Estoril Praia vs Moreirense Prediction, Betting Tips & Preview

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Estoril Praia

vs

Moreirense

KickoffSunday 25 October 2026, 3:30pm

VenueEstádio António Coimbra da Mota

CompetitionPortuguese Primeira Liga

Estoril Praia are in a genuinely desperate situation right now. Eight games into the Primeira Liga season and they are still waiting for their first win, sitting rock bottom with two draws and six defeats to their name. That is not just a bad run of form, that is a club in serious trouble, and if they cannot find a way to turn it around at home against a Moreirense side who arrive licking their own wounds, the gap between them and safety will only grow wider.

Moreirense are not exactly arriving on a crest of a wave either. They were dumped out of the Taca de Portugal last weekend, falling to AVS at the Estadio do CD das Aves, and their league form has been inconsistent all season. But on paper, this should be a game they can take something from. The question is whether they can hold themselves together long enough to do it.

Estoril Praia vs Moreirense Match Details

This is a Primeira Liga round nine fixture taking place at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota. Estoril Praia are the hosts and they will be desperate to finally claim three points on their own turf in what is shaping up to be one of the most important home games of their season so far.

Team News

Estoril head coach Leandro Pires has a few selection headaches to deal with, and the squad is not at full strength going into a game where they absolutely need a result.

• Fabricio Garcia is out through injury and unavailable for selection
• Yanis Begraoui is also sidelined, ruling out another attacking option
• Israel Salazar remains a long term absentee after tearing his cruciate ligament in August 2025
• Xeka has not featured since coming off injured against Benfica on August 31 and is again expected to miss out

For Moreirense, Vasco Costa has his own problems to contend with going into this one.

• Maracas is suspended after picking up a red card in the cup defeat against AVS and will miss this fixture
• Alexandre Parsemain has been out since picking up an injury on international duty with Martinique in September and is set to sit out for a third consecutive game
• Gilberto Batista is expected to return to the starting lineup after that suspension disrupted his run in the side

Predicted Lineups

Pires does not have many options in attack with Garcia and Begraoui both absent, so expect Guitane to lead the line after his late equaliser in the cup against Salgueiros. Rafik Guitane looked sharp in that game and will likely be the focal point again here. The back four of Sanchez, Tsoungui, Ferro and Jurisic will need to be far more solid than they have been, given that Estoril have already shipped 12 league goals this season.

Estoril Praia expected XI: Robles; Sanchez, Tsoungui, Ferro, Jurisic; Holsgrove, Robin; Guitane, Carvalho, Omerovic; Lacximicant

Moreirense lose Maracas at the back through suspension but Batista is expected to return and slot into the back four alongside Kiko, Kevyn Monteiro and Dinis Pinto. With Parsemain still absent up front, Costa will need Vonic to lead the line and the midfield to provide enough creativity to unlock what has been a leaky Estoril defence.

Moreirense expected XI: Ferreira; Kiko, Monteiro, Batista, Pinto; Liberato, John; Andrade, Mendonca, Bondoso; Vonic

Recent Form

Estoril Praia have been awful this season by any honest measure. Six defeats and two draws in eight league games is a return that puts serious pressure on Pires, and the 2-1 loss to newly promoted Academuco Viseu on October 10 summed up everything that has gone wrong. Losing to a side who came up from the lower leagues, away from home, while sitting bottom of the table, is the kind of result that has fans genuinely worried. The cup gave them a bit of a lifeline emotionally, but beating a Campeonato de Portugal side on penalties after nearly being knocked out is not exactly the kind of confidence booster you dream of.

Moreirense have been better but not convincingly so. Two wins, two draws and four defeats in eight league games puts them in mid table but with very little momentum. The cup exit against AVS hurt, especially with Maracas getting sent off and the team unable to respond after going a goal down in the third minute. Before that, they lost 1-0 at home to Gil Vicente on October 8, which made it back to back defeats across competitions. The goals are coming at the other end, eight in eight league games is a reasonable return, but with 15 conceded, they are shipping far too many at the back.

What both sides have in common is that neither is keeping clean sheets and neither is finding consistent results. This is a meeting of two teams searching for form rather than teams looking to consolidate a strong position, which makes predicting the outcome genuinely tricky.

Head-to-Head Record

The head to head record here is fascinating and arguably the most useful piece of context for this preview. Estoril have not beaten Moreirense in their last six meetings, losing three and drawing three since a 1-0 victory back in May 2022. That is four years without a win over this particular opponent, which tells its own story about the psychological dynamic between these clubs.

From Moreirense’s perspective though, their away record at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota is not encouraging either. They have failed to win nine of their last 11 visits to Estoril’s ground, losing five and drawing four since February 2011. So while Estoril cannot seem to beat Moreirense, Moreirense cannot seem to win at Estoril. That peculiar deadlock makes a draw the historically logical outcome, even if both sides are desperate for more than a point.

Key Stats

• Estoril have conceded 12 goals in eight Primeira Liga games, the worst defensive record in the division
• Moreirense have conceded 15 league goals, the fourth highest total in the league, making them vulnerable at the back as well
• Estoril have not beaten Moreirense in six consecutive meetings, going back to May 2022
• Moreirense have won just two of their last 11 away fixtures at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril Praia vs Moreirense Betting Tips

When two leaky defences meet in a game where both sides are low on confidence but still capable of creating chances, the goals markets become the most interesting place to look. Add in the historical tendency for this fixture to produce shared points and you start to build a picture of where the value lies.

Over and Under Goals Prediction

With Estoril shipping goals for fun and Moreirense not far behind them defensively, backing over 2.5 goals feels well supported by the evidence. Neither side has the defensive organisation right now to keep this one tight, and a game between two teams chasing a result rather than protecting a lead tends to open up.

Cards Prediction

Estoril are under real pressure at home and Moreirense arrive with something to prove after a cup exit. Games between sides in this kind of form tend to get niggly, particularly if one side goes behind early. Backing over 3.5 cards looks reasonable given the competitive stakes and the frustration that tends to bubble over when results are not going your way.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Prediction

Yes, back both teams to score here. Moreirense have scored in plenty of their away games this season and Estoril, for all their struggles, have shown they can still get on the scoresheet. Guitane’s late equaliser in the cup showed there is life in this Estoril attack. With 12 goals conceded by the hosts and 15 by the visitors, goals at both ends is the expected pattern.

First Goalscorer Prediction

Rafik Guitane gets the nod here. The forward was the match winner in the cup at the weekend and he will be full of confidence going into this one. Playing as the focal point of Estoril’s attack in front of their own fans, Guitane has the motivation and the current form to strike first.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 corners looks appealing in a fixture where both sides will need to get bodies forward in search of goals. Estoril will push hard at home to get the win they desperately need, which means a lot of attacking intent and deliveries into the box. Moreirense are no strangers to generating corner opportunities either. This should be a set piece heavy affair.

Correct Score Prediction

Given the head to head record and the current form of both sides, a 2-2 draw feels right. Estoril have the motivation of their own ground and a desperate need for points, while Moreirense have the quality to punish them defensively. Neither team looks capable of keeping a clean sheet, and the historical tendency for this fixture to end in a stalemate reinforces that call.

Bet Builder Tip

Two defensively fragile sides playing a high stakes game in front of a crowd crying out for a result makes for a fixture where goals and corners should arrive in volume, and both teams to score ties the whole thing together neatly.

Final Match Prediction

Estoril Praia are in real trouble and they know it. This is a game they simply have to get something from if they are to avoid drifting further away from the rest of the division. But Moreirense, even in their current inconsistent form, are a stronger side than Estoril’s recent opponents, and the away record at this ground does not worry them as much as the head to head record suggests it might trouble Estoril.

The most likely outcome here is that both teams score, the game is tight and scrappy in periods, and the points are shared. Estoril find the net enough to give the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota some brief hope, but Moreirense are too switched on to let it slip into a defeat. Final score: Estoril Praia 2-2 Moreirense.

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