Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Crystal Palace

vs

Newcastle United

KickoffSunday 25 October 2026, 2:00pm

VenueSelhurst Park

CompetitionEnglish Premier League

Can Crystal Palace back up last season’s win over Newcastle and claim consecutive Premier League victories over the Magpies for the first time in the top flight era? That is the question hanging over Selhurst Park this weekend, and honestly, given the state of both sides right now, it is far from straightforward to answer. Two clubs in indifferent form, two managers still finding their feet, and a fixture that could easily end up going nowhere. Let’s get into it.

Neither of these teams is playing well enough to make you confident backing them, but there are patterns in both sides’ performances that point pretty clearly toward how this one is likely to unfold. Form lines, defensive habits, goal tallies, head to head history. It all points somewhere, and we will get there.

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United Match Details

The fixture takes place at Selhurst Park in a Premier League gameweek eight clash. Palace are the hosts in South London, sitting 14th in the table, three places behind an 11th placed Newcastle side that arrived in this campaign with genuine optimism but has seen that fade fast. Both clubs are desperate for points, which gives this one a real edge regardless of the quality on show.

Team News

There are a few notable absences on both sides, and a couple of late fitness calls that could shape the starting elevens.

• Axel Disasi returns for Palace after completing a three match suspension following his red card in the 5-0 thrashing at Brighton. The Chelsea loanee should slot straight back into the back line.
• Dean Henderson is touch and go. The goalkeeper has been back in training after a foot injury but will be assessed closer to kickoff.
• Quinten Timber (thigh), Jorgen Strand Larsen (knock), Takehiro Tomiyasu (calf) and Chadi Riad (knee) are all out for Palace.
• Newcastle are sweating on Matias Fernandez-Pardo, who has been ill, and Anthony Elanga, who has a thigh issue. Both face late fitness tests.
• Jacob Ramsey is unlikely to feature. Matthias Jaissle has made clear there is no rush to bring the midfielder back from his thigh problem.
• Tino Livramento (knee) and Ewen Jaouen (thigh) also remain sidelined for the Toon.

Predicted Lineups

Pierre Sage looks set to go with Disasi returning to shore up a back line that has been leaking goals all season. The likely shape has Benitez between the sticks if Henderson is passed fit, with Richards, Disasi and Canvot across the defence. Khalailli and Mitchell as the wing backs, Wharton and Kamada in the middle, with McNeil tucked in behind Pino and Mateta up top.

Jaissle faces more of a selection headache depending on news about Elanga and Fernandez-Pardo before kickoff. Assuming Hornicek starts in goal, Miley, Thiaw, Botman and Hall form the back four, with Gonzalez and Joelinton in midfield. If Elanga is fit he likely slots in alongside Murphy, Osula and Barnes, with Wissa leading the line. If not, there will be some reshuffling in that front unit.

Recent Form

Palace have had a rough start under Sage and the numbers reflect it. They have won just two of their opening seven Premier League matches and have conceded the first goal in each of their last four fixtures across all competitions. Once Palace go behind, they are chasing the game, and that is a brutal habit to be in week after week. With Larsen out and the forward options limited, they are also struggling to carry any real threat going forward. Only Tyrick Mitchell has scored more than once in the league this season, which tells you everything about how spread thin their attacking output is.

Newcastle went into this season with a new manager in Matthias Jaissle and early signs were decent. He went unbeaten in his first five competitive matches, winning three of them. But those early draws with Liverpool and Bournemouth, and a slightly fortunate EFL Cup win over West Brom, hinted at defensive fragility that has since come fully into the open. Losing 4-1 to promoted Coventry City is the kind of result that stops conversations at the training ground. They have lost three of their last four matches and have scored just four goals across that run, barely a goal a game.

The Toon are third bottom in the current form table and have slipped to 11th in the standings. The early season momentum is gone, the goals have dried up, and the back four looks vulnerable. Jaissle has a real job on his hands to steady the ship before this run of poor form becomes something more serious.

Head-to-Head Record

Palace beat Newcastle 2-1 at Selhurst Park in April to end a three match winless run in this fixture that had included two defeats. It gave them some momentum heading into the summer, but here is the thing: they have never followed up a win over Newcastle with another one in the Premier League era. Every time they have beaten the Toon, the next meeting has not gone their way. That is not a reason to ignore them here, but it is a pattern worth knowing about.

Historically this fixture has been competitive without being especially high scoring, and Selhurst Park is rarely a comfortable place to go for visiting sides even when they are in better form than Newcastle currently are.

Key Stats

• Palace have conceded the opening goal in each of their last four matches across all competitions, making their defensive shape the biggest concern for Sage.
• Newcastle have scored just four goals in their last four matches, averaging one per game, a significant drop from the two goals per game they were averaging across Jaissle’s first five matches.
• Only Elanga and Joe Willock have scored more than once for Newcastle this season, while Harvey Barnes leads the team for assists and big chances created, making him the key creative outlet to watch.

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United Betting Tips

Two teams short on confidence, short on goals, and carrying defensive problems into this one. The smart money here is not on a goal fest or a dominant home win. The angles worth pursuing are on the goals market, individual players with specific roles, and how the game flows in terms of set pieces and pressure. Here is how we see it.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

Under 2.5 goals looks the sensible play here. Newcastle are barely scoring at the moment and Palace are not exactly lighting it up either. With both defences under pressure but neither attack firing consistently, this has the look of a tight, low scoring affair. Back under 2.5 goals.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Harvey Barnes is the pick here. He leads Newcastle for assists and big chances created, but he is also getting into dangerous positions and is overdue a goal himself. If Newcastle are going to score, the ball is likely to run through Barnes at some point, and at a reasonable price he is worth a look as first scorer.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 corners looks appealing. Both sides have struggled to break teams down through open play and will likely rely on wide deliveries and set piece situations to create chances. Palace pressing on the flanks through Khalailli and Mitchell will generate corners, and Newcastle pushing forward down the sides through Murphy and Barnes will do the same. Expect the flag to be raised regularly.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

Yes to BTTS, but only just. Palace have scored in most of their home games this term despite their struggles, and Newcastle’s defensive issues mean they are not exactly easy to keep a clean sheet against. Both teams finding the net once each feels right for a game that is likely to end level anyway.

Bet Builder Tip

A draw with both teams scoring and plenty of corners fits the pattern of two attacking misfires and two leaky defences grinding out a competitive but goallight contest at Selhurst Park.

Final Match Prediction

Neither side is playing well enough to take the three points with any conviction here. Palace have the home advantage and the memory of last season’s win, but the weight of that historical pattern looms large. Newcastle are struggling badly for goals just as their defence is looking shaky, which is a bad combination when you are going on the road.

We are calling this one as a 1-1 draw. Competitive, scrappy, neither side able to find that winning moment. Sage will feel it is two points dropped. Jaissle will take the point and try to regroup. Selhurst Park gets another frustrating afternoon. Crystal Palace 1-1 Newcastle United.

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