Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Samsunspor

vs

Trabzonspor

KickoffSaturday 10 October 2026, 2:00pm

VenueSamsun 19 Mayıs Stadyumu

CompetitionTurkish Super Lig

Four league games without a win is bad enough. Four league games where you score just once and ship nine is a genuine crisis. That is exactly where Samsunspor find themselves heading into this Black Sea derby, and the timing could hardly be worse given who is rocking up to Samsun Yeni 19 Mayis Stadyumu. Trabzonspor arrive off the back of a stunning 4-0 demolition of Galatasaray, with Mohamed Salah bagging a hat-trick on his way to announcing himself as one of the most dangerous forwards in the Turkish Super Lig right now. The contrast in momentum between these two clubs could not be more stark.

There is a subplot here too, and it is a juicy one. Trabzonspor boss Thomas Reis previously managed Samsunspor and guided them to European football for the first time in their history, only to be shown the door earlier this year. He will know this squad inside out, he will know their weaknesses, and you can bet he has spent the week preparing a gameplan that exploits exactly that.

Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor Match Details

This Turkish Super Lig fixture takes place at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayis Stadyumu, with the Black Sea derby carrying extra weight given both clubs’ connections to the region and the added storyline of a returning former manager. Trabzonspor arrive as clear favourites but will know that derby atmospheres can make even the most one-sided fixtures unpredictable.

Team News

Samsunspor are dealing with a frustrating injury list at exactly the wrong moment, and Thorsten Fink has limited options when it comes to freshening things up.

• Afonso Sousa and Fatih Kaya are both carrying muscle injuries and could miss out
• Elayis Tavsan and Kouadou Assoumou are also listed as doubts
• Emre Kilinc is expected to start as the primary creative outlet going forward
• Mohamed Bayo leads the attack and is still chasing his first league goal of the season

Trabzonspor have a longer injury list in terms of names, but their squad depth means Reis can absorb the absentees more comfortably.

• Ruslan Malinovskyi and Tim Jabol-Folcarelli are longer-term absentees
• Okay Yokuslu is a doubt with a muscle problem
• Stefan Savic, Ernest Muci, Aral Simsir, Umut Nayir and Onuralp Cevikkan are all carrying fitness concerns, with Cevikkan dealing with a hamstring issue
• Salah, Paul Onuachu, Noah Saviolo and Franculino Dju all remain available, giving Reis a wealth of attacking options
• Fabinho provides experience and quality in the engine room

Predicted Lineups

Fink is likely to stick with what he knows given the limited alternatives available to him. Emre Kilinc will carry much of the creative responsibility in behind Mohamed Bayo, who desperately needs a goal to settle himself into the season. The back four will need to be far more organised than they were in that 5-1 horror show against Corum.

Samsunspor: Kocuk; Mendes, Erakovic, Guarino, Tomasson; Yuksel, Watt; Kilinc, Onur, Jarju; Bayo

Reis has a selection headache in the best possible sense. With Salah, Saviolo, Onuachu and Dju all vying for attacking positions, he can afford to be flexible. Savic may be risked if he passes a fitness test, and Fabinho is nailed on in the middle of the park.

Trabzonspor: Onana; Pina, Savic, Nwaiwu, Eskihallac; Kabasakal, Fabinho; Salah, Muci, Saviolo; Onuachu

Recent Form

Samsunspor’s season has unravelled at an alarming pace. They opened with a 3-3 draw against Goztepe which felt like a decent point at the time, then followed it up with a smart 2-0 win away at Caykur Rizespor to suggest the campaign had genuine promise. What has happened since is hard to watch. Four straight defeats have followed, against Fenerbahce, Kocaelispor, Corum and Erzurumspor, and the manner of some of those losses is deeply concerning. Getting turned over 5-1 at home by Corum was bad enough, but then losing 1-0 away to Erzurumspor meant Fink’s side have now dropped consecutive games to newly promoted clubs. One goal scored, nine conceded across that run. The back four is all over the place and there is no confidence up front.

Trabzonspor’s journey to this point has been rather more eventful but ended in a very different place. A draw with Kasimpasa on the opening day was followed by a win over Istanbul Basaksehir, then a defeat away to Amed that looked like it could derail things. A 5-0 hammering of Genclerbirligi offered encouragement, but a 1-0 loss at Konyaspor brought fresh concerns. Enter Thomas Reis. The German took charge and in his very first league game guided Trabzonspor to a 4-0 win over Galatasaray, with Salah absolutely running riot with three goals and Saviolo adding the fourth. That is ten points from six games and a serious statement of intent from a side that now looks like it knows exactly what it is doing.

The contrast is everything here. Samsunspor have no home win to their name yet this season, having drawn with Goztepe, lost to Fenerbahce and been crushed by Corum at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayis. Trabzonspor, meanwhile, have just put four past the Turkish champions. The gulf in confidence and form is enormous.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent history in this fixture points firmly in Trabzonspor’s favour. They have not lost to Samsunspor across their last four meetings in all competitions, a run that includes a comfortable 3-0 victory at this very ground back in February. The most recent encounter between the two came in the Turkish Cup in April and finished goalless before Trabzonspor progressed on penalties, showing that even when they are not at their best they find a way to come out on top against this opposition.

That unbeaten run in the fixture will mean nothing to the players on the pitch if Samsunspor can channel the derby atmosphere properly, but history suggests Trabzonspor have this matchup figured out.

Key Stats

• Samsunspor have scored just one goal in their last four Super Lig matches while conceding nine
• Trabzonspor are unbeaten in their last four meetings with Samsunspor across all competitions
• Salah scored a hat-trick in Trabzonspor’s most recent fixture, a 4-0 win over Galatasaray

Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor Betting Tips

There is very little in this preview that makes you want to back the home side. A team that cannot score, cannot keep a clean sheet, and has no home win to its name this season is hosting a side overflowing with attacking quality and riding a wave of confidence after dismantling Galatasaray. Reis knowing exactly how Samsunspor tick from his time in charge only adds to the sense that Trabzonspor have every advantage here. The betting angles all point in one direction.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

With Samsunspor’s defensive fragility and Trabzonspor’s attack purring right now, over 2.5 goals looks the most logical call. Samsunspor have conceded at least two in three of their last four, and a Trabzonspor side that just scored four against Galatasaray will not be treating this one as a game to grind out cautiously.

Correct Score Prediction

A 0-2 Trabzonspor win fits the narrative perfectly. Samsunspor’s inability to find the net makes a blank for the hosts very plausible, while Trabzonspor have enough quality to put the game to bed without needing to go full throttle. Two well-taken away goals feels like a very fair reflection of where these two sides are right now.

Corners Prediction

Trabzonspor’s attacking approach and Samsunspor’s tendency to defend deep and invite pressure should produce a decent corner count. Expect Trabzonspor to dominate possession and force Samsunspor back, generating plenty of wide play and set piece opportunities. Over 9.5 corners in this one looks reasonable.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Mohamed Salah is the obvious shout and not just because of the hat-trick against Galatasaray. He is clearly the focal point of Trabzonspor’s attacking play under Reis, he has the movement and directness to cause Samsunspor real problems, and he is playing with the sort of confidence that makes him almost impossible to stop right now. Back him to open the scoring.

Bet Builder Tip

A Trabzonspor win, Salah on the scoresheet first and the game going over 2.5 goals all feel like natural conclusions from the same set of evidence, making this a coherent and well-supported combination.

Final Match Prediction

Everything about this fixture points towards a Trabzonspor victory. Samsunspor are low on goals, low on confidence, and have yet to win at home this season. Their back four has been leaking badly and now faces a Trabzonspor attack that just tore Galatasaray apart. Thomas Reis arrives knowing this club, this squad and this stadium inside out, which only sharpens the away side’s edge.

Trabzonspor should have enough to keep it relatively comfortable. Predicted score: Samsunspor 0-2 Trabzonspor.

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