they may struggle to outscore the Foxes who have several potential goalscorers.
Perhaps the trickiest selection of the three is Watford v Aston Villa which is probably why SkyBet have given customers the choice of outcome in this match.
After being relegated in the 2019/20 season, Watford bounced straight back up into the top-flight by finishing in 2nd place in the Championship behind Norwich. Both Norwich and Brentford scored more goals than Watford last season, as did both Bournemouth and Cardiff who finished 6th and 8th in the table. With it likely that they’ll receive less chances in front of goal in the Premier League, they could struggle this season if they concede too many goals. Thankfully, they’re up against a Villa side who are prone to leaking the odds goal at the back and so they should have chances to get on the scoresheet.
If it wasn’t for Danny Ings arrival at the club, I would probably back this match ending in a draw. Especially with the departure of Jack Grealish to Manchester City. However, I’m edging towards a Villa win and think that’ll they have just enough to take away all three points.
The treble on Chelsea, Leicester & Aston Villa all to win at 7/1 shows huge value and that’s the combination I’ll be backing this week.
Top-flight league football around Europe returns today with opening fixtures from the Premier League, Bundesliga, La Liga and Ligue 1. With only one match from each league taking place, there’s not a whole lot to go from tonight and the majority of them could go either way. Therefore, I’m backing a simple BTTS double today and will be focussing on the weekend’s football for some more interesting bets in the coming days.
What a day this is for Brentford Football Club and their fans. Their first ever Premier League match and they host the opening fixture by welcoming Arsenal to the Brentford Community Stadium. It should be a great match and one that I’m finding very tough to call. Last season I wasn’t a fan of backing Arsenal and I rarely did. They were less than convincing on a regular basis and I never felt confident that they would beat even the poorest of teams. Until I see more from them this season, I’ll continue to be cautious with Arteta’s side and stay clear of including them in my bets.
Brentford will be up for this match and it’ll be interesting to see how they go out. I’d love for them to take on Arsenal and if they do, I think they’ll have a real chance of beating them and at odds of 37/10 to win at home, I think I’d rather take that than Arsenal at odds-on. Thomas Frank’s side have had some good results in their pre-season matches and haven’t lost a competitive match at home since mid-February. Obviously, they weren’t playing in the Premier League back then but they have a good squad and should be a match for Arsenal on home turf.
I’m backing Both Teams To Score in this match tonight but will also be placing a Bet Builder as Betfred are offering money back on losing bets for this match.
For my Bet Builder, I’m taking a punt on the draw and Ivan Toney to score anytime for Brentford @ 6/1. The striker scored an impressive 33 goals in the Championship last season and looks the most likely to find the net for the hosts tonight should they do so.
Moving onto the Bundesliga and we have a cracking opening fixture between Monchengladbach and current champions Bayern Munich.
Suprisingly, Bayern have only managed to beat the hosts 2 times from their last 8 meetings at Borussia-Park with Monchengladbach winning the last two by 2 goals to 1 and 3 goals to 2.
With the Monchengladbach’s record against Bayern at home and considering the visitors have had a relatively poor pre-season, having not won a single game, I don’t have much confidence in backing an away win. Both teams to score again seems like a sensible bet which is what I’ll be going with.
The BTTS double comes in at around 2.81 with Betfair Sportsbook who I’m going with in order to receive a £5 free bet for doing so
European action continues tonight with UEFA Champions League qualification fixtures as well as a host of fixtures from the European Conference League. Today, I’ve picked out four selections and placing the bet with Paddy Power in order to qualify for their Acca Insurance offer from which we’ll receive a refund if one of the four legs fails to win.
Celtic head into this match with the advantage after winning the first leg of this tie 4-2 in the Czech Republic last week. Ange Postecoglou’s side dominated the match in terms of possession and attacking threat and are looking likely to proceed into the next round of the competition where they’ll meet the Dutch outfit AZ Alkmaar.
After a poor pre-season and a disappointing 2-1 defeat to Hearts in their opening fixture, the 51-time Scottish league champions seem to be back in form having followed up their first leg triumph with a 6-0 thrashing of Dundee at Celtic Park at the weekend. Jablonec on the other hand are winless in their last three with their only victory this season being a 1-0 win at home to Ostrava.
Celtic don’t need to win tonight but I expect them to do so given they’ll be in front of a full crowd at Celtic Park and that they will hope to keep their momentum going for their League Cup match against Hearts at the weekend.
I backed Galatasaray in the reverse leg of this fixture last week and they came up short by only managing a 1-1 draw at home to the Scottish Premiership side. This will be a tougher match for Turkish Super Lig side who only missed out on the league title by a goal difference of one last season. However, they were the better team in the first leg having had 62% of the possession, recording over double the amount of dangerous attacks and having 9 attempts on goal compared to St Johnstones 3.
It would be a huge achievement for St Johnstone to get past Galatasaray in this competition and it’s not out of the question. The visitors have conceded in each of their last eight matches and so if the Saints can get on the scoresheet and keep it tight, which they have been recently by only conceding two goals in their last four, they’ll have a chance. However, my money is on Galatasaray to get the first goal and see the game out and at odds of just over evens for them to do that, I think the value is in an away win.
My third selection from the Europa League Qualification round is Rapid Vienna to beat Cypriot side Anorthosis Famagusta. I often stay clear of second-leg fixtures where one team has a considerable lead but I expect Vienna to do the double over the hosts tonight.
Rapid Vienna picked up a 3-0 win against tonight’s opponents last week and it was nothing but convincing. The 2020/21 Austrian Bundesliga runners-up had 21 attempts on goal and 9 on target in the first leg compared to Famagusta’s 5 attempts and 1 on target. They dominated in all areas of the pitch and showed that they are a class above tonight’s hosts.
Given that Rapid Vienna have such a commanding lead heading into this match, you can get odds just shy of evens on them to win tonight which I think is an excellent selection to add to the Acca.
I’m moving over to the European Conference League for my final selection and backing Both Teams To Score in the match between Croatian side HNK Rijeka and Hibernian.
The hosts have managed to find the net in their last 17 matches and Hibs in their last 9. Hibernian’s away form of late has been excellent and Jack Ross’s side have bagged 14 goals in their last five matches on the road.
With both sides seemingly scoring for fun at the moment, it’s tough to pick a winner. Therefore, I think a safer bet is to back Both Teams To Score at odds of just below evens.
Well, it’s didn’t really go to plan last night. The single on Salford City to beat Derby was looking good early on when Salford went 2-0 up inside 14 minutes. However, a goal conceded just before half time and another in the final eight minutes left the score level at the final whistle which was a big disappointment for myself and Salford fans.
The double was also looking good with Benfica winning 2-0 and Rangers 1-0 up at home. It was the Gers who would fail for me in this bet after conceding 2 goals in the space of 5 minutes in the second half. What’s more frustrating is that they were 1-0 up against 10 men. Considering Rangers had won 26 of their last 29 at Ibrox leading up to last nights match, you’d bet your house on them seeing that game out when a goal up.
However, today is a new day and I’m hoping to pick things up with backing some winners in the UEFA Super Cup which takes place tonight at 20:00.
At Windsor Park in Belfast, the home ground of NIFL Premiership club Linfield F.C, UEFA Champions League winners Chelsea take on UEFA Europa League winners Villarreal in what will be the first competitive fixture of the season for both sides.
I’m a big fan of Chelsea under Tuchel and I think that they’re going to have a strong season in the Premier League. This match will be a good test for the first team heading into the new season and I’m backing them to come out on top. The bookies have them as strong favourites being priced at 8/11 which may be a little short but Villarreal will do extremely well to get anything out of this game. The Spaniards haven’t won a match since their penalty shootout win against Manchester United back in May to claim the Europa League title having lost 3 and drawn 3 of their pre-season friendlies. This is of course a more competitive match and so not too much can be taken from warm-up games but Chelsea will prove to be a much sterner test for the La Liga side tonight. Chelsea came out on top against Peterborough, Bournemouth and Arsenal in pre-season as well as seeing out a 2-2 draw against Tottenham last week and so head into this fixture in somewhat better form.
Tuchels side beat the likes of Sevilla, Porto, Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid in last season’s Champions League before Kai Havert’s strike sealed victory for the London side against Manchester City in the final and so have a strong record in recent months against Spanish sides. Villarreal however have lost to Leicester City and only managed a draw against Leeds in their latest outings and so may struggle against a much stronger Chelsea team. That said, Unai Emery’s side have found the net 5 times in their last 3 matches and Chelsea have conceded in all of their pre-season friendlies which is quite surprising given they have been so solid at the back since Tuchel’s arrival.
I’m not 100% confident in backing Both Teams To Score tonight as I think Chelsea should step their game up in their first competitive match of the season and so I’m simply backing the London side to win at odds of 8/11 with Betfred.
Sky Bet also have a price boost available on this match for both Kai Havertz and Timo Werner to have a shot on target. It’s been boosted from evens to 2/1 which shows great value and definitely worth taking up.
Lastly, I’m going to place a Bet Builder bet with Betfred as they are offering customers their money back as a free bet if they lose on this match. For this bet, I’m backing Chelsea to Win, BTTS & Kai Havertz to score anytime at odds of 5/1 which will add to the first bet should Villarreal find the net.
Premier League action is just days away but first, we have a string of EFL Cup games to enjoy tonight along with Champions League qualification matches.
Derby County host Salford City at Pride Park tonight in a match that surely won’t be a priority for manager Wayne Rooney. The Championship club is in serious financial trouble which has resulted in them offloading a large number of their players and has left the squad incredibly thin. They managed to pick up a point at the weekend in their opening league fixture against Huddersfield but they too were struggling for players after several of the squad missed the game after having to isolate.
This is a huge match for Salford City and one that they should be well up for. They beat tonight’s opponents on home turf just last month in a pre-season friendly which should no doubt give Gary Bowyer’s side confidence heading into this match. Salford too only managed a 1-1 draw at the weekend against Leyton Orient but have had a good pre-season and have lost only one of their last six competitive matches.
Rooney doesn’t have much of a squad to rotate but will be looking to keep any key players fit for their match away to Peterborough on Saturday. They really can’t afford any injuries and even fatigue in a thin squad will start to show throughout the season.
Salford City are 13/5 to win tonight which I think they can do given that they’ll be the much more up for it side and Derby will not be looking to focus on the cup at all this season.
|Derby County v Salford City|
|Salford City to Win||13/5||Visit|
Moving onto the Champions League qualification fixtures and there are two matches that take my fancy, albeit not at huge odds. The first of which is Rangers v Swedish side Malmo FF at Ibrox.
Rangers head into this match on the back of two straight defeats. Dundee produced a shock 1-0 win when hosting the Gers at Tannadice Park on Saturday and prior to that, they went down 2-1 away to tonight’s opponents in Sweden.
Despite those defeats, I fancy them to pick up a win tonight. Rangers have an exceptional record at Ibrox having won 26 of their last 29 matches there and they will be up for tonight having to win it to progress in the competition.
Odds of 7/12 are probably not the most appealing but fair in my opinion. I’ll be putting Rangers in a double with another selection below and placing the bet with Betfair Sportsbook in order to receive a £5 free bet for doing so.
Benfica came out on top in the first leg of this tie having won the match 2-0 in Moscow last week. That gives them a huge advantage heading into the home tie and I’m backing them to do the double on Spartak.
Similar to Rangers, Benfica have an excellent record on home turf having lost just 1 of their last 18 at Estadio da Luz, whereas Spartak Moscow have lost 2 of their last 3 in the league as well as the defeat to tonight’s hosts last week.
Benfica are just 3/7 to win tonight but it looks like a more than probable outcome. I’m going to stick with a double today which comes in at odds of 1.11/1 with Betfair. Not the most exciting odds but hopefully a relatively safe bet and a £5 free bet to come from Betfair regardless of the outcome.
|Champions League Double|
|Rangers & Benfica|
As you may know, I try to incorporate betting offers into by selections as over time, they can significantly increase your returns. Offers such as Acca Insurance, Price Boosts and Free Bets are generally available throughout the week and now that league football is back, we’re seeing a lot more generous offers available from some of the UK’s top bookies.
One offer that is usually available every week is the Sky Bet Super Price Boost from which you can get largely boosted odds on a selection of fixtures. This week, SkyBet are offering boosts on a treble from the following fixtures:
SkyBet Soccer Saturday Super Boost Fixtures
With the following boosts available:
Barnsley made it to the playoffs last season but I don’t have as strong hopes for them this term. They have lost manager Valerien Ismael to rivals West Brom and have struggled against the top teams when away from home. They picked up 11 wins on the road last season, drew 2 and lost 9. However, every one of their losses was against teams in the top half of the table, including a 3-0 defeat to today’s opponents back in November at Cardiff City Stadium.
Cardiff turned their season around after current manager Mick McCarthy was appointed back in January following the sacking of Neil Harris and the Bluebirds went on to record the fewest defeats in the Championship for the remainder of the season. They ended up finishing 8th in the league which was an achievement considering their start and will hope to better that this time around.
Prediction: Cardiff 2 – 1 Barnsley
Sheff Utd had a dreadful spell in the Premier League last season but things should be slightly easier for them in the Championship. Now managed by ex-Watford and Fulham manager Slavisa Jokanovic, who guided both those teams into the top-flight from the Championship, the bookies have them as one of the favourites to gain promotion and although I do think it will be tough for them to do so with the league being so competitive, they should have enough to see off a Birmingham side that finished 18th last season.
Birmingham did see somewhat of a turnaround towards the end of last season when Lee Bowyer was appointed as manager and helped them avoid the drop but it’s a tough ask for them to take anything away from Bramall Lane with a full capacity expected.
Prediction: Sheffield United 1 – 0 Birmingham
Morecambe gained promotion to League One via a playoff place last season but they have failed to strengthen their squad and that could be a big issue for the Shimps at this level. The bookies have them as favourites to drop back down a league come the end of the season and they’re beginning their campaign with a tough away fixture at Portman Road.
Ipswich finished a respectful 9th in the league last season and had the fifth best record at home. Unlike Morecambe, they have improved on last seasons squad and they will hope to push for the title this season or at a very minimum, a play off spot.
Prediction: Ipswich 2 – 0 Morecambe
The treble of Cardiff, Sheff Utd and Ipswich has been boosted from 5/1 to a HUGE 10/1 with Sky Bet which has tremendous value.
Along with league action resuming this weekend, we also have the FA Community Shield taking place this afternoon with Cup winners Leicester City taking on league champions Manchester City.
Bookmaker Boylesports have their £10 No-Lose bet offer available for this match which is an opportunity to make a selection and get your stake back as a free bet if it doesn’t come in.
On paper, you would look nowhere else other than a City win but Leicester have proved multiple times that they shouldn’t be underestimated. They’re featuring in this game thanks to Youri Tielemans wonder-strike in their 1-0 FA Cup victory over Chelsea back in May and I wouldn’t put it past them to get one over on the 2020/21 league Champions today.
At odds of 20/23, I’d usually be backing City for the win but they’re due to be without a string of first-team players including Ederson, John Stones, Kevin De Bruyne, Raheem Sterling and Gabriel Jesus. That means that Zack Steffen could feature in goal along with Cole Palmer and Sam Edozie possibly getting a start outfield.
Due to their missing players, Leicester stand a much better chance getting something out of this game and the likes of Tielemans, Barnes, Vardy and Iheanacho should relish on that fact. New Foxes signing Boubakary Soumare could also gain a place in the starting XI following his arrival from French Ligue 1 club Lille.
Boylesports have a price boost available on Jamie Vardy to score anytime & Leicester to win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 @ 10/1 from 8/1 which is my selection for this match. I think they have a strong chance of lifting the trophy given the expected lineups and Vardy should be in the mix as usual.
We came frustratingly close to both the 4.88/1 and 15.88/1 doubles coming in yesterday with Celtic seeing off Czech side Jablonec 4-2. However, Galatasaray were surprisingly only able to walk away with a 1-1 draw against St Johnstone which wasn’t enough for the bets. Another goal from the Super Lig side would have produced a nice return but we did receive a £5 free bet from Betfair for placing the bet which cushioned the blow somewhat.
Moving onto today and English football returns with Bournemouth and West Brom going head to head in the opening fixture of the EFL Championship. I’ve tipped both teams to do well this season in my Championship season bets and it could turn out to be a cracker of a game.
Bournemouth have managed to retain several of their players from last season which should bode well for them heading into their new campaign. They’ve also managed to lure new manager Scott Parker away from fellow Championship side Fulham and he should make a big difference to the side defensively and help them push for promotion this season.
West Brom also have a new manager with Valerien Ismael joining from Barnsley. The Baggies had a disappointing run in the Premier League last season but they should find themselves with more chances in front of goal at this lower level.
I’m finding it hard to pick a winner from this match as both sides are more than capable of scoring goals. It’s too early to determine how the new managers will set up their teams but I do expect both sides not to hold back. Bournemouth were the second-highest goalscorers at home last season and Scott Parker should be able to tighten things up at the back. Ismael is known for his high-pace style of play and so it’s likely that West Brom will also be looking to get in front of goal from the whistle with both sides wanting to get their promotion campaigns off to the perfect start by taking away all three points from this match.
Both teams to score seems like a good bet which is priced at 5/6 with 10Bet.
SkyBet also have an offer available for this match and are giving customers a £5 free bet when placing a bet of just £0.05 or more! It’s close to being risk-free and so a no-brainer if you have a Sky account. I’m edging towards a Bournemouth win given their home advantage and their form at the Vitality Stadium and so I’ll be backing Bournemouth to Win & BTTS at a price of 10/3 with SkyBet.
|Bournemouth v West Brom|
|Bournemouth Win & BTTS||10/3||Visit|
The French Ligue 1 also gets underway tonight with eight-time league champions Monaco hosting Nates at the Stade Louis II.
Monaco had the best home record in the league last season and I expect them to pick up all three points tonight against a Nantes side that finished the season 3rd-bottom.
Monaco beat the visitors both home and away last season by 2 goals to 1 and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a similar score tonight. Although the hosts have an impressive defensive record at home, Nantes picked up more points on their travels last season and have only failed to find the net in 2 of their last 11 away matches.
Although Monaco to Win would be a safer bet, I’m including the BTTS selection into my double tonight which comes in at a reasonable 4.36/1 with Betfair and we’ll again receive a £5 free bet for placing it.
|Friday Night Double|
|Bornemouth & West Brom BTTS|
Monaco Win & BTTS
Other than focusing on my EFL Championship predictions, today, I’m looking at UEFA Europa League qualification matches of which there are seven taking place. I’m keeping it simple with a double but also going to boost the odds for the bet by including BTTS in one of the games.
Celtic are having a terrible time at the moment. After failing to win their first Scottish Premiership title in a decade, they failed to qualify for the Champions League after being beaten over two legs by Danish side Midtjylland in the qualification round last week and also lost 2-1 to Hearts in their opening league match on Saturday. They’ll be looking to get their season back on track against Czech side FK Jablonec tonight and I’m backing them to do so.
FK Jablonec were impressive at home last season having won 13 of their 17 matches in the league. They finished 3rd last term but are heading into this match on the back of a 3-0 defeat to Mlada Boleslav. Although Celtic are not in particularly good form, they should be a good test for the hosts tonight and new manager Ange Postecoglou will be eager to get his first victory under his belt.
I think both teams getting on the scoresheet in this fixture is extremely likely but I’m siding with Celtic for the win. Odds of 7/2 are available on an away win & BTTS with Bet365 which will be the first part of my double.
Galatasaray are a best price of 6/13 to win tonight and make a good accumulator selection. By adding them into the double, we’ll qualify for a £5 free bet with Betfair Sportsbook regardless of the outcome.
Galatasaray should pose too much of a threat for the Scottish side tonight who were held to a goalless draw against Ross County at the weekend. The hosts finished level on points with overall Süper Lig champions Besiktas last season and only suffered two defeats on home turf. Although St Johnstone produced relatively solid form on the road last season, I feel Galatasaray should be a step up in class for them and I expect the home side to win.
Seven of Galatasaray’s last eight matches at home have seen both teams find the net and so I am tempted to include that into the double. Given that we’ll receive a £5 free bet from Betfair for placing the double, I’m opting for a second bet with a small stake on both selections to win and all four teams to score at appealing odds of 15.88/1 with Bet365.
|Europa League Doubles|
|Celtic Win & BTTS|
Galatasaray To Win
Galatasaray To Win & BTTS
We’re going to be focussing on Champions League matches today with the remaining teams heading into the third round of the qualification stages. However, for anyone who followed my Olympics Men’s Football Tips last month, it’s worth keeping an eye on the semi-final fixtures today as both Spain and Mexico who were tipped have made it through to the semi’s and could potentially meet each other in the final on Saturday. Mexico were a big price of 33/1 pre-tournament and are now at 5/1. They’ve scored more goals than any other team in the competition this year, finding the net an impressive 14 times in 4 matches and should give Brazil a good game this morning.
I’m backing an ambitious Win & BTTS double today and placing the bet with Betfair Sportsbook in order to receive a £5 free bet for doing so which will add to the overall value of the bet.
This should be a great game with both sides in excellent form and not short of goals at the moment. Malmo are currently unbeaten in their last 7 matches and have only lost 2 of their last 17 on home turf. However, I’m edging towards a Rangers win tonight and I’ll think that they’ll do it with both teams getting on the scoresheet.
Rangers got their Scottish Premiership title defence off to the perfect start on Saturday when they beat Livingston 3-0 and impressed pre-season also where they beat La Liga giants Real Madrid 2-1 and held both Premier League sides Brighton (0-0) and Arsenal (2-2) to draws. Admittedly, all those matches were played at the Ibrox but I’m confident that they’ll get on the scoresheet at least once tonight and should have enough to win it.
One concern is that Rangers will be without Glen Kamara, Leon Balogun and Kemar Roofe, who scored against Livingston on Saturday, due to suspension, but the side that won their first Premiership title in a decade whilst remaining undefeated all throughout the season, should have the momentum, drive and squad to see this game out.
My second selection comes from the match between Romanian side CFR Cluj Swiss Super League champions Young Boys. The hosts have won their last 5 matches and progressed to this stage after beating Lincoln (Gibraltar) and Bosnia and Herzegovina side, Borac Banja Luka. However, they only edged past those opponents and Young Boys should pose a much greater threat to them tonight in a match that I expect the visitors to win.
CFR Cluj scored in all four legs of their previous Champions League qualification fixtures and three of those saw both teams find the net. I expect Young Boys to get on the scoresheet tonight but they too are prone to leaking the odd goal and so it wouldn’t surprise me to see both teams bag a goal.
Generous odds of 26.5/1 are available on the To Win & BTTS double which is what I’ll be backing tonight and when placing the bet with Betfair Sportsbook, you can also receive a £5 free bet regardless of the result.
|Champions League Double|
|Win & BTTS|
Other than a string of pre-season friendlies, fixtures are a little on the short side today. Therefore, I’m opting for a straight double from the Irish Premier Division and recommending placing the bet with Betfair Sportsbook in order to receive a £5 free bet for doing so regardless of the result.
Both sides head into this match level on points and the outcome will determine who tops the table once the final whistle is blown. It’s a fixture that is notorious for ending all square with four of the last five meetings ending in a draw. However, Shamrock Rovers did manage to snatch the win in injury time in their latest clash back in May and I’m backing them to do it again tonight. The hosts have lost only 1 of their last 12 matches on home turf and when you compare that to St. Patricks winning just 3 of their last 12 on their travels, it seems logical to back Rovers tonight.
Both sides are currently in great form and St Patricks will want to pick up maximum points in a bid to retain their title, but with it being a relatively even match on paper, I feel the home advantage will give Shamrock Rovers the edge tonight and allow them to do the double on their opponents.
Odds of 11/9 are available on a home win which will be the first part of my double.
For my second selection, I’m taking a bit more of a risk and backing the underdogs at odds of almost 4/1.
Waterford were looking set for relegation until just a few weeks ago when they started a revival which has seen them pick up 3 wins from their last 5 league games. They’ve also won 3 of their last 4 on the road and that doesn’t include their 5-4 win against Athlone in the FAI Cup last Friday.
For Drogheda, they have just 1 win in their last 6 matches in the Premier Division and were also knocked out of the cup in their most recent outing after losing in extra time to fellow top-flight side Derry City. They will be looking to get back on track tonight to regain a European spot in the table, which they are currently 1 point adrift of, but I feel the value is in backing the visitors tonight who are more than capable at the moment of causing an upset.
Although Drogheda are considered the better side, Waterford are clearly the more in-form team and they can move one step closer to safety by continuing their good run of form away from home tonight by taking away all three points from this match.
|Irish Premier Division Double|
|Shamrock Rovers &|
Yesterday’s BTTS double came in at over 2/1 and we were frustratingly close to the 45/1 double landing also but Brentford sadly couldn’t find a winner against Manchester United in their 2-2 draw which saw Andreas Pereira score one of the best goals Old Trafford has seen.
Moving onto today’s fixtures and there are a couple of dozen matches in the UEFA Europa Conference League qualifying round taking place and I’ve picked out a couple of bets that I think have value. Today I’m backing a BTTS treble along with a straight win double.
After a thrilling 2-2 draw in the first leg of this tie a week ago, which saw no less than four goals inside the first 30 minutes, the two teams head into this match all square.
I’m expecting goals again in this match given that the hosts have scored 46 goals in their 17 matches in the Estonian top flight this season and with both sides producing a number of chances in the first leg. Also, you have to go back 21 games to Dundalks 1-0 defeat away to Arsenal to find an away match that they didn’t score in and so Both Teams To Score tonight is looking like a very probable outcome.
Scottish Premiership side Aberdeen look set to progress through to the next round of the tournament having thrashed BK Hacken 5-1 at the Pittodrie Stadium last week. Both sides created chances in that match and with the Swedish side playing on home turf tonight, I expect them to find the net at least once given that they have only failed to do so in one of their last 16 games at the Bravida Arena.
Aberdeen have proved they can score goals against tonight’s opponents and with the hosts needing to find the net a minimum of four times, Both Teams To Score looks like another good bet here.
My final selection in the BTTS treble is in the match between Icelandic side Breidablik and Austrian club Austria Vienna. The first leg finished 1-1 last week but there could have been several more goals with Vienna recording 17 attempts on goal and Breidablik 12.
Breidablik have an excellent goal scoring record at home having found the net in 16 of their last 17 matches and averaging 2.82 goals per game. Austria Vienna have a similarly impressive record on the road and have only failed to score in 2 of their last 17.
A BTTS bet here seems sensible and when coupled with the two other matches, the combined odds for the treble are 7/2 with SportNation.
|Europa League BTTS Double|
|FC Levadia Tallinn vs Dundalk|
BK Hacken vs Aberdeen
Breidablik vs Austria Vienna
My second tip today is a straight win double from two more UEFA Europa Conference League qualifying matches taking place tonight.
Basel haven’t produced the best form on the road of late having won just 3 of their last 13 matches. However, they did score in 9 of those and have only suffered one defeat in their last seven. They dominated the first leg of this tie at St. Jakob-Park last week having registered 16 attempts on goal and 5 on target compared to their opponents 7 attempts and 1 on target. Although the Swiss side don’t need to win tonight, they’ll want to make it 3 for 3 in their new season and given that Partizani Tirana didn’t pose much of a threat in the first leg, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Basel win this game comfortably to progress through to the next round of the tournament.
I’m not expecting a similar scoreline to last week but with Basel keeping a clean sheet in both of their matches this season, I can see a 0-1 or 0-2 result after 90 minutes.
You can back Basel to win tonight at odds of 10/11 with Boylesports.
My final selection for today is Gent to beat Valerenga in Norway. A 4-0 win for Gent last week means that Valerenga have it all to do on home turf tonight but the odds are stacked against them given that they didn’t register a single shot on goal, or an attempt on goal in fact, throughout the 90 minutes of that match. In comparison, Gent had 13 attempts of which 5 were on target. Gent also missed a second-hlaf penalty which could have added to Valerenga’s woes.
Again, there is some doubt in backing Gent since they simply need to see the game out tonight but given the hosts have registered just 3 victories in their last 10 games, odds of 23/20 on an away win tonight seem too good to turn down.
The double for both Basel and Gent to win tonight comes in at 3.11/1 with Boylesports.
|Europa League Win Double|
|FC Basel & Gent||Win Double|
A late equaliser from HJK Helsinki in their match against Malmo FF last night meant that just two of the four Lucky 15 selections landed. Should Malmo have held on, it would have produced a nice return but the loss wasn’t a huge one with two singles and a double still coming in.
Onto today and there are more Champions League qualifying fixtures taking place as well as Olympic matches and some interesting friendlies in preparation for the new season. Today, I’ve opted for a BTTS double along with a small wager on the winner of each game & BTTS.
Manchester United host newly-promoted Brentford at Old Trafford this evening with Ole Gunnar Solskjær hoping his side can bounce back from the 4-2 defeat they suffered at the hands of QPR at the weekend. That result may have come as a surprise to many but given the team United fielded, QPR had every chance to get something from the match, and tonight, Brentford do also.
Friendlies are often not the best matches to bet on but I do think there is value in both teams scoring in this match. With the majority of United’s senior players still absent, we can expect Solskjær to field a similar-looking lineup tonight with the only notable names being Mason Greenwood, Jesse Lingard and veterans Nemanja Matić and possibly Juan Mata. With Harry Maguire and Luke Shaw not set to make an appearance, United’s backline could be vulnerable to Brentford’s attack which has seen them net six goals in their three pre-season friendlies so far.
Despite the absence of Edinson Cavani, Marcus Rashford, Bruno Fernandes and new signing Jadon Sancho, United should have enough going forward to bag a goal on home turf tonight and so I think backing BTTS is a relatively good bet at odds of 14/19 with SportNation. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the game go either way and so if you’d like to take a little punt at bigger odds, you can back Brentford & BTTS at odds of 13/2 with Betfair which I think is more than fair considering they are 3 for 3 pre-season so far.
Celtic were held to a 1-1 draw in the first leg of this clash last Tuesday at Celtic Park and a 6-2 thrashing by West Ham which followed four days later will not help them in preparation for this return leg.
I backed Midtjylland to beat Celtic & BTTS a week ago and even though they didn’t have quite enough to find the second goal, I fancy them to do it tonight. Midtjylland’s form at home is excellent having only lost 1 of their last 9, scoring a total of 23 goals in the process. Celtic however, have won just 2 of their last 9 on the road and could be set for an early exit from this seasons Champions League.
Given Celtic’s poor defence and record on the road, I expect Midtjylland to get goals tonight. Celtic will have to respond and so I wouldn’t be surprised to see them get on the scoresheet. I’ll be putting BTTS in the double today and also suggesting a small wager on Brentford & Midtjylland both to win & all four teams to score. That second selection is a bit of a long shot at odds of 45/1 but worth a small punt in my opinion.
|Champions League Lucky 15|
|Manchester United vs Brentford|
Midtjylland vs Celtic
|WIN & BTTS|
It’s been a few days since I’ve published a football tip here at WhichBookie due to the lack of fixtures taking place. During these periods, you may wish to take a look at the horse racing tips available from racing analysts Will Smith and Andrew Blair White who have an excellent record and will be providing tips for both the Goodwood and Galway festivals taking place this week. There are also some good betting offers available today on racing including £5 free bets from both Paddy Power and Bet365 to use on the races with no qualifying bet required!
There are four second-leg Champions League qualification matches taking place today and I’m opting for a Lucky 15 with a selection from each.
Dinamo Zagreb head into this second leg with a two-goal advantage after winning the home tie 2-0 a week ago. That scoreline isn’t enough for them to sit back in this return leg and I fancy them to do the double over the Cypriot side. Zagreb have only conceded one goal in their last five away games, scoring fifteen in the process and given that Ominia Nicosa only managed to hit the target twice from 12 attempts in the first leg of this tie, they shouldn’t pose too much of a threat to Livakovic in the Zagreb goal. If they can maintain that form at the back tonight and also find the net, a score of 1-0 is likely which would see the Croatian side comfortably through to the next round.
Malmo dominated the first leg of this clash last week and had 16 attempts on goal compared to Mjalby’s 4 and over double the number of dangerous attacks. Despite that, they only have a one-goal lead and so will look to put this tie to bed with another victory.
Malmo currently top the Swedish Allsvenskan after 13 matches played and will not be looking for an early exit from this seasons Champions League competition. HJK’s home form has been very good over recent months which is a slight concern but given the way the reverse fixture played out last week, I do fancy Malmo to have enough to see off the home side tonight.
FC Flora are the only team I’m backing tonight that head into their second leg with a goal deficit. They lost the first leg of this tie 2-1 away from home last week but put in a good performance and have every chance of flipping that scoreline in their favour on home turf.
Warsaw attacking midfielder Bartosz Kapustka will miss tonight’s match after picking up an injury early on in last weeks match. He managed to bag a 3rd-minute goal before being forced off in the 7th and will be a big miss for the Polish side in this clash.
I fancy Flora to win this one with them possibly picking up a 2-1 win to send the match into extra time.
A 2-0 victory for Ferencvarosi last week means that they head into this match with a comfortable advantage. However, similar to Dinamo Zagreb, I don’t think that they’ll sit back as they dominated the first leg with 17 attempts on goal compared to Žalgiris’ 7 and over 100% more dangerous attacks. They have experience in this competition having squared up to the likes of Barcelona, Juventus and Dynamo Kyiv in last seasons Champions League group stages and will look to qualify tonight to set up more fixtures against big teams in the later rounds.
Ferencvarosi have won their last 11 matches and haven’t lost any of their last 15 on the road with their last defeat away from home coming at the hands of Dynamo Kyiv back in December when they lost 1-0 at the NSC Olimiyskiy Stadium.
The four-fold comes in at a rather ambitious 56/1 with online bookmaker SBK but I’m opting for a Lucky 15 with a 0.5pt bet on each combination which will reduce the risk and hopefully still produce a good return should some of the selections land. As SBK do not accept Lucky 15’s, I’ll be placing my bet with 10Bet at slightly shorter odds of 47/1.
|Champions League Lucky 15|
Our 2/1 BTTS double came in yesterday thanks to goals from both sides in the Rapid Vienna vs Sparta Prague and Celtic vs Midtjylland fixtures, and today, I’m going to continue with tips for Champions League qualification matches of which there are interesting clashes.
Again, if you wish to follow the tips, I suggest placing the double with Betfair Sportsbook in order to receive a £5 free bet for doing so.
Serbian Super Liga side Crvena Zvezda, or Red Star Belgrade as they are most commonly known outside of their country, qualified for the Champions League after topping their domestic table last season. What is more impressive is that the Super Liga champions didn’t lose a single game throughout the season and have now not lost a match since October 2020 when they suffered a 2-0 defeat to Bundesliga side Hoffenheim in the Europa League. They also scored an impressive 114 goals in the league last season and only conceded 20.
They’re up against a Kairat Almaty side that beat Israeli team Maccabi Haifa to make it through to this stage of the qualification process but Crvena Zvezda should pose a much greater threat for them tonight. They’re currently 3rd in the Kazakhstan Premier League but lost their last outing 2-0 at home to 8th placed Kaspiy.
Odds of 13/10 are available on Red Star Belgrade to win tonight which I think is good value as I expect them to head into the second leg of this clash with the advantage.
Olympiacos is another team that excelled domestically last season having won the Greek Super League by an extremely impressive 34 points and losing just 2 of their 36 matches played. Tonight, they host Azerbaijan Premier League side Neftci Baku who are currently 2nd in the league and hoping to cause an upset at the Karaiskaki Stadium. However, I can’t see it happening and clearly the bookies agree as they are priced at 20/1 to win with William Hill whereas Olympiacos are a short 1/6 with Boylesports.
I wouldn’t usually tip a 1/6 selection but I’ve included it simply so that we will qualify for the £5 free bet with Betfair for placing a multiple with two or more selections. Hopefully, Olympiacos will have no problem seeing off Neftci Baku on home turf and then it will be up to Red Star Belgrade to see in the bet.
You can get odds of 1.64/1 for the double with Betfair and receive a £5 free bet regardless of the result.
|Slovan Bratislava vs Young Boys|
|Young Boys||4/5||To Win||Visit|
Betfred have an offer on tonight from which customers can receive a £5 free bet for placing a £10 in-play bet on any football match taking place today. If you’re following this tip, I suggest placing the bet straight after kick-off so that you can get as close to the pre-match odds as possible and to qualify for the free bet.
Slovan Bratislava won the Slovakian Super Liga last season and will hope to head into the new season with a win under their belt against Young Boys tonight. After a somewhat successful pre-season campaign, tonight’s hosts have now lost just one of their last nine matches. They beat Irish side Shamrock Rovers in the previous qualification round but it was a narrow 3-2 victory over two legs that got them through and Young Boys should pose more of a threat to them at this stage.
Young Boys also came out on top last season, finishing their campaign an impressive 31 points ahead of 2nd placed Basel. I expect them to be the more attacking team tonight and although Slovan Bratislava have proven to be solid defensively, should Young Boys be able to get an early goal, I can see them holding onto their lead and seeing the game out.
You can back Young Boys to win at 4/5 with Betfred and similar odds should be available shortly after kick-off to qualify for the £5 free bet.
|Slovan Bratislava vs Young Boys|
|Young Boys||4/5||To Win||Visit|
Today, the Scottish League Cup continues in preparation for the domestic leagues getting underway in just under two weeks time. The Scottish League Cup has a slightly different format to what you may be used to with English cup competitions as it begins with a group stage prior to moving onto the more familiar knockout fixtures. Eight groups featuring five teams are currently battling it out to finish in one of the top two positions to progress to the next stage of the tournament. It’s an interesting competition as all group stage matches that finish in a draw will go to a penalty shootout. Both teams receive a point for the draw but the winner of the shootout will receive an additional point.
No Scottish teams that have qualified for UEFA competitions participate in the Cup which means that clubs such as Celtic, who are hosting Danish side Midtjylland at Celtic Park this evening in their Champions League qualification clash, will not feature. However, there are still some exciting fixtures to look forward to and some top teams in contention of qualifying.
Today, I’m going to make use of the Betfair Sportsbook offer that credits a £5 free bet for placing a multiple and also have a look at the upcoming UEFA Champions League fixtures taking place tonight.
Scottish Betfred Cup Treble
This is the trickiest fixture of the three but I think there’s value in backing Inverness against a poor Cove Rangers side at just under evens. Cove Rangers haven’t managed to pick up a single point in their 3 matches in this competition so far and have a very poor record in the League Cup in general having lost 13 of their last 19 matches. They’re heading out of the cup early again and victory for Inverness today could be the nail in the coffin for the League One side.
Inverness play in a league above the hosts in the Scottish Championship and have a very good chance of moving into one of the top two spots in the group table with a win tonight. They have picked up four points in two matches so far which included a 2-0 win against Peterhead and a 2-2 draw in their most recent clash with Stirling. The fact that they’ve managed to bag two goals in both of their fixtures in this competition points to them outscoring Cover Rangers tonight and odds of just under evens for them to do that seem to have value.
I’ll be adding two more slightly safer bets to the treble which will ensure that we qualify for the £5 free bet from Betfair and to keep the risk to a minimum whilst still seeing a reasonable return. The first of those two selections is Partick Thistle to beat Dumbarton at home tonight.
Dumbarton, like Cove Rangers, are rock bottom of their group having been unable to pick up any points in their three fixtures and are already out of the competition. They’ve conceded a worrying 10 goals in those matches and scored just two which makes backing Partick an easy choice. Partick have won four of their last five matches at home if you exclude their 1-0 friendly defeat to Rangers and in those four matches they didn’t concede a single goal and found the net and impressive 13 times. The hosts did suffer a 4-2 defeat to Dunfermline a week gone Saturday but given that they have proved that they are dangerous in front of goal, they should have more than enough to break down a poor Dumbarton defence and pick up all three points.
Hearts finished top of the Championship last season to regain their place in the top flight of Scottish football and will be looking to kick-start their season by going all the way in the League Cup. They currently sit top of their group having picked up maximum points against Peterhead and Cove Rangers and have now gone seven games without conceding.
Stirling sit in second place in the group and just one point adrift of Hearts but the League Two side will do well in getting anything out of this game tonight as the visitors will be much tougher opponents than Inverness and Cove Rangers who the hosts scraped past in recent matches.
Both Partick Thistle and Hearts to win are relatively short odds but by including Inverness in the treble, it boosts the price up to a reasonable 2.02/1 which I’ll be taking along with the £5 free bet from Betfair for placing it.
|Scottish League Cup Treble|
Six matches take place tonight in the qualification stage of the UEFA Champions League and I’ve picked out a double at just over 2/1 that I think has potential.
Both sides head into this clash in excellent form and it’s hard to pick a team to come out on top. Sparta Prague achieved 10 consecutive victories before suffering a 3-2 loss in their friendly against Wolfsberger AC earlier this month and followed that up with a 2-2 draw at home to Dynamo Moscow. Rapid Vienna are unbeaten in their last six with their most recent outing resulting in a 6-0 victory against Wiener Viktoria in the Austrian Cup on Friday evening.
One thing I’m expecting to see in this match is goals. Sparta Prague have found the net an average of 3.9 times in their last 12 matches and Vienna an average of 2.83 in their last 6. With the final outcome difficult to predict, I think the safer bet would be on Both Teams To Score which I’ll be putting in a double along with a selection from the Celtic game tonight.
Celtic will host Danish side Midtjylland at Celtic Park tonight and it’s another match that I think we’ll see goals in. Midtjylland had an extremely impressive defensive record at home last season where they conceded just 7 goals in 16 matches but the story wasn’t the same on their travels. The Danish Superliga side let in 26 goals in as many games on the road and given both teams have found the net in all of their last five matches, I can see that happening again today.
Again, this is a tough match to call and I’d be tempted to back Midtjylland to win & BTTS at odds of 13/2 with Betfred. However, I’m going for the safer option with a BTTS double which comes in at just over 2/1 with SportNation.
|Champions League Double|
|Rapid Vienna vs Sparta Prague|
Celtic vs Midtjylland
There are four weeks to go until the 2021/22 Premier League season kicks off but other leagues around the world are getting started earlier such as the Danish Superliga which gets underway tonight with the opening fixture being Midtjylland v Odense at the MSH Arena.
Midtjylland v Odense – Friday 16th July 18:00
Midtjylland have really developed as a team in recent years and finished top of the Superliga in 2014/15, 2017/18 and 2019/20. Tonight’s hosts finished just 2 points adrift of Brøndby last season and came frustratingly close to retaining their title and they’ll look to claim it back this season, starting with a win tonight against Odense.
They haven’t lost to tonight’s opponents in their last six meetings and have won 11 of their last 12 encounters when playing on home turf. Last season, Midtjylland won 12 of their 16 matches at home and look set to continue that good run of form into the new season given that Odense only managed to pick up 4 victories on the road in their last campaign.
Considering the hosts were undefeated in their last 8 home matches last season, winning 7 and drawing 1 and have had positive pre-season results, winning two of their three matches, everything points to a home victory tonight. Odds of around 7/10 are available with Betfair Sportsbook on a home win but I’d be looking to give the odds a slight boost by either backing Midtjylland -1 (2/1) or Midtjylland Win & BTTS (5/2). 5 of the last 6 encounters between these two sides have seen both teams find the net and Odense have scored in their last 7 games.
Midtjylland -1 is what I’ll be backing tonight though as despite conceding 26 goals in 16 matches on their travels last season, they only let in a total of 7 goals in as many games at home. They had the best defensive record by a clear margin on home turf in the Superliga last term and I expect them to be similarly solid heading into the new season.
|Midtjylland v Odense|
Italy v England – Sunday 8pm
England have made it to their first ever European Championship final and face what will most likely be their toughest match of the tournament so far on Sunday when they’ll play Italy at Wembley Stadium.
Italy have undoubtedly had the tougher route to the final having to progress past the likes of Belgium and Spain in the knockout stages. However, Germany and Denmark were no pushovers for England and in my opinion, the two best teams of the tournament have made it to the final stage.
Both sides were forced to play over 90 minutes in their semi-final clashes with Italy progressing past Spain on penalties and Harry Kane finding the winner for England against Denmark in extra time. Although Italy’s fast-paced football and duo of extra time periods may result in some fatigue, there’s no doubt that both sides will be up for this match and put any tiredness to one side until after the final whistle has blown.
Onto the bets…
We’ll be taking advantage of the following betting offers for the final:
As much as I respect Italy, I can’t bring myself to bet against England in this match. If they play at their best, which they have done for the majority of the tournament, I think that they’ll be a good match for the Italians and I can see the match ending in a draw. However, I can see Italy starting strong and wanting to get the first goal. Therefore, my £10 free bet from Bet365 will be placed on the HT/FT market of Italy/Draw @ 16/1. I think 1-0 at halftime is a likely score and I’m hoping England have enough to come out in the second half to level the score which if they do, should slow the game down somewhat and play out into extra time.
Moving onto the Boylesports offer from which stakes are refunded as free bets if they lose, I’m backing a price boost on Harry Maguire to Score a Header @ 16/1. Maguire has had shots on target with his head in every match that he has featured in at Euro 2020 and so I believe this bet usually has value when boosted.
For the Betfred offer, I’m again going for a bit of a long shot. I’m backing England to Win From Behind & Kane to Score Last @ 25/1. As mentioned, I think Italy will start the game at a fast pace and more likely to get the first goal. If England can come back then Harry Kane will likely to play a part in that and he’s almost certain to be on the pitch until the final whistle.
Finally, I’m backing a huge price boost with Sky Bet who are offering odds of 3/1 on England To Win in 90 minutes. It’s a bet that’s hard to turn down at those odds. Although I wouldn’t back England to win in normal time at 6/4, the 3/1 has huge value and not one to miss.
Should another betting offer come about, I’d recommend looking at a team to win on penalties. If the match ends in a draw, neither side will be pushing too hard in extra time as they won’t want to risk conceding and so I fancy England to win on penalties @ 17/2. Although it would cause nationwide stress for a short period, it would be the perfect way for England to win the tournament given Southgate’s miss in the semi-finals of Euro ‘96 against Germany.
Southgate has transformed his England squad into an exciting proposition with players who have proved their ability at both ends of the pitch. The England manager has got his tactics spot on so far in the tournament and the majority of us are starting to have faith in his decisions and will trust any that he makes on Sunday night.
Can England end 55 years of hurt in front of over 60,000 fans in London? Let’s hope so.
All eyes will be on the final of Euro 2020 on Sunday evening as England take on Italy at Wembley in a bid to end 55 years of hurt for the nation. However, earlier in the day, at 1 am in fact, another final takes place a mere 5763 miles away with Brazil and Argentina facing each other in the finale of the 2021 Copa America. It’s a final many were hoping to see with several of the world’s best players set to feature such as Neymar & Lionel Messi.
Brazil v Argentina – Sunday 01:00
Brazil take on Argentina on home turf with the match being played at the Maracana Stadium in Rio de Janeiro which gives the 6-time Copa America winners (or 9-time winners if you include the South American Championship era) the home advantage on Sunday. They were the bookies’ favourites prior to the tournament beginning and are priced at just over evens to go all the way this weekend.
Tite’s side got their campaign off to the perfect start with three consecutive victories in the opening fixtures. They were unable to maintain a perfect record after a surprising 1-1 draw against Ecuador in their final group stage match but progressed as winners of their group and picked up 1-0 wins against Chile and Peru in the quarters and semis to reach the final.
Argentina dominated the Copa America when it was known as the South American Championship up until 1975 where they won the tournament an impressive 12 times from 29 appearances. Since then, they have only managed to claim the trophy 3 times with the last being back in 1994 when they beat Mexico 2-1 in Ecuador. However, Argentina have made the final of Copa America in 4 of the last 6 tournaments, two of which were against Brazil who they lost on penalties to in 2004 and 3-0 in 2007.
La Albiceleste also topped their group and despite having a slightly earlier route to the final and will be tough opposition for the hosts. Especially with Lionel Messi in their side who has already picked up four goals in the tournament so far.
Brazil will be without Gabriel Jesus for the final as the Manchester City forward serves a two-match suspension for the red card he received for a dangerous challenge on Chile’s Eugenio Mena in their quarter-final clash but he will be replaced by Lucas Paqueta who has scored the winning goal in both of Brazil’s knockout matches in recent days.
Can Argentina end a 27-year wait to lift the Copa America trophy on Sunday? It’s a very tough match to call with both sides having world-class players with the ability to score goals. However, Brazil have proved to be more solid at the back and I expect them to edge it very slightly.
These two sides have played each other on 107 occasions but only in four finals to date. Three of those were in the final of the Copa America with Brazil winning two of them. I’m backing Brazil to claim another victory on Sunday but also both teams to find the net which is priced at 9/2 with Bet365. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Messi fire in a free kick which could happen early on in the match and so I’m also having a small 0.5pt wager on Brazil to win the match from behind at odds of 14/1.
Close but no cigar last night as Spain were unable to find a late winner. They did come back from a goal down as expected but as they’ve shown throughout the tournament, their finishing wasn’t quite good enough to put away the chances that they created. Another great game of football though which has sent Italy into the final to face either England or Denmark which will be determined tonight at Wembley.
England v Denmark – Wednesday 8pm
England have never had a better chance to make it through to the final of a major tournament. Although they’re expected to progress, they shouldn’t take the Danes for granted as they are a very good side but after England’s exit from the World Cup at the hands of Croatia three years ago, I have no doubt that Southgate and every one of the players will be focussed on the task at hand and not be looking ahead to a possible first-ever European Championships final for the Three Lions.
Other than their opening match against Finland, Denmark have had a relatively solid tournament so far. They suffered a 2-1 defeat to Belgium but put four past both Russia and Wales and reached the semis following a 2-1 win against Czech Republic. Getting past England will no doubt be a tougher task for the Danes but they’ll be up for it and have several players who are a threat in front of goal including Kasper Dolberg who has found the net three times in the tournament so far.
England once again have the home advantage with the fixture taking place at Wembley. Although their performances in the earlier stages of the tournament weren’t fully convincing, they have remained a solid unit under Southgate and impressively, haven’t conceded a single goal at this years tournament. That’s a stat that you can’t ignore and a big reason to be backing England to progress tonight. Thankfully, things have improved significantly at the other end of the pitch with Harry Kane picking up his first goal of Euro 2020 against Germany which lead to a much improved performance from the England number 9 against Ukraine on Saturday. Those four goals that England put past Ukrainian goalkeeper Heorhiy Bushchan will give them confidence that they can win tonight’s match within 90 minutes which would be the preferred outcome for Southgate’s side.
As usual, there are several betting offers available for tonight’s game, some of which can be found below.
For the Boylesports offer, I’m backing Sterling to Score Anytime & England to Win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 which has been boosted from 5/1 to 6/1. I imagine it will be a much tougher match for England than when they played Ukraine and so if they win, a 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline does look likely and although Sterling didn’t find the net against Ukraine, he has been a key player and a threat in front of goal throughout the competition.
Betfred are again running their money-back offer on losing #PickYourPunt bets for the England match and it’s a great offer to take advantage of. Again, I’m backing England to Win but including BTTS also. Denmark do have threats going forward and desipte Englands defensive record in the tournament so far, I think this is the game that they may concede in. You can back England & BTTS @ 3/1 and get your stake back as a free bet if it loses.
William Hill are offering a £5 free bet when placing a £5 #YourOdds bet. For this, I’m going for England to Win & Harry Maguire to have 1+ Shots on Target. Maguire found the net against Ukraine and had a couple of chances against Germany in the game prior. I expect he’ll be up there for the set pieces and corners again and I think odds of 3/1 are more than fair.
SkyBet have a huge price boost available and are offering odds of 3/1 on Kane to score anytime, boosted from just evens. It’s a no-brainer bet given that Kane has scored in England’s last two matches and looked sharp against Ukraine on Saturday. He’ll be eager to get on the scoresheet again to help England through to the final but also to edge one step closer to picking up the Top Goalscorer award for which he needs two more goals to match the tally of five achieved by Cristiano Ronaldo and Patrik Schick.
Another winner last night in the Copa America Semi-Final continues the good run of form and I hope we can find some winners tonight in the first semi-final of Euro 2020 between Italy and Spain.
Italy v Spain – Tuesday 8pm
The majority of tipsters and people I’ve spoken to are backing Italy tonight. It’s not surprising given their impressive performances defensively and they’ve proved their ability at the other end of the pitch also. They’re up against a Spain side that creates a lot of chances but have repeatedly wasted many of them and are in no way as solid at the back which will likely result in chances for Roberto Mancini’s side. However, I have some doubts about the Italians in tonight’s match. I’m a big fan of Italy and tipped them ante-post to make it to the semis @ 2/1. I also have a personal wager on them to go all the way but I think this could be one of their toughest matches. Spain aren’t the best team they’ve faced in this competition but there were signs of them tiring against Belgium on Friday night. One factor in their success in this tournament so far is their determination to close the ball down when the opposition has it and to break quickly when the ball is at their feet. The result is very fast-paced and exhausting performances from the Italians and they’ve done extremely well to keep up that style of football through to this stage of the tournament. In their match against Belgium, Italy made five substitutions in the final 15 minutes. Some may put this down to time-wasting which was evident in many ways towards the end of the match but it was clear to see that several players were tiring and cramping up. They’ve had four days to fully recover from that match and only time will tell whether that will be enough.
Due to those events towards the end of their last match, I’m not going to back Italy to win in 90 minutes tonight. However, as Spain have conceded against Switzerland and 3 goals against Croatia, I do expect them to get on the scoresheet. I’m tempted to take a punt on Spain to win the match and you can get odds of 6/1 for them to do that with both teams scoring.
Bet365 are handing out £10 free bets for this match and as no qualifying bet is required, I’m going to take a punt on Spain to win from behind @ 14/1. Italy will no doubt start strong but if they tire as they did against Belgium, Spain could find a way back into this match, but only if they improve on finishing their chances.
Secondly, Parimatch are offering £10 in free bets when placing £20 worth of bets on the semi-final fixtures. I’m going to split the qualifying bet into two £10 bets with one going on Italy’s Marco Verratti to make an assist @ 5/1 and the other on Spain to Win & BTTS @ 6/1. Verratti has two assists in Italy’s last three matches, one of which included setting up Nicolò Barella for their opening goal against Belgium last week. He’s been impressive so far in the tournament and at 5/1, I think the PSG midfielder is a good bet to take his assist tally to 3 for the tournament.
Although at quite high odds, I think these bets have value and with no qualifying bet required for the Bet365 bet and receiving a £10 free bet from Parimatch for placing the two bets, the overall risk is minimal.
Brazil v Peru – Tuesday 00:00
Whilst Europe is engrossed in the European Championships, South America has all eyes on the Copa America which concludes on Sunday, the same day as the Euro 2020 final.
Semi-final fixtures get underway tonight with Brazil taking on Peru in Rio de Janeiro with the winner set to face either Argentina or Colombia in the final.
These two sides have already met in the competition this year with Brazil coming out on top as 4-0 winners in the opening fixture of the tournament. They also met in the 2019 Copa America final where Brazil again got the better of Peru with a convincing 3-1 victory. In fact, from the 49 times these two sides have met, Brazil have only lost 5 times. Everything is pointing to another victory for Tite’s side but is there any value in backing them?
A 1-0 victory against Chile on Saturday saw Brazil make it through to the semi’s but it wasn’t the convincing display fans would have liked to have seen. Chile were 12/1 outsiders for the win but got the better of Brazil in the stat department by recording more possession, more attempts on goal, more corners and more passes. However, some of those stats may have been enhanced by the dismissal of Manchester City’s Gabriel Jesus who received a red card in the 48th minute for a high kick to the face of Chile’s Eugenio Mena. Jesus will miss tonight’s match due to suspension.
Peru reached this stage of the tournament following a thrilling 3-3 draw with Paraguay which saw them lead twice but concede in the final minute to send the match to a penalty shootout. It was a game that also featured a red card after Peru winger Andre Carrillo was dismissed with 5 minutes to go after receiving his second yellow. He’ll be a big miss for the underdogs tonight given that he has been a key player throughout the tournament and found the net against both Ecuador and Venezuela.
Brazil have been extremely good defensively of late which was proved when they held on for a 1-0 victory against Chile with 10 men on Saturday. They’ve conceded just two goals in their last nine matches and with Carrillo missing for Peru, they’re unlikely to feel the pressure too much in front of their own goal tonight. Brazil to win to nil is at a best price of 4/6 but I would rather back Brazil to win & Under 3.5 goals at a bigger price of 5/6 with Boylesports. As I don’t expect Peru to have many chances, I think this is a safer bet with Brazil averaging just 1.33 goals in their last 3 games.
It was another exhilarating night of football that saw Switzerland go frustratingly close to knocking out Spain but ultimately couldn’t hold their nerve from the penalty spot. However, the Swiss coming back from being 1-0 down at half time to draw level by the final whistle meant that our huge 19/1 selection landed. The double of BTTS in the Spain game and Italy to beat Belgium also came in at a healthy 3.80/1, making it a great day for anyone following the tips.
Euro 2020 quarter-final fixtures conclude tonight with Czech Republic v Denmark at 5pm and England v Ukraine at 8pm. I’m going to stay away from the Denmark game from a betting perspective as although I think they should win, the Czechs could cause an upset. Also, there are several betting offers available for the England match and so I’ll be putting all my focus into hopefully backing some winners in that game.
Ukraine v England – Saturday 8pm
England will rarely get a better chance to make it through to the semi-finals of the European Championships than they have tonight as they meet Ukraine at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome and if they succeed, it will be their first semi-final appearance in the competition for 25 years. Southgate’s side are unbeaten in the tournament and with Kane finally getting on the scoresheet against Germany earlier in the week, things are looking promising from an attacking point of view as well.
Ukraine have done well to make it this far and managed to see off a relatively good Sweden side. However, it could have gone either way in that match and Sweden were unlucky not to finish the game off having hit the woodwork a number of times and generally being the better team throughout the match.
It would be a huge shock if England didn’t progress tonight and not many will be betting against them. Odds of 4/9 on England have shortened in the past couple of days and although I fully expect them to win without the need for extra time or penalties, I’m not going to back them in normal time as I don’t see a huge amount of value.
There are several betting offers available for the England v Ukraine match with some of the stand-out ones being:
My first selection is with Boylesports and I’ll be taking an advantage of a price boost. They’re offering odds of 10/3 on England to win 2-0 or 3-0, boosted from 11/4, which is an increase of over 15%. 2-0 or 3-0, in my opinion, is the most likely score as England are yet to concede in the competition and Kane along with Sterling should be able to cause the Ukraine back line some trouble. I expect England to dominate possession and so I wouldn’t be surprised to see Ukraines chances limited and for England to win to nil.
For the £5 free bet with Bet365, I’m simply backing England/England in the HT/FT market. They’re not huge odds at 1.2/1 but I do think that England will manage to find just their second first-half goal of the tournament tonight and I expect them to go on and win the match so it seems like a sensible bet, albeit not producing a huge return.
I’ll also be taking Betfred up on their £10 risk-free #PickYourPunt bet. Betfred’s #PickYourPunt odds are generally very poor but as the offer makes it essentially risk-free, it’s worth having a punt. For this bet, I’m backing England to Win, Over 1.5 Goals and Harry Kane to score first. I think England will find the net more than once tonight and with Kane grabbing a goal late on against Germany, he should have the confidence to get in more promising positions against Ukraine which should result in more chances.
Lastly, I’ve spotted a nice price boost at SkyBet which I think has value. I was planning on stopping with the last selection but this one has caught my eye. Sky have boosted the odds on Harry Maguire to score a header in 90 minutes from 14/1 to a healthy 20/1 which is a boost of 40%! The Manchester United centre-back only has 3 goals at a senior international level to his name but 60% of his 10 goals in the Premier League have come off his head. He had a couple of chances in the match against Germany and I expect him to be up for the corners again tonight. Odds of 20/1 are definitely worth a punt and we’ll receive a £5 free bet for placing it also.
England have made it through to the quarter-finals of Euro 2020 after defeating Germany 2-0 thanks to goals from Raheem Sterling and Harry Kane. A half-time goalless draw and Sterling’s second half strike resulted in two of our 5/1 bets coming in on Tuesday evening which gave our Euro 2020 profit a nice boost and brought the overall ROI for bets throughout the tournament to a healthy 72%+.
The quarter-finals of the tournament get underway tonight with Switzerland taking on Spain in Saint Petersburg and Belgium up against Italy in Munich. Both are very tricky fixtures but I’ve picked out a double that I think has some potential.
Switzerland v Spain – Friday 17:00
Both of these two sides reached this stage of the tournament following 3-3 draws in the previous round. For Spain, they conceded two late goals in their match against Croatia but managed to progress with two goals in extra time to win the match 5-3. Switzerland achieved an impressive comeback against the tournament favourites, France, with goals in the 84th and 90th minutes to force the game into extra time and eventually penalties where they came out on top after Mbappe was unable to put the ball past Swiss goalkeeper, Yann Sommer.
Spain are the bookies favourites being priced at 7/10 to win and 2/7 to progress but it should be a tough game for them and I don’t have full confidence in them at those odds. You can get 5/1 on Switzerland winning in 90 minutes or 5/2 for them to qualify which is what I’d be backing if I was to pick a winner from the match. However, I think a better bet is simply to back both teams to score which you can get odds of evens for. I’ll be putting this is a double this week along with a selection from the later kick-off.
Another bet that I like in this match is from the HT/FT market. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the match end in a draw but as both sides have proven that they can score goals when needed, I think there is value in backing one team to be leading at half time and the game ending all square. Odds of 19/1 are available on Switzerland/Draw and also on Spain/Draw and I’d suggest a small 0.5pt bet on both which would return a nice profit.
Belgium v Italy – Friday 20:00
This is another very tough match to call. Although, my prediction has been made easier due to the absence of both Kevin De Bruyne and Eden Hazard who Belgium manager Roberto Martinez has said will likely miss the match due to injury. Hazard is the more likely of the two to recover in time but if he can’t, it’s a huge blow for the Red Devils as they have played their part in Belgium getting this far in the tournament. They were 1-0 down at half time against Denmark and both players were brought on in the second half and went on to score to eventually win the match 2-1. Whether they can create enough chances without Hazard and De Bruyne to break down a solid Italy team is yet to be seen but I think that they may struggle. Italy conceded their first goal in 12 games against Austria on Saturday but they won their previous 11 matches to nil and scored 32 goals in the process. They’re stats that you can’t ignore and I find it hard to bet against Italy right now which is why I’m backing them to win.
Odds of are 7/5 available on Italy to beat Belgium and coupled with BTTS in the earlier match, you can get combined odds of 3.92/1 for the double and receive a £5 free bet from Betfair Sportsbook when placing the bet there.
However, I would recommend waiting until the lineups have been released before placing this bet. Should Hazard and De Bruyne feature, I would prefer to back the draw in the double which you can get odds of 5.1/1 for with SportNation.
Well, what a night of football that was! Two 3-3 draws, two sets of extra time and a penalty shootout that resulted in the favourites, France, exiting the competition at the hands of Switzerland. Teams seem to be opening up a lot more in the knockout stage and providing a lot more entertainment than we saw in the group matches so let’s hope for more of that tonight.
There are a string of betting offers available for the England v Germany match tonight and so it makes sense to incorporate some of them into today’s selections.
Here is a list of some of the available betting offers:
England v Germany – Tuesday 5pm
Based on how other last 16 fixtures have panned out, who knows how this game will go tonight. The logical thought is that England will play in their usual style, trying to retain possession and control the game. If so, a 1-0 scoreline wouldn’t be out of the question. After all, that is the score by England have won 4 of their last 5 matches. However, Germany did manage to put 4 past Portugal and 2 against Hungary and so England may need to up their game from an attacking point of view tonight if they want to win the match in 90 minutes. I think the safer bet here would be to back England Draw No Bet. I don’t think anyone would be surprised to see the match head into extra time but hopefully not penalties given that England have only won 2 of their 8 shootouts in the Euros & World Cup whereas Germany have won 6 of their 7.
It makes sense to take advantage of some of the available betting offers for this match and so I’m going to save my Draw No Bet selection for a double with the later game and pick out some slightly higher odds bets for the Boylesports, Paddy Power and Betfred offers.
Boylesports £10 No-Lose Bet: With this offer, our stake will be refunded as a free bet up to £10 if it loses. I’m going to back England to win and Sterling to score anytime which has been boosted from 4/1 to 5/1. Sterling found the net against both Croatia and Czech Republic in the group games and seems to be one of the main threats from close range in the box. With Harry Kane short of chances at the moment, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him get on the scoresheet again tonight.
Paddy Power £5 Free Bet Builder: Again, I’m going to put my faith in Raheem Sterling and back him to register 1 or more Shots on Target and also to get an assist. At 8.85/1, it seems to have reasonable value.
Betfred £10 Risk-Free #PickYourPunt: For this risk-free bet, I’m backing Draw/England in the HT/FT market along with Under 3.5 goals. England will likely not want a box-to-box match and will be happy with the usual 1-0 scoreline we have become accustomed to. If so, a draw at half time is likely and I’m hoping that they can find a winner in the second half. You can get #PickYourPunt odds of 5/1 with Betfred.
Sweden v Ukraine – Tuesday 8pm
Sweden have won 8 of their last 10 matches and had a great result against Poland last week when a 94th minute goal from Viktor Claesson sealed a 3-2 win for them. That result meant that they have been drawn against Ukraine and given them a huge chance to progress to the quarter-finals, a stage that they reached at the 2018 World Cup.
Ukraine lost 2 of their 3 matches in the group stage, managing just a 2-1 victory against North Macedonia. Although they too will see this as a favourable draw, I think Sweden will be the team to progress and I’m backing them to do it within 90 minutes.
I’ll be putting a Sweden victory in a double today along with England Draw No Bet which you can get odds of just over 3/1 with Betfair Sportsbook and receive a £5 free bet for doing so.
There haven’t been many upsets so far in the tournament but Czech Republic knocking out Netherlands with a 2-0 victory last night was surely one of them. They went into the match as 5/1 underdogs but a second-half straight red for centre-back Matthijs de Ligt put the Netherlands on the back foot and the Czechs had the quality to take advantage of that. Unfortunately, it meant that our 3/1 double didn’t come in despite Belgium beating Portugal as expected but we’ll move onto today and hope to get back to winning ways.
Croatia v Spain – Monday 17:00
Spain finally got their tournament going on Wednesday with a 5-0 thrashing of Slovakia in Sevilla which will no doubt help their confidence heading into the knockout stages. Before that match, they were struggling to convert their chances and were looking at a possible early exit from the competition. They’re up against a Croatia side tonight who finished second in Group D but have not been performing well at all. Zlatko Dalić’s side have lost 50% of their last 12 matches and haven’t put in a performance at Euro 2020 yet that will convince many that they’ll progress to the quarter-finals tonight. They haven’t shown much of a threat in front of goal which will be a worry for them given that Spain have kept a clean sheet in three of their last four and are unbeaten in their last 11.
Providing Spain can create chances in the final third, I’m confident that they’ll have too much for Croatia in tonight’s early game which would see them set for a tough quarter-final fixture against either France or Switzerland towards the end of the week.
France v Switzerland – Monday 20:00
France are still the bookies favourites to win Euro 2020 at a quite short price of 4/1. They’ll face some potentially tough matches on the route to the final, starting with Switzerland tonight. Didier Deschamps’s side haven’t lit up Euro 2020 as some were expecting but they are still a very good team with some of the worlds best players. They’ll be happy with their last 16 draw and are expected to progress, possibly with ease, tonight.
Switzerland have never made it past the last 16 of the Euro’s and only scraped through to this stage thanks to a win against a poor Turkey side. Tonight’s opponents will be a much thoughter test for the Swiss and I expect them to struggle to contain the attacking talent of the likes of Mbappe, Benzema and Griezman. A big win for France will give them a lot of confidence heading into the quarter-finals where they could meet Spain and this could be the opportunity to do just that.
I’ll be placing the win double with Betfair Sportsbook in order to receive a £5 free bet for doing so but I’ll also be taking advantage of the Betfred offer that is available on tonight’s matches from which you can receive a refund if your #PickYourPunt bet doesn’t come in. For this, I’m backing France to score 2 or more goals and both teams not to score in the match.
|Euro 2020 Tips|
|Spain / France||1.6/1||Visit|
|France over 1.5 Goals|
& BTTS - No
Refund if it loses
Yesterday’s fixtures saw both Denmark and Italy progress as expected but as Wales could find a way onto the scoresheet and Italy left it until extra time to step up their game, our selections came up short this time.
Today, I’ll be suggesting a straight double and placing the bet with Betfair Sportsbook in order to receive another £5 free bet regardless of the result.
Be sure to log into your Bet365 account today if you have one as they are giving away free bets of up to £50 on the Portugal v Belgium match to selected customers.
Netherlands v Czech Republic – Sunday 17:00
After a somewhat disappointing build-up to Euro 2020 which included a 4-2 loss to Turkey and only a 2-2 draw against Scotland, the Dutch picked up maximum points in their group matches to progress to the knockout stages as winners. If they beat Czech Republic tonight, it will be their first knockout stage victory since 2004 and see them face Denmark in the quarter-finals next week.
Netherlands trio Wijnaldum, Depay and Dumfries bagged 7 of the teams 8 goals in the group stages and with all set to feature tonight, goals are expected from Frank de Boer’s side.
I expect Netherlands to win tonight but they are up against a relatively solid Czech side who only conceded twice in their three group matches. I’m not fully confident of Netherlands running away with the game or for them to win to nil and so I’m backing a straightforward win for Oranje Holland.
Belgium v Portugal – Sunday 20:00
What a match this could be. Both sides found the net no less than 7 times in their group matches and face each other in the hope to progress into the quarter-finals to meet Italy late next week.
Belgium, the world’s #1 ranked team, are looking good with wins under their belt against Russia, Denmark and Finland so far. Lukaku, De Bruyne and Hazard have all found the net for Roberto Martínez’s side and will look to take advantage of a somewhat fragile Portugal back line that leaked 6 goals in the group stage.
Portugal’s defence is worrying, especially when they’re going up against some of the best attacking players in the world tonight, but they do look dangerous themselves on the counter with Cristiano Ronaldo already netting 5 of their 7 goals in the tournament so far.
Portugal won this tournament back in 2016 without winning a single group stage match or looking particularly convincing in general. There’s no doubt that they’re a better team this time around but they’ll do well to outscore tonight’s opponents who many will expect to find the net at least once.
Considering the two teams have 14 goals, shared equally, between them so far this tournament, the obvious bet would be on both teams to score. However, given Portugal’s two goals against France were penalties, I’m going to back a simple Belgium win and add it in a double with Netherlands at combined odds of 3.2/1 which I think is reasonable. I’ll be placing this bet with Betfair Sportsbook in order to qualify for a £5 free bet regardless of the outcome.
|Euro 2020 Double 27/06/2021|
|Netherlands / Belgium||2.9/1||Visit|
16 teams remain in Euro 2020 as the knockout stages get underway today with Wales v Denmark and Austria taking on one of the favourites, Italy.
Wales v Denmark – Saturday 17:00
Wales have done extremely well to make it through to the knockout stages having picked up 3 points in their group and finishing 2nd only on goal difference. Their determination has shown so far in this tournament and no doubt helped them progress by only conceding one goal against a relentless Italy side in their last group stage match.
Tonight, they’re up against a Denmark side who won just one of their group stage matches but scored 5 goals in the process. They got their campaign off to a terrible start with a shock 1-0 defeat to Finland but qualified on goal difference thanks to their 4-1 thrashing of Russia on Monday.
Despite only picking up one win in the group stage, Denmark shouldn’t be underestimated and they seem to have found their feet a bit and showing the quality that many expected of them in this tournament. Similar to Wales, Denmark have conceded in every match so far at Euro 2020 and so Wales could be in with a fair chance of finding the net tonight.
I expect both sides to have their chances in this match but with Denmark having the highest expected goals in all of their group matches and being 2nd in that category only to the Netherlands in the tournament so far, I can see them outscoring Wales and progressing into the next round where they’ll face either Netherlands or Czech Republic.
Betfred are offering a £5 risk-free #PickYourPunt bet on this match. Place your bet and if it loses, your stake will be refunded as a free bet up to £5.
|Wales v Denmark|
|Denmark & BTTS||9/2||Visit|
Italy v Austria – Saturday 20:00
After a string of impressive performances, Italy have moved up to the bookies 3rd favourite to lift the trophy at Euro 2020. Roberto Mancini’s side are now unbeaten in their last 30 matches which is staggering but perhaps even more impressive is that they have won their last eleven games without conceding a single goal and scoring 32 in the process.
Although Austria found the net four times in their group matches, three of those were against North Macedonia and they have failed to score in four of their last six. They haven’t looked hugely threatening in front of goal and they’re going to find it a tough task to get past what is one of the most solid defences in the world at the moment.
It’s hard to envision anything other than Italy winning this match and given their record over the last 2.5 years, it’s likely that they’ll continue their solid defensive display and win to nil.
|Italy v Austria|
|Italy to win to Nil||6/5||Visit|
England couldn’t find a second goal last night which would have landed our England -1 bet but Grealish did provide the assist for Sterling’s goal which meant that our 5.15/1 Bet Builder bet with Paddy Power came in and produced a good return.
There are two matches from Group E and two from Group F taking place today which will conclude the group stage fixtures of Euro 2020 and lead us into the last 16 round next week.
Betfred are offering money-back on #PickYourPunt bets for the Portugal v France match which we will be taking advantage of along with claiming a £5 free bet from Betfair Sportsbook for placing a double.
Sweden v Poland – Wednesday 17:00
Although this will likely be a very close match, I think Sweden could edge it. Poland need to win to be in with a chance of progressing to the next stage and even if they do pick up maximum points, they will likely progress as one of the best 3rd placed teams given that Spain are expected to win against Slovakia tonight. A draw would be enough for Sweden to claim one of the top two spots but they will be confident of topping the group given that Poland haven’t beaten them since 1999. Poland have also won only one of their last nine matches and haven’t created many chances in front of goal to look like winning many games at this years tournament.
I can’t see either team running away with the match but I do think that Sweden possess more quality. However, given the current standings and the fact that Sweden will most likely set themselves up defensively to ensure a draw, I’m backing the somewhat safer option of Sweden Draw No Bet which is just shy of evens with most bookies.
Portugal v France – Wednesday 20:00
This could be one of the games of the tournament so far and a huge test for both sides. Portugal need at least a point from tonight’s game and I fully expect them to play their usual counter-attack style of football which has helped them find the net five times in their first two games. Although they kept a clean sheet against Hungary, they conceded four goals against Germany in their last outing which is a worry for them given the attacking talent France possess. I can’t see them holding off France tonight and I’d expect them to get on the scoresheet at least once. If they do, they might find it tough getting back into the game and so I think the value is in backing France to win at odds of around 5/4.
The double on Sweden (Draw No Bet) and France to Win comes in at 3/1 with Betfair Sportsbook and we’ll receive a £5 free bet regardless of the result from their promotion.
|Euro 2020 Double|
|Sweden v Poland||Sweden Draw No Bet||Visit|
|Portugal v France||France|
|Double @ 3/1 + £5 Free Bet|
For the Betfred #PickYourPunt refund offer, I’m backing France to score two or more goals and both teams to score. I think Portugal will play cautiously but they’re always a threat on the counter-attack and if they do go behind at any point in the game, they’re going to have to push forward to rescue a crucial point that they need. Whether a single goal for them will be enough to get anything from the game is yet to be seen but there is a good chance that they’ll find the net tonight.
|Portugal v France|
|France Over 1.5 Goals|
Both Teams to Score
Refund if it loses
England are back in action tonight as they take on the Czech Republic at Wembley Stadium. Southgate’s side have already qualified for the knockout stages thanks to Belgium and Denmark winning last night which means that they are guaranteed at least a third-place finish which is enough to see them progress. However, they’ll want to win tonight regardless and if they do, it could see them lined up to possibly play Germany or Portugal depending on how the final matches of Group F play out tomorrow evening.
Again, there are several bookmaker offers available for the England match and it makes sense to take advantage of them and incorporate them into today’s bets.
Czech Republic v England – Tuesday 20:00
Both sides are guaranteed a place in the last 16 of the tournament but neither will be holding back as it’s still unclear as to who each will play should they finish 1st or 2nd in the group. Personally, I think the best option would be to finish top of the group which would likely see England face a tougher last 16 fixture against most likely Germany or possibly Portugal but an easier route to the final afterwards. It would also likely mean that they are drawn into opposite sides to the likes of France, Italy and Spain who they would only meet in the final if they made it that far. However, there are still a lot of uncertainties as we don’t know how other matches will play out and so all England can do is play to win to raise their confidence heading into the next round.
Southgate will be feeling the pressure in this match following his sides lacklustre performance against Scotland at the weekend and whether or not he will make any changes to the starting lineup is yet to be seen. Mason Mount will miss the game due to isolating after coming into close contact with Scotland’s Billy Gilmour and we could see Phil Foden sit this one out due to being a card away from suspension. Card penalties reset after the quarter-finals and so he may be replaced with Grealish in today’s starting XI. If Grealish does start, it will delight many England fans and he should hopefully create the chances for Kane that the England number 9 has been lacking so far in the tournament.
England beat the Czech Republic 5-0 in qualification for the Euros at Wembley and although they lost the return leg 2-1, I do fully expect England to react to their disappointing display against Scotland by picking up all three points tonight. Should Grealish start, which I expect him to with the absence of Mount and possibly Foden, I think they’ll have a lot more chances in front of goal and get on the scoresheet more than once with Kane hopefully bagging his first goal of the tournament.
Boylesports are running their £10 No-Lose bet on tonight’s match which means that stakes are refunded as free bets should they lose. I’ll also be taking advantage of the £5 free bets available at both Paddy Power and Bet365 which require no qualifying bets.
For the Boylesports offer, I’m backing the same selection as I did against Scotland and hopefully, this time it will come in. Kane to score anytime and England to win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 has been boosted from 3/1 to 4/1 which I think is a good bet.
18+. IRE & UK mobile customers only. Customer must place a bet of up to £/€10 to qualify. Max Free Bet £/€10. 1st pre-live single only on any market in the Newcastle v Tottenham match, 17/10/2021. One qualifying bet per match (first bet placed). Free/void/cashed out bets won't qualify. On losing selections only. Free Bet will expire after 7 days. T&Cs apply.
18+. IRE & UK mobile customers only. Customer must place a bet of up to £/€10 to qualify. Max Free Bet £/€10. 1st pre-live single only on any market in the Newcastle v Tottenham match, 17/10/2021. One qualifying bet per match (first bet placed). Free/void/cashed out bets won't qualify. On losing selections only. Free Bet will expire after 7 days. T&Cs apply.
The Paddy Power offer is a £5 free bet to use on BetBuilder markets with two or more selections. For this bet, I’m backing Sterling to have one or more Shots on Target and also Jack Grealish to make an assist @ 5.15/1. If you are following this tip, I suggest waiting for the lineup to be announced and if Grealish doesn’t start, swap him for Sterling to assist which is slightly better odds at 6.32/1.
Lastly, Bet365 are handing out £5 free bets to use on any market and for this bet, I’m going for a simple England -1 bet at a price of 6/4 as I expect them to create a lot more chances tonight than they have done in previous games.
|Czech Republic v England|
|Kane Anytime Scorer &|
England win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1
Refund if it loses
|Sterling Over 0.5 SOT &|
Grealish Anytime Assist
£5 Free Bet
£5 Free Bet
My continued faith in Turkey didn’t pay off yesterday as they fell to a 3-1 defeat at the hands of Switzerland. However, both teams found the net and Shaquiri bagged not one but two goals which meant that the 5/2 BetBuilder with Betfred came in and made it another profitable day.
Four matches, two from Group C at 5pm and two from Group B at 8pm, take place today. I don’t see much value in the Finland v Belgium and North Macedonia v Netherlands matches and so I’ll be concentrating on the other two games.
Ukraine v Austria – Monday 17:00
Both sides have picked up 3 points in their first two group matches with wins against North Macedonia and defeats to the Netherlands. However, it has been Ukraine who have impressed more in the tournament so far and they narrowly missed out on a virtual point in their opening match against the Netherlands after levelling the score following going 2-0 down only to concede in the final 5 minutes. A draw would more than likely result in both sides progressing which could produce a cagey game. Therefore, I’m backing Ukraine Draw No Bet at just shy of evens in a double today along with a selection from the Russia v Denmark game.
Russia v Denmark – Monday 20:00
Denmark were expected to do relatively well in this tournament but a shock 1-0 defeat to Finland in their opening match didn’t get them off to the best of starts and they were unable to get anything from a good Belgium side despite a relatively solid performance. They’re rightly favourites for the match but at odds of around 7/10 to win, I don’t see any value in backing them.
Russia, who currently have 3 points, will likely need just a draw today to progress into the knockout stages, which similar to the Ukraine v Austria match, could result in quite a defensive set up. They’ve avoided defeat in 75% of their last 24 matches and are a relatively big price of 4/1 to win today. I’m not confident that they’ll run away with the game given that they’ll be happy with a draw and Denmark need to win but I think there’s value in Backing the Draw No Bet again with them at odds of 11/4.
A double Draw No Bet on Ukraine and Russia comes in at an attractive 5.77/1 with Unibet which will be my bet of the day.
|Euro 2020 Double|
|Ukraine v Austria||Ukraine Draw No Bet||Visit|
|Russia v Denmark||Russia Draw No Bet|
|Double @ 5.77/1 with Unibet|
Yesterday’s matches didn’t quite go to plan with Hungary and Poland each picking up a point in 1-1 draws against France and Spain. There are two matches taking place today but I’ll be focussing on the slightly more tricky fixture of Switzerland v Turkey.
Switzerland v Turkey – Sunday 17:00
As we head into the final fixtures of the group stages, all matches kick-off at the same time which means that you’ll have to decide which game you want to watch the most. Italy v Wales could be a great match but not great from a betting perspective in my opinion. Italy are rightly the favourites and it’s difficult to see anything other than another win for Roberto Mancini’s at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome, but they’re relatively short and so I’d look to add to win to nil or win & BTTS to the bet to boost the odds. However, despite Italy not conceding in their last 10 matches, I’m not overly confident that Wales won’t be able to find the net and so I’m going to leave this match today.
Instead, I’m focussing on Switzerland v Turkey which is a much tougher match to predict. Both sides are without a win at Euro 2020 so far and both need to pick up 3 points today to stand a chance of progressing. If there is a winner today, due to the goal difference between Switzerland and Wales, it’s like that should they progress, it will be via the route of one of the best 3rd placed teams.
Turkey were tipped to do well in this tournament and conceded just three times and kept eight clean sheets throughout their 10 qualifying matches for Euro 2020. However, they have been disappointing against Italy (3-0) and Wales (2-0) and have one last chance today of matching expectations.
Switzerland were also beaten 3-0 by Italy but did manage a 1-1 draw against Wales in their opening fixture. They’ll be looking for just their 3rd win at the European Championships in 16 fixtures and the bookies have them as odds-on favourites to do so.
Despite the Swiss being tipped to pick up all three points, I see this as a much more even match than the odds suggest. You can get odds of 9/2 with SpreadEx on Turkey to win which I think is overpriced and so it’s what I’ll be backing today. They’ll have to address concerns at both ends of the pitch if they are to get anything out of the game but at odds of 9/2, I’m willing to take that chance.
Betfred are also offering your stake back as a free bet up to £5 on #PickYourPunt bets for this match and worth taking advantage of. For this bet, I’m going to back Shaqiri to score anytime and both teams to find the net. Along with Turkey, it’s likely that Switzerland will be adopting a slightly more attacking approach today and with Shaqiri sitting just behind the two Swiss forwards, I think he’ll have a good chance of finding the net today. The odds for this double are a little short but it’s essentially risk-free with the refund offer available.
|Switzerland v Turkey|
|Turkey to win||9/2||Visit|
|Xherdan Shaqiri anytime scorer & BTTS||5/2|
Money Back if it Loses
It wasn’t a scoreline anyone was expecting last night in the England v Scotland match and although Scotland did extremely well, it was the lacklustre performance from the hosts at Wembley that was the main cause of the stalemate. I’ve said before that England don’t create enough chances and if they go behind in games, or are put under a lot of pressure like they were last night, they can struggle to get back into matches and find a way to win them. In a way, I’m pleased they didn’t manage to find a winner late on in the game as hopefully, this will be a wake up call for Southgate that he’s going to have to have a Plan B when their usual tactics aren’t working. In last night’s game, he didn’t have one.
Thankfully, yesterday’s bets were refunded due to the excellent offers from Boylesports and Betfred that are available on all England games throughout the tournament.
For today’s selection, I’m going to give the Portugal v Germany game a miss. It could be a great one to watch but I’m struggling to pick a winner or a score and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a 1-0 either way or a 1-1. Instead, I’m backing the favourites in the other two games but for both to win by two or more goals.
Hungary v France – Saturday 14:00
Hungary managed to hold off Portugal for 84 minutes on Tuesday evening but after a deflected shot from Raphaël Guerreiro found it’s way into the back of the net, it opened up the floodgates for 3 goals inside just eight minutes. Portugal should have opened up the scoring prior to that and if France manage to do that this afternoon, I wouldn’t be surprised to see them find the net 2 or 3 times.
I expect a dominant performance from France today and with the likes of Kante, Griezman, Pogba, Benzema and Mbappe on the attack, a comfortable win should be on the cards.
Spain v Poland – Saturday 20:00
Spain could only manage a disappointing goalless draw in their opening match against Sweden on Monday despite dominating the game with 75% possession. Luis Enrique’s side also had 17 attempts on goal, 5 of which were on target but they seemed to lack the finishing touch. I expect Spain to dominate again today but be more clinical in front of goal. They should get their chances against a relatively poor Poland side who have conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches and despite them having possibly the best striker in the world playing for them in Robert Lewandowski, they shouldn’t pose too much of a threat to Spain given their lack of quality in providing him with chances which showed against Slovakia on Monday in a match that they lost 2-1.
You can back the double with Betfair Sportsbook at odds of 2.84/1 and receive a £5 free bet for doing so, regardless of the result.
|Euro 2020 Double|
|France v Hungary||France -1||Visit|
|Spain v Poland||Spain -1|
|Double @ 2.84/1 + £5 free bet|
Two of our three selections in our patent bet came in yesterday. It could have been a huge return of 62 points should Austria have found a goal against the Netherlands last night but they didn’t look sharp in front of goal and were disappointing as a whole.
Today is the day many England fans have been waiting for as they take on Scotland at Wembley. It’s probably not a great game for betting given the short odds on England as you would expect, but as there are several betting offers available for the match and this column is all about finding value, I will be making a couple of selections which have minimal risk.
England v Scotland – Friday 20:00
England’s last defeat came against Belgium in the UEFA Nations League back in November. Since then, Southgate’s side has won seven in a row and only conceded one goal. It’s hard to bet against England winning to nil but Scotland do pose a threat up front and there’s no question they’ll be up for this game. Their 2-0 defeat to the Czech Republic in their opening fixture wasn’t really reflective on how they performed and the scoreline could have quite easily been the opposite way around. I expect England to retain possession tonight to limit Scotland’s chances but I’m not fully confident that they won’t find the net.
There are two betting offers that I’ll be taking advantage of today for the England v Scotland match. The first is the £10 risk-free #PickYourPunt bet offer from Betfred and the second is the £10 risk-free bet from Boylesports. Both are excellent offers and available on every England match throughout the tournament.
For my #PickYourPunt selection, I’m backing England to win as I can’t see any other outcome in this match. However, to boost the odds up a bit, I’m also predicting Scotland to find the net. They had their chances against the Czech Republic and ultimately didn’t get on the scoresheet due to poor finishing. If they can improve on that today, they’ll have a decent chance of bagging a goal and the odds of 5/2 on that are pretty good. If this bet loses, we’ll get our stake back as a free bet so it’s somewhat risk-free.
Applies to customers first losing PickYourPunt Builder bet on any England Euro 2020 Championship game after 09:30 05/06/21. One Free Bet per customer per England game. Min 50p & Max £10 in Free Bets within 24 hours of bet settlement. Full T&Cs Apply.
Secondly, I’m backing a price boost with Boylesports which is eligible for their £10 risk-free offer which will boost the value of the bet even further. Boylesports have boosted Kane to score & England to win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 from 3/1 to 4/1 which seems like a probable outcome and obviously, Kane is a likely scorer having found the net in all eight of England’s qualifying games for Euro 2020.
18+. IRE & UK mobile customers only. Customer must place a bet of up to £/€10 to qualify. Max Free Bet £/€10. 1st pre-live single only on any market in the Newcastle v Tottenham match, 17/10/2021. One qualifying bet per match (first bet placed). Free/void/cashed out bets won't qualify. On losing selections only. Free Bet will expire after 7 days. T&Cs apply.
If you have accounts with either Paddy Power or Bet365, I suggest logging in as they are both handing out £5 free bets to use on the England match without any qualifying bet needed.
|England v Scotland|
|England Win & BTTS||5/2|
(£10 Risk Free #PickYourPunt Bet)
|Kane to score &|
England Win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1
(£10 Risk-Free Bet)
We were extremely close to yesterday’s treble coming in at just shy of 5/1. Both Russia and Italy did their job but Turkey couldn’t find a way past Wales for the BTTS selection. They had their chances but just lacked the quality and patience in front of goal which I wasn’t expecting from them in this tournament. However, fair play to Wales and it’s great to see them with a more than likely chance of making it through to the next stage of the tournament.
Onto today’s matches…
Today, I’m going to mix things up a bit and instead of a straight treble, I’m suggesting a Patent bet which consists of three singles, three doubles and a treble. If two of the three come in, we’ll return a good profit and jackpot if all three land.
Ukraine v North Macedonia – Thursday 14:00
The first game of today’s Euro 2020 fixtures sees Ukraine take on North Macedonia in Bucharest which is almost bang in the middle of the two countries. Both sides lost their opening matches but still have it all to play for today as Austria face a tough test against the Netherlands this evening.
For Ukraine, a late winner from Netherlands right-back Denzel Dumfries resulted in a 3-2 defeat but they showed fight after coming back from 2-0 down in the second half. Their attacking threat of Yarmolenko and Yaremchuk should be enough to see Ukraine find the net at least once today but there are concerns with their defence which could see North Macedonia get on the scoresheet also.
Despite losing 3-1 to Austria on Sunday, North Macedonia showed good spirit and went out to win that match. I don’t expect them to sit back today either and given Ukraine’s flaws at the back, it wouldn’t be surprised to see the ball find the net.
I’m backing Ukraine to win in the early fixture but also both teams to score at a price of 3/1.
Denmark v Belgium – Thursday 17:00
Romelu Lukaku showed why he was one of the bookies favourites for the Golden Boot in this tournament when he found the net either side of half time on Saturday against Russia. It was the perfect start for Belgium and I expect them, and Lukaku, to be on form again today against Denmark.
Denmark’s campaign got off to a sad start when they suffered a shock 1-0 defeat to Finland on Saturday. It was a result that was overshadowed by the incident with Cristian Eriksen and although emotions may have settled in the squad by today, I think Belgium will have too much for them which would cement them to the bottom of the group heading into their final match against Russia on Monday.
Denmark are a very good side but odds of evens on Belgium are just too good to turn down.
Netherlands v Austria – Thursday 20:00
The final fixture of the day sees Austria travel to the Johan Cruijff Arena in Amsterdam to face the Netherlands who have a good shot at progressing after narrowly beating Ukraine 3-2 at the weekend. However, the fact that they conceded two goals within four minutes in that match shows that they are vulnerable and considering Austria should need a point at a minimum their remaining two group games to progress, I think that they could find a way onto the scoresheet today.
I’m backing goals today in this match with the Netherlands to pick up all three points but both teams to score at odds of 11/5.
|Euro 2020 Patent|
|Ukraine v North Macedonia||Ukraine & BTTS||Visit|
|Denmark v Belgium||Belgium to win|
|Netherlands v Austria||Netherlands & BTTS|
|Patent bet (3 singles, 3 doubles, 1 treble)
Combined odds of 24/1
A great set of results yesterday meant that the 2.78/1 double landed along with receiving a £5 free bet for placing it with Betfair Sportsbook. Portugal left it late, scoring three goals within the final six minutes but it was a fair result considering how they dominated the game. It took an unfortunate own goal from Mats Hummels to separate France and Germany but a win nevertheless and one that helped boost the ROI of our footy tips since the beginning of May to just shy of 20%.
We’re back to three fixtures today and there are a couple of tricky ones based on the outcome of the opening games. However, I have picked out a few selections which caught my eye and hopefully we’ll continue the winning streak into tomorrow.
Finland v Russia – Wednesday 14:00
Finland got their first-ever European Championships campaign off to the perfect start on Saturday evening when they surprisingly beat Denmark 1-0 in Copenhagen. However, due to the circumstances of that game with the incident involving Christian Eriksen, I don’t think it was a true and fair reflection on what the result would have been should the incident not have happened. Denmark dominated that match and also missed a penalty and although Finland’s confidence will be high heading into this game, I think that Russia will have enough to find the net at least once.
Russia’s opening fixture was against the worlds #1 ranked team, Belgium, in a match that they lost 3-0. Today’s opponents won’t pose so much of a threat and considering Russia have the home advantage with the match being played in Saint Petersburg, I think that they’ll have too much for the visitors who will likely take a cautious approach given that a point should see them through to the knockout stages of the tournament.
Turkey v Wales – Wednesday 17:00
Turkey were the dark horses in this tournament and were strongly fancied by many, including myself, to do well. They didn’t really get going in the opening match of Euro 2020 against Italy which was a slight disappointment but you have to consider how good Italy were in that game.
Wales picked up a very good point against Switzerland on Saturday but to be honest, they could have lost that game by 2-3 goals if it wasn’t for some excellent saves from Danny Ward.
I do fancy Turkey to win today but I think I need to see something more than they showed against Italy to be fully confident in backing them. Therefore, I’m including Both Teams to Score in my treble today which you can just just over evens for and will give the Acca a nice boost.
Italy v Switzerland – Wednesday – 20:00
There’s no denying Italy were excellent against Turkey on Friday and it’s hard not to back them against the majority of teams. However, Switzerland, despite only managing a 1-1 draw against Wales, are a very good side and could cause problems for them.
Italy again have the home advantage tonight with the match taking place at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome which will no doubt give them a boost. They have proven to be very solid at the back in a string of recent matches and I think they should be able to limit Switzerlands chances in front of goal. However, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Swiss get on the scoresheet today but I think they will be outscored. Either way, I think this will be a thrilling match to end the day with.
The treble of Russia to Win, Turkey & Wales Both to Score & Italy to win comes in a 4.86/1 with Betfair and we’ll once again pick up the daily £5 free bet you can claim when placing a multiple with them.
|Euro 2020 Treble|
|Finland v Russia||Russia to win||Visit|
|Turkey v Wales||Both Teams to Score|
|Italy v Switzerland||Italy to Win|
|1pt bet @ 4.86/1 + £5 Free Bet|
Well, yesterday’s tip didn’t come in with Scotland losing 2-0 to the Czech Republic. It was a game that could have quite easily ended with the score reversed as Scotland did put in a good performance and had chances themselves. In the end it took a brace from Czech forward Patrik Schick, including a sensational goal from just past the half way line, to lock in 3 points for the away side.
Moving onto today and there are only two matches taking place from Group F which is possibly the toughest group of the six. I’ll be backing a simple double from these matches to qualify for a £5 free bet from Betfair regardless of whether or not it comes in.
Hungary v Portugal – Tuesday 17:00
Hungary qualifying for Euro 2020 meant that they will play in their first major tournament in 30 years. Unfortunately for them, they’ve been drawn into a group not many will be expecting them to progress from and they’ll be facing the reigning champions in their opening match tonight in Budapest. The home advantage will give the hosts a slight boost but they’ve never beaten Portugal in 13 attempts and have failed to put a goal past them in five of their last six meetings. They’re also missing their star man, RB Leipzig midfielder Dominik Szoboszlai, who was key to Hungary creating chances.
Portugal head into Euro 2020 in an attempt to be only the second country ever to win consecutive European Championships. There’s no doubt that they are a better side than they were when they won the tournament in 2016 and if they can progress from the group, they’ll be in with a realistic chance of retaining their title. Fernando Santos’s side have lost just one of their last fifteen matches, during which time they picked up 0-0 draws against Spain (twice) and France as well as beating the likes of Croatia and Sweden comfortably on two occasions each.
A good start is essential Portugal with tough fixtures against Germany and France lined up and I expect them to do just that against Hungary tonight.
France v Germany – Tuesday 20:00
This is the biggest fixture of the tournament so far and sees two of the favourites face each other in Munich. The World Cup holders France will want to go one better this time around after dominating the 2016 final against Portugal but suffering an unexpected 1-0 defeat in extra time. Their attacking talent is second to none with the likes of Mbappe, Benzema and Griezmann all likely to feature in their starting XI. They’re unbeaten against Germany in their last five meetings and although they’re playing away tonight, the bookies do have them as slight favourites, and rightly so.
Although Germany aren’t the dominating force that they once were, they’re still a very good side and can cause trouble for the best of teams. Other than their 7-1 thrashing of Latvia in their most recent outing, their Euro 2020 preparations didn’t go quite to plan with only managing a 1-1 draw against Denmark and suffering a shock 2-1 defeat to the hands of North Macedonia at the end of March.
It’s likely that Griezmann could feature in a deeper role for France tonight, playing behind Benzema and Mbappe who will be supported by the likes of Pogba, Tolisso and Kante in midfield. They also have match-winners on the bench should they need them with Olivier Giroud the most likely to be called upon if goals are needed late on in the game.
I think there is value in backing France tonight at odds of 17/10 and so they’ll be going in my double today along with Portugal.
|Euro 2020 Double|
|Hungary v Portugal||Portugal to win||Visit|
|France v Germany||France to Win|
|1pt bet @ 2.78/1 + £5 Free Bet|
England got their Euro 2020 campaign off to a great start yesterday with a 1-0 win against Croatia and as the score was all square at half-time, our HT/FT bet came in at 3/1. North Macedonia couldn’t add to our winning bets as they, unfortunately, lost 3-1 to Austria but they played exactly how I imagined they would and went out to win it.
Three matches take place again today but to keep things simple, I’m going to be focussing on just one game.
Scotland v Czech Republic – Monday 14:00
It’s Scotland’s first major tournament since the 1998 World Cup and if they are to progress into the knockout stages, they’ll surely see this match as their best chance of picking up points. It’s a match neither side can afford to lose but I’m backing Scotland to edge the win and set themselves up to potentially grab a point against Croatia or England for a chance to progress.
This afternoons match is being played at Hampden Park in Glasgow which gives Scotland the home advantage and was a big factor in deciding to back them today since they haven’t lost a match on home turf since September 2019. The hosts have had some good results in preparation for the tournament including a 2-2 draw with the Netherlands. They’ve also beaten today’s opponents in their last three meetings, including twice last year both home and away.
Being beaten twice in 2020 by Scotland won’t give the Czech Republic much confidence heading into this match and playing at Hampden Park will only add to their worries since they’ve lost four of their last five matches on the road without scoring a goal.
I don’t see Scotland running away with this match but at odds of 7/4, it’s a good enough price to back them to sneak the win. I’ll also be putting a small wager on the hosts to be winning at half-time given that they’ve scored the opener within 30 minutes in their last three matches and found the net in the first half in their last four meetings against the Czech Republic.
|Scotland v Czech Republic|
If you don’t have an account with William Hill and fancy following today’s tip, they are offering enhanced odds of 60/1 for Scotland to win today which is a huge offer. Click below to claim the enhanced odds which are only available when registering a new account using a mobile device.
18+. Play Safe. New customers using EPS60. Mobile only. Applies to bets placed from 09:00 on 28th May 2021 until 14:00 on 14th June 2021. Max £1 bet at 60/1. Returns paid as 6 x £10 free bets (30 day expiry). Player & currency restrictions & terms apply.
18+. Play Safe. New customers using EPS60. Mobile only. Applies to bets placed from 09:00 on 28th May 2021 until 14:00 on 14th June 2021. Max £1 bet at 60/1. Returns paid as 6 x £10 free bets (30 day expiry). Player & currency restrictions & terms apply.
Today is the day England fans have been waiting for as Southgate’s side line up against Croatia in their first match of Euro 2020. England will be seeking revenge after being knocked out of the 2018 World Cup by today’s opponents but I expect it to be a similar performance from the Three Lions as we have become accustomed to under Southgate.
This should be the toughest match in the group stage for both sides with wins expected against Scotland and the Czech Republic and so a draw is definitely possible. However, England do have the home advantage with the match being played at Wembley and their record there since their exit from the 2018 World Cup has seen them win 15 of their 17 matches. That coupled with Croatia losing four of their last six on the road, should sway you towards an England victory today. I’m not 100% confident in England just yet and I’d like to see them play this first match before backing them with a big stake in the tournament but I will be having a bet on the match due to the betting offers that are available that essentially makes the bets risk-free.
Firstly, Boylesports are running their No Lose Bet promotion for England Croatia which is a no-brainer. Place a £10 bet on any market and if it loses, you’ll get your stake back as a free bet.
For this offer, I’ll simply be backing Harry Kane to score anytime at odds of 1.1/1 so we’ll get over double our stake back if he finds the net and a refund as a free bet if he doesn’t which we can use on another selection. Kane scored at least once in every one of England’s eight qualifiers for the Euros and if anyone is to score today, you’d expect it to be him either from open play or the penalty spot.
|England v Croatia|
|Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer||1.1/1||Visit|
Secondly, Bet365 are giving customers a £5 bet completely free to use on the match. Just log into your account and it should be there waiting for you.
The England lineup hasn’t been announced yet and so this market isn’t available at the time of writing but if Jack Grealish starts, I fancy him to get an assist. He’s been excellent for England in recent matches and he looks to create chances every time he gets the ball. You should be able to get odds of around 4/1 or greater on him today but wait for the lineup to be announced first.
If Grealish doesn’t start, I’ll be putting my £5 free bet on the HT/FT market and backing Draw/England. I’m not expecting England to come out firing from the start and a slow build-up with the aim of retaining possession is probably what Southgate will want in the early stages of the match. 3/1 is reasonable for this bet and it’s a risk-free chance of making £15 profit.
|England v Croatia|
|Jack Grealish to Assist|
(If he starts)
The other two matches are tough to call. However, I’m going to take a punt with a very small wager and hope that it pays off.
Austria vs North Macedonia – Sunday 17:00
North Macedonia make history as they play in their first-ever European Championships as an independent nation. They qualified via winning the UEFA Nations League playoffs and coach Igor Angelovski has stated that his goal is to guide his side through to the knockout stages. In my opinion, they have a chance of doing so with their group consisting of Ukraine and a slightly unpredictable Netherlands along with tonight’s opponents and given that they have scored 12 goals in their last four matches, they could start by picking up points this evening, especially since two of those goals came in a shock 2-1 away win to Germany in their World Cup qualifying match at the end of March.
Austria are a solid team and did relatively well in their 1-0 defeat to England. However, they haven’t scored in their last three matches which will be a concern for them heading into the tournament.
I’m going to take a punt with a small stake on a shock win for North Macedonia given that I expect them to go out all guns blazing. If they do, they could outscore Austria and get their first-ever Euro campaign off to the perfect start. Splitting a 1pt stake between the win & win & both teams to score is my bet today, albeit a rather risky one.
|Austria vs North Macedonia|
|North Macedonia & BTTS||12/1||Visit|
|0.5pt bet on each|
Well, what a game that was. Or should I say, what a performance from Italy! Two of the three possible bets came in from this game – Firstly, the boost on Italy to win at Evens was great value and doubled our money, and secondly, Immobile delivered for me and bagged the first goal. Well, technically it was the second goal but as the first was an own goal, it doesn’t count in the first goalscorer market and so Immobile @ a tidy 9/2 was a great bet to land. It’s also a great start for my 22/1 bet on him to be the tournaments top scorer!
Ok, so a great start to Euro 2020 from a betting perspective. Now onto day two…
Three matches take place today which isn’t enough to qualify for any of the Acca Insurance offers around but we can again receive a £5 free bet should we place our bet with Betfair Sportsbook. We need to include just two selections to qualify for the free bet but I’m going to take a punt on the treble as I think there’s a reasonable chance of all three coming in.
Wales v Switzerland – 14:00 Saturday
The first Euro 2020 match of the weekend sees Wales take on Switzerland in the somewhat neutral venue of the Baku Olympic Stadium in Azerbaijan. Along with England and Scotland, I’d really love to see Wales do well in this competition but they’ll do well to match their semi-final finish of 2016 and this time around, I think they’ll do well to get out of their group. As I pointed out in my Euro 2020 ante post bets below, I have high hopes for both Italy and Turkey in this years competition and their first match against the other team in their group, Switzerland, will be no easy feat either.
Switzerland head into the Euros on the back of six consecutive victories. Prior to that, they had a bad spell in the UEFA Nations League where they won only one of their eight matches. However, of the four matches that they lost, they were only beaten by one goal and those defeats came against the likes of Croatia, Spain and Belgium who are considered superior opponents to Wales.
Wales on the other hand haven’t had the best warm-up matches for Euro 2020 as they lost 3-0 to France and only managed a disappointing goalless draw against Albania. The absence of manager Ryan Giggs due to his court case won’t help Wales in this tournament either as he has been replaced by the relatively inexperienced Rob Page who has only managed lower-tier clubs.
This is a huge match for both sides as they are expected to battle it out for third place and hope to qualify through that route to the knockout stages. It should be a relatively close match but I do think that Switzerland can edge it and I expect them to win by a narrow margin.
At odds of 6/5 with 888Sport, they will give the Acca a nice boost.
Denmark v Finland – 17:00 Saturday
Denmark host Finland in their first match of Euro 2020 at the Parken Stadium which gives the hosts the home advantage, although they shouldn’t really need it against Finland who head into their first ever European Championships.
Denmark are a good side who are hard to beat. They held England to a 0-0 draw at this stadium back in September before beating them 1-0 a month later. They also picked up a solid 1-1 draw against Germany just a week ago in their preparation match and have now lost just twice in their last 28 matches with both those defeats being inflicted by Belgium.
Finland on the other hand are winless in their last six matches where they failed to beat the likes of Estonia (1-0), Wales (3-1), Bosnia and Herzegovina (2-2) and others. They’re in a tough group along with Belgium and Russia and it’s hard to see them picking up any points in the tournament.
I expect Demark to continue their excellent run of form at home which has seen them pick up five consecutive wins, scoring 18 goals and conceding just once.
They’re ½ to win today and a good addition to the accumulator in my opinion.
Belgium v Russia – 20:00 Saturday
Belgium are currently ¾ to beat Russia tonight which, considering how well they’re expected to do in the tournament, seem pretty generous odds. However, they’re effectively playing an away game with the match being held at the Gazprom Arena in Saint Petersburg and Russia are a half-decent side who can trouble the best of teams. They showed how well they can play on home turf when they finished second in their group in the 2018 World Cup and were only denied a place in the quarter-finals against Croatia when beaten 4-3 on penalties. A result that could have played a huge impact on England’s route to the final that year.
Despite my respect for the Russian side, I’m still backing Belgium to come out on top in tonight’s match. They beat them both home (3-1) and away (4-1) in qualification for this tournament and although they haven’t been as convincing in front of goal as one would hope in their most recent matches against Greece (1-1) and Croatia (1-0), I do think that they’ll step it up in the tournament.
Odds of ¾ on Belgium to win gives us combined odds of 4.54/1 for the treble.
|Turkey v Italy|
|Wales v Switzerland||Switzerland to Win||Visit|
|Denmark v Finland||Denmark to Win|
|Belgium v Russia||Belgium to Win|
|1pt treble @ 4.54/1 + £5 Free Bet|
Well, the time has finally come. Euro 2020 gets underway tonight with Turkey facing Italy in Rome in what could be one of the most underrated matches of the tournament. When the fixtures were first released some time ago, I was slightly underwhelmed with the opening fixture. However, I’ve been thinking about it more over recent weeks and I think it could be a cracker of a game.
Italy’s odds on winning Euro 2020 have been shortening over the past week. Roberto Mancini’s side were 11/1 just a week ago but the best price on them now to win their second European Championship is 8/1 as people become more aware of their recent form and how Mancini has developed the squad since taking over in 2018. The Azzurri haven’t lost any of their last 27 matches (W22, D5) with their last defeat being at the hands of Portugal (1-0) in their UEFA Nations League match almost 3 years ago. They’re also not shy of goals either having bagged a total of 25 goals in their last eight games without conceding any. That’s an incredibly impressive stat for any national team and gives reasoning to their odds shortening over recent days.
They’re up against a Turkey side who could quite possibly be one of the most underrated teams in the tournament. They too aren’t shy in front of goal and have averaged 2.2 goals per game in their last 10 matches which included an impressive 4-2 victory over the Netherlands. Unlike Italy, Turkey aren’t so solid at the back and are prone to leaking a few goals, even against lesser opposition. However, they’ve found the net two or more times in 9 of their last 12 matches and so clearly have an attacking threat. Turkey manager Senol Gunes has drafted in a young and energetic side who are capable of creating chances against the bigger teams and who will be feeding the ball to veteran striker Burak Yilmaz who heads into the Euros in terrific form having bagged 16 goals in 28 appearances domestically for Ligue 1 side Lille. He also managed a hat-trick in his sides 4-2 demolishing of the Netherlands in March. Having lost just one of their last thirteen matches, Turkey, if they in their best form, should give Italy a run for their money tonight and odds of 15/2 for them to win the match are pretty generous in my opinion.
I find it hard to back Italy tonight at odds of just 1/2 given how Turkey have proved themselves in recent matches against top opposition but I’ve come across a price boost from bookmaker Boylesports that I’ll be taking advantage of as well as suggesting a couple of small wagers.
My first selection is simply on Italy to win. As mentioned, I wouldn’t back them at 1/2 but Boylesports are offering DOUBLE the odds with a max stake of £10. Evens on Italy is worth taking advantage of considering their unbeaten form and the fact that they’ll be playing in Rome tonight which will undoubtedly give them an advantage over the visitors.
|Turkey v Italy|
|Italy to win||1/1|
My second bet goes against what many are predicting as I’m expecting both teams to find the net tonight. As our top tipster, Matt Le Tissier said in his recent article, opening fixtures of major competitions such as Euro 2020 can be cagey affairs with neither side wanting to lose and this can often lead to a lack of goals. However, in my opinion, both Italy and Turkey will definitey want to get on the scoresheet tonight. Italy look like they’re enjoying their games currently and Turkey’s youthful players have something to prove in this tournament which should mean that they’ll play to impress. You can back both teams to score at odds of 11/8 with Betfair Sportsbook which I think are generous odds should Turkey get going from the off.
|Turkey v Italy|
|Both Teams To Score||11/8||Visit|
Finally, I’m going to two small wagers on the first goalscorer. Ciro Immobile is the obvious choice for me as the Lazio striker has scored 20 goals this season for his club and found the net in three of his last four appearances for the Azzurri. As I mentioned in my Euro 2020 ante-post tips, should Italy do well, I think Immobile could be a good shout for the tournaments top scorer. He was 22/1 on Wednesday when I tipped him but his odds have shortened slightly to 20/1 which I think still have value.
|Turkey v Italy|
|Ciro Immobile To Score First||9/2||Visit|
Secondly, I can’t ignore Turkey’s 35 year old star striker Burak Yılmaz. If Turkey come our raring to go, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him bag the first goal and at best odds of 12/1 with Betway, there’s surely value in backing a striker to score first at those odds.
|Turkey v Italy|
|Burak Yılmaz To Score First||12/1||Visit|
Good luck and enjoy the next month of football!
A disappointing result yesterday saw Hungary draw 0-0 with Ireland which meant that we didn’t make it three consecutive winning days. I caught the first half of the match and Hungary were all over them. A great save from Ireland’s young goalkeeper Gavin Bazunu, followed by a goalline clearance meant that both teams went into the tunnel at halftime goalless, and the resilience of Ireland in the second half paid off so fair play to them on this occasion.
There isn’t much football being played anywhere in the world today so I thought it would be the perfect opportunity to share my thoughts on Euro 2020 since it is only days away. There are also some great Euro 2020 Betting Offers available and as this column is all about finding value in bets, I’ll be sharing a few of them to incorporate into my tips to hopefully return a decent profit over the next month.
To begin with, I’ll be taking a look at the Overall Winner market of Euro 2020.
France – France have leapfrogged England in recent days as the bookies favourites to win Euro 2020 and personally, I can’t understand why they were’nt the top pick from the start. Granted, England are playing a lot of their group stage matches and potential knock-out stage matches at Wembley which should give them an advantage but the quality in the French team far outweighs any other in my opinion. Players such as Kylian Mbappé, Wissam Ben Yedder, Ousmane Dembele, N’Golo Kanté and Kurt Zouma are world-class and they’ve already proved themselves in big tournaments by winning the World Cup back in 2018. Even Antoine Griezmann, who found the net in their friendly last night against Bulgaria, could shine despite having a relatively poor season and ending up on the bench at Barcelona. In fact, if Griezmann gets game time, I think he could be a good shout at the tournaments top scorer at some tasty odds of 25/1 with Bet365.
|Euro 2020 Winner|
Although I do agree that France are the favourites, odds of 9/2 are quite short. You could probably back them at close to evens should they meet one of the other top teams along the way which would be a better option. However, I am confident that they’ll make it through to the later stages of the tournament and so I’m going to make use of the betting offer below from William Hill from which I’ll receive a £5 free bet for every match France win in the group stages when betting just £10 on the winner. If they win all their group stage games then that’s £15 in free bets from a £10 stake regardless of whether they win the tournament.
First single bet on the Euro 2020 Tournament Winner market qualifies. Bonus paid as a £5 free bet (expires after 4 days). Online and shop (Plus Card Holders) only. Other terms apply.
First single bet on the Euro 2020 Tournament Winner market qualifies. Bonus paid as a £5 free bet (expires after 4 days). Online and shop (Plus Card Holders) only. Other terms apply.
Although I’ve backed France to win the tournament, a more attractive bet is on two teams to reach the semi-finals. I’m a big fan of both Italy and Turkey at the moment and given how my predictor chart has panned out (see below), I feel that they have some of the better routes to that stage.
Italy – Italy are in terrific form heading into the tournament and are unbeaten in their last 27 matches. Their last 8 matches have resulted in 8 consecutive victories, scoring 25 goals and not conceding a single one. Roberto Mancini has transformed the squad since taking over as coach in 2018 and they are now looking like a solid team who are playing as if they enjoy it.
You could have backed Italy to win Euro 2020 at 11/1 a few days ago but they have shortened to a best price of 9/1 now. They could face some tough opposition if they top their group and so I think a small wager on them to reach the semis at 2/1 is a better bet.
|Euro 2020 To Reach Semi Finals|
Turkey – Turkey have seemed to go under the radar of most Euro 2020 predictions I’ve read, but they are a quality team. They will have to be in their best form to progress in the tournament but if they are, I’d back them to see off the likes of Russia and Portugal on the road to the semis, especially at a price of 8/1 with 888Sport.
|Euro 2020 To Reach Semi Finals|
If you wanted to go one further, you can back them at 25/1 to reach the final with William Hill.
There are a lot of big names in this year’s Euros and numerous contenders for the Golden Boot award. However, past winners have showed that your best bet is backing a player playing for a team that will reach the later stages of the tournament.
Players such as Robert Lewandowski, who scored an impressive 41 goals this season for Bayern Munich, may seem like good value at odds of 25/1 but how far will Poland progress?
So, looking at the teams that I think will do well, I’ve picked out a few possible contenders, but before I get into them, if you are backing a top scorer at Euro 2020, Sporting Index are giving away a £5 free bet every time you chosen player scores when you bet £25 on them. Alternatively, you may wish to place your bet with Paddy Power who are offering a £1 free bet every time your player has a shot on target throughout the tournament when you bet just £10.
Min qualifying stake £25. E/W bets will not count. Eligibility criteria applies.
Min qualifying stake £25. E/W bets will not count. Eligibility criteria applies.
Opt-in to take part in the promotions. Applies to the first bet placed on the Euro 2020 Outright Top Goalscorer market only. Applies to bets placed from 12pm May 29th to 7.59pm June 11th. Singles only. Max free bet £1 per shot on target your selection has throughout the tournament. T&C's apply.
Opt-in to take part in the promotions. Applies to the first bet placed on the Euro 2020 Outright Top Goalscorer market only. Applies to bets placed from 12pm May 29th to 7.59pm June 11th. Singles only. Max free bet £1 per shot on target your selection has throughout the tournament. T&C's apply.
Kylian Mbappe is currently 11/1 with Unibet to be the top goalscorer at Euro 2020 which I think has value considering Harry Kane is a short 5/1. France should do well and Mbappe is their key man up front. The only slight doubt is that France have so many options up front and players from all positions that can score that I’m not 100% confident the majority of the goals will go to Mbappe. However, at 11/1, I think he’s worth a small bet.
If Italy do well, Ciro Immobile is more than likely to find the net at least a few times. Italy have been scoring for fun lately and so I’d expect him to get on the scoresheet when they do. He’s netted 20 for Lazio this season and is currently an attractive 22/1 to score the most goals at Euro 2020.
Another outsider bet is France’s Antoine Griezmann who is currently 25/1 to bag the most goals. There are doubts whether he will start every game and so I wouldn’t go all in on him. However, if he starts against Germany in France’s opening fixture, and he manages to score, I think he could feature in future matches which would see his odds shorten dramatically.
I’d suggest perhaps waiting to see if Griezmann is in France’s starting XI against Germany and if he is, get on it while the price is still there!
|Euro 2020 Top Scorer|
Yesterday’s tip came in with flying colours as Jonkopings beat Akropolis 4-1 in the Swedish Superettan and the Faroe Islands comfortably saw off Liechtenstein by 5 goals to 1. That 5/2 winner made it two in a row and increased our overall ROI for the season to over 10%. Today, I’m hoping to make it a hat trick of wins to continue the good run as we head into the Euros later this week.
The majority of my bets lately have been doubles to take advantage of the £5 free bet that is available daily when placing them with Betfair but there will be bigger Accas to come throughout Euro 2020 when more fixtures are taking place. We can then look to take advantage of some of the Acca Insurance offers that are available as well as some of the excellent Euro 2020 Betting Offers that have already been released.
Hungary v Republic of Ireland – Tuesday 19:00
My first selection today is Hungary to beat the Republic of Ireland tonight in their friendly fixture.
Hungary are 750/1 to win the Euros which are some of the biggest odds you can get on any team. That may give you the impression that they’re a poor side but those odds are more reflective of the group that they’ve landed in which contains the likes of France, Germany and Portugal. They’ll do well to get out of the group stage but tonight’s opponents aren’t really comparable to who they are set to face over the coming weeks.
I actually quite like Hungary and have been impressed with what I’ve seen of them over the past year. They’re unbeaten in their last 10 matches, winning 7 of them and drawing 3 and many of the points they have picked up were against decent opposition such as Poland, Russia and Turkey who I rate very highly. Despite being a friendly and the hosts missing RB Leipzig midfielder Dominik Szoboszlai, this is their final fixture before heading into their Euro 2020 campaign and they will be eager to keep spirits high and extend their longest ever unbeaten run with victory tonight.
The Republic of Ireland sadly were unable to qualify for this years European Championships and given their form, it’s hardly surprising. Stephen Kenny’s side have registered just 1 win in their last 13 matches which came from their last outing away to Andora. However, the visitors struggle in front of goal and being up against a side who have found the net 13 times in their last 5 matches, I find it hard to envision them outscoring Hungary tonight.
At odds of 7/5 for a Hungary with Betfred, I think there is a lot of value here.
France v Bulgaria – Tuesday 20:10
I was considering just a single on Hungary tonight but it seems logical to include a ‘banker’ in a double so that we again qualify for the £5 free bet Betfair offers daily when placing a bet with two or more selections. For my second leg, I’m of course backing France to beat Bulgaria in another international friendly.
Odds on France are as you would expect, very short at just 1/9 but as I’m only including it to qualify for the free bet, the odds are somewhat irrelevant.
There’s not much explanation needed for this selection with France being the current World Cup holders and one of the strong favourites to go all the way at Euro 2020. They’ve only lost once in their last 19 matches and haven’t conceded in their last three. Compare that to Bulgaria’s record of 2 wins in their last 29 and you can understand why the hosts are such heavy favourites.
Today’s double comes in at 1.42/1 with Betfair. You can get odds of 1.64/1 with Betfred but I prefer to take the slightly lower odds and lock in that guarantee of a £5 free bet regardless of the result to add value to the bet.
|Hungry v Republic of Ireland||Hungry Win||Visit|
|France v Bulgaria||France Win|
|1 Point Bet @ 1.42/1 + a £5 Free Bet|
It was back to winning ways yesterday thanks to both England and Scotland winning their friendlies 1-0 against Romania and Luxembourg. That bet returned 1.28 points + a £5 free bet for placing it with Betfair which is an offer I’ll be taking advantage of almost daily whilst there is a somewhat lack of fixtures taking place.
As we draw closer to the start of Euro 2020 (only 4 days to go!), the international fixtures wind down and so other than one match which I’ll be including in my double today, I’ll be heading to the Swedish Superettan for the second leg.
Jonkopings v Akropolis – Monday 18:00
Betting on the Swedish second division isn’t something I do often but today’s selection should boost the odds of the double and has a reasonable chance of coming in.
With just 9 games played so far this season, Jonkopings sit ninth in the league with the hosts having mixed results so far this term. However, two recent victories against 3rd placed Sundsvall and 4th placed Landskrona will have boosted their confidence heading into this match and helped them on their way to improve on their 3rd place finish that they achieved last season. Their achievements last season were mainly down to having the best home record in the league where they picked up an impressive 38 points from a possible 45 and they look set to continue their fine form on home turf this season with being unbeaten so far in their four matches played.
Today, they host Akropolis who currently sit second bottom of the table and are winless on the road this term. They did pick up their first win of the season in a 1-0 home victory against Falkenbergs two weeks ago but the odds are against them tonight against a side who will be looking to end the season in an automatic promotion spot.
Odds of around 4/5 for a home win here seem to have value considering Jonkopings’ fine form at home.
Faroe Islands v Liechtenstein – Monday 19:45
I was looking at including Ukraine to beat Cyprus as my second selection but I’m not convinced in their ability to finish off games, even against lesser opposition and wouldn’t be surprised to see a draw in that match. Instead, I’ve chosen to back the Faroe Islands to beat Liechtenstein which kicks off at 19:45 tonight.
Despite being the underdogs, it was disappointing to see the Faroe Islands lose 1-0 to Iceland on Friday as that win would have equalled their longest ever undefeated home run. However, they will hope to get back to winning ways when they play a Liechtenstein side that they have beaten on all four occasions, albeit the last being back in 2018.
I wouldn’t usually have much confidence in backing the Faroe Islands but in every one of their last 10 victories on home soil, they have scored first. If they can manage that tonight then I expect that stat to continue. To back that reasoning up, Liechtenstein have conceded first in their last eight games that registered goals. The visitors have also conceded a whopping 16 goals in their last 3 matches including a 7-0 defeat to Switzerland last time out which was their biggest defeat in 4 years.
At 5/2, this double can produce a nice return and as we have claimed several times lately, we’ll receive a £5 free bet regardless of the outcome when placing the bet with Betfair Sportsbook.
|Jonkopings v Akropolis||Jonkopings Win||Visit|
|Faroe Islands v Liechtenstein||Faroe Islands Win|
|1 Point Bet @ 5/2 + a £5 Free Bet|
Chesterfield disappointedly threw away a 2-1 lead in yesterday’s National League playoff match by conceding two late goals which scuppered our bet. Today, we head back to the international friendlies taking place as teams get their final chances to get their affairs in order for Euro 2020 getting underway on Friday. It’s hard to back any of the big underdogs in Sunday’s fixtures and so I’ve selected a double which should hopefully be relatively safe but still result in a reasonable return.
England v Romania – Sunday 17:00
Gareth Southgate will be reasonably happy with his teams performance on Wednesday night against Austria in a match where they looked relatively in control of the game. England continued with their impressive defensive display which has seen them concede just one goal in their last five matches and although they only managed to find the net once on Wednesday, I can’t see them failing to do that again or one better on Sunday which should be enough to see off Romania.
Jack Grealish should feature again as Southgate has to make a tough decision as to whether or not to start him in England’s group matches and if he does, he should play an instrumental role in creating chances for Kane and any other forwards Southgate gives pitch time to on Sunday.
Another solid England performance is expected resulting in a sixth straight win which is no less than what will be accepted heading into their Euro 2020 campaign.
Luxembourg v Scotland – Sunday 17:00
Scotland are rearing up for their first tournament since France ‘98 and confidence will be high after an impressive 2-2 draw away to the Netherlands in their most recent warm-up match on Wednesday night. However, Steve Clarke will be frustrated that his side couldn’t hold on for the win after their 2-1 lead was squashed with a last minute goal from the Netherland’s star forward, Memphis Depay.
Luxembourg have won just one of their last seven matches, losing five of them and their record in international friendlies is even worse. With Scotland scoring nine goals in their last four matches and the hosts finding the net just twice in their last five, I think Scotland should have too much for them.
You can back the double at odds of 1.28/1 which is fair and if you place your bet with Betfair, you’ll also receive a £5 free bet regardless of the outcome.
England v Romania England Win Visit
Luxembourg v Scotland Scotland Win
1 Point Bet @ 1.28/1 + a £5 Free Bet
Nothing takes my fancy in the international fixtures taking place tonight but we do have the National League quarter-final playoff between Notts County and Chesterfield which should be an interesting game.
Notts County v Chesterfield – Saturday 16:00
There’s pretty much nothing to separate these two sides from their performances in the league this season with the hosts finishing just one point and place place about the visitors and with an almost identical goal difference. Similarities continue when you look at the home and away form of the two sides with Notts County picking up 36 points on home soil and Chesterfield accumulating the same on the road.
Both sides ended the season in good form but County’s 1-0 defeat away to Bromley will have knocked their confidence a little bit and I feel the pressure will be on them more than Chesterfield.
The winner of this fixture will face a tough fixture away to Torquay United and although I think it will be a tight match, I’m suggesting a small wager on Chesterfield to progress either in normal time, extra time or on penalties.
Notts County v Chesterfield
Chesterfield to Qualify 5/4 Visit
1 Point Bet @ 5/4
International friendlies continue tonight as teams prepare for the upcoming Euro 2020 tournament next week. Two matches have caught my eye and so I’m going to make use of the Betfair Sportsbook free bet offer again from which we’ll receive a £5 free bet for placing a double.
Italy v Czech Republic – Friday 19:45
Italy are heading into Euro 2020 in terrific form and shouldn’t be underestimated at this year’s tournament. Roberto Mancini’s side were last beaten all the way back in October 2018 which means that they are now undefeated in their last 26 games. They’ve also won their last seven matches without conceding a single goal.
Czech Republic on the other hand have won just one of their last four on the road and that was a 6-2 victory against an extremely poor Estonia. All three of their other matches ended in 1-0 defeats to the likes of Wales, Germany and Scotland and so I can’t see them troubling Italy too much tonight.
The hosts will be looking to continue their fine form tonight against the Czech Republic and head into their opening match next Friday against Turkey with full confidence. With their solid backline and their forwards firing on all cylinders, I expect them make it eight wins in a row.
Hungary v Cyprus – Friday 19:00
Hungary’s Euro preparations start tonight with a match against Cyprus who they haven’t played since 2007. The hosts are currently on a nine-match unbeaten run which is their longest since 1970 and I’m backing them to improve on that record tonight. They haven’t had the best record in friendlies which is a slight concern but considering their current form which saw them draw 3-3 with Poland and pick up an impressive 2-0 victory against a good Turkey side in November, I think they should have enough to win tonight.
Cyprus have managed to win just 2 of their last 18 matches with those victories being against San Marino and Kazakhstan. They tend not to draw many games and so if Hungary can get break down their defence first, I expect them to hold on for the win.
At odds of 1.4/1 with Betfair, this double won’t result in huge returns. However, I do think that it has a good chance of coming in and we’ll receive a £5 free bet regardless thanks to the Betfair Sportsbook offer.
|Italy v Czech Republic||Italy Win||Visit|
|Hungry v Cyprus||Hungry Win|
|1 Point Bet @ 1.4/1 + a £5 Free Bet|
With league football mostly finished for the season, there hasn’t been much to choose from in terms of multiples and I haven’t been able to take advantage of many of the bookie betting offers that are still available. However, with a string of international friendlies tonight, I’ve picked out a double which will qualify for a £5 free bet with Betfair Sportsbook regardless of the outcome. However, I do think that it has a good chance of coming in.
England v Austria – Wednesday 2nd June 20:00
England play their first of two warm-up matches tonight in preparation for their Euro 2020 campaign which starts next week. They’re up against Austria who they have beaten on the last two occasions and I’m backing them to make it three in a row.
Southgate’s side has had a perfect 2021 so far and have won 13 of their last 14 matches on home turf and averaged an impressive 3.3 goals per game throughout those fixtures. Many of those matches were against inferior opposition but they’re unlikely to be truly tested until they face Croatia on 13th June.
Austria’s last outing resulted in a 4-0 defeat to Denmark which meant that Franco Foda’s side have only picked up one win in their last four and that was a victory at home to the Faroe Islands back in March. I can’t see them getting anything out of this game against a relatively solid and enthusiastic young England side which has led me to include the Three Lions in my double today.
Romania v Georgia – Wednesday 2nd June 19:45
I was looking to add possibly France or the Netherlands into today’s double but think that there is more value in backing Romania at home against Georgia.
Romania will be looking to bounce back from their 3-2 defeat to Armenia a month ago when two goals in the 87th and 89th cost them victory. Prior to that, Mirel Rădoi’s side looked in relatively good form with wins against the like of Belarus, Norway and North Macedonia where they found the net 11 times in those three fixtures. If they can carry their goalscoring form into tonight’s match, it’s likely that they’ll be able to outscore Georgia.
Georgia are without a win in their last eight matches although they don’t often get beaten by a lot of goals. In recent games, they’ve suffered defeats by just one goal to Spain, Sweden, Armenia and North Macedonia but with Romania not being shy in front of goal, we’re expecting them to concede tonight.
Although neither side are preparing for a Euro campaign in this match, Romania will be looking to bounce back from their recent defeat with a victory tonight which should see them head into their much sterner clash with England this coming Sunday.
|England v Austria||England Win||Visit|
|Romania v Georgia||Romania Win|
|1 Point Bet @ 1.98/1 + a £5 Free Bet|
Slovakia v Bulgaria – Tuesday 1st June 16:55
With Euro 2020 less than two weeks away, teams are preparing with warm-up games scheduled over the coming days. Tonight, we see Slovakia host Bulgaria in what isn’t expected to be the most thrilling match but may provide a value betting opportunity.
I don’t usually like betting on international friendlies as they can throw out some unexpected results. However, as this match is in preparation for the upcoming European Championships for the home side, I’m confident that they’ll want to win in order to head into the tournament with as much confidence as possible.
Slovakia aren’t the most predictable side. They had to settle for a 2-2 draw against Malta back in March when conceding two early first-half goals but did follow that up with an impressive 2-1 victory over Russia three days later. Their form on home soil is relatively good having won four of their last seven and have found the net at least once in their last nine home matches. Tonight, they play a pretty dismal Bulgaria side who have failed to win any of their last eleven matches on the road and their only win in their last twelve was an expected victory over Gibraltar back in November.
Given that Slovakia have more to play for in this match, coupled with their home advantage and the fact that Bulgaria have failed to score in their last five matches, I think that a single on the home side at odds of 3/4 with Boylesports shows quite a bit of value. If Slovakia can get an early goal, I can see them winning comfortably with a 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline.
|Slovakia v Bulgaria|
|2 Point Bet @ 3/4|
For Sunday the game of the day in England is the League One play-off final between Blackpool and Lincoln.
3rd place finishers Blackpool overcame Oxford Utd in the semi-final beating them 6-3 on aggregate.
And 5th place finishers Lincoln endured a nervy 2nd leg against Sunderland but progressed with a 2nd half goal for the tie to end 3-2 to the Imps on aggregate.
Goals galore in both semi-finals then with an average of 3.5 goals scored over the 4 games.
These teams have been involved in plenty of goals recently in general. When these 2 met in the league season a total of 9 games were scored over the games, although, the 2 sides were not necessarily prolific goalscorers throughout their campaigns.
Looking at previous League One finals it also points to goals. 7 of the last 8 finals have recorded over 2.5 goals and that together with the recent goal spurt from both sides leads me to believe that history may repeat itself.
Looking at the odds you can get better than evens at 5/4 with BetVictor for over 2.5 goals in this game. Big enough for us to back here I think.
Blackpool v Lincoln
Over 2.5 Goals Win Visit
1 Point Bet @ 5/4
An all English Champions League final then and after Man Utd failed to bring home the bacon on Wednesday in the Europa League, Premier League enthusiasts will have comfort in knowing an English team will have its name on the trophy come the end of this tie.
Looking at the odds, Man City are clear favourites and are below evens to win in 90 minutes. City are as low as 17/20 with some bookies which seems very short considering previous results with Chelsea winning the last 2 meetings.
Perhaps the odds reflect the injury concerns Chelsea have over N’Golo Kante and Edouard Mendy. If both of those don’t make it then surely that’s a huge plus for City who themselves have no injury concerns at all.
For now though, no value in the City win so we’ve looked to cards to find a bet.
The referee for the final will be the Spaniard Antonio Mateu Lahoza and this guy absolutely loves a card. English fans may be familiar with this ref as he dished out 9 cards in the RB Leipzig v Man Utd CL tie back in December and for those of you who watched the thrilling 1/4 final 1st leg between Bayern and PSG he dished out another 5 cards in that game.
So with it being a tight game and teams not wanting to give an inch, I think there will be plenty of fouls around leading to the card happy ref more than willing to dip into his pocket.
Unibet has over 4.5 cards at 21/20 so I feel this is big enough for us to have a bet. Plenty of other firms are odds on here so 21/20 looks like value
Man City v Chelsea
Over 4.5 Cards Win Visit
1 Point Bet @ 21/20
Villarreal v Man Utd – Wednesday 20:00
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer will be hoping to win his first major piece of silverware as Man Utd boss as his team travels to Poland to play Villarreal in the Europa League final.
United may have to win it without captain and key centre back Harry Maguire as he is struggling to get fit for the game.
It was reported he sat out of training yesterday so will not have trained since his injury if he plays tonight.
Looking at the game, it’s not easy to pick out a bet here. Anything can happen in a cup final and even though Man Utd are odds on favourites, there are many stats that contradict United’s short odds.
For instance Spanish teams have a 100% win record against English teams in the Europa League final, albeit only over 2 games. Also Villarreal have not lost any of their last 12 Europa League games outside of Spain and are undefeated vs non-Spanish opposition in 23.
We would certainly not be surprised if this game ends in a draw and goes to extra time.
It’s a stat from the United camp that we look to for our bet tonight though as we’re more confident of success here.
Man Utd have scored 13 of their 18 goals in the Europa League this season in the 2nd half. They’ve also kept clean sheets in a competition-high 62.5% of their games this UEL campaign.
Looking at the odds and you can get 6/5 for Man Utd to win the 2nd half which feels big enough for us to back. With United also having a high 2nd half goals rate in the Premier League it does seem like that is their theme for this season.
Villarreal v Man Utd
Man Utd to win 2nd half Win Visit
1 Point Bet @ 6/5
Onto Sunday then and 2 bets of interest here.
Angers v Lille – Sunday 20:00
In Ligue 1, if Lille win their game away to Angers it will be the first time a team other than PSG have won the French title since Monaco won it in the 2016/17 season. Not the best start for Mauricio Pochettino in his first season!
Lille have a good away record and have the best away defence record in the league. We fancy them to get the 3 points and to keep it tight at the back.
So we’re going for Lille to win and under 2.5 goals which is 12/5 at Bet365
Leicester v Tottenham – Sunday 16:00
Over to the Premier League then and the top 4 race. Champions League qualification is still up for grabs between Liverpool, Chelsea and Leicester. You would say Liverpool are certainly in the driving seat as they have the easier fixture at home to Crystal Palace. We expect no slip ups there.
Chelsea are away to Villa and Villa have Watkins and Grealsih both fit so that won’t be easy for Tuchel’s men. Leicester also have a tough fixture on paper but with Spurs well out of sorts we fancy Leicester to get the 3 points. There is normally plenty of goals around on the final day of the season and with both of these teams usually scoring, I also like over 2.5 goals here.
So I’ll be going with Leicester to win and over 2.5 goals which is 7/4 at Bet365.
It’s the final weekend of the season across the major European leagues and what a weekend of football we have in store.
It’s still all to play for in Ligue 1 and La Liga with the title race going down to the final day in these 2 leagues and potential surprise winners in both.
On Saturday Atletico Madrid need a win to take the title and then on Sunday Lille need to win to secure the Ligue 1 championship. We also have the top 4 race still to play out in the Premier League on Sunday with Liverpool, Leicester and Chelsea all still in with a chance of Champions League qualification.
Atletico Madrid v Valladolid – Saturday 17:00
Atlecio need a win to take the La Liga title with Real Madrid looking to pounce, 2 points behind should they slip up. Should they win, it will be the first time Real Madrid or Barcelona haven’t won the Spanish Primera since Atleti last won it in the 2013/14 season. A draw could also work if Real Madrid don’t beat Villarreal today but Real have the better head to head record so level points would see the Galacticos take the title.
It’s also worth mentioning that Valldolid have a slim chance of escaping relegation if results go their way today.
In spite of Valladolid having plenty to play for, I think that will play into Atletico’s hands and they will take the 3 points to be crowned champions. I’m also keen on cards in this game as both teams have high yellow card percentages for their respective home and away records.
So I’ve gone for a Bet Builder at Bet365 to try and increase the value for today’s bet.
Valladolid v Atletico Madrid
Over 4 Cards/Atl Madrid Win Visit
1 Point Bet @ 10/11
Our 2/1 Bet of the Day came in again yesterday thanks to Morecambe who beat Tranmere 2-1 away from home – A victory by a single goal as we predicted. We’re going to take a look at another playoff game today but this time from League One where Blackpool meet Oxford United.
Blackpool v Oxford Utd – Friday 19:45
Blackpool host Oxford United at Bloomfield Road tonight in the return leg of their League One playoff battle. The hosts are looking more than likely to reach the playoff final against either Sunderland or Lincoln after a convincing 3-0 victory in the first leg at the Kassam Stadium on Tuesday and I think they have it in them to do the double tonight.
Second legs of playoffs can be tricky to predict as Blackpool could lose this game by two goals and still progress but at odds of 13/10, I think it’s worth backing the Seasiders for the win.
Along with their 3-0 victory against tonight’s opponents earlier in the week, Blackpool also ran out 2-0 winners when the sides met in the league back in March. Oxford haven’t gotten the results they desired against top-half teams with only four of their 22 wins this season being against them. They’ve also only won 1 of their last 16 encounters with teams in the top 8 which is a further worry for the visitors tonight.
Blackpool on the other hand have won their last five matches without conceding a single goal and with Oxford conceding in 11 of their last 13, if Blackpool can keep it tight at the back, another victory tonight isn’t hard to envision.
Bet365 are offering good odds for a Blackpool win and so they’re my bookmaker of choice again so that we can trigger the Early Payout Offer from which the bet will be settled as a winner if Blackpool go two goals ahead at any point.
|Blackpool v Oxford Utd|
|1 Point Bet @ 13/10|
Joe Willock struck again for Newcastle last night to continue their excellent run of form in their 1-0 win against Sheffield United. That result along with Sporting comfortably beating Maritimo 5-1 in the Portuguese Primeira Liga meant that our 2 point double at 13/10 came in and we also received a £5 free bet from Betfair for placing it.
Only one English league match takes place today which is the League Two playoff clash between Tranmere and Morecambe. It’s not the most obvious match to call but I do think that there is some value to be had and I’ll be suggesting a small wager on the Match Winner market.
Tranmere v Morecambe – Thursday 18:00
Morecambe narrowly missed out on automatic promotion into League One by an agonising 1 point after Bolton beat Crawley on the final day of the season to claim the 3rd spot in the table. However, it was not for want of trying as tonight’s visitors won five of their last six matches, scoring 15 goals in the process.
Tranmere finished the season just 5 points adrift of tonight’s rivals but unlike Morecambe who head into this first-round playoff game in superb form, the hosts ended the term with just 2 wins from their last 11 games. To make matters worse, Tranmere manager Keith Hill was sacked on the final day of the season leaving Rovers managerless heading into this crucial match.
Playoff matches can often be cagey affairs, especially for the visitors who may be happy to bring Tranmere to the Mazuma stadium in three days time with the score level. However, based on current form of both sides, Tranmere being managerless and only finding the net 3 times in their last 7 matches, I think there is value in backing an away win here at odds of 2/1 with Bet365. A safer bet would be Morecambe Draw No Bet but I think there is a good enough chance that they’ll win by the odd goal and force Tranmere’s dismal run to continue.
|Tranmere v Morecambe|
|1 Point Bet @ 2/1|
Premier League action continues tonight as 12 teams play their second-last match of the season. There are some tricky fixtures and at this point in the season, results can be even more unpredictable as we saw last night with United drawing 1-1 with Fulham and City suffering a shock 3-2 defeat away to Brighton – the only time they have beaten them in their ten encounters.
Today, we’re backing a double which will see us qualify for Betfair’s ‘Bet £20 Get £5’ multiple offer.
Newcastle United v Sheffield United – Wednesday 18:00
After a relatively dull season under Steve Bruce, Newcastle’s style of play has changed in recent weeks and although I wouldn’t go as far to say they should bring back their ‘Entertainers’ nickname, they have certainly given fans more of what they’ve been looking for from their team.
Newcastle’s last eight games have averaged 4 goals per game which resulted in them picking up a point in their 2-2 draw with Spurs, impressive wins against West Ham (3-2) and Leicester (4-2) and giving Premier League winners Manchester City a run for their money in a seven-goal thriller in which they narrowly lost 4-3. If Bruce’s team can continue to find the net tonight, they should be too much for Sheffield United who, despite picking up a surprising 1-0 win against Everton last time out, have averaged just 0.53 goals per game this season.
Newcastle will be looking towards the creative flair of midfielders Allan Saint-Maximin and Joe Willock to produce the goals with Callum Wilson being ruled out for the rest of the season and with fans set to return to St James’ Park, motivation should be high to produce an energised performance.
Sporting v Maritimo – Wednesday 21:45
I was considering adding another Premier League match into the double today but there’s nothing that really stands out for me and so I’m including a somewhat safer selection from the Portuguese Primeira Liga where Sporting host Maritimo at the José Alvalade Stadium in a late kick-off.
It’s the final fixture of the season for both sides and Sporting have already confirmed their 19th Primeira Liga title, topping the table by five points ahead of Porto. It’s their first league title in 19 years and although they have already been crowned as champions, they’ll surely want to finish the season on a high.
The hosts are unbeaten on home soil this term and have conceded just 9 goals in their 16 matches played at the José Alvalade Stadium. They’re up against a Maritimo side who have won just 5 matches on the road this season and who are safe from relegation and so have nothing to play for.
The last time these two sides met back in February, Sporting came out as 2-0 winners with Maritimo recording not a single shot on target. Sporting are a relatively short price for the win as you’d expect but with the double coming in at 13/10 with Betfair and a £5 free bet being awarded regardless of the outcome, there should be value there.
|Newcastle United / Sporting||Win||Visit|
|2 Point Bet @ 13/10|
Yesterday was a great start to the week with Girona winning 1-0 against Sporting Gijon to see our 8/5 single come in. There’s a bit more to choose from today with mid-week Premier League matches taking place along with a handful of games in other leagues around the world so along with my bet of the day, I’m going to make use of Paddy Power’s Acca Insurance offer again from which we will receive our stake back if just one of our four selections let us down. Hopefully, we won’t need it though.
Lazio v Torino – Tuesday 19:30
My single tip for today is from Serie A where Lazio host Torino at the Stadio Olimpico.
This could be a tricky game for reasons I’ll explain but odds of over evens for a home win are too tempting not to take up and worth the risk in my opinion given Lazio’s form on home turf recently. The hosts have won their last 12 matches at the Stadio Olimpico including wins against the likes of AC Milan and Napoli without conceding a goal. Points picked up from those victories have helped Lazio secure a 6th place finish in Serie A and guaranteeing a spot in next seasons Europa League.
Tonight, they host Torino who currently sit 3 points above the relegation zone with Benevento, the team below them, having just one game to play. Torino have the superior goal difference but relegation battles work slightly differently in Serie A than in the Premier League as if two teams are tied on points, the first deciding factor is the Head-to-Head results followed by the H2H goal difference and then finally, their overall goal difference. In a twist of fate, Torino’s final match of the season is against Benevento on Sunday and so they need to pick up at least 1 point either against Lazio or Benevento to avoid the drop given that their first match against Benevento earlier in the season resulted in a 2-2 draw.
Despite Torino looking for a draw in tonight’s game (an outcome that they’ve been able to achieve in 38.89% of their matches this season), we’re backing the hosts to have too much for them at odds of 11/10 with Betfair. Along with their 12 consecutive league victories at the Stadio Olimpico, half of which they won to nil, Torino have only managed to beat Lazio in one of their last 16 meetings when playing away. Also, Lazio have won an impressive 20 of their 23 matches where they have scored first and with them scoring in every league match at home this season, I think 11/10 on Lazio to win has value.
|Bet of the Day|
|Lazio v Torino||Lazio||Visit|
|1 Point Bet @ 11/10|
As mentioned above, there are mid-week matches taking place tonight so I’ll be having a punt on a 4-fold and incorporating the Paddy power Acca Insurance offer so that the stake is returned if one leg fails to win.
Manchester United v Fulham – Monday 18:00
Fans returning to Old Trafford tonight should give the hosts a boost, although, not that I think that they’ll need it as they’re up against a relegated Fulham side who are winless in their last eight, losing seven of them. United will look to bounce back from their recent defeats to Leicester and Liverpool and victory tonight would see them secure the runner-up spot in the Premier League for the second time in four seasons.
Brighton v Manchester City – Monday 19:00
Brighton host Premier League champions Manchester City at Falmer Stadium tonight in search for only their second league win in eight matches. However, they’ll find it tough against a Man City side who have beaten them in their last eight meetings. Brighton are safe from the drop and although City have already been crowned as champions, they will be looking to extend their record of 23 matches unbeaten on the road – a record that is held across the top four football tiers.
Chelsea v Leicester City – Monday 20:15
A stunning goal from Leicester City’s Youri Tielemans gave the Foxes their first ever FA Cup trophy on Saturday. Other than that goal and some VAR controversy in the final minutes, it was a relatively uninspiring match but it was Chelsea who were on top for the most part and I’m backing them to get revenge in their league meeting tonight at a price of around 8/11.
Both teams have it all to play for tonight with a win for Leicester meaning that they would secure a spot in next seasons UEFA Champions League and 3 points for Chelsea resulting in them leapfrogging the visitors into third place.
I expect another solid defensive display from Tuchels side but with a bit more eagerness to get the first goal. If they do, I expect Chelsea to hold onto their lead and go on to win the match.
Solihull Moors v Barnet – Monday 19:00
The final selection in my four-fold is Solihull Moors to beat Barnet on home turf tonight. Finishing the season in playoff spot still isn’t out of the question for the hosts. They’re currently 7 points adrift of 7th-placed Chesterfield but have two games in hand and they’ll see this match as winnable. The hosts are unbeaten in their last eight at Damson Park, winning seven of those, and the visitors have won just two of their last nineteen on the road.
|1 Point Bet @ 3.31/1|
A thrilling end to the FA Cup final which saw one of the best ever cup final goals scored by Leicester City’s Youri Tielemans along with heartbreak for Chelsea as Ben Chilwell’s 89th-minute equaliser was ruled out for offside by a hairs-width by VAR. The result, although great for Leicester, who secured their first ever FA Cup trophy, meant that our single on Chelsea didn’t come in. However, thanks to Boylesports’s No-Lose offer, we received our stake back as a free bet!
It’s a new week and the final of the season for most major leagues and we’re going to have another crack at the La Liga Segunda Division where Girona host Sporting Gijon at the Estadi Montilivi.
Girona vs Sporting Gijon – Monday 20:00
The Spanish 2nd Division runs until the end of May with teams playing a total of 42 games and these two sides are locked on 61 points each with four games remaining. The hosts are in teriffic form having won their last four matches and seven of their last nine, including a 4-1 thrashing away to Logrones in their last game. If they beat Gijon tonight, they’ll equal their record of five consecutive wins which they have been attempting to match for the past decade. Girona’s centre-forward, Cristhian Stuani, was last seasons top scorer with 33 goals and although he hasn’t been able to match that tally this term, his brace against Logrones in his last outing will surely give him confidence heading into tonight’s match.
Gijon have only won one of their last six on the road and they’re set to be without several names such as Victor Campuzano and Marc Valiente and potentially, Aitor Garcia, Nikola Cumic and Guille Rosas.
Girona haven’t lost to Gijon in their four meetings with them and we’re backing them to take that tally to five with victory on home turf tonight.
|Bet of the Day|
|Girona vs Sporting Gijon||Girona||Visit|
|1 Point Bet @ 8/5|
No dice for our Spanish Segunda tip last night. Cartagena won the game 2-0 despite Espanyol having the lion’s share of possession and some decent goal threat.
It’s FA Cup final day so we’ll be focusing on that today and putting all our efforts into finding a winner between Chelsea and Leicester.
Chelsea v Leicester – FA Cup Final – Saturday 17:15
A month-watering tie in prospect as 2 fantastic managers come head to head to battle it out for the FA Cup final.
Chelsea have not faced Leicester with Thomas Tuchel in charge so we have little previous stats to base our opinion on for today’s game.
When the 2 teams have met previously, Chelsea under different managers, the games have been close with 3 draws recorded in the last 5.
Looking at the big picture it’s hard not to back Chelsea here. Tuchel has been mightily impressive since taking charge and a 1-0 loss to Arsenal in their previous outing will only add to their motivation and preparation here.
Chelsea’s squad is superior and they are boosted by N’golo Kante and Mateo Kovacic being declared fit.
Looking at the odds I feel Chelsea are big enough at 10/11 to back. And with BoyleSports offering a £10 ‘no-lose’ bet we’re sufficiently covered if things don’t go to plan.
|Bet of the Day|
|Chelsea v Leicester||Chelsea||Visit|
|1 Point Bet @ 10/11|
|Chelsea v Leicester||Chelsea/Under2.5||Visit|
|1 Point Bet @ 11/4|
With a close game predicted I’m also throwing this bet in here – Chelsea to win and under 2.5 total goals at 11/4 with Bet365.
Another winning double yesterday made it three for three with our footy tips and we’re hoping to make it four consecutive profitable bets with today’s selection.
As there isn’t a great deal of football taking place in the major leagues this evening, today’s selection will be a single with no betting offer attached. However, be sure to check back soon for tomorrows selections which will include tips for the FA Cup final between Chelsea and Leicester City for which Boylesports are running their No-Lose bet offer which we will look to incorporate into our selections.
Espanyol v Cartagena – Friday 20:00
Betting towards the end of the season when teams are battling for both promotion and relegation is never an easy task as results can be somewhat unpredictable at times. However, the La Liga 2 match between Espanyol and Cartagena is one that caught my eye and I think there is value in the home win here at odds of just under evens (9/10) with Unibet who often offer the best odds on football markets.
Espanyol currently sit top of La Liga Segunda and are on course for their first league title since the 1993/94 season. They have already secured promotion but with six points separating themselves from 2nd-placed Mallorca with four games remaining, they’ll be looking to pick up maximum points tonight to move one step closer to being crowned as champions. Espanyol are unbeaten in their last 15 matches and achieved a comfortable 3-1 victory over tonight’s opponents in their first league meeting back in December.
Cartagena could give Espanyol a good game as they have only lost one of their last eight matches. Their recent run of good form has lifted them out of the relegation zone into 16th position but are just 1 point from the drop zone. The fact the Cartagena still need points to remain safe is a slight worry but Espanyol should be too strong for them tonight and odds of 9/10 do seem to have value. Also, taking into account that Espanyol have picked up 47 points from their 19 home matches this season, scoring 40 goals and conceding just 9, compared to Cartagena picking up just 15 points in as many matches on the road, adds to the confidence in our bet tonight.
|Bet of the Day|
|Espanyol v Cartagena||Espanyol||Visit|
|2 Point Bet @ 9/10|
It was a successful day yesterday as both our footy tips landed. The last leg of our Napoli/Atletico Madrid double came in with an Atleti 2-1 win over Real Sociedad. And Celta Vigo secured a 1-0 win over Getafe to make it a clean sweep.
There are 2 huge games today that are worth focusing on which we’ll put into a win double and take advantage of a great offer available at Betfair Sportsbook where you can claim a £5 free bet daily for placing a double bet of £20.
RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund – Thursday 19:45
First, it’s the German Cup final, the DFB Pokal, between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund.
2 of Germany’s biggest sides go head to head in this fascinating battle for the DFB-Pokal title. These 2 have just played each other in the Bundesliga with that game finishing 3-2 to Dortmund.
In fact the last 3 meetings have all ended in Dortmund wins with the yellows actually winning 4 out of the last 5 head to head match-ups. Dortmund themselves have won their last 5 games in all competitions including the 3-2 victory over Leipzig last week.
It’s for these reasons that we’ll be backing Dortmund here at what looks like a generous 6/4.
Man Utd v Liverpool – Thursday 20:15
The other big game of the night is the always highly anticipated meeting between Man Utd and Liverpool.
There has been recent controversy between these 2 as Man Utd fielded a completely changed team against Leicester and ended up losing the game, giving Leicester the upper hand over Liverpool in the Champions League race.
The reason they fielded such a changed team was of course due to the fixture pile up after Man Utd fans caused the initial fixture between the 2 to be postponed.
With that in mind I think Liverpool will come out firing here and will be motivated to do all they can to claim Champions League qualification.
Odds of 13/10 at Betfair Sportsbook look like good value so we’ll be adding a Liverpool win to complete our win double.
By placing the double above, we will qualify for a £5 free bet with Betfair regardless of whether our bet wins or loses.
|RB Leipzig v Dortmund||Dortmund||Visit|
|Man Utd v Liverpool||Liverpool|
|1 Point Bet @ 3.3/1|
Napoli managed an impressive 5-1 victory over Udinese yesterday which saw the first part of our double come in with flying colours. A win for Atletico Madrid tonight would see our double at 2.12/1 land as well as receiving a £5 free bet from the Midnite Free Bet Club.
For today’s tip, we’re heading to La Liga where four matches take place including Celta Vigo v Getafe.
Celta Vigo v Getafe – Wednesday 19:00
Celta Vigo haven’t beaten Getafe since 2016 but they’re a big price on home turf tonight against a Getafe side who look a shadow of their former self. Celta Vigo have won their last three league matches, including an impressive 4-2 victory away to Villarreal on Sunday which has left them in contention for a spot in next seasons Europa League.
Getafe on the other hand are just four points above the relegation zone having won just two of their last 17 games in La Liga. Their away record is just as dismal having suffered seven losses in their last nine matches on the road.
Odds of 6/4 on a home win in this match seem very generous and so we’re backing Celta Vigo to make it four consecutive wins tonight.
|Bet of the Day|
|Celta Vigo v Getafe||Celta Vigo||Visit|
|2 Point Bet @ 6/4|
For yesterdays Acca tip, we made use of Paddy Power’s Acca Insurance offer. The first leg came in last night with Porto comfortably beating Farense 5-1 so we’ll be keeping an eye on the remaining fixtures over the coming days.
Today, we’re going to place a bet with another betting offer in mind but this time, it will be Midnite.com’s Bet Club offer from which you can get a £5 free bet when placing £25 worth of accumulator bets throughout the week. Only a double is required to qualify for the £5 free bet so long as the minimum odds are evens (2.0) or above.
|Napoli v Udinese||Napoli||Visit|
|Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad||Atletico Madrid|
|2 Point Bet @ 2.12/1|
Napoli v Udinese – Tuesday 19:45
Napoli are currently unbeaten in their last six matches and have only lost one of their last fourteen. A recent run of good form has seen the two-time Serie A winners settle in the 4th spot of the league and with just three games remaining, they’ll be looking to hold that position to secure a spot in next seasons Champions League. With Juventus just one point adrift of Napoli, every point matters and so they’ll be pushing to pick up all three points against Udinese tonight.
Udinese currently sit mid-table. They’re safe from relegation and so don’t have much to play for in their remaining games this season. They have had two away wins on the bounce recently but those victories were against bottom of the table Crotone and 18th placed Benevento and before that, they were winless in their last five on the road.
With Napoli having it all to play for and considering they have beaten Udinese in their last seven meetings at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium, we’re expecting a home win tonight.
Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad – Wednesday 21:00
Our second selection in our double today is Atletico Madrid to beat Real Sociedad on Wednesday evening. Atletico top the La Liga table by two points with three games to play but with Real Madrid and Barca but just two points behind them, they have everything to play for still.
Diego Simeone’s side have lost just once at the Wanda Metropolitano Stadium this season and have conceded just 9 goals in their 17 matches played there. Their solid back line has seen them concede less goals than any other team in La Liga this season and so if they find the net on Wednesday, we’re confident that they’ll see the game out as winners.
Real Sociedad are 5th in La Liga but there is a 15 point difference between themselves and 4th placed Sevilla. A Champions League spot is not possible for them now but they will be looking to hold onto their current Europa League spot. However, they’ve been unable to beat Atletico away from home since 2013 (D 1, L 6) and so they may be looking more towards their remaining matches against Valladolid and Osasuna to pick up points.
Atletico are close to securing their 11th La Liga title and their first since 2013/14 and we’re expecting them to get one step closer to achieving that by picking up maximum points against Real Sociedad on Wednesday.
By placing the double above, we will qualify for a £5 free bet with Midnite.com regardless of whether our bet wins or loses.
With just one Premier League match taking place today, we’re going to take a look at some other leagues and look to see how we can incorporate some of the betting offers available at the top bookies to increase the value in our bets.
Today’s accumulator will qualify for the Paddy Power Acca Insurance offer which means that we’ll get our stake back as a free bet up to £10 if one selection loses.
Today’s Accumulator Tip
|4 Fold Accumulator|
|Porto v Farense||Porto||Visit|
|Levante v FC Barcelona||Barcelona|
|FC Schalke 04 v Hertha Berlin||Hertha Berlin|
|Lazio v AC Parma||Parma|
|2 Point Bet @ 1.60/1|
Porto v Farense – Monday 20:15
Although still possible, it’s unlikely that Porto will be able to make up the 8 point gap between themselves and Sporting in their remaining three matches. However, the 29 time Primeira Liga winners are looking good for a spot in next seasons Champions League and victory tonight could secure their place. They’re up against Farense who currently sit second bottom and although they’re not relegated yet, they’ll find it tough to get any closer to safety away to Porto on Monday.
Porto have never lost to Farense in their nine meetings with them and have won their last five encounters, conceding just one goal in the process.
Levante v Barcelona – Tuesday 21:00
Levante need just one point from their remaining three matches to ensure that they’re a La Liga side next season. However, with matches against Getaf and Cadiz lined up in coming weeks, they may be looking to secure their safety in those matches instead of against Barcelona on Tuesday night. The hosts have won just one match since the beginning of April and lost their last three on home soil. They also haven’t scored in the second half of their last 12 matches!
Barcelona are still within reach of claiming their 27th La Liga title following their goalless draw against league-leaders Atletico Madrid on Saturday and with Madrid facing a potentially tricky fixture against Real Sociedad on Wednesday, Barcelona will be looking to capitalise on this very winnable fixture by picking up all three points.
FC Schalke 04 v Hertha Berlin – Wednesday 17:00
With just 2 wins to their name all season, it’s hard to see Schalke getting anything from this game. The Bundesliga side are well and truly relegated having picked up just 13 points all season and sitting firmly bottom of the table. Hertha Berlin are battling themselves to remain in the Bundesliga but they seem to have fight in them as they have now not lost in their last 6 matches which included an impressive 3-0 victory over Leverkusen. Hertha’s recent run of good form has lifted them out of the relegation zone on goal difference but they will see this match as the perfect opportunity to put some points between themselves, Breman and Bielfeld who they share a 31 points tally with.
Lazio v Parma – Wednesday 19:45
Another selection from Wednesday’s fixtures sees Lazio host Parma in Serie A and we’ve included this match for similar reasons to the fixture above. Lazio currently sit 6th in the league and still have a chance of claiming a Champions League spot whereas Parma are confirmed to be relegated.
With Lazio having a lot more to play for on Wednesday night and the fact that they have beaten Parma in their last 10 encounters with them, we can’t see anything other than a home win.
Remember that when placing this accumulator with Paddy Power, should just one of the four selections lose, you will receive your stake back as a free bet up to £10.
Now credited instantly. Applies to 4 or more leg ACCA or Bet Builder bets only. Excludes Enhanced Match Odds and Horse Racing bets. Max free bet £10 per day. Min odds per leg of 1/5. T&Cs apply.
Now credited instantly. Applies to 4 or more leg ACCA or Bet Builder bets only. Excludes Enhanced Match Odds and Horse Racing bets. Max free bet £10 per day. Min odds per leg of 1/5. T&Cs apply.
Starting with a mixed ACCA in the Premier League, scouted all the games and altogether the odds are very good value, really like this bet throughout the day. I suspect the Leeds & Liverpool games will be end to end due to contrasting styles and the underdogs in both games love to attack. Sheffield United seem to be a bit lost at the moment and big tackles are expected simply due to frustration and Palace don’t mind getting stuck in. Manchester City vs Chelsea should be a cracker, a little taster for the CL final and both teams are looking fantastic on the attack.
Premier League Mixed ACCA
ACCA @ 7.06/1 – 2 Point Bet (Odds with Bet 365)
|Leeds vs Tottenham|
Sheffield United vs Crystal Palace
Manchester City vs Chelsea
Liverpool vs Southampton
|Over 9 Corners|
Over 2.5 Cards
Both Teams to Score
Over 8 Corners
|2 Point Bet @ 7.06/1|
A massive day in the Championship and a very nervy battle for safety. Derby are in the worse form imaginable right now and they look lost whilst Sheffield Wednesday are fighting hard and look a real team. I’m siding with Sheffield Wednesday to get the job done.
The other selection I’m going for is Cardiff, simply should be too much for a Rotherham fighting for safety. Currently playing well and Rotherham just don’t have that cutting edge.
Win Double – Sheffield Wednesday & Cardiff @ 7/1 – 2 Point WIN Bet (Odds with Bet 365)
|2 Point Bet @ 7/1|
Both Teams to Score ACCA
Both Teams to Score ACCA @ 10.96/1 – 2 Point Bet (Odds with Bet 365)
|Bristol City vs Brentford|
Watford vs Swansea
Port Vale vs Mansfield
Salford vs Leyton Orient
|2 Point Bet @ 10.96/1|
It’s the season curtain closer for these teams and you just have to anticipate goals. There will be so many twists and turns throughout the day but the value on this day will always be goals.
Another fairly quiet day so as always it will be keeping the stakes low and having a bet on some value. Today I have found a treble which on paper looks very solid and willing to share. The goals route last night was let down by one game and there were plenty of chances.
Today we will be having a WIN treble. First up is Leicester, playing a very average Newcastle and I don’t think their defence will be able to handle the in form Iheanacho from scoring again. Newcastle have really struggled with keeping the ball out the net and Leicester have had no problem finding it. Leicester also have more to play for to gain on 2nd and Newcastle are pretty much guaranteed safety now.
Next up we have Lille. They are playing Lens who have really shone this season, nobody expected them to do so well but on the other hand Lille have been a class above that. Currently sat at the top of Ligue 1 and will be fighting hard to extend the gap on PSG. I expect a cagey affair with both teams really needing to win and feel the first goal could be vital.
The last selection is Real Sociedad playing a very poor Elche who really struggle to score whereas Sociedad don’t. I feel the league positions say it all for this one and the only question mark is how much Elche have to win but unless they have signed Aguero I can’t see them posing too much of a threat today.
Treble @ 3.09/1 – 2 Point Bet (Odds with Bet 365)
|2 Point Bet @ 3.09/1|
It is another day of limited fixtures so will only be doing a treble today and this will be based around goals. All to play for in the Europa League tie between Arsenal and Villarreal. I expect an end to end game and if we can get that early goal it will be wide open so I have gone with Both Teams to Score in that fixture. Manchester United have pretty much sealed their fate and will rest a few big names but they will still have the firepower for constant counter-attacks and over 2.5 goals for me is the value in that game. Roma simply have to go for it. We also have a Portugese Premeira Liga game between FC Porto and Benfica. With their seasons pretty much decided this game could be very important for who comes 2nd in the league and both these teams will want the bragging rights. I have just gone over 1.5 Goals as I expect it to be open and the last 7 games have all had that outcome.
A tricky first couple of days for me but not much been staked and easily won back. Much more to go at over the weekend and looking forward to us all hitting the big winners soon.
Treble @ 2.38/1 – 2 Point Bet (Odds with Bet 365)
|Both Teams to Score||Visit|
|Over 2.5 Goals|
|Over 1.5 Goals|
|2 Point Bet @ 2.38/1|
A quiet day of football today but one game that should be a cracker…
Chelsea vs Real Madrid 20.00 PM (Champions League)
This one is a really tricky game to judge, especially on goals and other stats. Will Chelsea just soak up the pressure or will Tuchel tell his team to go win it? We simply just do not know. All we know is that Real Madrid will be going for it from the first whistle and as proved in last nights game these tactics bring a lot of frustration into the game. This is why the only value I see is in the cards market and one player in particular… Casemiro. Definitely overdue a card considering his record but also in these games when you have to win he is the sort of player to foul smart or lose his head depending on the situation.
Casemiro to be carded @ 6/4 – 2 Point Bet (Odds with Bet 365)
|Chelsea vs Real Madrid|
|Casemiro to be carded||2 Point Bet @ 6/4||Visit|
NAP of the Day
|NAP of the Day|
|Luton vs Rotherham|
|Luton||3 Point Bet @ 9/5||Visit|
Luton have been a surprise package this season and keep getting big results no matter where they are playing. A win tonight secures a top half finish and with any underdog that is enough to light the fire and get a win against a struggling Rotherham side who are fighting for safety. Rotherham are in poor form and with only 2 goals in over 500 minutes of play I feel this fixture will once again prove too much and the added fear of the drop can aid a relaxed Luton.
Treble @ 2.94/1 – 2 Points Bet (Odds with Bet 365)
|2 Point Bet @ 2.94/1|
With PSG needing a win this game really could be anything. We saw in the last game how much of a handful Neymar was but also now needing to win the counter attack will be ever present for Man City to score themselves. This should be a very open game.
Both Shrewsbury and Ipswich have pretty much secured their positions and this should naturally open up the game for an end to end encounter and hopefully both teams have their shooting boots on.
Doncaster love a goal but also seem to love to concede. This will really get Blackpool confident and they are having a fantastic season. An early goal would really set this game up.
Double @ 12.3/1 – 1 Point Bet (Odds with Bet 365)
|1 Point Bet @ 12.3/1|
Simply two teams who you can just not write off especially taking into account what is up for grabs for PSG and as explained above Luton keep getting written off and prove people wrong. This double really is value on a great evening of fixtures.