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Manchester United
Tottenham HotspurManchester United simply cannot afford another weekend without three points. Five points from five Premier League games is a historically grim return, matching their worst ever start to a top flight season back in 2014-15, and Michael Carrick is already operating with virtually zero room for manoeuvre. Old Trafford needs a lift, and it needs one now.
The good news, if you can call it that, is that Tottenham Hotspur arrive in Manchester as the worst team in the Premier League. Rock bottom, winless in five, and carrying defensive problems that have had Roberto De Zerbi publicly using words like unacceptable. This is as close to a free hit as United are likely to get this season, and that makes it both an opportunity and, in a strange way, a source of pressure all of its own.
This Premier League fixture takes place at Old Trafford, the Theatre of Dreams that has seen precious little to dream about so far this season. United host Spurs in what is shaping up to be one of the most uncomfortable bottom half clashes the ground has hosted in years, with both clubs desperately needing momentum and neither having found any.
Neither side goes into this one in great shape physically, and the selection headaches are considerable on both benches.
Carrick has a few decisions to make, particularly in midfield and out wide. If Mainoo and Rashford both pass fitness tests, they walk straight back in. Baleba’s arrival adds an interesting dimension though, and with Youri Tielemans and Andrey Santos also competing for spots, the engine room could look different to what we have seen so far. Bruno Fernandes captains the side and is absolutely central to everything United do going forward, and with three goals against Spurs at Old Trafford already to his name, he will fancy himself today.
De Zerbi looks likely to go with Savio and Omar Marmoush wide, with Dominic Solanke as the focal point up front. Conor Gallagher and Sandro Tonali provide the midfield legs, while the back four could be unsettled if Van de Ven or Van Hecke fail their fitness assessments. This Spurs defence could look very makeshift indeed.
United’s form makes for grim reading. Winless in four domestic games, they shipped a two goal lead to lose 3-2 at home to Brighton in the EFL Cup, which is exactly the sort of collapse that kills confidence in a dressing room. Then came the 1-1 draw at Fulham, rescued only by a deflected Matheus Cunha effort in the 89th minute. Carrick keeps insisting the off field noise does not bother him, but results like those make that position harder and harder to sell. The clean sheet numbers are awful too, with only one shutout in seven matches across all competitions this season, that being a 4-0 Champions League stroll against Sabah. Against proper opposition, United are leaking regularly.
Tottenham’s situation is arguably even more dire. They are the only team in the division yet to win a top flight game, and that run of five without a victory is threatening to stretch into genuinely historic territory. They did score twice late on against Aston Villa before the break, which at least ended a four game drought in front of goal, but losing 3-2 at home having been two goals down and still unable to hold on tells you everything about their defensive frailty right now. De Zerbi spent over £300m in the summer and the squad is full of names that should be exciting, but they have not clicked. Not even slightly.
What is working slightly in Spurs’ favour is their away record this season. They have won three of their last four Premier League games on the road, which is a curious contrast to their home form. De Zerbi also won at Old Trafford when he was Brighton manager back in 2023, and he would love to repeat that trick. But United at home, desperate and in front of their own fans, feels like a different proposition to that Brighton vintage.
The recent head to head is actually quite interesting given both clubs’ current struggles. United have won just one of their last nine encounters with Spurs, losing five and drawing three of the others. That solitary win was a 2-0 home victory over Spurs last February, with Bryan Mbeumo and Bruno Fernandes on the scoresheet. Before that, you have to go back to March 2022 for the last time United put back to back wins together against Tottenham.
Spurs, for all their current problems, have actually given United plenty of trouble in recent years. But the dynamic here feels like it has shifted slightly, with United hosting and Tottenham arriving as genuine stragglers. That 2-0 result last season gives Carrick’s side a blueprint, and Old Trafford should be rocking from the off given what is at stake for the home side.
Two struggling clubs, two desperate managers, and a fixture that feels like it has goals written all over it. United are the stronger bet to win given the home advantage and Spurs’ inability to keep a clean sheet, but with both defences looking shaky, the smarter angles could be in the goals and individual markets rather than just backing the result.
With United expected to dominate possession and push for an early goal to settle the nerves, and Spurs likely to invite pressure before trying to hit on the break, this feels like a high corners game. United will be getting bodies forward and Spurs will be tracking back. Back over 10 corners in the match.
Given United’s need for goals and Tottenham’s defensive wobbles, a 3-1 home win looks the most likely outcome. United get the three points emphatically, but Solanke causes enough problems to nick one for Spurs, which would be very on brand for a Tottenham side that cannot keep a clean sheet but can occasionally hurt you going the other way.
With one clean sheet between the two sides across seven games each this season, there is almost no case for backing a tight low scoring match here. Both defences are vulnerable, both attacks have the players to punish them, and the pressure to score will push United forward from the off. Over 2.5 goals feels very solid here, and over 3.5 is not without appeal either.
Bruno Fernandes is the pick. Three goals at Old Trafford against Tottenham already in his career, captain’s armband on his arm, and a team that desperately needs someone to step up and make something happen early doors. He plays in the pockets and gets into the box, and Spurs have shown they can be got at through the middle. Fernandes to score first.
Yes. Solanke has scored in three of his last four against United and Spurs will create something, even if it is against the run of play. United’s defence has been too porous this season to back them for a clean sheet against a striker with his track record in this fixture. Both teams to score looks nailed on.
This is a high stakes game between two clubs who need a result badly. Midfield battles involving the likes of Gallagher and Mainoo are unlikely to be gentle affairs, and with Spurs potentially needing to foul their way out of trouble late on if United get in front, the card count should tick up nicely. Back over 3.5 cards in the match.
| Market | Selection |
|---|---|
| First Goalscorer | Bruno Fernandes |
| Both Teams To Score | Yes |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Over 2.5 |
Fernandes scoring in a game that ends with goals at both ends and at least three in total is a very coherent combination given the form, the head to head record and the defensive frailty on display from both sides this season.
Manchester United need this more than words can express, and at home against the division’s bottom club, they should get the job done. Fernandes, Mbeumo and Cunha have the quality to pick apart a Spurs defence that has been all over the place, and the crowd will be right behind them from the first whistle. Carrick gets his win, but Solanke reminds everyone just why you can never quite write Tottenham off completely.
Prediction: Manchester United 3-1 Tottenham Hotspur