Middlesbrough vs Millwall Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview
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Middlesbrough
MillwallMiddlesbrough are flying right now, and this fixture feels like it has arrived at exactly the right moment for them. Kim Hellberg has got his side playing with real belief, sitting fourth in the Championship table and unbeaten in four league games, and after that absolutely bonkers 4-3 win over Norwich on Saturday, there is a buzz around the Riverside that you do not manufacture. This is a team that digs out results even when things get messy, and that matters in a long, grinding Championship season.
Millwall, on the other hand, are trying to find themselves right now. They came into the campaign with genuine promotion ambitions after narrowly missing out on automatic promotion last year, but the wheels have wobbled badly at times. A 5-1 hammering from Southampton, a 3-0 defeat to Wrexham, and then a 3-1 loss to Blackburn on Saturday despite a thumping win over Bolton in between. Alex Neil called the Blackburn defeat a wasted opportunity, and he was not wrong. His side are inconsistent in a way that will concern him, and heading to the Riverside on a Tuesday night with a depleted squad is not the fixture you want when you are searching for some stability.
This Championship fixture takes place at the Riverside Stadium in Middlesbrough, as Boro look to build on their momentum from the weekend and cement their place in the top six with three more points on the board against a Millwall side that arrived in the northeast with real promotion credentials but is currently struggling to string results together.
Boro have one selection doubt heading into this one, but overall Hellberg is in a relatively comfortable position compared to his opposite number. Millwall’s injury list is genuinely alarming and gives Neil a serious headache when it comes to putting out a balanced eleven.
Hellberg is likely to stick close to what worked against Norwich. If Jones is not fit enough to start, Phillips steps in alongside Malanda at the heart of defence. Berhalter starts again after his brace, with Aidan Morris alongside him in the engine room, and Lankshear leads the line having hit the ground running with five Championship goals already this season.
Millwall have far fewer options. Neil will look to Lyndon Dykes to lead the attack, with Romain Esse and Camiel Neghli providing the wide threat. The midfield will need to work hard to compensate for the absence of several key players, and it is difficult to see where the creativity comes from against a Boro side that will press with intensity.
Boro’s win over Norwich told you a lot about this squad. They were not exactly clinical or controlled in that game, letting in three goals in a 4-3 thriller, but they showed the kind of mentality that gets you promoted. Hellberg called it absolutely crazy and praised his players for the character they showed in finding a stoppage time winner through Ashley Phillips. When a team is grinding out results like that with new signings already hitting their stride, you take notice. Berhalter bagged two, Cozier-Duberry got on the scoresheet, and Lankshear continues to look like an excellent piece of business.
That unbeaten run of four Championship games has pushed them up to fourth in the table, and while there is obviously a season to play, the early signs under Hellberg are encouraging. The squad additions have clearly strengthened what was already a solid unit, and there is real competition for places. Only one defeat in the league so far is a foundation you can build something meaningful on.
Millwall’s form is far less convincing. They beat Bristol City and Norwich early doors and looked like contenders, but Southampton absolutely destroyed them 5-1 and something seemed to snap after that. The 3-0 loss to Wrexham came next, and while they bounced back brilliantly to thrash Bolton 4-0, they could not carry that into Saturday’s Blackburn game. Losing 3-1 with the kind of squad Neil has available right now, ravaged by injuries, is a real concern. There are nine first team players unavailable, and you cannot keep rotating and plugging gaps indefinitely without it affecting your results and your rhythm.
These two sides have a decent history of competitive Championship encounters, and the fixture has produced goals at both ends on a fairly regular basis over the years. Boro have generally been a tough nut to crack at the Riverside, and home advantage has tended to count in their favour when the sides have met. Millwall are a physical, well-organised side when they are at full strength, but with so many players unavailable right now, recreating that defensive resilience away from home will be a challenge.
The pattern in recent meetings suggests this is not a fixture where one side tends to completely dominate the other, but with the gap in current form and squad availability being as wide as it is right now, Boro look significantly better placed heading into this particular meeting.
The form book points clearly in one direction here. Boro are at home, in form, with a fully loaded attack and the confidence that comes from winning dramatic games. Millwall are short on numbers, short on form away from home, and walking into a ground where the crowd will be buzzing after that Norwich result. There is genuine value in backing Boro to win this comfortably, and several of the individual markets look appealing too.
Millwall are a team that tends to compete physically, and with a makeshift lineup under pressure at the Riverside, their players could find themselves on the back foot and chasing the game. That combination often produces bookings, and a match with four or more cards in total looks a reasonable call.
Will Lankshear is the obvious pick here. Five goals in six Championship appearances is the kind of form that demands attention, and as the focal point of Boro’s attack against a depleted Millwall defence, he has every chance of getting on the scoresheet early and often.
Boro have the firepower to put this to bed comfortably, but Millwall are capable of nicking a goal even on a tough night, as their overall attacking stats suggest. A 3-1 scoreline feels right, reflecting Boro’s dominance while acknowledging that Millwall will create at least one opening through Dykes or Esse.
Yes. Millwall have scored in most of their games this season and Lyndon Dykes is a handful for any centre back partnership. Meanwhile Boro conceded three against Norwich, which tells you they are not exactly buttoned up at the back. Both sides finding the net feels very likely in this one.
Over 2.5 goals. Boro scored four at the weekend, Millwall scored four the week before that, and this is a game where the hosts will push forward with real intent from the first whistle. With Millwall’s injury-ravaged backline, it is hard to see this staying tight. Goals feel inevitable.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| First Goalscorer | Will Lankshear |
| Both Teams To Score | Yes |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Over |
Lankshear looks nailed on to threaten a depleted Millwall defence, and combining his first goalscorer odds with BTTS and over 2.5 goals reflects the wide open, attacking nature this game looks set to produce.
Middlesbrough to win 3-1. This fixture has the feel of a comfortable home victory written all over it. Boro are sharp, confident and fully stocked with options, while Millwall are limping into this one with a threadbare squad and form that makes it hard to back them to get anything from the Riverside.
Hellberg’s side have the character to grind it out when they need to, but on nights like this, against an opponent who cannot field their best eleven, they should be able to express themselves and put the game to bed in style. Lankshear to lead the way, Berhalter to chip in again, and Boro to move further up the table with three deserved points.