Hull City vs Everton Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Hull City

vs

Everton

KickoffSunday 11 October 2026, 2:00pm

VenueThe MKM Stadium

CompetitionEnglish Premier League

Everton arrive at MKM Stadium still unbeaten after five Premier League games, sitting seventh and within touching distance of the top six. There is a bit of noise swirling around the club right now after the Friedkin Group confirmed they are looking to bring in outside investment, and that kind of off-field turbulence can either galvanise a squad or unsettle it. David Moyes will be desperate to make sure it is the former. A win here could theoretically lift the Toffees as high as second in the table, depending on how other results go, and that is the kind of incentive that focuses minds pretty sharply.

Hull City, meanwhile, are a side that have been playing far better than their recent results suggest. Sergej Jakirovic’s Tigers have not won in their last three league outings, but they held Aston Villa at home, were arguably worth more than a point at Chelsea, and absolutely battered Newcastle in terms of chances before eventually losing. The promoted side are still finding their feet back in the top flight after nine years away, but nobody at MKM Stadium is panicking. If the performances keep coming, the wins will follow. This Sunday feels like a genuine opportunity to get back on track.

Hull City vs Everton Match Details

This Premier League round six fixture takes place at MKM Stadium in Hull, a ground that has not hosted top flight football for the best part of a decade. It is a proper occasion for the home fans, and the atmosphere inside the ground for a game of this size should be electric. Everton make the trip north knowing that the away end will be bouncing too, and the Toffees have a strong recent record in this fixture that they will be keen to extend.

Team News

Hull are carrying a fairly significant injury list for a side that is only six weeks into the season. Jakirovic has a number of players to check on heading into Sunday, though the confirmed absentees are the bigger concern right now.

• Eliot Matazo (knee) is out long term
• Ilyas Ansah (back) is sidelined
• Darko Gyabi (groin) is unavailable
• Jack Butland (arm) is out, meaning a backup goalkeeper steps in
• Charlie Hughes (groin), Tim Iroegbunam (groin), Matt Targett (ankle), Brooke Norton-Cuffy (muscle) and Hidemasa Morita (calf) are all doubtful

Everton are in a relatively healthier position heading into this one, with no confirmed absentees confirmed at time of writing. However, Moyes will be keeping a close eye on Merlin Rohl, Christian Norgaard and Vitaliy Mykolenko, all of whom will be assessed before the squad travels north.

Predicted Lineups

Jakirovic looks set to go with Tzolakis in goal given Butland’s absence, and the back four picks itself with Coyle, Ajayi, Egan and Mendy across the line. Belloumi, who has been the Tigers’ standout attacking threat with two goals already this season, will be central to everything going forward alongside Crooks and Slater in a compact midfield unit. Thomas and Giles should provide width either side of McBurnie up top.

For Everton, Moyes will likely keep faith with the side that has kept the unbeaten run going. Pickford between the sticks, Maitland-Niles at right back, Tarkowski and Branthwaite at centre half, and Mykolenko at left back if he passes his fitness test. Garner and Armstrong should anchor the midfield, with Dewsbury-Hall and Johnson supporting from slightly advanced positions and Grealish given licence to find space in behind the Hull shape. Thierno Barry leads the line.

Recent Form

Hull’s form table makes uncomfortable reading on paper, but the underlying numbers tell a slightly different story. The Tigers started the season like a house on fire, winning back to back games against Manchester United and Coventry City without conceding a single goal. That is a seriously impressive opening statement from a newly promoted side. Since then the wins have dried up, with three draws and a defeat in their last four across all competitions, but they have not been getting hammered or looking out of their depth. Far from it.

The 2-2 draw at Chelsea was a game Hull could easily have won, and the defeat to Newcastle came despite the Tigers registering 22 shots to their opponents’ 12. That is genuinely lopsided in Hull’s favour. They are creating chances, they are competing at this level, and they are doing so against sides with considerably larger wage bills. The performance levels are there. Jakirovic just needs results to start reflecting that.

Everton’s five game unbeaten start is something to respect. Moyes has clearly had a positive impact on the dressing room and the structure of the team looks solid. Thierno Barry has been the chief goal threat with multiple strikes to his name already, and there are contributions coming from all over the pitch with five different scorers so far this season. The concern for Everton might be that unbeaten records built early in a campaign can sometimes mask a lack of genuine quality, and Hull away on a Sunday afternoon, with off-field noise in the background, is not the easiest place to maintain that kind of run.

Head-to-Head Record

Everton have been dominant in this fixture historically since the turn of the millennium, winning six of the last eleven meetings between these two clubs. Hull have only beaten the Merseyside outfit twice in that period, which is a pretty telling statistic when you start thinking about where the value might lie in this match.

However, several of those previous meetings came in different circumstances, and a Hull side that is playing well at home in front of a crowd that genuinely believes in what Jakirovic is building could make this a very different type of encounter. The head to head leans Everton’s way, but this is not a foregone conclusion by any stretch.

Key Stats

• Hull have not won in their last three Premier League matches, but they outshot Newcastle 22 to 12 in their most recent home defeat
• Everton are unbeaten through five league games, but only Thierno Barry has scored more than once for them this season
• Everton have won six of the last eleven meetings between these two clubs, with Hull managing just two victories in that same period

Hull City vs Everton Betting Tips

This is a genuinely tricky one to call. Hull have been playing well without the results to show for it, Everton are unbeaten but have off-field noise to contend with, and the head to head record slightly favours the visitors. I think the smart money is on a competitive, fairly tight game where goals are possible but a big scoreline is unlikely. Here is how I am approaching the main markets.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Under 2.5 goals appeals to me here. Hull are not a free-scoring side despite the impressive shot numbers, and Everton have been solid defensively throughout their unbeaten run. Both managers will respect the opponent and set up with a degree of caution, particularly in a fixture where neither side can afford to lose ground at this early stage of the season.

Correct Score Prediction

A 1-1 draw feels like the most likely outcome. Hull have the quality at home to get themselves on the scoresheet, probably through Belloumi who has been their go-to man in front of goal, while Everton’s attacking talent means they will create and convert at least one chance of their own. Both sides leave with a point and neither gaffer is entirely happy, but it is a fair reflection of where the game goes.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Mohamed Belloumi is the pick here. He is Hull’s most prolific scorer so far with two goals to his name and he plays in a position where he gets into the box regularly and is trusted to take the big chances when they come. Jakirovic will set his side up to be direct and purposeful, and Belloumi looks like the man most likely to be on the end of whatever they create.

Cards Prediction

Expect a fairly physical encounter between two sides with plenty riding on the result. A promoted Hull side going head to head with an Everton outfit that has genuine Premier League quality is going to generate some meaty challenges, particularly in central midfield. Over 3.5 cards looks a reasonable call, and with Everton’s midfielders likely to be aggressive in the press and Hull needing to match that intensity to stay in the game, the bookings should come.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

Yes to both teams scoring. Hull have shown they can find the net against serious opposition, and Everton have too many goalscoring threats across the pitch to be completely shut out. Neither defence has been watertight enough this season to make a clean sheet feel nailed on, and this feels like the kind of game where both sides nick one.

Bet Builder Tip

A tight game where both sides score but neither runs away with it, with Belloumi getting Hull off the mark, lines up nicely as a considered bet builder that reflects the expected shape of this fixture.

Final Match Prediction

Hull City have been building toward a performance like this one, and I think Sunday is the day where they finally get the result their recent showings have deserved. Everton are a good side and their unbeaten run is built on something real, but the off-field noise is a factor, the trip to MKM Stadium is never comfortable, and a Hull team playing with growing confidence in front of their own supporters is a dangerous proposition.

That said, Moyes tends to set his sides up to be hard to beat, and Everton have the quality throughout the squad to punish any lapses at the back. I am landing on a 1-1 draw as my final prediction. Belloumi gets Hull their goal, Barry responds for Everton, and both managers take a point with a slight sense that they left something on the table. A fair result in what should be a genuinely entertaining Sunday afternoon fixture.

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