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Fenerbahce
EyupsporFenerbahce need to wake up. Seven points from five league games is not a disaster, but for a club that has been chasing a title they have not won in years, dropping points at home to Besiktas and then failing to beat Gaziantep has left them six points off the pace already. The pressure is mounting, and the last thing Ismail Kartal needs right now is another stutter on home soil. Eyupspor arrive at Sukru Saracoglu having collected just three points from their opening five games, sitting in the relegation zone and with the worst goals scored tally in the division. On paper, this is exactly the kind of fixture Fenerbahce should be winning comfortably.
The off-field drama has not helped either. Kartal announced he was walking away after a water bottle was thrown at him during Fenerbahce’s Champions League draw with Roma, only for president Aziz Yildirim to essentially tell him he was staying put. Whatever you make of the politics, that kind of episode does not exactly clear the air in a dressing room. Fenerbahce need three points this weekend to settle nerves and remind themselves and their supporters that they are serious title contenders. Against a side that has scored twice in five games, they have to take this chance.
This is a Turkish Super Lig round six fixture, played at Sukru Saracoglu Stadium in Istanbul. Fenerbahce are the established top flight force here, while Eyupspor are a club still finding their feet at this level and very much fighting to stay in the division.
Fenerbahce have a few pieces missing but Kartal still has plenty to work with. Eyupspor are arguably more stretched, particularly in the areas where they can least afford it.
Kartal looks set to line up with Ederson in goal behind a back four of Muldur, Skriniar, Ake and Brown. Kante and Guendouzi should anchor the midfield, allowing Greenwood, Yuksek and Akturkoglu to operate ahead of them, with Muriqi leading the line. Asensio might come off the bench if Fenerbahce need a spark in the second half.
Pulat has less to play with. Moldovan starts in goal, with Ulvan, El Yamiq, Jules and Giordano in defence. Matondo holds in midfield, with Boutobba, Costa, Raux-Yao and Michalak providing the attacking options around him. Ahmed Abdullahi leads the attack, which is a significant ask given the support he is likely to receive.
Fenerbahce’s form has been inconsistent, and that is being kind. Their only league defeat came at home to Besiktas, losing 2-1, which stings at any point in the season but feels worse when you are already chasing the leaders. The goalless draw at home to Gaziantep followed that and left supporters frustrated. In Europe, they drew 1-1 with Roma in the Champions League, which is not a shameful result but was overshadowed entirely by the Kartal resignation saga. There is talent in this squad, clearly, but they have not clicked for a sustained run yet.
Eyupspor, meanwhile, are in serious trouble. Four defeats from five league games and only two goals scored in the whole campaign tells you everything about where they are right now. They were beaten 2-0 at home by Rizespor in their most recent fixture, with Ali Sowe and Emrecan Bulut doing the damage. Before that they failed to score against Besiktas, Gaziantep and Corum. Their only points came from a win over Alanyaspor at the end of August, which feels like a long time ago now. The attacking problem is real and structural, not just a bad run of luck.
The momentum question is straightforward here. Neither side is flying, but Fenerbahce have the players and the home crowd on their side. Eyupspor are running on empty going forward and that is the crucial factor.
Fenerbahce hold the clear advantage in this fixture historically, and they should approach this one with confidence. That said, the most recent meeting between these sides threw up one of the more chaotic scorelines you will see, with Eyupspor leading 2-0 before Fenerbahce clawed it back to 3-3 in Istanbul. It was a remarkable turnaround and proof that Fenerbahce never quite gave up, but it will also serve as a reminder to Kartal that taking this opposition lightly is not an option.
Eyupspor supporters will point to that 3-3 draw as evidence that their side can cause problems at Sukru Saracoglu. But that was a very different Eyupspor side in terms of confidence and form. This version of the club, sitting in the bottom three and barely scoring, would struggle to repeat that feat.
The angle here is fairly clear. Fenerbahce are the better side, they are at home, and they are facing a team that cannot score. The bet is about finding the right markets rather than debating the winner. Kartal’s side should have too much quality going forward for a team that has looked toothless all season, and the structure of this game sets up well for a controlled home win.
Eyupspor are fighting for their lives at the bottom of the table and are likely to be under the cosh for large portions of this game. Expect a yellow card or two from frustrated visitors trying to stop Fenerbahce from cutting through them, and a card market around three or more cards total looks reasonable.
Fenerbahce should create enough chances at home, but Eyupspor’s defensive resolve and lack of attacking threat means this is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair. Under 3.5 goals feels sensible, but over 1.5 is the smarter angle given that Fenerbahce have the quality to find the net at least once and Eyupspor are not solid enough to keep a clean sheet for the full 90 minutes.
Vedat Muriqi leads the line for Fenerbahce and is the obvious target man against a side that will be defending deep. He is physical, dangerous in the air, and due a goal given Fenerbahce’s recent frustrations in front of goal. He is the pick here.
No. Eyupspor have scored twice in five games and are missing key creative players through injury. Fenerbahce’s defence is not leaking freely either. BTTS No is the right call here and the value is clear given Eyupspor’s chronic lack of firepower.
Fenerbahce will dominate possession and push forward consistently, especially if they go ahead early. Eyupspor are likely to sit deep and absorb, which tends to generate corners for the attacking side. Over 8.5 corners looks a reasonable bet with Fenerbahce doing most of the pressing.
Fenerbahce 2-0 Eyupspor. The home side should have enough control to win without conceding, and two goals feels like a realistic return against a side with the worst attacking record in the league. A repeat of last season’s 3-3 chaos is hard to see given how differently Eyupspor are functioning right now.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Match Result | Fenerbahce to Win |
| Both Teams To Score | No |
| First Goalscorer | Vedat Muriqi |
Fenerbahce winning while keeping a clean sheet fits naturally with Muriqi leading the line against the division’s least prolific attack.
This is a game Fenerbahce simply have to win. The off-field drama surrounding Kartal, the dropped points, the early gap to the top of the table, all of it points to a squad that needs a straightforward three points to reset and refocus. Eyupspor, for all that last season’s 3-3 draw gives them a sliver of hope, are a side in genuine crisis right now. They cannot score, they are losing regularly, and they head to one of Turkish football’s most intimidating venues with their key creative players injured.
Kartal’s men should have the quality to control this game from early on, silence any nerves in the stadium and see it out professionally. Fenerbahce 2-0 Eyupspor, with Muriqi getting on the scoresheet and the Yellow Canaries finally recording the kind of solid, no-fuss win they have been lacking.