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Punchestown Festival – Wednesday 27th April

Wednesday 27th April 15:40

WhichBookie racing analyst Will Smith previews Day Two of the Punchestown Festival, with 5 each-way selections, including a 66/1 shot.

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Bookie Selection Best Odds Market Bet
Humble Glory 10/110/1 E/W (6 places 1/5)
15.40 Punchestown
Place BetPlace Bet
Outback Flyer 16/116/1 E/W (6 places 1/5)
15.40 Punchestown
Place BetPlace Bet
Conron 66/166/1 E/W (6 places 1/5)
15.40 Punchestown
Place BetPlace Bet
Annamix 10/110/1 E/W (5 places 1/5)
19.05 Punchestown
Place BetPlace Bet
Foxy Jacks 11/111/1 E/W (5 places 1/5)
19.05 Punchestown
Place BetPlace Bet

Date of Tips: 27/04/2022

Disclaimer The odds for these selections were correct at the time of publishing (07:51 27/04/2022) but may have changed since. Please check the latest price before placing your bet.

 

Having prematurely celebrated Punchestown 2022 as being the domain of Willie Mullins in this article yesterday, but then tipping two Gordon Elliott-trained horses, I shouldn’t have been surprised to see Elliott rack up four winners on the day.

One of those winners was a mare in the opening race of the day as Party Central won very nicely, and I’m following a similar theme for Day Two of the Punchestown Festival.

The Adare Manor Opportunity Series Final Handicap Hurdle at 3.40 is a mightily competitive affair, but given the profile of a few of Elliott’s horses this week suggest they may have been kept fresh, in an attempt to wrestle some of the Punchestown prize money from Mullins, it could be that Humble Glory gives the team from Cullentra another super start to the day.

Humble Glory, available at 10/1 each-way for 6 places with Bet365 or Sky Bet, has form which ties in very nicely with Party Central, as the pair of stablemates fought out a finish to a Listed race here in December.

Quite clearly that is very strong form when translated into this handicap environment, and allowing for the fact there will be plenty of improvement to come from Humble Glory’s run at Ballinrobe three weeks ago, which was her first for over 100 days, she rates as having a favourite’s chance to me.

Given it is such a tight-knit, big-field handicap, it could pay to have a second dart at it. Indeed, I am going to recommend doing so with Outback Flyer, who has been a bit of a slow burner but looks to be coming to the boil nicely for Peter Fahey for this contest.

Outback Flyer won in very impressive fashion at Wexford last time, and another chunk of improvement would see her right in the mix, and so should be backed at 16/1 each-way with Sky Bet for 6 places.

I am going to recommend the unusual tactic of backing three horses each-way in the Adare Manor Opportunity Series Final Handicap Hurdle at 3.40, but given the prices and place terms on offer, it is a wholly sensible move.

The third choice is the 66/1 priced Conron, available each-way widely for those all-important 6 places. Had he still been trained by Jessica Harrington, Conron would surely no better than a 16/1 shot.

Conron’s Punchestown record is red-hot, with 3 wins and a close second in this corresponding race two years ago, and that he has joined Noel Kelly could be an indication of regression. But equally, it could be seen as a lovely betting opportunity on a horse who loves it here.

Conron’s reappearance run at Naas on ground softer than ideal two weeks ago, was far from devoid of promise, so is included at a very generous looking 66/1 each-way generally.

The other betting race of the day for these pages is the OMC Claims Handicap Chase at 7.05, and is another multi-horse staking plan.

First up is one of the four Willie Mullins representatives, and it’s actually the least fancied of them by market position. Annamix was not beaten far in the race last year, and has since closely rivalled Galvin over 3m back at this same venue, and tuned up for this race with a cracking third in the Topham at Aintree. At 10/1 each-way with Sky Bet for 5 places, Annamix surely won’t be far away.

A horse who wasn’t far away at all last year, indeed he came home in front, was Foxy Jacks. He has had a similar preparation to last year, and despite coming down at the halfway stage in the Topham, Foxy Jacks is a sound each-way bet at 11/1 with Sky Bet to reproduce last season’s heroics.

On some of this season’s form, it could easily be argued that Foxy Jacks has improved, and for the Irish National-winning jockey Paddy O’Hanlon, he could lead them all a merry dance from the front.

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