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Horse Racing

Perth – Thursday 21st April

Thursday 21st April 13:30

WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith previews day two of the William Hill Perth Festival on Thursday 21st April

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Bookie Selection Best Odds Market Bet
Lignou 15/215/2 E/W (4 Places 1/5)
13.30 Perth
Place BetPlace Bet
Ask Paddington 10/110/1 E/W (4 Places 1/5)
13.30 Perth
Place BetPlace Bet
Blooriedotcom 4/14/1 E/W (4 Places 1/5)
16.20 Perth
Place BetPlace Bet

Date of Tips: 21/04/2022

Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (07:31 21/04/2022) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.

It was great to see Brian Hughes record his 200th winner of the season at Perth yesterday, at a strike-rate not dissimilar to that with which Richard Johnson broke the double century barrier twice.

The incredible Sir AP McCoy achieved the feat no less than 9 times, and all at an unbelievable strike-rate that never dipped below 24% in those years.

The task today is to find some horses that are going to increase their particular winning ratios, and the first stop is the William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle at 1.30 on day two of the Perth Festival.

Quite a competitive heat on the face of it, with plenty of horses entering the fray off the back of top four finishes in their previous race, but the pick of the prices and a recommended bet is Lignou, at 15/2 each-way with SkyBet, for 4 places.

In just five starts for Jennie Candlish, Lignou has found himself dropping 19lbs in the ratings, despite running with real credit on at least three of those occasions.

On penultimate start, he did well to finish out his race in 5th at Leicester on soft ground, as he charted a path in the forever deeper stuff on the inside. While, last time at Southwell, Lignou travelled notably well in rear before finishing on the heels of the first two, in a race dominated by prominent racers.

It is notable that his two wins for Noel Meade came on right-handed tracks at 2m4f on decent ground, and today is the first time Lignou gets that set-up for Jennie Candlish. With the ever-dependable Sean Quinlan on board, and cheekpieces fitted, Lignou has a much greater chance than his price of 15/2 each-way with SkyBet suggests.

There is a potential fly in the ointment in the race however, and I would advise having a saver on the Rebecca Menzies-trained Ask Paddington at 10/1 each-way, also with William Hill for 4 places.

Ask Paddington has the look of a horse that has been lined up for a winning chance today, as he too has dropped significantly in the weights since joining the current yard, after four below par runs last winter.

However, four of Ask Paddington’s five wins have come between the months of March and August, and three of those wins have come fresh from a break. The stars may have aligned for him today, and at 10/1 each-way, Ask Paddington is a worthy second string to the 1.30 betting bow.

The other bet on the card comes in the 1st division of the William Hill Betting TV Handicap Hurdle at 4.20. It is the locally trained Blooriedotcom, who is available at 4/1 each-way with SkyBet for 4 places, and should feasibly be 5/2 or shorter in my view.

Despite his two poor runs at the track, which can be explained with legitimate excuses, Lucinda Russell has liberally campaigned Blooriedotcom at a very similar track in Musselburgh.

Indeed, his last two runs there have come in a tongue-tie, which has brought about two improved showings, and now dropping markedly in grade for today’s assignment, Blooriedotcom should find things that little bit easier.

Never a Perth meeting goes by without a winner for Lucinda Russell, and if she hasn’t notched one before then, Blooriedotcom can certainly do so at 4/1 each-way with SkyBet in the 4.20.

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