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West Ham United
FulhamSixteen goals in four games. That is the kind of form that makes you sit up and take notice, regardless of which division a side is playing in. West Ham United have been absolutely flying since the season kicked off, and with a fifth straight win in their sights, they walk into this EFL Cup third round tie with genuine momentum and genuine belief. Nuno Espirito Santo’s side were relegated from the Premier League last season, but you would not know it from watching them this term. They are top of the Championship, they are scoring for fun, and they are about to face Premier League opposition again under the lights at the London Stadium.
Fulham arrive in east London in a very different state of mind. Alvaro Arbeloa is still finding his feet in the Premier League hotseat, and the Cottagers have picked up just a single point in the top flight so far. That said, their goalless draw at Anfield on Saturday had more to it than the scoreline suggests. They were disciplined, they caused Liverpool problems, and they could have nicked it. But they are still yet to score away from home this season, and that particular problem does not look like it is going to fix itself against a West Ham side in full flow.
This EFL Cup third round clash takes place at the London Stadium, the home of West Ham United since 2016. It is a London derby with a bit of extra edge given the contrasting fortunes of these two clubs, one flying high in the Championship after relegation, the other trying to find their footing back in the top flight. The competition format means there is no second chance from here. One side goes through, one goes home.
Neither side is at full strength, but West Ham are better placed than Fulham to absorb their absentees given the depth of confidence running through the squad right now.
Nuno looks set to name a strong side given the cup run West Ham are building. Walker-Peters slots in at right back for the injured Veltman, with Airidas Golambeckis and Max Kilman providing the core of the back line. Lewis Orford and Mohamadou Kante are expected to fill the midfield void left by Soucek, a partnership that did well enough against Southampton in the previous round. Jarrod Bowen pulls the strings further forward, with Joel Piroe leading the line and young Ajala offering a real threat from wide.
Arbeloa is expected to go with Shea Charles and Harrison Reed in his double pivot, giving his side some protection while Emile Smith Rowe operates as the number 10 behind Rodrigo Muniz. Oscar Bobb and Kevin provide the width. It is a setup designed to be compact and hard to break down, but Fulham will need to offer more of an attacking threat than they have managed on their travels so far.
West Ham’s form is genuinely remarkable for a side that suffered the heartbreak of relegation not long ago. Four wins on the spin, sixteen goals scored across those four matches, and sitting at the summit of the Championship. The 6-0 hammering of Wrexham last Friday was the kind of performance that sends a message to the rest of the division. This is not a side licking its wounds and rebuilding slowly. This is a squad that has responded to the drop with real aggression and real quality.
Their EFL Cup campaign has followed a similar pattern. The 4-1 win at Southampton in the second round was composed and clinical, with teenager Joshua Ajala grabbing a brace and Taty Castellanos and Jarrod Bowen adding gloss late on. That ability to hit teams on the counter and then punish them through quality finishing is what makes West Ham dangerous regardless of the level they are competing at. They have also lost just once in the entire 2026-27 season so far across all competitions, which is a remarkable record at this stage.
Fulham’s picture is more complicated. One point from their Premier League campaign, and yet there are signs that Arbeloa is starting to organise them. The Anfield draw on Saturday was a genuine defensive effort, with Fulham limiting Liverpool and coming close to winning it before a goal-line clearance denied them. Their 3-0 cup win over AFC Wimbledon in round two was comfortable enough, though the level of opposition means you cannot draw too many conclusions from it. The concern for Fulham is that they have not scored away from home at all this season. At a bouncing London Stadium against a West Ham side this confident, that is a significant worry.
West Ham and Fulham have met frequently enough over the years to know each other reasonably well, and these London derbies tend to carry a bit of needle regardless of the competition. Historically the fixture at the London Stadium has been relatively tight, with Fulham more than capable of holding their own against their capital rivals. These are two clubs who have spent significant periods as Premier League neighbours and the familiarity shows in how competitive these clashes can be.
What works in West Ham’s favour here is the context. This is not Premier League Fulham taking on Premier League West Ham. This is a Fulham side who have taken one point from their top flight campaign playing away from home against a Championship leader who cannot stop scoring. The head-to-head record matters less than the form lines when the situations of the two clubs are this different.
This is a game where the form book is doing a lot of the heavy lifting for you. West Ham are in brilliant nick, scoring freely, playing with confidence at their own ground, and facing a Fulham side that simply cannot buy a goal on the road. Arbeloa’s men showed defensive resolve at Anfield, which means this is unlikely to be a cricket score, but the logic of the form strongly points in one direction. The Irons should win this, and they should score more than once doing it.
West Ham’s attacking output this season makes the over 2.5 goals market look very appealing here. They have been averaging four goals per game across their last four outings, and even if Fulham’s defensive discipline keeps it tighter than some of West Ham’s recent blowouts, the hosts have the firepower to push this past the line. Over 2.5 goals is the call.
A 2-1 to West Ham feels right for this one. The Irons have the quality to score at least twice, and Fulham, despite their attacking limitations on the road, do have the individual class through Smith Rowe and Muniz to nick one. A two-goal cushion that becomes a nervy finish is a very plausible outcome here.
West Ham’s attacking approach and Fulham’s tendency to sit deep and absorb pressure should generate a decent volume of corners. When the Irons are pressing for goals they get bodies forward and win corners regularly, and a defensive Fulham shape will only invite more of that. Over 9.5 corners looks like solid value in this fixture.
This is where it gets interesting. Fulham have not scored away from home yet this season, which gives you genuine pause before backing both teams to score. However, they do have quality in the final third and their performance at Anfield showed they are not without a cutting edge. The risk is real though, and on balance the safer call is BTTS No, backing Fulham to fail to find a way through while West Ham do the business at the other end.
A London derby with some competitive edge between two sides who know each other well should produce a few bookings. Fulham will need to put in some firm challenges to keep West Ham’s attack honest, and there is enough intensity in this fixture to expect the referee to be kept busy. Over 3.5 cards looks like a reasonable line to back in this one.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| Match Result | West Ham United to Win |
| Over/Under Goals | Over 2.5 Goals |
| Both Teams To Score | No |
West Ham winning while scoring at least three and keeping Fulham off the scoresheet is entirely consistent with both sides’ form right now, making these three picks a natural fit together.
West Ham are simply too good right now. The form, the momentum, the home advantage, the goals that keep flowing, it all points to a comfortable Irons victory. Fulham will make them work for it, as they showed at Anfield they are not a side that rolls over easily, but their inability to score away from home is a crippling limitation in this tie.
Nuno’s side advances. West Ham United 2-1 Fulham.